Janice C. Eberly's CV
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Handicapping Economics’ ‘Baby Nobel,’ the Clark Medal - Real Time E
Handicapping Economics’ ‘Baby Nobel,’ the Clark Medal - Real Time E... http://blogs.wsj.com/economics/2010/04/22/handicapping-economics-ba... More News, Quotes, Companies, Videos SEARCH Thursday, April 22, 2010 As of 4:16 PM EDT BLOGS U.S. Edition Today's Paper Video Blogs Journal Community Log In Home World U.S. Business Markets Tech Personal Finance Life & Style Opinion Careers Real Estate Small Business WSJ BLOGS Reserve Bank of India’s ‘Nirvana’ Rate Economic insight and analysis from The Wall Street Journal. APRIL 22, 2010, 4:04 PM ET Handicapping Economics’ ‘Baby Nobel,’ the Clark Medal Article Comments (1) REAL TIME ECONOMICS HOME PAGE » 1 of 3 4/22/2010 4:20 PM Handicapping Economics’ ‘Baby Nobel,’ the Clark Medal - Real Time E... http://blogs.wsj.com/economics/2010/04/22/handicapping-economics-ba... Email Printer Friendly Permalink Share: facebook Text Size By Justin Lahart Friday, the American Economic Association will present the John Bates Clark medal, awarded to the nation’s most promising economist under the age of 40. The Clark is known as the “Baby Nobel,” and with good reason. Of the 30 economists who have won it, 12 have gone on to win the Nobel, including Paul Samuelson and Milton Friedman. The award was given biennially until last year, when the AEA decided to give it annually. Massachusetts Institute of Technology economist Esther Duflo, 37, is considered a frontrunner. The head of MIT’s Jameel Poverty Action Lab with Abhijit Banerjee, she’s been at the forefront of using randomized experiments to analyze development American Economic Association Most Popular programs. -
Christina and David Romer
The Region Christina and David Romer In times of financial turmoil, it is comforting—or at a minimum, illuminating— to receive counsel from those with long-term perspective. Tempered with the lessons of history, their views extract true trend from distracting noise. Guided by precedent, shaped by narrative, checked against data, the conclusions of economic historians are formed slowly and carefully. In the realm of U.S. monetary history, few economists are as qualified to provide such counsel as Christina Romer and David Romer of the University of California, Berkeley. Since 1985, when both received their doctorates from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, the two have co-authored some of the field’s central analyses of Federal Reserve policymaking, based on thorough scrutiny of Fed documents and painstaking empirical investigation. They’ve made fundamental contributions to the literature on fiscal policy as well. Individually, Christina is well known for her research on the Great Depression and David for his work on microeconomic foundations of Keynesian economics. While their topics and methods are orthodox, their conclusions are often unsettling. Attempts by members of the Federal Open Market Committee to add information to Fed staff forecasts “may lead to misguided actions,” the Romers wrote recently. Monetary policymaking has improved since World War II but not steadily, they’ve concluded; policymakers have gone astray when they deviated from sound economic theory. Contrary to conventional wisdom, the Romers have found, government spending is not reined in by tax cuts. And, according to a celebrated, if “offbeat,” analysis by David, football coaches should be much more aggressive on fourth down. -
API-119: Advanced Macroeconomics for the Open Economy I, Fall 2020
Sep 1, 2020 API-119: Advanced Macroeconomics for the Open Economy I, Fall 2020 Harvard Kennedy School Course Syllabus: prospectus, outline/schedule and readings Staff: Professor: Jeffrey Frankel [email protected] Faculty Assistant: Minoo Ghoreishi [email protected] Teaching Fellow: Can Soylu Course Assistants: Julio Flores, Alberto Huitron & Yi Yang. Email address to send all questions for the teaching team: [email protected]. Times: Lectures: Tuesdays and Thursdays, 10:30-11:45 a.m. EST.1 Review Sessions: Tuesdays, 12:30-1:30 pm; Fridays, 1:30-2:30 pm EST.2 Final exam: Friday, Dec. 11, 8:00-11:00 am EST. Prospectus Course Description: This course is the first in the two-course sequence on Macroeconomic Policy in the MPA/ID program. It particularly emphasiZes the international dimension. The general perspective is that of developing countries and other small open economies, defined as those for whom world income, world inflation and world interest rates can be taken as given, and possibly the terms of trade as well. The focus is on monetary, fiscal, and exchange rate policy, and on the determination of the current account balance, national income, and inflation. Models of devaluation include one that focuses on the price of internationally traded goods relative to non-traded goods. A theme is the implications of increased integration of global financial markets. Another is countries’ choice of monetary regime, especially the degree of exchange rate flexibility. Applications include Emerging Market crises and problems of commodity-exporting countries. (Such topics as exchange rate overshooting, speculative attacks, portfolio diversification and debt crises will be covered in the first half of Macro II in February-March.) Nature of the approach: The course is largely built around analytical models. -
The Fair Wage-Effort Hypothesis and Unemployment Author(S): George A
The Fair Wage-Effort Hypothesis and Unemployment Author(s): George A. Akerlof and Janet L. Yellen Source: The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol. 105, No. 2 (May, 1990), pp. 255-283 Published by: Oxford University Press Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/2937787 . Accessed: 09/10/2013 09:57 Your use of the JSTOR archive indicates your acceptance of the Terms & Conditions of Use, available at . http://www.jstor.org/page/info/about/policies/terms.jsp . JSTOR is a not-for-profit service that helps scholars, researchers, and students discover, use, and build upon a wide range of content in a trusted digital archive. We use information technology and tools to increase productivity and facilitate new forms of scholarship. For more information about JSTOR, please contact [email protected]. Oxford University Press is collaborating with JSTOR to digitize, preserve and extend access to The Quarterly Journal of Economics. http://www.jstor.org This content downloaded from 216.164.44.3 on Wed, 9 Oct 2013 09:57:21 AM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions THE QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS Vol. CV May 1990 Issue 2 THE FAIR WAGE-EFFORT HYPOTHESIS AND UNEMPLOYMENT* GEORGE A. AKERLOF AND JANET L. YELLEN This paper introduces the fair wage-effort hypothesis and explores its implica- tions. This hypothesis is motivated by equity theory in social psychology and social exchange theory in sociology. According to the fair wage-effort hypothesis, workers proportionately withdraw effort as their actual wage falls short of their fair wage. Such behavior causes unemployment and is also consistent with observed cross- section wage differentials and unemployment patterns. -
Monetary Policy Rules and Macroeconomic Stability: Evidence and Some Theory*
MONETARY POLICY RULES AND MACROECONOMIC STABILITY: EVIDENCE AND SOME THEORY* RICHARD CLARIDA JORDI GALI´ MARK GERTLER We estimate a forward-looking monetary policy reaction function for the postwar United States economy, before and after Volcker’s appointment as Fed Chairman in 1979. Our results point to substantial differences in the estimated rule across periods. In particular, interest rate policy in the Volcker-Greenspan period appears to have been much more sensitive to changes in expected ination than in the pre-Volcker period. We then compare some of the implications of the estimated rules for the equilibrium properties of ination and output, using a simple macroeconomic model, and show that the Volcker-Greenspan rule is stabilizing. I. INTRODUCTION From the late 1960s through the early 1980s, the United States economy experienced high and volatile ination along with several severe recessions. Since the early 1980s, however, ina- tion has remained steadily low, while output growth has been relatively stable. Many economists cite supply shocks—and oil price shocks, in particular—as the main force underlying the instability of the earlier period. It is unlikely, however, that supply shocks alone could account for the observed differences between the two eras. For example, while jumps in the price of oil might help explain transitory periods of sharp increases in the general price level, it is not clear how they alone could explain persistent high ination in the absence of an accommodating monetary policy.1 Furthermore, as De Long {1997} argues, the onset of sustained high ination occurred prior to the oil crisis episodes. * We thank seminar participants at Universitat Pompeu Fabra, New York University, the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, University of Maryland, NBER Summer Institute, Universite´ de Toulouse, Bank of Spain, Harvard University, Bank of Mexico, Universitat de Girona, and the Federal Reserve Banks of Atlanta, New York, Richmond, Dallas, and Philadelphia, as well as two anonymous referees and two editors for useful comments. -
Richard T. Ely and Woodrow Wilson at “The Hopkins”
SUBSCRIBE NOW AND RECEIVE CRISIS AND LEVIATHAN* FREE! “The Independent Review does not accept “The Independent Review is pronouncements of government officials nor the excellent.” conventional wisdom at face value.” —GARY BECKER, Noble Laureate —JOHN R. MACARTHUR, Publisher, Harper’s in Economic Sciences Subscribe to The Independent Review and receive a free book of your choice* such as the 25th Anniversary Edition of Crisis and Leviathan: Critical Episodes in the Growth of American Government, by Founding Editor Robert Higgs. This quarterly journal, guided by co-editors Christopher J. Coyne, and Michael C. Munger, and Robert M. Whaples offers leading-edge insights on today’s most critical issues in economics, healthcare, education, law, history, political science, philosophy, and sociology. Thought-provoking and educational, The Independent Review is blazing the way toward informed debate! Student? Educator? Journalist? Business or civic leader? Engaged citizen? This journal is for YOU! *Order today for more FREE book options Perfect for students or anyone on the go! The Independent Review is available on mobile devices or tablets: iOS devices, Amazon Kindle Fire, or Android through Magzter. INDEPENDENT INSTITUTE, 100 SWAN WAY, OAKLAND, CA 94621 • 800-927-8733 • [email protected] PROMO CODE IRA1703 The Shaping of a Future President’s Economic Thought Richard T. Ely and Woodrow Wilson at “The Hopkins” F CLIFFORD F. THIES AND GARY M. PECQUET homas Woodrow Wilson (1856–1924) was the first and is still the only president oftheUnitedStatestoholdanearneddoctoraldegree.HisPh.D.wasawarded T by the Johns Hopkins University (“The Hopkins”) in 1886. He was also the president of an institution of higher education and, unique among U.S. -
High Frequency Identification of Monetary Non-Neutrality
NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES HIGH FREQUENCY IDENTIFICATION OF MONETARY NON-NEUTRALITY Emi Nakamura Jón Steinsson Working Paper 19260 http://www.nber.org/papers/w19260 NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH 1050 Massachusetts Avenue Cambridge, MA 02138 July 2013 We thank Matthieu Bellon, Vlad Bouchouev, Nicolas Crouzet, Jesse Garret and Shaowen Luo, for excellent research assistance. We thank Michael Abrahams, Tobias Adrian, Richard K. Crump, Matthias Fleckenstein, Michael Fleming, Refet Gurkaynak, Hanno Lustig, Emanuel Moench, and Eric Swanson for generously sharing data and programs with us. We thank Marco Bassetto, Gauti Eggertsson, Mark Gertler, Refet Gurkaynak, Samuel Hanson, Sophocles Mavroeidis, Emanuel Moench, Serena Ng, Roberto Rigobon, David Romer, Christoph Rothe, Eric Swanson, Michael Woodford, Jonathan Wright and seminar participants at various institutions for valuable comments and discussions. We thank the National Science Foundation (grant SES-1056107) and the Columbia Business School Dean’s Office Summer Research Assistance Program for financial support. The views expressed herein are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Bureau of Economic Research. NBER working papers are circulated for discussion and comment purposes. They have not been peer- reviewed or been subject to the review by the NBER Board of Directors that accompanies official NBER publications. © 2013 by Emi Nakamura and Jón Steinsson. All rights reserved. Short sections of text, not to exceed two paragraphs, may be quoted without explicit permission provided that full credit, including © notice, is given to the source. High Frequency Identification of Monetary Non-Neutrality Emi Nakamura and Jón Steinsson NBER Working Paper No. 19260 July 2013, Revised December 2013 JEL No. -
Targets and Lags in a Two-Equation Model of US Stabilization Policy
DEPARTMENT OF ECONOMICS WORKING PAPER SERIES Targets and Lags in a Two-Equation Model of US Stabilization Policy David Kiefer Working Paper No: 2011-03 August 2011 (revised November 2011) University of Utah Department of Economics 260 S. Central Campus Dr., Rm. 343 Tel: (801) 581-7481 Fax: (801) 585-5649 http://www.econ.utah.edu Targets and Lags in a Two-Equation Model of US Stabilization Policy David Kiefer * University of Utah November 2011 Abstract Carlin and Soskice (2005) advocate a 3-equation model of stabilization policy, the IS-PC-MR model. One of these is a monetary reaction rule MR derived by assuming that governments have performance objectives, but are constrained by a Phillips curve PC . Central banks attempt to implement these objectives by setting interest rates along an IS curve. We simplify their model to 2 equations ( PC and MR ), developing a state space econometric specification of this solution, and adding a random walk model of unobserved potential growth. This is an appropriate method because it incorporates recursive forecasts of unobservable state variables based on contemporaneous information measured with real-time data. Our results are generally consistent with US economic history. One qualification is that governments are more likely to target growth rates than output gaps. Another inference is that policy affects outcomes after a single lag. This assumption fits the data better than an alternative double-lag timing: one lag for output, plus a second for inflation has been proposed. We also infer that inflation expectations are more likely to be backward than forward looking. JEL codes: E3, E6 Keywords : new Keynesian stabilization, policy targets, real-time data * Department of Economics, 260 S. -
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FIRST QUARTER 2018 FEDERALFEDERAL RESERVE RESERVE BANK BANK OF OF RICHMOND RICHMOND Are Markets Too Concentrated? Industries are increasingly concentrated in the hands of fewer firms. But is that a bad thing? Do Entrepreneurs Pay Private Currency Interview with Jesús to be Entrepreneurs? Before Cryptocurrency Fernández-Villaverde VOLUME 23 NUMBER 1 FIRST QUARTER 2018 Econ Focus is the economics magazine of the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond. It covers economic issues affecting the Fifth Federal Reserve District and the nation and is published on a quarterly basis by the Bank’s Research Department. The Fifth District consists of the District of Columbia, Maryland, North Carolina, COVER STORY South Carolina, Virginia, 10 and most of West Virginia. Are Markets Too Concentrated? DIRECTOR OF RESEARCH Industries are increasingly concentrated in the hands Kartik Athreya of fewer firms. But is that a bad thing? EDITORIAL ADVISER Aaron Steelman EDITOR Renee Haltom FEATURES 14 SENIOR EDITOR David A. Price Paying for Success MANAGING EDITOR/DESIGN LEAD State and local governments are trying a new financing Kathy Constant model for social programs STAFF WRITERS Helen Fessenden Jessie Romero 17 Tim Sablik EDITORIAL ASSOCIATE Do Entrepreneurs Pay to Be Entrepreneurs? Lisa Kenney Some small-business owners are motivated more by CONTRIBUTORS Selena Carr values than financial gain Santiago Pinto Michael Stanley DESIGN Janin/Cliff Design, Inc. DEPARTMENTS 1 President’s Message/Taxes and the Fed Published quarterly by 2 Upfront/Regional News at a Glance -
1 April 2009 DAVID ROMER Department of Economics University of California Berkeley, California 94720-3880
April 2009 DAVID ROMER Department of Economics University of California Berkeley, California 94720-3880 (510) 642-1785 International Monetary Fund 700 19th St., N.W. Washington, D.C. 20431 (202) 623-7026 Current Positions Herman Royer Professor in Political Economy, University of California, Berkeley, 2000- present Senior Resident Scholar, International Monetary Fund, 2009-present Previous Positions University of California, Berkeley: Professor, 1993-2000 Associate Professor, 1990-1993 Acting Associate Professor, 1988-1990 Assistant Professor, Princeton University, 1985-1988 Visiting Professor, Stanford University, Fall Quarter, 1995 Visiting Associate Professor, Stanford University, Spring Quarter, 1993 Visiting Assistant Professor, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 1988 Visiting Scholar, National Bureau of Economic Research, 1987-1988 Junior Staff Economist, Council of Economic Advisers, 1980-1981 Education Ph.D., Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 1985 A.B., Princeton University, 1980 Honors, Fellowships, and Grants National Science Foundation Grants: SES-0550912 (Co-Principal Investigator with Christina D. Romer), 2006-2009 SBR-9911443 (Co-Principal Investigator with Christina D. Romer), 2000-2004 SBR-9422584 (Principal Investigator), 1995-1999 SES-9122325 (Co-Principal Investigator with Laurence Ball), 1992-1994 1 SES-9008977 (Principal Investigator), 1990-1992 SES-8707950 (Co-Principal Investigator with Laurence Ball), 1987-1989 Henry George Lecturer, University of Scranton, October 2007 Fellow, American Academy of Arts -
External Influence As an Indicator of Scholarly Importance
This may be the author’s version of a work that was submitted/accepted for publication in the following source: Chan, Ho Fai, Frey, Bruno, Gallus, Jana, Schaffner, Markus, Torgler, Benno,& Whyte, Stephen (2016) External influence as an indicator of scholarly importance. CESifo Economic Studies, 62(1), pp. 170-195. This file was downloaded from: https://eprints.qut.edu.au/84714/ c Consult author(s) regarding copyright matters This work is covered by copyright. Unless the document is being made available under a Creative Commons Licence, you must assume that re-use is limited to personal use and that permission from the copyright owner must be obtained for all other uses. If the docu- ment is available under a Creative Commons License (or other specified license) then refer to the Licence for details of permitted re-use. It is a condition of access that users recog- nise and abide by the legal requirements associated with these rights. If you believe that this work infringes copyright please provide details by email to [email protected] Notice: Please note that this document may not be the Version of Record (i.e. published version) of the work. Author manuscript versions (as Sub- mitted for peer review or as Accepted for publication after peer review) can be identified by an absence of publisher branding and/or typeset appear- ance. If there is any doubt, please refer to the published source. https://doi.org/10.1093/cesifo/ifv010 External Influence as an Indicator of Scholarly Importance Ho Fai Chan, Bruno S. Frey, Jana Gallus, Markus Schaffner, Benno Torgler, and Stephen Whyte Abstract: Although the external influence of scholars has usually been approximated by publication and citation count, the array of scholarly activities is far more extensive. -
Imperialism, Racism, and Fear of Democracy in Richard Ely's Progressivism
The Rot at the Heart of American Progressivism: Imperialism, Racism, and Fear of Democracy in Richard Ely's Progressivism Gerald Friedman Department of Economics University of Massachusetts at Amherst November 8, 2015 This is a sketch of my long overdue intellectual biography of Richard Ely. It has been way too long in the making and I have accumulated many more debts than I can acknowledge here. In particular, I am grateful to Katherine Auspitz, James Boyce, Bruce Laurie, Tami Ohler, and Jean-Christian Vinel, and seminar participants at Bard, Paris IV, Paris VII, and the Five College Social History Workshop. I am grateful for research assistance from Daniel McDonald. James Boyce suggested that if I really wanted to write this book then I would have done it already. And Debbie Jacobson encouraged me to prioritize so that I could get it done. 1 The Ely problem and the problem of American progressivism The problem of American Exceptionalism arose in the puzzle of the American progressive movement.1 In the wake of the Revolution, Civil War, Emancipation, and radical Reconstruction, no one would have characterized the United States as a conservative polity. The new Republican party took the United States through bloody war to establish a national government that distributed property to settlers, established a national fiat currency and banking system, a progressive income tax, extensive program of internal improvements and nationally- funded education, and enacted constitutional amendments establishing national citizenship and voting rights for all men, and the uncompensated emancipation of the slave with the abolition of a social system that had dominated a large part of the country.2 Nor were they done.