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Seychelles-Tna-Mitigation-231017.Pdf Republic of Seychelles TECHNOLOGY NEEDS ASSESSMENT REPORT - MITIGATION [14 February 2017] SEYCHELLES TECHNOLOGY NEEDS ASSESSMENT REPORT – MITIGATION AUTHORS Prakash (Sanju) Deenapanray, TNA Team Leader (Chapters 1, 2 and 5, and edited Chapters 3 and 4) Andrew Jean Louis, Mitigation Expert (Chapter 3, Chapter 4 and Chapter 5) REVIEWERS Bothwell Batidzirai (Energy Research Centre, University of Cape Town); Gordon Mackenzie (UNEP DTU Partnership, Denmark); Vincent Amelie (Seychelles Meteorological Authority, Seychelles); Valentina Barra (Department of Transport, Seychelles) TO BE CITED AS Government of Seychelles. (2016) Seychelles Technology Needs Assessment Report – Mitigation: Ministry of Environment, Energy and Climate Change, Seychelles. This publication is an output of the Technology Needs Assessment project, funded by the Global Environment Facility (GEF) and implemented by the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) and the UNEP DTU Partnership (UDP) in collaboration with the Regional Centre Energy Research Centre, University of Cape Town. The views expressed in this publication are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of UNEP DTU Partnership, UNEP or Ministry of Environment, Energy and Climate Change. We regret any errors or omissions that may have been unwittingly made. This publication may be reproduced in whole or in part and in any form for educational or non-profit services without special permission from the copyright holder, provided acknowledgement of the source is made. No use of this publication may be made for resale or any other commercial purpose whatsoever without prior permission in writing from the UNEP DTU Partnership. 2 Contents Contents ....................................................................................................................................................... 3 List of Figures ............................................................................................................................................... 4 List of Tables ................................................................................................................................................ 4 Acknowledgements ..................................................................................................................................... 5 List of Acronyms........................................................................................................................................... 6 Executive Summary ..................................................................................................................................... 9 Chapter 1 Introduction .............................................................................................................................. 11 1.1 About the TNA project .................................................................................................................................... 11 1.2 Existing national policies on climate change mitigation and development priorities ...................................... 12 1.3 Sector selection................................................................................................................................................ 16 1.3.1 An overview of sectors, projected climate change, and GHG emissions status and trends of the different sectors .............................................................................................................................................. 16 1.3.2 Process and results of sector selection .................................................................................................. 28 Chapter 2 Institutional arrangement for the TNA and the stakeholder involvement ................................. 32 2.1 National TNA team ......................................................................................................................................... 32 2.2 Stakeholder Engagement Process followed in the TNA – Overall assessment ................................................ 33 Chapter 3 Technology prioritisation for the Power Sector ....................................................................... 34 3.1 GHG emissions and existing technologies of the power sector ....................................................................... 34 3.2 Decision context .............................................................................................................................................. 35 3.3 An overview of possible mitigation technology options in Power Sector and their mitigation potential and other co-benefits .................................................................................................................................................... 37 3.4 Criteria and process of technology prioritisation for the power sector ............................................................ 47 3.5 Results of technology prioritisation for the power sector ................................................................................ 49 Chapter 4 Technology prioritisation for land transport sector ................................................................. 51 4.1 GHG emissions and existing technologies in the transport sector ................................................................... 51 4.2 Decision context .............................................................................................................................................. 52 4.3 An overview of possible mitigation technology options in land transport and their mitigation potential and other co-benefits .................................................................................................................................................... 55 4.4 Criteria and process of technology prioritisation for land transport sector ...................................................... 64 4.5 Results of technology prioritisation for transport sector .................................................................................. 65 Chapter 5 Summary and Conclusions ....................................................................................................... 68 5.1 Power Sector ................................................................................................................................................... 68 5.2 Transport Sector .............................................................................................................................................. 69 List of References ....................................................................................................................................... 71 Annex I: The NCCS Action Plan ................................................................................................................... 73 Annex II: Grid Emission Factor ................................................................................................................... 78 Annex III: List of stakeholders involved and their contacts ........................................................................ 82 Annex IV: Technology Factsheets for prioritised technologies .................................................................. 85 Annex V: MCA calculators .......................................................................................................................... 99 3 List of Figures Figure 1. SWOT matrix on the adaptation capacity of the Seychelles. ................................................ 13 Figure 2. CO 2 emissions by sector in 2000. ......................................................................................... 18 Figure 3. Electricity demand to 2035 under different scenarios. .......................................................... 19 Figure 4. CO 2 emission reductions from EE and RE targets in the power sector. ............................... 20 Figure 5. CO 2 emission reductions (ktCO 2 ) from EE and RE targets relative to the Reference scenario. ................................................................................................................................................ 21 Figure 6. Trend and projections in GHG emissions (tCO 2e ) in the industrial sub-sector for the baseline and mitigation scenarios. ...................................................................................................................... 25 Figure 7. Emission of methane from the old landfill. ........................................................................... 25 Figure 8. Cumulative emission reductions from landfill gas capture: 2012-2030. ............................... 26 Figure 9. Projected GHG emissions and sink under business as usual scenarios. ................................ 26 Figure 10. Impact of the Seychelles INDC on its net emissions profile. .............................................. 27 Figure 11. Institutional arrangement for the TNA project in Seychelles. ............................................. 32 Figure 12. Coverage of load by all renewables for the whole of Seychelles according to different scenarios. ............................................................................................................................................... 40 Figure 13. Breakdown of registered vehicles by type of vehicle, 2014. ............................................... 52 List of Tables Table 1. Renewable energy and energy efficiency targets in the power and transport sectors. ............ 14 Table 2. Strategic orientations
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