Transport Assessment 1

Dunsfold Airport Ltd Dunsfold Park Dunsfold Park Preliminary Transport Assessment Volume 1 – Text November 2014 Contents EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ........................................................................................................... SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS ........................................................................................... III Strategic Transport Assessment ................................................................................. iii Scope of Report ........................................................................................................ iv The Proposals ........................................................................................................... iv The Sustainable Transport Strategy ........................................................................... iv The Assessment Process ............................................................................................. v Highway Enhancements ............................................................................................ vi The Results of the Assessments ................................................................................. vi Summary of Findings ................................................................................................ vii What Has Changed since the Appeal Decision .......................................................... viii Next Steps ................................................................................................................ ix 1 INTRODUCTION .......................................................................................................... 1 Background ................................................................................................................ 1 Report Scope and Structure ........................................................................................ 1 2 DEVELOPMENT PROPOSALS ....................................................................................... 3 Development Quantum .............................................................................................. 3 Access Strategy .......................................................................................................... 4 3 TRIP GENERATION ...................................................................................................... 6 2008 Planning Application Trip Generation Summary .................................................. 6 Updated Trip Generation ............................................................................................ 8 Residential Trip Generation .............................................................................. 8 Employment Trip Generation .......................................................................... 11 Hotel Trip Generation ..................................................................................... 13 Education Trip Generation .............................................................................. 15 Internal Trips .................................................................................................. 16 Summary ................................................................................................................. 17 4 TRIP DISTRIBUTION AND ASSIGNMENT ..................................................................... 21 2008 Planning Application Trip Distribution Summary ............................................... 21 Updated Trip Distribution ......................................................................................... 21 Residential Trip Distribution............................................................................ 21 Employment Trip Distribution ......................................................................... 22 Education Trip Distribution ............................................................................. 23 5 SUSTAINABLE TRANSPORT OPPORTUNITIES .............................................................. 24 2008 Planning Application Sustainable Transport Strategy ........................................ 24 Changes since 2008 .................................................................................................. 25 i Proposed Sustainable Transport Opportunities ................................................ 26 Mixed Use Scheme ......................................................................................... 26 Walking and Cycling ........................................................................................ 26 Bus Services .................................................................................................... 27 Access to Rail .................................................................................................. 29 Car Club and Car Share Schemes ..................................................................... 29 Community Vehicles ....................................................................................... 29 Smart Technology ........................................................................................... 29 Site Wide Travel Plan ...................................................................................... 29 6 POTENTIAL HIGHWAY ENHANCEMENT MEASURES .................................................... 32 2008 Planning Application Highway Mitigation ......................................................... 32 Current Highway Mitigation Opportunities ............................................................... 33 A281/Kings Road and A281/Broadford Road, Shalford ..................................... 33 A281/Station Road, Bramley ........................................................................... 34 A281/Barrihurst Road ..................................................................................... 35 A281/Elmbridge Road ..................................................................................... 35 A281/Site Access ............................................................................................ 35 Alfold Crossways ............................................................................................ 36 7 PRELIMINARY RESIDUAL TRAFFIC EFFECTS ................................................................ 37 2014 Base ................................................................................................................ 37 2031 Reference Case ................................................................................................ 38 Modelling Scenarios ................................................................................................. 38 Potential Residual Effects ......................................................................................... 41 1,800 Houses at Dunsfold Park ........................................................................ 41 2,600 Houses at Dunsfold Park ........................................................................ 42 3,400 Houses at Dunsfold Park ........................................................................ 44 Summary ................................................................................................................. 46 8 SUMMARY OF CHANGES SINCE THE APPEAL DECISION .............................................. 47 Location ................................................................................................................... 47 Congestion on the A281 ........................................................................................... 48 Traffic Growth .......................................................................................................... 49 Traffic Effects of Dunsfold Park ................................................................................. 50 Mitigation Strategy .................................................................................................. 51 Summary ................................................................................................................. 51 9 NEXT STEPS .............................................................................................................. 53 ii Figures Figure 5.1 - Downs Link Bus Option 1 Figure 5.2 - Downs Link Bus Option 2 Figure 5.3 - Downs Link Bus Option 3 Figure 5.4 - Downs Link Bus Option 4 Figure 7.1 - A281 Corridor Model Network Area Figure 8.1 - 2031 Do Minimum Average Junction Delay for the AM Weekday Peak Period Appendices Appendix A - A281 Site Access (Drawing Number 110047_A_09) Appendix B - TRICS Output Appendix C - 2008 Planning Application Highway Improvement Proposals Appendix D - Current Highway Enhancement Opportunities Appendix E - 2014 Traffic Data Collection Summary Appendix F - Summary of Paramics Results iii EXECUTIVE SUMMARY This report has been prepared by Vectos on behalf of Dunsfold Airport Ltd (DAL) to consider the allocation of Dunsfold Park for residential and employment land uses within Waverley Borough Council’s Local Plan. The report considers three options for mixed use schemes at Dunsfold Park comprising 1,800, 2,600 and 3,400 residential units along with employment, education and community uses. In terms of highway impact, these options are compared with Waverley’s Option 1 which has no residential development at Dunsfold Park but a greater level of development elsewhere in the borough (i.e. 1,800 units at Cranleigh and 1,000 in villages). This is known as the Reference Case. This report focuses on the highway network closest to Dunsfold Park and, in particular,

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