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Genetic drift (or random sampling error) can change allele frequencies! consider ENTIRE (ideal) population! = 50 = 0.5! = 50 = 0.5! SAMPLES from population! TRUE allele frequencies in the population! = 3 = 0.3! = 6 = 0.6! = 7 = 0.7! = 4 = 0.4! Equivalent to the theoretical expectation! in an infinite population! = 8 = 0.8! = 4 = 0.4! = 2 = 0.2! = 6 = 0.6! Small samples are LESS likely to = 7 = 0.7! = 5 = 0.5! match with theoretical expectation! = 3 = 0.3! = 5 = 0.5! Random walks... describe fluctuations in the frequencies of alleles that are neutral with respect to fitness! demes ! Over generations, random sampling error occurs...! During each generation, the large number of zygotes produced is reduced (via mortality that is random with respect to fitness) to some number of breeding individuals! – allele frequencies change (drift) –! What happens to the frequencies of p and q over the long term...?! Alleles drift to fixation in each deme. ! Which allele gets fixed...?! The theory of genetic drift laid out by Sewell Wright during the 1930s and 1940s. Taken up by Motoo Kimura in the 1950s.! Natural selection & genetic drift are the 2 most important causes of evolutionary change in populations. ! The relative importance of each remains controversial.! Genetic drift as a null hypothesis... All alleles @ all loci are subject to genetic drift. The same cannot be said for natural selection.! Evolution by genetic drift...! (1)! Allele frequencies fluctuate at random within a population & eventually one (or another) allele will be fixed.! (2)! The magnitude of change is inversely related to the size of the sample; drift is stronger in smaller samples.! (3)! Drift is NOT repeatable. Different samples from identical populations will differ from one another.! Consequences of genetic drift...! (1)! Short term: random fluctuations lead to fixation of alleles! (2)! Long term: loss of GV, decline of heterozygosity, increase in the variance among populations! (3)! Evolutionary change occurs as the result of genetic drift, but genetic drift cannot produce adaptation! Probability of fixation! 1.0 0.8 (1)! Population size! Frequency 0.6 of Higher probability of fixation in allele A1 0.4 smaller populations.! 0.2 In a diploid population, the average time to fixation for a novel, neutral allele that 0.0 DOES become fixed is 4N generations.! 0 100 200 300 400 500 Generation N = 10! N = 10,000! (40 generations)! (40,000 generations)! … can be a LONG time if populations are large! Probability of fixation! 1.0 0.8 Frequency 0.6 of allele A1 (2)! Allele frequency! 0.4 The probability that a particular 0.2 allele will fix in a population is 0.0 equal to its initial frequency in 0 100 200 300 400 500 Generation the population (Box 6.3).! initial number ! At any time, a particular allele’s of copies of allele! probability of fixation is equal to its total number! frequency at that time.! of alleles in ! population! Within populations there is a decline in heterozygosity over time.! 1.0 heterozygosity in next generation! 0.8 Frequency 0.6 of genotype A1A2 0.4 0.2 heterozygosity in number individuals 0 100 200 300 400 500 current generation! 0.0 (N) in a population! Generation Allele A2 is lost Allele A1 is lost Heterozygosity Generation Empirical evidence for genetic drift ! Drosophila, Buri (1956)! •! 107 populations of flies (8 females & 8 males)! •! All flies were heterozygotes (bw75/bw)! •! Maintained 107 populations for 19 generations, keeping total size equal across generations.! 107 0 1 0 1 Generation 1! 107 0 1 19th generation! 30 0 1 50 km! Historic! Contemporary! Heterozygosity! Allelic richness! Difference between historical and contemporary populations! was GREATER for small compared to large populations! Natural history of genetic drift ! (1)! Small populations! e.g., !naturally small populations (ephemeral pools ! !or edaphic specialists)! !species introductions (founder effects)! Bufo punctatus! Founder effects - the loss of genetic diversity following the establishment of a new population by a few individuals! Natural populations! When we describe the genetic structure of natural populations, the data usually are not based on experimental manipulations, nor do we know the history of the populations, but...! we can infer the causes of evolution (e.g., genetic drift or selection) by interpreting the patterns of variation that we observe.! Molecular variation @ 2 loci in Mus musculus! 42 populations of mice from widely separated barns in TX! !– small & large populations – ! Mean allele frequency & variance among populations! Natural history of genetic drift ! (2)! Effective population size < actual population size! e.g., !sexually immature individuals! !restrictive sexual systems! !skewed sex ratios! !population size fluctuations! What is population size?! !Ecological sense, count # individuals! What is population size?! !Evolutionary sense, what matters is the number that contribute ! ! !genes to the next generation! (= every individual reproduces)! effective population size, Ne! … the number of individuals in an ideal population in which the rate of genetic drift would be the same as it is in the actual population.! 1) !Equal numbers of males and females! 2) !No sexual or natural selection (i.e., all individuals have an equal probability of contributing gametes to next generation)! 3) !Population size remains the same in each generation! Effective population size, Ne! Breeding structure of population! !number of sexually mature individuals! !unequal sex ratios! Unequal variance in mating! 8N restrictive sexual systems that limit Ne " individuals from mating! Vm +Vf + 4 Population fluctuations in size! ! Natural history of genetic drift ! (1)! Small populations! e.g., !naturally small populations (ephemeral pools ! !or edaphic specialists)! !species introductions (founder effects)! (2)! Effective population size < actual population size! e.g., !sexually immature individuals! !restrictive sexual systems! !skewed sex ratios! !population size fluctuations! (3)! When historically large populations are reduced in size! e.g., !bottlenecks or habitat fragmentation! Population bottlenecks - !the loss of genetic diversity following a !reduction in population size! Northern elephant seal, Mirounga angustirostris! •!historically distributed along Pacific coast (NA); > 150,000 seals! •! 1800’s hunted almost to extinction (by 1890, < 20 individuals)! •!recovery efforts began 1900’s! •!current population ca. 100,000 individuals, but...! Hoelzel et al. (1993 J Heredity 84:443)! 41 allozyme loci, 67 individuals, 2 locations ! Bonnell & Selander (1974 Science 184:908)! 24 allozyme loci sampled in 159 individuals across 5 populations ! ~ all loci monomorphic ! Population bottlenecks - !the loss of genetic diversity following a !reduction in population size! Southern elephant seal, Mirounga leonina! Gales et al. (1989 Mar Mammal Sci 5:57)! 35 allozyme loci sampled! 196 individuals from 2 islands ! 25K 20K 15K 1810-20! 1940! 1962! 1994! 10K 5K ESTIMATED POPULATION SIZE POPULATION ESTIMATED 0 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 YEAR 1.! Controlled pollinations to assess the compatibility status for two African species, Lycium ferocissimum and L. pumilum 2.! Investigate S-RNase allelic diversity (present day: genotypes of individuals and long-term: trans-generic lineages) 3.! Explore patterns of molecular evolution at the S-RNase locus Molecular systematics of tribe Lycieae (Solanaceae) 4th largest group in family (~85 spp.) •! Long-lived, woody shrubs •! Drought, salt tolerant •! Three genera in Lycieae •! Worldwide distribution Lycium (~80 species) Taxon sampling ~88% of species 72 Lycieae (all 3 genera) 89 taxa total Nolana, Sclerophylax, Jaborosa (outgroups) GBSSI (waxy) Aligned length = 1968 bp ML analysis TVM + I -lnL = 6589.81 200 ML bootstrap replicates Levin & Miller (2005) Am J Bot Levin et al. (2007) Acta Hort Biogeography A single dispersal event to the Old World Originated in So. America Josh Shak ‘06 Dispersal to No. America Julian Damashek ‘09 Subsequent movement between the Americas Self-incompatibility is widespread among angiosperms and is well established as a mechanism to avoid inbreeding depression. Gametophytic S-RNase based SI •! Two genes: pistil (S-RNase gene); pollen (SLF gene) When the haploid genotype of the pollen matches either of the two S-RNases expressed in the pistil of the maternal parent, pollen tube growth is terminated. •! Heterozygosity of individuals •! High allelic diversity within populations & species •! Long-term persistence of alleles (i.e., trans-generic polymorphism) CLASSIC case of negative frequency dependence Species Trans-generic lineage (TGL) defined as the smallest clade that includes an S-RNase from your group of phylogeny interest and an S-RNase from another group S-RNase gene genealogy Lycium! 30 MYA Petunia! Petunia! Petunia! Solanum Interpretation is that the allelic lineage predates the Petunia! divergence of the genera (e.g., Solanum and Lycium) S-RNase gene (~370 bp) 9 S-RNases Lycium cestroides (C1-C9) 11 S-RNases Lycium (5 spp.) 10 S-RNases Solanaceae (6 spp.) Trans-generic lineage (TGL) ML analysis defined as the smallest clade that TVM + I + G includes an S-RNase from Lycium -lnL = 7063.09 cestroides & an S-RNase from another genus 50 ML bootstrap searches Alleles are OLDER than the species in which they reside Petunia & Lycium ~ 40 MYA Lycium & Solanum ~ 30 MYA Species Grabowskia obtusa (Bianchi et al. 2001) phylogeny Lycium pallidum (Miller & Venable 2002) GBSSI (~2000 bp) ML analysis TVM + I Self-incompatibility has been documented
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