Tropical Cyclone ELOISE

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Emergency Response Coordination Centre (ERCC) – DG ECHO Daily Map | 27/01/2021 Southern Africa | Tropical Cyclone ELOISE EU response SATELLITE ACTIVATIONS DG ECHO has replenished a Source: Copernicus EMSR 495. DISASTER RELIEF EMERGENCY UNOSAT: 3235, 3236, 3237. Charter 696. FUND (DREF) Operation of EUR Flooded area 200,000 for Mozambique. detected over 22- 26 Jan Copernicus EMSR 495 Activation date 22 Jan Analysed area Number of produced maps: 4 19 Jan 12:00 UTC 93 km/h sust. winds ** 3 1,290 Fatalities Source: Department 1 Fatality of Civil Protection 23 Jan 00:00 UTC 167 km/h sust. winds 1,000 7 Affected people Source: UN OCHA Fatalities 16,693 Displaced people 248,481 INDIAN Affected people OCEAN Mozambique 33 Channel *Democratic Republic of the Congo. Evacuation centres Source: INGD **Including fatalities in Malawi due to the effect of the same weather system before becoming TC IDAI. © European Union, 2021. Map produced by the JRC. The boundaries Tropical Cyclone (TC) Storm surge calculations and the names shown on this map do not imply official endorsement or Source: GDACS, JTWC, JRC 19 - 24 Jan acceptance by the European Union. Source: JRC, atm. NOAA-HWRF ELOISE <1 m 2–3.3 m DRC* TANZANIA IDAI 1-2 m COMOROS Intensity GDACS orange alert ANGOLA (1-min sust. winds) MALAWI Mayotte (FRANCE) ZAMBIA î 63 – 118 km/h GDACS red alert î ≥ 119 km/h Main dam ZIMBABWE Mozambique Wind buffer Populated area Channel Source: JRC GHSL 2 ≥ 119 km/h MOZAMBIQUE Fatalities Main river MADAGASCAR NAMIBIA BOTSWANA 2 2 Past rainfall ESWATINI Missing people Fatalities accumulation (mm) Airport Port 7-day rainfall Source: UN OCHA 1,500 18-26 Jan forecast (mm) Affected people Source: NASA-GPM Disputed area LESOTHO Source: NOAA-GFS 25-50 100-250 SOUTH Source: UN OCHA AFRICA 25-50 100-250 50-100 250-500 Country border 50-100 250-500.

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MULTI-SECTORAL RAPID NEEDS ASSESSMENT POST-CYCLONE ELOISE Sofala and Manica Provinces, Mozambique Page 0 of 23
MRNA - Cyclone Eloise Miquejo community in Beira after Cyclone Eloise, Photo by Dilma de Faria MULTI-SECTORAL RAPID NEEDS ASSESSMENT POST-CYCLONE ELOISE Sofala and Manica Provinces, Mozambique Page 0 of 23 27 January – 5 February 2021 MRNA - Cyclone Eloise Contents ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS ............................................................................................................................. 2 Executive Summary Cyclone Eloise ............................................................................................................. 2 Key Findings ............................................................................................................................................. 3 Multi-Sectoral Recommendations ............................................................................................................. 3 OVERVIEW ................................................................................................................................................... 5 METHODOLOGY & DATA COLLECTION .................................................................................................... 6 LIMITATIONS ............................................................................................................................................ 7 Geographical Coverage ........................................................................................................................ 7 Generalizability .....................................................................................................................................
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Cyclone Eloise Fact Sheet January 2021
CYCLONE ELOISE FACT SHEET JANUARY 2021 Photo: Flooding in Beira © UN Mozambique/Brenda Hada UNFPA PRIORITIES CYCLONE IMPACT (as of 23 January, INGD data from Sofala, Deliver life-saving sexual and reproductive health (SRH) and gender- Manica, Inhambane and Zambezia Provinces) based violence (GBV) interventions for Cyclone-affected women and girls, 163,283 people affected (32,660 families) including safe deliveries, family planning, 3,343 houses damaged and adequate care for prevention and 11 health units damaged response to GBV (SRH / RH kits) 9 classrooms destroyed, 17 damaged Ensure continuity of essential health *99% of persons affected by Cyclone Eloise reside in services for women and girls, including Sofala Province (162,305) sexual and reproductive health and gender-based violence services (aka In the early hours of 23 January, Cyclone Eloise – mobile brigades) a category two storm packing winds of up to 120 km/hour, gusts of 150 km/h – made landfall in Establish temporary safe spaces for Sofala Province in central Mozambique, an area women and girls affected by the cyclone still recovering from the devastation of Cyclone Idai some two years ago. Prevent COVID-19 transmission among health workers and displaced people, with Heavy rains in the lead-up to Cyclone Eloise had a focus on women, girls, and older persons already raised rivers and basins above their alert levels, increasing the risk for significant flooding in low-lying areas, including Busi district and Beira city. Preliminary hydrographic analysis suggests that the Limpopo river may flood as a result of the cyclone, prompting preparedness efforts in northern Gaza Province and Limpopo valley.
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Welcome to Moderate Tropical Storm “Guambe”
Media release Private Bag X097, Pretoria, 0001 • Tel: + 27 (0) 12 367 6000 • www.weathersa.co.za • USSD: *120*7297# 17 February 2021 WELCOME TO MODERATE TROPICAL STORM “GUAMBE” The prolonged spell of heavy rain and widespread flooding which tropical Cyclone “Eloise” brought to southern Africa, scarcely a month ago is still fresh in the minds of the general public. Now, a fresh tropical system named “Guambe” has developed and is currently intensifying in the southern half of the Mozambique Channel. We will recall that “Eloise” directly or indirectly resulted in significant damage to, and destruction of, property, roads and infrastructure, together with much flooding and resultant loss of life across southern Africa, including South Africa during the latter half of January this year. By contrast, current predictions suggest that “Guambe” will have no negative impacts on South Africa in the days ahead, as the system is expected to remain well to the east of our shores throughout the life cycle of the system. Figure 1. A false colour RGB composite satellite image of southern Africa, Madagascar and the southern Indian Ocean region at 12h00SAST today, Wednesday 17 February 2021. Moderate Tropical Storm “Guambe” is visible as an impressive swirl of deep convective cloud development, obscuring a large portion of the Mozambique Channel. Image courtesy EUMETSAT 2021 Board Members: Ms Nana Magomola (Chairperson), Dr Phillip Dexter (Deputy Chairperson), Adv Derick Certiﬁed for Block, Mr David Lefutso, Dr Mphekgo Maila, Ms Kelebogile Moroka-Mosia, Ms Sally Mudly-Padayachie, Excellence Dr Thuli Khumalo (DEFF Rep), Mr Itani Phaduli, Ms Feziwe Renqe. Mr Mnikeli Ndabambi (acting CEO).
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Mozambique Cyclone Eloise Flash Update
CYCLONE ELOISE FLASH UPDATE > #01 > 31 JAN 2021 MOZAMBIQUE CYCLONE ELOISE FLASH UPDATE Cyclone Eloise ravaged through central Mozambique, including Two days after the cyclone hit, Protection Cluster coordinator in areas where +90,000 IDPs displaced by Cyclone Idai are joined a flight of the INGD over the affected area. Flooding has residing in resettlement sites. Those sites already had been been a major issue before and after cyclone Eloise, especially badly affected by tropical storm Chalane just two weeks prior. in Buzi where damage and destruction could be seen. PROTECTION CONTEXT SNAPSHOT HIGHLIGHTS à 20,012 displaced over past week due to Cyclone Eloise. 314,369 à Female headed households, older persons, persons with disabilities need to be People affected by Tropical Cyclone Eloise (Source: INGD) urgently included in the response with adapted assistance. à GBV partners (UNFPA, Plan Int'l, IsraAid) distributed 782 dignity kits to women 20,012 evacuated or displaced. Additional distributions planned together with GBV Persons displaced and in temporary awareness raising. accommodation centers (Source: à INGD) On-going protection monitoring and needs assessments by Protection Cluster partners, working closely with INGD and Ação Social to mainstream protection in 31 relief efforts. Temporary accommodation centers à Referral mechanism in place for urgent protection cases. sheltering those displaced (latest) à Protection partners (Terre des Hommes, IOM, IsraAid) prioritizing MHPSS. à Strengthening accountability measures (PSEA) is a priority for protection cluster. 90,000 Tropical Cyclone Eloise made landfall in central Mozambique on 23 January, Children in central Mozambique who are likely to need assistance (UNICEF) with winds gusts up to 160 km/h.
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SOUTHERN AFRICA Flash Update No.11 – Tropical Cyclone Eloise As of 28 January 2021 HIGHLIGHTS • More than 270,000 people have been affected by Eloise across Southern Africa, including 267,289 in Mozambique, more than 1,000 in Zimbabwe and more than 1,000 in Eswatini. • The death toll from Eloise has risen to 21, including 11 in Mozambique, 3 in Zimbabwe, 4 in Eswatini, 2 in South Africa and 1 in Madagascar. • With flood waters present in multiple locations, the risk of water-borne diseases, including cholera, is high. • Tens of thousands of hectares of crops have been flooded due to the Eloise weather system, which could have consequences for the next harvest and food security in the period ahead. SITUATION OVERVIEW The Eloise weather system has left at least 21 people dead -11 in Mozambique, 3 in Zimbabwe, 4 in Eswatini, 2 in South Africa and 1 in Madagascar- and affected more than 270,000 people across Southern Africa, according to preliminary information which continues to be updated as new data becomes available. Although the damage wrought by Eloise to date has been less widespread than Tropical Cyclone Idai in 2019, homes, crops and infrastructure in Mozambique, Zimbabwe, Eswatini and South Africa have been damaged or destroyed. In Mozambique, the number of people affected by Tropical Storm Eloise has risen to 267,289, as assessment teams have reached areas impacted by the storm and further information is becoming available. At least 20,167 people are sheltering in 32 temporary accommodation centres after being displaced by flooding, where urgent needs include clean water and sanitation to prevent disease outbreaks.
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Mozambique Tropical Storm Eloise
ALERT CYCLONE Mozambique Nairobi, 26 January 2021 SITUATION In the afternoon of Monday the 23 January 2021, the province of Sofala in Mozambique, was hit by a tropic storm and was forecast to be heading towards Zimbabwe and northern South Africa, which have already experienced heavy rainfall. Parts of central Mozambique have been flooded after Cyclone Eloise struck near the port city of Beira with wind speeds of up to 160km/h (100mph). Water levels were already high, even before the cyclone made landfall on Saturday. Several rivers in the region have burst their banks. More than 1,000 houses have been destroyed and another 3,000 badly damaged, according to Antonio Beleza, from Mozambique's National Institute for Disaster Management and Reduction. He said more than 160,000 people had been directly affected. Preliminary reports indicate that nearly 7,000 people have been displaced and more than 5,000 houses have been destroyed, damaged, or flooded, mainly in Buzi, Dondo, Nhamatanda and Beira City, according to the preliminary data from the Government. These numbers could rise in the days ahead as the full extent of the damage becomes known. NEEDS The cyclone has put the province in a state of crisis. The cyclone affected persons find themselves in a desperate situation, with many unmet vital humanitarian needs such as access to: ☒ sufficient food ☒ safe shelter and basic non-food items ☒ safe drinking water, as well as sanitation and hygiene infrastructure ☒ livelihood activities ☒ protection services ☒ adequate nutrition The dire situation is further compounded for the cyclone affected people with vulnerabilities.
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Cyclone Eloise in Mozambique
Initial Environmental Issues – Cyclone Eloise Charles Kelly Introduction: This summary document discusses key environmental issues arising from the passage of Cyclone Eloise over Mozambique. While full details of the storm damage are not yet completed (government and civil society organizations are still conducting assessments), sufficient information is available Source: OCHA Southern Africa Tropical Cyclone Eloise Flash Update No 8 as to project likely of 25 January 2021. environmental impact and issues related to relief, recovery, and reconstruction operations. This initial identification of environmental issues draws on the Initial Environmental Issues – Cyclone Idai report as well as OCHA Southern Africa Tropical Cyclone Eloise Flash Update No 8 as of 25 January, Information Bulletin #1 Mozambique: Tropical Storm Eloise, and Tropical Cyclone Eloise threatens Mozambique. Context: Part of the area affected by Cyclone Eloise was affected by Cyclone Idai in 2019 and Cyclone Chalane in 2020, particularly Sofala and Manica Provinces and parts of Beira City (see map). Environmental impacts related to both the impact of and partial recovery by the affected populations to these prior storms (particularly Cyclone Idai) could be worsened by Eloise’s impact. In addition, recent weather in southern Mozambique, southern Zimbabwe, and northern South Africa appears to have been wetter than normal, leading to water saturation of soils and high dam levels in Zimbabwe and South Africa. These conditions can lead to flooding after Eloise passed downstream from large dams, though those dams are located outside the most severe impact track of the cyclone. The storm-associated impacts on river levels and dam discharge need to be monitored as Eloise moves to the west over watersheds that drain throughout Mozambique, as flood damage may occur days after the passage of the cyclone.
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SOUTHERN AFRICA – TROPICAL CYCLONE ELOISE Flash Update No.5 As of 22 January 2021
SOUTHERN AFRICA – TROPICAL CYCLONE ELOISE Flash Update No.5 As of 22 January 2021 HIGHLIGHTS • Tropical Cyclone Eloise is forecast to make landfall near Beira City in Sofala Province, Mozambique, as a Tropical Cyclone in the early hours of 23 January. • Sofala Province has experienced heavy rainfall, strong winds and flooding since 15 January, with more than 21,500 people affected and more than 1,900 houses flooded prior to Eloise’s landfall, according to the Government. With many rivers and basins above alert levels, the most immediate concern is the potential for significant flooding as Eloise brings further rains. • Following its landfall in Mozambique, Eloise is expected to move inland, bringing heavy rains to southern Zimbabwe, northern South Africa and far eastern Botswana. SITUATION OVERVIEW Tropical Cyclone Eloise has strengthened in the Mozambique Channel, and is expected to make landfall near Beira, in central Mozambique, in the early hours of tomorrow, 23 January, as a Tropical Cyclone, according to the World Meteorological Organization (WMO). The Province of Sofala and the entire Zambezi Basin in Mozambique is already experiencing significant flooding as a result of heavy rainfall since 15 January, with the districts of Beira (Bairros Mungassa, Ndunda I e II), Buzi, Muanza, Caia, Dondo, Marromeu and Nhamatanda hardest-hit. Discharge of water from Chicamba dam and the Mavuzi reservoir has also affected residents in Buzi (Vila Sede, Guara-Guara, Ampara, Grudja, Estaquinha, Inhamuchindo, and Bândua). Since the start of the heavy rains in mid-January, more than 21,500 people have been affected, 3 people have died, and more than 3,900 hectares of farmland have been impacted, according to Mozambique’s National Institute for Disaster Management and Risk Reduction (INGD).
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Cyclone Eloise's Damage Could Have Implications for South Africa's Maize Price Outlook
Cyclone Eloise's damage could have implications for South Africa's maize price outlook At the start of the year, we expressed an optimistic view that South Africa's maize prices (and 25 January 2021 to an extent soybean and sunflower seed) could begin to soften from around the end of February 2021. This is the time when more information about the expected sizeable domestic Wandile Sihlobo Chief Economist harvest would become available. A decline in commodity prices would be beneficial to the +27 12 807 6686 livestock and poultry industries which have had to battle with higher feed prices over the [email protected] past couple of months. The prospect of large crop production was a South African story as it was a broader Southern Africa region one. Hence, we believed that the demand for South www.agbiz.co.za African maize exports to the Southern Africa region would also soften in the 2021/22 marketing year, thereby easing some pressure on domestic prices. The government of Zimbabwe estimated the country's 2020/21 maize plantings at 1,40 million hectares, which is roughly in line with the ten-year average area for the country. Still, the excellent weather conditions at the start of the 2020/21 season added optimism for a possible good harvest in the country. A potential increase in domestic production would be a positive gain for Zimbabwe which produced only 908 000 million tonnes in the 2019/20 season, making the country a net importer of roughly a million tonnes of maize to meet its domestic needs.1 Thus far, South Africa has been one of the significant maize suppliers to Zimbabwe, and that added demand contributed to the higher South African maize prices.
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Post-Event Briefing - Tropical Cyclone Eloise Mozambique ǀ 25 January 2021
Post-Event Briefing - Tropical Cyclone Eloise Mozambique ǀ 25 January 2021 Highlights • The tropical cyclone Eloise made landfall near the city of Beira (central Mozambique) on 23 January 2021. At least six people died, 12 injured, at least 176,475 affected including 8,363 displaced and more than 7,000 houses destroyed by rains and significant floods. • A total of 1,950,705 people was modelled as living in the areas affected, and economic losses caused by cyclone Eloise in Mozambique are 225,597,633 USD as estimated by the ARC Tropical Cyclone Explorer (TCE). • Losses due to tropical cyclone Eloise would have exceeded the attachment point if Mozambique had taken the TC policy insurance for the 2020-2021 TC season. As a result, a payout of 5,459,389.5 USD would have been due to the Government of Mozambique for this current cyclone event. Event Overview footprint modelled by TCE indicated that Eloise caused storm surges that could reach a maximum height of 4 meters along After exiting Madagascar, tropical cyclone Eloise the Mozambican coast. strengthened in the Mozambique channel, and made landfall near the coastal city of Beira (Province of Sofala, TCE Loss Calculations Mozambique), in the early hours of 23 January 20211. It The post-event run of the ARC’s TC model showed that a reached the stage of tropical cyclone at winds of 140 km/h total of 1,950,705 people was living in the areas affected by and gusts up to 160 km/h, according to the National Institute the tropical storm Eloise.
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Tropical Cyclone Eloise
OPERATION UPDATE Mozambique, Africa | Tropical Cyclone Eloise Guara Guara, Buzi, Resettlement Site- HP, PSEA and GBV awareness raising IFRC Internal P a g e | 2 Appeal №: n° Operations Update n° 1 Timeframe covered by this update: MDRMZ016 Date of issue: 14 February 2021 28 January 2021 to 11 February 2021 Operation start date: 28 January 2021 Operation timeframe: 12 months and End date: 31 January 2022 Glide №: IFRC Funding requirements: 5.1 million DREF amount initially allocated: CHF TC-2021-000008-MOZ Swiss francs 359,689 Federation-wide response funding requirements: to be confirmed Red Cross Red Crescent Movement partners currently actively involved in the operation: International Federation of Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies (IFRC), Belgian Red Cross, German Red Cross, Spanish Red Cross and PIROI (French Red Cross). Other partner organizations actively involved in the operation: National Disaster Management Institute (INGD),National Institute of Meteorology (INAM), WFP, FAO, UNICEF, WHO, UNFPA, IOM, CARE International, Save the Children, Oxfam and Government authorities in all concerned sectors. A. THE DISASTER AND THE RED CROSS RED CRESCENT RESPONSE TO DATE 22 January 2021: IFRC Information 3 Bulletin #1 is published 23 January 2021: Tropical Cyclone Eloise made landfall 23 January 2021: IFRC launched a DREF amounting to CHF 359,689 25 January 2021: IFRC Information Bulletin #2 is published 28 January 2021: Emergency Appeal launched to the amount CHF5.1 Million IFRC Internal P a g e | 3 Situation overview Tropical Cyclone Eloise, category 2, made landfall in the first hours of 23 January 2021, 20km south of the Beira City in Sofala Province, bringing winds of 140km/h and wind gusts of over 160km/h as well as extreme and widespread rainfall in Beira – 250mm in 24h - and many districts in Sofala, South of Manica, North of Inhambane and Eastern Gaza.
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TROPICAL CYCLONE ELOISE Flash Update No.7 As of 24 January 2021
SOUTHERN AFRICA – TROPICAL CYCLONE ELOISE Flash Update No.7 As of 24 January 2021 HIGHLIGHTS • In Mozambique, where Tropical Cyclone Eloise made landfall on 23 January, preliminary reports indicate that nearly 7,000 people have been displaced and more than 5,000 houses have been destroyed, damaged or flooded, mainly in Buzi, Dondo, Nhamatanda and Beira City, according to the preliminary data from the Government. These numbers could rise in the days ahead as the full extent of the damage becomes known. • Since its landfall, the Eloise weather system has weakened into an overland depression and moved towards South Africa, bringing heavy rainfall to the far north of the country, as well as to southern Zimbabwe and eastern Botswana. SITUATION OVERVIEW After making landfall in central Mozambique, Tropical Cyclone Eloise weakened into an overland tropical depression and crossed Mozambique on 23 January, causing heavy rainfall in its path. The weather system moved through southern Zimbabwe into the extreme northern parts of Limpopo Province, South Africa, on 24 January, according to the South African Weather Service (SAWS), and it is expected to reach parts of eastern Botswana in the coming days. In Mozambique, Tropical Cyclone Eloise has caused damage and flooding and left roads impassable in parts of Sofala, Zambezia, Inhambane and Manica provinces. As of 23 January, at least 163,283 people had been affected, including 6,859 displaced, according preliminary information from the National Institute for Disaster Management and Risk Reduction (INGD). Sofala province has been hardest hit, especially in Buzi, Dondo and Nhamatanda districts and Beira City, according to INGD.
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