Draft Final- National Infrastructure Development Plan

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Draft Final- National Infrastructure Development Plan Cook Islands National Infrastructure Investment Plan Draft Final Report May 2014 Infrastructure Committee Cook Islands Government Cook Islands National Infrastructure Investment Plan Draft CI NIIP, May 2014 Contents 1 Introduction 1 1.1 About the CI NIIP 1 1.1.1 Role and Objectives 1 1.1.2 The CI NIIP Process 1 1.2 Consultation, Participation and Communication 2 2 Infrastructure Provision 4 2.1 General Situation 4 2.1.1 Population 4 2.1.2 Geographic and Island Context 4 2.1.3 Economic Overview 6 2.1.4 Opportunities and Challenges 7 2.2 National, Sector and Sub-sector Planning 7 2.2.1 National Development Agenda 7 2.2.2 Infrastructure Master Plan 9 2.2.3 Absence of Spatial Development Plans 9 2.2.4 Land Issues 9 2.2.5 Institutions involved in Infrastructure Provision 10 2.2.6 Sector and Sub-sector Plans 11 2.3 Demand for Infrastructure 13 2.3.1 The Drivers of Demand for Infrastructure 13 2.4 Infrastructure Status Summary 14 2.5 Sub-sector Assessments 16 2.5.1 Air Transport 16 2.5.2 Marine Transport 17 2.5.3 Road Transport 17 2.5.4 Water Supply 18 2.5.5 Sanitation 19 2.5.6 Solid Waste Management 19 2.5.7 Energy 20 2.5.8 ICT 21 2.5.9 Assessment of Multi-sector Issues 22 3 Priorities for Infrastructure Development 23 3.1 Assembling the Long-list of Projects 23 3.2 Prioritisation Methodology 23 3.2.1 Screening 23 3.2.2 Multi-criteria Analysis (MCA) 23 3.2.3 Results of the Multi-criteria Analysis 26 3.2.4 Preparing the investment plan from the prioritised project list 26 3.3 Sub-sector Priority Projects 27 3.3.1 From Long-list to Priorities 30 4 Infrastructure, Climate Change Adaptation and Disaster Risk Management 32 4.1 Introduction and Background 32 4.2 Current and Future Climate in Cook Islands 33 4.2.1 Projected Temperature Changes 34 4.2.2 Changing Rainfall Pattern 34 4.2.3 Cyclones 34 4.2.4 Sea Level Rise 34 4.3 Natural Hazards 35 4.4 Institutional Arrangements for Climate Change and Disaster Management in Cook Islands 35 4.4.1 Existing Enabling Environment for Climate Change Adaptation and Disaster Risk Management 36 4.5 Evaluation of climate change and natural hazard impacts and risks for CI NIIP priority projects 37 4.5.1 Rapid Analysis of Spatial Patterns of Relative Climate and Natural Hazards Risks 38 4.5.2 Risk Assessment of Priority Projects 41 5 Funding Strategy 42 5.1 Availability of Finance for Investment in Economic Infrastructure 42 5.1.1 Capital Investment 42 5.1.2 Summary of the Availability of Finance for CI NIIP 45 5.2 Demand for Infrastructure Finance 45 5.2.1 Capital 45 5.2.2 Maintenance 47 ii Cook Islands National Infrastructure Investment Plan Draft CI NIIP, May 2014 5.3 Funding sources for CI NIIP projects 48 5.4 Private sector participation in CI NIIP investments 50 5.5 Building the Financial Sustainability of Infrastructure Investment 51 5.6 Funding for Climate Change Adaptation and Disaster Risk Reduction 52 6 Managing and Monitoring the CI NIIP 57 6.1 The Role of CI NIIP 57 6.2 Monitoring and Review 57 6.2.1 Regular Reviews 57 6.2.2 Measuring Progress of CI NIIP 58 6.2.3 Lessons Learned 59 6.3 Building Capacity 59 6.3.1 Management and Coordination 59 6.3.2 Institutional Strengthening within Sub-sectors 60 Appendices A List of Consultations and People Met B Project Prioritisation Tables C Project Details D Infrastructure Status E Climate Change Adaptation and Disaster Risk Management Issues F Climate Change Project Assessments G Life-cycle Costing Issues H Funding Issues J Existing NSDP Indicators List of Figures Figure 1.1 The CI NIIP Process 2 Figure 3.1 Results of Prioritisation Scoring 26 Figure 5.1 Possible Phasing of CI NIIP Investments 46 Figure 5.2 Potential Funding Modalities for CI NIIP 49 Figure 6.1 Positioning of the CI NIIP 57 List of Tables Table 1.1 Summary of Consultation and Communications Programme 2 Table 2.1 Island Characteristics 4 Table 2.2 Economic Indicators 6 Table 2.3 NSDP Goals and Strategies 7 Table 2.4 Institutional Responsibilities 10 Table 2.5 Existing Sector Plans and Studies 11 Table 2.6 Drivers of Demand 14 Table 2.7 Summary of Key Infrastructure 14 Table 2.8 Issues and Strategies, Air Transport 16 Table 2.9 Issues and Strategies, Marine Transport 17 Table 2.10 Issues and Strategies, Road Transport 18 Table 2.11 Issues and Strategies, Water Supply 19 Table 2.12 Issues and Strategies, Sanitation 19 Table 2.13 Issues and Strategies, Solid Waste Management 20 Table 2.14 Issues and Strategies, Energy 21 Table 2.15 Issues and Strategies, ICT 22 Table 2.16 Issues and Strategies, Multi-sector 22 Table 3.1 Prioritisation Criteria 24 Table 3.2 Ongoing, Committed and Proposed Projects - Air Transport 27 Table 3.3 Ongoing, Committed and Proposed Projects - Road Transport 27 Table 3.4 Ongoing, Committed and Proposed Projects - Marine Transport 28 Table 3.5 Ongoing, Committed and Proposed Projects – Water Supply 28 Table 3.6 Ongoing, Committed and Proposed Projects - Sanitation 28 Table 3.7 Ongoing, Committed and Proposed Projects - Solid Waste Management 29 Table 3.8 Ongoing, Committed and Proposed Projects - Energy 29 iii Cook Islands National Infrastructure Investment Plan Draft CI NIIP, May 2014 Table 3.9 Ongoing, Committed and Proposed Projects - ICT 29 Table 3.10 Ongoing, Committed and Proposed Projects – Multi-sector 29 Table 3.11 From Long-list to Priorities 30 Table 4.1 Overview of Cook Island’s Projected Climate Changes 34 Table 4.2 Prioritization Criteria for Climate Change and Disaster Risk Management used in the MCA for CI NIIP 37 Table 4.3 Return Period, Likelihood of Occurrence in 1 Yeara and Percentage of Change, for Given Extreme Events in Rarotonga, for the Presence and Projected for 2050 38 Table 4.4 Climate Change and Natural Hazards Risk Assessment Matrix for CIIP Prioritized Projects 39 Table 5.1 Contributions to CI NIIP Financing 45 Table 5.2 CI NIIP Capital Investment Requirements 45 Table 5.3 Infrastructure Maintenance Responsibilities 47 Table 5.4 Maintenance Requirements for Economic Infrastructure 47 Table 5.5 CI NIIP Proposed Priority Projects – Possible Funding Sources 49 Table 5.6 Current Committed or Expended Funding for Climate Proofing of Key Infrastructure Projects in Cook Islands (Status: May 2014) 53 Table 5.7 Potential Sources of Financing for Climate Change Adaptation and Disaster Risk Management 55 Table 6.1 Indicators for Monitoring the CI NIIP 58 Table 6.2 Complementary Activities and other Capacity Building 60 Abbreviations ADB Asian Development Bank AUD Australian Dollar BSG Budget Support Group CCA Climate Change Adaptation CCCI Climate Change Cook Islands CEO Chief Executive Officer CIAA Cook Island Airports Authority CIIC Cook Islands Investment Corporation CI NIIP Cook Islands Infrastructure Investment Plan DCD Development Coordination Division DRM Disaster Risk Management EC European Commission EDF European Development Fund EIB European Investment Bank EU European Union GCCA Global Climate Change Alliance GDP Gross Domestic Product GEF Global Environment Facility HOM Head of Ministry ICI Infrastructure Cook Islands ICT Information and Communication Technologies IDA International Development Association IFC International Finance Corporation (of the World Bank Group) JICA Japan International Cooperation Agency JNAP DRM CCA Joint National Action Plan for Disaster Risk Management and Climate Change Adaptation MCA Multi-Criteria Analysis MDGs Millennium Development Goals MFEM Ministry of Finance and Economic Management NGO Non Governmental Organisation CI NIIP National Infrastructure Investment Plan NSDP National Sustainable Development Plan NZ MFAT New Zealand Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Trade NZD New Zealand Dollar ODA Official Development Assistance OPM Office of the Prime Minister PCCSP Pacific Climate Change Science Programme PCRAFI Pacific Catastrophe Risk and Financing Initiative PRIF Pacific Region Infrastructure Facility ROBOC Revenue on Behalf of the Crown SOE State-Owned Enterprise SPC Secretariat of the Pacific Community SRIC Strengthening Resilience in Island Communities iv Cook Islands National Infrastructure Investment Plan Draft CI NIIP, May 2014 TA Technical Assistance TAU Te Aponga Uira (Power company) UNDP United Nations Development Programme WATSAN Water and Sanitation Programme WB World Bank Group v Cook Islands National Infrastructure Investment Plan Draft CI NIIP, May 2014 Consultant Team Richard Mabbitt Team Leader, Infrastructure Planning and Policy Specialist David Hamilton Economist Carsten Huttche Climate Change Specialist Bernadette Raffe Finance Specialist Des Eggelton Civil Engineer “This is a publication of the Government of the Cook Islands. This report was prepared by Richard Mabbitt, David Hamilton, Bernadette Raffe, Des Eggleton and Carsten Huttche as individual consultants under the guidance of and with support of the Pacific Regional Infrastructure Facility (PRIF) in Sydney, Australia. PRIF is a partnership for improved infrastructure in the Pacific Region between the Asian Development Bank, the Australian Agency for International Development, the New Zealand Ministry for Foreign Affairs and Trade, the World Bank, the European Union and the European Investment Bank. The views expressed in this report are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views and policies of ADB or its Board of Governors or the governments they represent or from any of the PRIF Partners. ADB or any of the above parties does not guarantee the accuracy of the data included in this publication and accepts no responsibility for any consequence of their use” vi Cook Islands National Infrastructure Investment Plan Draft CI NIIP, May 2014 Cook Islands vii Cook Islands National Infrastructure Investment Plan Draft CI NIIP, May 2014 Executive Summary A Programme of Infrastructure Investment The Cook Islands National Infrastructure Investment Plan (CI NIIP) outlines the Cook Island’s priorities and plans for major infrastructure1 over the next 10 years.
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