Key Messages Rural Isolation Stratford-On-Avon District
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Produced by the Insight Service, July 2017 Rural Isolation Across South Warwickshire Districts Key Messages Rural & Urban Rural Population The Eleven Rural Isolation Lower Super Output Areas Age Breakdown Indicators Stratford-on-Avon District population living in Eleven indicators have been identified and agreed by the Lower Super Output Areas (LSOAs) across rural LSOAs: 96,870 working group, representing different aspects of social exclusion South Warwickshire for those deemed to be rurally isolated. 159 Under 18 18,415 18 - 24 5,744 Access to Car / Van – percentage of households of Stratford-on-Avon District’s LSOAs are 1 without access to a car/van classified as rural (59 out of 73) 25 - 34 7,914 81% Road distance to a Post Office (km) – average road 2 distance to a Post Office 35 - 44 10,857 of Warwick District’s LSOAs are classified as Road distance to a GP Premises (km) – average road 45 - 54 15,352 3 16% rural (14 out of 86) distance to a GP 55 - 64 13,596 Road Distance to a Food Store (km) – average road 4 distance to a Food Store Rural & Urban 65 + 24,992 Road Distance to a Primary School (km) – average Population Breakdown 5 road distance to a Primary School Rural Population Stratford-on-Avon District Warwick District People on Income Support - number of claimants Gender Breakdown 6 (proportion of population aged 16 years plus) 23,622 The gender split for the population living in rural People in receipt of Disability Living Allowance (DLA) - number 7 of claimants aged under 69 years (proportion of population LSOAs is: aged 0 – 69 years) Households in Fuel Poverty – Proportion of 8 households which are fuel poor (%) 96,870 People in receipt of Pension Credits – number of 9 claimants - proportion of population aged 60 years+ 79.7% of Stratford-on-Avon 16.8% of Warwick District’s population live in District’s population live People in receipt of Attendance Allowance - number of claimants rural LSOAs in rural LSOAs 10 (proportion of population aged 65 years plus) 261,453 people live in South Warwickshire, of which 120,492 live within the rural LSOAs of both Stratford-on-Avon and 49% 51% 11 Income Deprivation measure Warwick Districts. Produced by the Insight Service, July 2017 Rural Isolation Across Stratford-on-Avon District Focus Key Messages Stratford-on-Avon District Population Projections The 2016 mid-year population estimates have recently been released by ONS and reveal that Stratford-on-Avon District is home to 122,276 people. The chart below shows the predicted population growth for the 65 and over population using ONS’s 2014 population projection figures for the district. 50,000 51% Total Population Aged 65+ Stratford-on-Avon District is Stratford-on-Avon District estimated to see an increase in its aged 65+ population of 51% by 2039. 40,000 47% The male population is expected 30,000 to see the highest level of growth in the district - 47% for Female Population Aged 65+ those aged 65+ by 2039. 20,000 43% Male Population Aged 65+ The female population aged 65+ is expected to grow by 43% in the district by 2039. 10,000 Population (thousands) 0 2016 2020 2025 2030 2035 2039 Source: Office for National Statistics Produced by the Insight Service, July 2017 Rural Isolation Across South Warwickshire Districts Key Messages Top 10 Rural LSOAs in Top 10 Rural LSOAs in South Warwickshire South Warwickshire - Ranking Map The overall rank of LSOAs which are deemed to be the most rurally isolated using the eleven The darkest colours on the map represent the most rurally isolated areas while indicators are presented in the table below. The worst performing LSOA for the eleven indicators the paler colours show those that are considered the least isolated. is ranked as number 1. The top ten areas are all located in Stratford-on-Avon District. Overall Rank Lower Super Output Area (LSOA) District 1 Long Itchington East Stratford-on-Avon Kenilworth 2 Kineton Castle, Lt. Kineton & Combrook Stratford-on-Avon Leamington 3 Wellesbourne West Stratford-on-Avon Warwick 4 Bidford East, Waterloo & Broom Stratford-on-Avon 5 Henley East & Beaudesert Stratford-on-Avon Alcester Stratford Town 6 Studley South Stratford-on-Avon 7 Alcester North & Conway Stratford-on-Avon 8 Long Compton Stratford-on-Avon 9 Deppers Bridge, Chester & Kings Stratford-on-Avon 10 Alcester East & Island Stratford-on-Avon The most isolated LSOA is Long Itchington East; however the data shows that it does not feature particularly highly for any individual indicator. The worst ranking is for the number of households where people are claiming Income Support benefits (ranks 10th) and the number of households where people are receiving Attendance Allowance (ranks 11th). © Crown Copyright and database right 2017. Ordnance Survey 100019520 Produced by the Insight Service, July 2017 Rural Isolation Across Stratford-on-Avon District Focus Key Messages Ranking Table & Heat Map The top ten areas are ranked below for each indicator, where 1 is the worst performing and 73 is the best performing LSOA. The LSOA ranks for each of the 11 indicators are then summed to determine the highest and lowest scoring LSOAs. Indicator 1 Indicator 2 Indicator 3 Indicator 4 Indicator 5 Indicator 6 Indicator 7 Indicator 8 Indicator 9 Indicator 10 Indicator 11 Indicator Ranking Without Road Road Road Road Income Disability Fuel Pension Attendance Income by Lower Super Access to Distance to Distance Distance Distance Support Living Poverty Credits Allowance Deprivation Output Area Car/Van Post Oce to GP to Food to Primary Allowance Store School 1 Long Itchington East 12 36 18 32 60 10 16 28 17 11 16 Kineton Castle, Lt. 11 49 63 44 9 2 Kineton& Combrook 44 18 13 7 5 9 3 Wellesbourne West 17 38 41 38 9 13 9 67 14 15 11 Bidford East, Waterloo 4 & Broom 19 47 55 34 47 6 4 52 8 7 5 Henley East 5 & Beaudesert 7 43 62 53 52 11 3 43 2 9 4 6 Studley South 6 46 58 70 65 2 2 37 5 2 1 Alcester North 7 & Conway 2 34 59 49 73 1 1 59 1 12 3 8 Long Compton 49 8 1 1 6 57 54 3 39 50 27 Deppers Bridge, 9 Chester & Kings 20 39 37 31 35 12 10 25 22 53 17 Alcester East 10 & Island 1 42 72 63 54 8 6 47 4 6 2 Produced by the Insight Service, July 2017 Rural Isolation Across Stratford-on-Avon District Focus Key Messages Number 1 - Long Itchington Ranks Long Itchington East LSOA ranks 10th for the indicator that East LSOA measures people claiming income support with 1.1% of people aged 10 10th over 16 resident in the LSOA claiming the benefit. Claimants of income support Ranks Long Itchington East LSOA ranks in 11th place for the indicator that measures people claiming attendance allowance with 15.7% 40 11th of eligible people in the LSOA claiming the benefit. Households are claiming attendance allowance Ranks Long Itchington East LSOA ranks 12th for the indicator which measures access to a car or van with 15.4% of households stating 69 12th that they do not have access to either. Households with no access to a car or van Ranks Long Itchington East LSOA ranks 16th for the indicator which measures income deprivation. It is the 21st most deprived LSOA 19,374 16th for income deprivation out of the 73 LSOAs in Stratford District. UK ranking - where 1 is most deprived Ranks Long Itchington East LSOA ranks 16th for the indicator that measures disability living allowance with 3.2% of eligible people claiming the 30 16th benefit. Households are claiming disability living allowance Ranked where 1 is the worst performing Ranks Long Itchington East LSOA ranks 17th for the indicator that measures and 73 is the best performing LSOA people claiming pension credits with 9.6% of eligible people claiming 30 17th the benefit. Households are claiming LSOA Mosaic Profile pension credits Largest Groups G Rural Reality 71% Ranks Long Itchington East LSOA ranks 18th for the indicator that measures road distance to a GP. The average distance to a GP for a property in 4.5km Country Living 25% Long Itchington East LSOA ranks 12th for the indicator which measures access to a car or van with 15.4% of households stating that A they do not have access to either. 18th the LSOA is 4.5km. Average distance to a GP for a property Produced by the Insight Service, July 2017 Rural Isolation Across Stratford-on-Avon District Focus Key Messages Number 2 - Kineton Castle, Lt. Ranks Kineton Castle, Lt. Kineton & Combrook LSOA ranks in 5th place for Kineton & Combrook LSOA the indicator that measures people claiming attendance allowance 65 5th with 20.2% of people aged over 65 claiming the allowance. Households are claiming attendance allowance Ranks Kineton Castle, Lt. Kineton & Combrook LSOA ranks 7th for the indicator which measures the proportion of households which are 129 7th fuel poor with 21.0% of households in the LSOA being in poverty. Households are considered fuel poor Ranks Kineton Castle, Lt. Kineton & Combrook LSOA ranks 9th for the indicator that measures people in receipt of pension credits with 55 9th 13.7% of eligible people claiming benefits. Households are claiming pension credits Ranked where 1 is the worst performing and 73 is the best performing LSOA Ranks Kineton Castle, Lt. Kineton & Combrook LSOA ranks 9th for the indicator which measures income deprivation. 14,189 LSOA Mosaic Profile 9th UK ranking - where 1 is Largest Groups most deprived G Rural Reality 38% Kineton Castle, Lt.