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Hamilton Heights +51.9% -13.3% BONDREPORT QTR 1 2021 BONDREPORT QTR 1 2021 WELCOME TO THE 30TH EDITION OF THE BOND REPORT A year into the pandemic that rocked our city and the world, the New York City real estate market seems to be responding with a resounding boom --at least in regards to the frenzied number of contracts signed this quarter. As of the publication date of this report, we have seen 4,000 transactions market wide and they continue to rise. We haven’t seen anything even close to that kind of activity since May of 2013 and even then, we didn’t cross the 4,000 threshold. The number of contracts signed is up over 60% compared to last year! Is this the recovery the real estate market has been waiting for? It depends on how you measure recovery. It’s hard to frame anything outside of COVID-19, but the real estate market had been trending towards the bottom before the pandemic hit and while New York was getting hit the hardest from COVID-19, the real estate market was bottoming out. Whether the pandemic accelerated that process or if it was the end of where the market was already heading, is hard to say. And whether its road to recovery is because of the city’s lower COVID-19 cases or the inevitable cycle of the market going back up is also hard to say. Cause and effect aside, people are buying. Also, as of right now, there are apartments to buy. The end of Quarter 4, 2020 saw a record number of available apartments and while Quarter 1, 2021 saw a consistent drop in those numbers, available inventory is still up 21.1% compared to this time last year. This means eager buyers still have plenty of options from which to choose. It also means we aren’t seeing any dramatic increases in prices yet. The impact of this quarter‘s increase in pending sales on the market‘s price action won’t be available for at least another quarter as those contracts close. As lovers of our great city, the active market means more than just real estate business. It’s also a sign that New York is not “dead”, but in, in fact, alive and well. Spring is here; the vaccine roll out is in full effect; the sidewalk cafes are full; and tourists are starting to reappear in Central Park. All of these are indicators that we could soon be on the other side of this. As always, we are eager to answer all of your questions regarding your real estate needs. Our BOND agents are here to guide you through the ever-changing market and provide you with expert market knowledge along with extraordinary service. We look forward to assisting you. All source material for the BOND Report is provided by Urban Digs, Online Residential (OLR), and BOND New York’s proprietary listings database. This material is believed to be accurate, however is subject to errors and omissions. © 2021 BOND New York. All material presented herein is intended for information purposes only. While information is believed to be correct, it is represented subject to errors, omissions, changes, or withdrawals without notice. All property information, including but not limited to, square footage and number of bedrooms, is approximate. Exact measurements should be verified by your own attorney, architect, engineer, or zoning expert. BOND New York is a broker that supports Equal Housing Opportunity. BONDNEWYORK.COM BONDBONDREPORTREPORT QTR 1 2021 Market Trends March 2020 - March 2021 MARKET OVERVIEW Pending Sales +57.5% and Active Listings +16.4% 9000 While the BOND Report presents a 8500 traditional historical snapshot of the market, we first present two charts indicating 8000 pending sales (all listings in contract) versus 7500 active listings (all available inventory) for 7000 year-over-year and within Quarter 1, 2021. 6500 6000 The data compares sales volume amidst 5500 real-time inventory trends and offers the 5000 best indication of the current state of the 4500 market. It also informs us of where the 4000 market is heading. 3500 3000 Marketwide, pending sales were up 57.5% 2500 compared to this time last year and up 2000 32.3% since the start of the quarter. The 1500 increases since last year and within the 1000 quarter continue to point to a continued 500 recovery of the real estate market since the 0 pandemic began. Within Quarter 1, 2021, APR JUN AUG OCT DEC FEB pending sales started the year at 3,051 and Pending Sales: +57.5% Active Listings: +16.4% steadily increased throughout the quarter to 4,116. The number of pending sales in the new and recent development market Market Trends Within Quarter 1, 2021 were up by 45.15% and up 59.2% in the Pending Sales +32.3% and Active Listings -4.0% existing resale market from last year. 8500 Marketwide, supply was up 16.4% 7500 compared to this time last year but down 6500 slightly by 4.0% since the start of Quarter 1, 2021. After the peak number of listings 5500 available marketwide in Quarter 4, 2020, 4500 the year started at 7,327 listings on the marketwide and remained relatively flat 3500 throughout the Quarter 1,2021, finishing 2500 at 7,039. The number of active listings in 1500 the new and recent development market sector was down a more dramatic 17.5% 500 compared to this time last year, but up JAN FEB MAR 23.5% in the existing resale market. Pending Sales: +32.3% Active Listings: -4.0% MONTHLY CONTRACT ACTIVITY NEW & RECENT DEV MARKET EXISTING RESALE MARKET 19.2% FROM LAST MONTH PENDING SALES 45.1% FROM LAST YEAR PENDING SALES 59.2% FROM LAST YEAR ACTIVE LISTINGS 17.5% FROM LAST YEAR ACTIVE LISTINGS 23.5% FROM LAST YEAR 31.0% FROM LAST YEAR BONDNEWYORK.COM Source: UrbanDigs.com Percentages are rounded. BONDREPORT QTR 1 2021 QTR 1 2021 % CHG (QTR) QTR 4 2020 % CHG (YR) QTR 1 2020 Properties Sold 2,239 +35.45% 1,653 -8.72% 2,453 Pending Sales 4,116 +40.67% 2,926 +60.59% 2,563 Avg Price $1,821,193 +4.66% $1,740,085 -3.34% $1,884,073 Median Price $1,100,000 +10.11% $999,000 +3.29% $1,065,000 Avg Price Per Sq Ft $1,418 +1.76% $1,394 -6.53% $1,517 Days on Market March 2020 - March 2021 LOOKING BACK 120 100 In Quarter 1, 2021 the average sales price 80 marketwide was $1,821,193, up 4.66% 60 quarter-over-quarter and down 3.34% 40 year-over-year. The median sales price 20 marketwide for Quarter 1, 2021 was 0 $1,100,000, up 10.11% quarter-over- APR JUN AUG OCT DEC FEB quarter and up 3.29% year-over-year. The median number of days a property stayed on the market was up 44.2% Days on Market Within Quarter 1, 2021 since the start of the year. Marketwide, 120 the median number of days a property stayed on the market, started the year at 100 78 days and steadily increased throughout 80 the quarter to finish at 111 days at the end of Quarter 1, 2021. The median days 60 a property stayed on the market showed almost no change compared to this time 40 last year with a 2.8% increase. We saw 20 the largest decrease in median days on the market in the fall of 2020 before slowing 0 APR MAY JUN down in January, February and March. This JAN FEB MAR is typical of this time of year and on trend with pre-pandemic years. Source: UrbanDigs.com BONDNEWYORK.COM Percentages are rounded. BONDREPORT QTR 1 2021 BOND HEAT INDEX CHANGE IN PENDING SALES WITHIN 1ST QUARTER 2021 INWOOD/WASHINGTON HEIGHTS HAMILTON HEIGHTS +51.9% -13.3% EAST HARLEM MORNINGSIDE HEIGHTS/HARLEM +12.5% +23.9% UPPER EAST SIDE +28.4% UPPER WEST SIDE +41.3% MIDTOWN EAST/CENTER +46.3% MURRAY HILL MIDTOWN SOUTH +56.0% +77.8% KIPS BAY CHELSEA +25.9% +27.3% GRAMERCY/FLATIRON +44.4% WEST VILLAGE GREENWICH VILLAGE +24.0% +21.0% EAST VILLAGE SOHO +19.2% +32.1% NOLITA +16.7% TRIBECA LOWER EAST SIDE +31.3% +23.1% BATTERY PARK CITY FINANCIAL DISTRICT/CIVIC CENTER +8.0% +18.1% For a more in-depth analysis of your neighborhood, contact your BOND agent today. BONDNEWYORK.COM BONDREPORT QTR 1 2021 A CLOSER LOOK The neighborhoods that showed the largest increase in pending sales for Quarter 1, 2021 were Midtown South, Murray Hill and Inwood/Washington Heights. The re-supply pace for Midtown South was -11, the re-supply pace for Murray Hill was 18, and the re-supply pace for Inwood/Washington Heights was 1. The neighborhoods that showed the smallest increase in pendings sales for Quarter 1, 2021 were Hamilton Heights, Battery Park City and East Harlem. The re-supply pace for Hamilton Heights was 2, the re-supply pace for Battery Park City was 10 and the re-supply pace for East Harlem was 12. LARGEST INCREASE SMALLEST INCREASE MIDTOWN SOUTH HAMILTON HEIGHTS Days on Market..........108 Days on Market..........151 Pending Sales ...........32 Pending Sales ...........13 Active Listings.............52 Active Listings.............40 Re-Supply Pace...........-11 Re-Supply Pace............2 MURRAY HILL BATTERY PARK CITY Days on Market..........109 Days on Market..........116 Pending Sales ..........142 Pending Sales ...........27 Active Listings.............271 Active Listings.............79 Re-Supply Pace............18 Re-Supply Pace...........10 INWOOD/WASHINGTON HEIGHTS EAST HARLEM Days on Market..........142 Days on Market..........130 Pending Sales ...........20 Pending Sales ...........27 Active Listings.............40 Active Listings.............68 Re-Supply Pace............1 Re-Supply Pace...........12 BONDNEWYORK.COM BONDREPORT QTR 1 2021 MARKET SNAPSHOT CLOSED SALES CLOSED SALES BY SIZE BY SIZE YEAR-OVER-YEAR QUARTER-OVER-QUARTER 50% 50% 40% 40% 30% 30% 20% 20% 10% Q1 2020 10% QTR 4 2020 Q1 2021 Q1 2021 0% 0% STUDIOS 1 BEDS 2 BEDS 3+ BEDS STUDIOS 1 BEDS 2 BEDS 3+ BEDS CLOSED SALES CLOSED SALES BY PROPERTY TYPE BY PROPERTY TYPE YEAR-OVER-YEAR QUARTER-OVER-QUARTER QUARTER 1 2021 QUARTER 1 2020 QUARTER 1 2021 QUARTER 4 2020 57% 57% 57% 51% 43% 43% 43% 49% CO-OP CONDO CO-OP CONDO CO-OP CONDO CO-OP CONDO Source: UrbanDigs.com Percentages are rounded.
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