The pyrogeography of eastern boreal Canada from 1901 to 2012 simulated with the LPJ-LMfire model Emeline Chaste1,2, Martin P. Girardin1,3, Jed O. Kaplan4,5,6, Jeanne Portier1, Yves Bergeron1,7, Christelle Hély2,7 5 1Département des Sciences Biologiques, Université du Québec à Montréal and Centre for Forest Research, Case postale 8888, Succursale Centre-ville, Montréal, QC H3C 3P8, Canada 2EPHE, PSL Research University, ISEM, Univ. Montpellier, CNRS, IRD, CIRAD, INRAP, UMR 5554, F-34095 Montpellier, FRANCE 3Natural Resources Canada, Canadian Forest Service, Laurentian Forestry Centre, 1055 du PEPS, P.O. Box 10380, Stn. Sainte- 10 Foy, Québec, QC G1V 4C7, Canada 4ARVE Research SARL, 1009 Pully, Switzerland 5Max Planck Institute for the Science of Human History, 07743 Jena, Germany 6Environmental Change Institute, School of Geography and the Environment, University of Oxford, OX1 3QY, UK 7Forest Research Institute, Université du Québec en Abitibi-Témiscamingue, 445 boul. de l’Université, Rouyn-Noranda, QC 15 J9X 5E4, Canada Correspondence to: Emeline Chaste (
[email protected]) Abstract. Wildland fires are the main natural disturbance shaping forest structure and composition in eastern boreal Canada. On average, more than 700,000 ha of forest burn annually, and causes as much as C$2.9 million worth of damage. Although we know that occurrence of fires depends upon the coincidence of favourable conditions for fire ignition, propagation and fuel 20 availability, the interplay between these three drivers in shaping spatiotemporal patterns of fires in eastern Canada remains to be evaluated. The goal of this study was to reconstruct the spatiotemporal patterns of fire activity during the last century in eastern Canada’s boreal forest as a function of changes in lightning ignition, climate and vegetation.