Study of the Fractality in a Magnetohydrodynamic Shell Model Forced by Solar Wind fluctuations
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→ Investigating Solar Cycles a Soho Archive & Ulysses Final Archive Tutorial
→ INVESTIGATING SOLAR CYCLES A SOHO ARCHIVE & ULYSSES FINAL ARCHIVE TUTORIAL SCIENCE ARCHIVES AND VO TEAM Tutorial Written By: Madeleine Finlay, as part of an ESAC Trainee Project 2013 (ESA Student Placement) Tutorial Design and Layout: Pedro Osuna & Madeleine Finlay Tutorial Science Support: Deborah Baines Acknowledgements would like to be given to the whole SAT Team for the implementation of the Ulysses and Soho archives http://archives.esac.esa.int We would also like to thank; Benjamín Montesinos, Department of Astrophysics, Centre for Astrobiology (CAB, CSIC-INTA), Madrid, Spain for having reviewed and ratified the scientific concepts in this tutorial. CONTACT [email protected] [email protected] ESAC Science Archives and Virtual Observatory Team European Space Agency European Space Astronomy Centre (ESAC) Tutorial → CONTENTS PART 1 ....................................................................................................3 BACKGROUND ..........................................................................................4-5 THE EXPERIMENT .......................................................................................6 PART 1 | SECTION 1 .................................................................................7-8 PART 1 | SECTION 2 ...............................................................................9-11 PART 2 ..................................................................................................12 BACKGROUND ........................................................................................13-14 -
Level and Length of Cyclic Solar Activity During the Maunder Minimum As Deduced from the Active-Day Statistics
A&A 577, A71 (2015) Astronomy DOI: 10.1051/0004-6361/201525962 & c ESO 2015 Astrophysics Level and length of cyclic solar activity during the Maunder minimum as deduced from the active-day statistics J. M. Vaquero1,G.A.Kovaltsov2,I.G.Usoskin3, V. M. S. Carrasco4, and M. C. Gallego4 1 Departamento de Física, Universidad de Extremadura, 06800 Mérida, Spain 2 Ioffe Physical-Technical Institute, 194021 St. Petersburg, Russia 3 Sodankylä Geophysical Observatory and ReSoLVE Center of Excellence, University of Oulu, 90014 Oulu, Finland e-mail: [email protected] 4 Departamento de Física, Universidad de Extremadura, 06071 Badajoz, Spain Received 25 February 2015 / Accepted 25 March 2015 ABSTRACT Aims. The Maunder minimum (MM) of greatly reduced solar activity took place in 1645–1715, but the exact level of sunspot activity is uncertain because it is based, to a large extent, on historical generic statements of the absence of spots on the Sun. Using a conservative approach, we aim to assess the level and length of solar cycle during the MM on the basis of direct historical records by astronomers of that time. Methods. A database of the active and inactive days (days with and without recorded sunspots on the solar disc) is constructed for three models of different levels of conservatism (loose, optimum, and strict models) regarding generic no-spot records. We used the active day fraction to estimate the group sunspot number during the MM. Results. A clear cyclic variability is found throughout the MM with peaks at around 1655–1657, 1675, 1684, 1705, and possibly 1666, with the active-day fraction not exceeding 0.2, 0.3, or 0.4 during the core MM, for the three models. -
Predicting Maximum Sunspot Number in Solar Cycle 24 Nipa J Bhatt
J. Astrophys. Astr. (2009) 30, 71–77 Predicting Maximum Sunspot Number in Solar Cycle 24 Nipa J Bhatt1,∗, Rajmal Jain2 & Malini Aggarwal2 1C. U. Shah Science College, Ashram Road, Ahmedabad 380 014, India. 2Physical Research Laboratory, Navrangpura, Ahmedabad 380 009, India. ∗e-mail: [email protected] Received 2008 November 22; accepted 2008 December 23 Abstract. A few prediction methods have been developed based on the precursor technique which is found to be successful for forecasting the solar activity. Considering the geomagnetic activity aa indices during the descending phase of the preceding solar cycle as the precursor, we predict the maximum amplitude of annual mean sunspot number in cycle 24 to be 111 ± 21. This suggests that the maximum amplitude of the upcoming cycle 24 will be less than cycles 21–22. Further, we have estimated the annual mean geomagnetic activity aa index for the solar maximum year in cycle 24 to be 20.6 ± 4.7 and the average of the annual mean sunspot num- ber during the descending phase of cycle 24 is estimated to be 48 ± 16.8. Key words. Sunspot number—precursor prediction technique—geo- magnetic activity index aa. 1. Introduction Predictions of solar and geomagnetic activities are important for various purposes, including the operation of low-earth orbiting satellites, operation of power grids on Earth, and satellite communication systems. Various techniques, namely, even/odd behaviour, precursor, spectral, climatology, recent climatology, neural networks have been used in the past for the prediction of solar activity. Many investigators (Ohl 1966; Kane 1978, 2007; Thompson 1993; Jain 1997; Hathaway & Wilson 2006) have used the ‘precursor’ technique to forecast the solar activity. -
Solar Orbiter and Sentinels
HELEX: Heliophysical Explorers: Solar Orbiter and Sentinels Report of the Joint Science and Technology Definition Team (JSTDT) PRE-PUBLICATION VERSION 1 Contents HELEX Joint Science and Technology Definition Team .................................................................. 3 Executive Summary ................................................................................................................................. 4 1.0 Introduction ........................................................................................................................................ 6 1.1 Heliophysical Explorers (HELEX): Solar Orbiter and the Inner Heliospheric Sentinels ........ 7 2.0 Science Objectives .............................................................................................................................. 8 2.1 What are the origins of the solar wind streams and the heliospheric magnetic field? ............. 9 2.2 What are the sources, acceleration mechanisms, and transport processes of solar energetic particles? ........................................................................................................................................ 13 2.3 How do coronal mass ejections evolve in the inner heliosphere? ............................................. 16 2.4 High-latitude-phase science ......................................................................................................... 19 3.0 Measurement Requirements and Science Implementation ........................................................ 20 -
Lectures 6, 7 and 8 October 8, 10 and 13 the Heliosphere
ESSESS 77 LecturesLectures 6,6, 77 andand 88 OctoberOctober 8,8, 1010 andand 1313 TheThe HeliosphereHeliosphere The Exploding Sun • We have seen that at times the Sun explosively sends plasma into the surrounding space. • This occurs most dramatically during CMEs. The History of the Solar Wind • 1878 Becquerel (won Noble prize for his discovery of radioactivity) suggests particles from the Sun were responsible for aurora • 1892 Fitzgerald (famous Irish Mathematician) suggests corpuscular radiation (from flares) is responsible for magnetic storms The Sun’s Atmosphere Extends far into Space 2008 Image 1919 Negative The Sun’s Atmosphere Extends Far into Space • The image of the solar corona in the last slide was taken with a natural occulting disk – the moon’s shadow. • The moon’s shadow subtends the surface of the Sun. • That the Sun had a atmosphere that extends far into space has been know for centuries- we are actually seeing sunlight scattered off of electrons. A Solar Wind not a Stationary Atmosphere • The Earth’s atmosphere is stationary. The Sun’s atmosphere is not stable but is blown out into space as the solar wind filling the solar system and then some. • The first direct measurements of the solar wind were in the 1960’s but it had already been suggested in the early 1900s. – To explain a correlation between auroras and sunspots Birkeland [1908] suggested continuous particle emission from these spots. – Others suggested that particles were emitted from the Sun only during flares and that otherwise space was empty [Chapman and Ferraro, 1931]. Discovery of the Solar Wind • That it is continuously expelled as a wind (the solar wind) was realized when Biermann [1951] noticed that comet tails pointed away from the Sun even when the comet was moving away from the Sun. -
Can You Spot the Sunspots?
Spot the Sunspots Can you spot the sunspots? Description Use binoculars or a telescope to identify and track sunspots. You’ll need a bright sunny day. Age Level: 10 and up Materials • two sheets of bright • Do not use binoculars whose white paper larger, objective lenses are 50 • a book mm or wider in diameter. • tape • Binoculars are usually described • binoculars or a telescope by numbers like 7 x 35; the larger • tripod number is the diameter in mm of • pencil the objective lenses. • piece of cardboard, • Some binoculars cannot be easily roughly 30 cm x 30 cm attached to a tripod. • scissors • You might need to use rubber • thick piece of paper, roughly bands or tape to safely hold the 10 cm x 10 cm (optional) binoculars on the tripod. • rubber bands (optional) Time Safety Preparation: 5 minutes Do not look directly at the sun with your eyes, Activity: 15 minutes through binoculars, or through a telescope! Do not Cleanup: 5 minutes leave binoculars or a telescope unattended, since the optics can be damaged by too much Sun exposure. 1 If you’re using binoculars, cover one of the objective (larger) lenses with either a lens cap or thick piece of folded paper (use tape, attached to the body of the binoculars, to hold the paper in position). If using a telescope, cover the finderscope the same way. This ensures that only a single image of the Sun is created. Next, tape one piece of paper to a book to make a stiff writing surface. If using binoculars, trace both of the larger, objective lenses in the middle of the piece of cardboard. -
The 2015 Senior Review of the Heliophysics Operating Missions
The 2015 Senior Review of the Heliophysics Operating Missions June 11, 2015 Submitted to: Steven Clarke, Director Heliophysics Division, Science Mission Directorate Jeffrey Hayes, Program Executive for Missions Operations and Data Analysis Submitted by the 2015 Heliophysics Senior Review panel: Arthur Poland (Chair), Luca Bertello, Paul Evenson, Silvano Fineschi, Maura Hagan, Charles Holmes, Randy Jokipii, Farzad Kamalabadi, KD Leka, Ian Mann, Robert McCoy, Merav Opher, Christopher Owen, Alexei Pevtsov, Markus Rapp, Phil Richards, Rodney Viereck, Nicole Vilmer. i Executive Summary The 2015 Heliophysics Senior Review panel undertook a review of 15 missions currently in operation in April 2015. The panel found that all the missions continue to produce science that is highly valuable to the scientific community and that they are an excellent investment by the public that funds them. At the top level, the panel finds: • NASA’s Heliophysics Division has an excellent fleet of spacecraft to study the Sun, heliosphere, geospace, and the interaction between the solar system and interstellar space as a connected system. The extended missions collectively contribute to all three of the overarching objectives of the Heliophysics Division. o Understand the changing flow of energy and matter throughout the Sun, Heliosphere, and Planetary Environments. o Explore the fundamental physical processes of space plasma systems. o Define the origins and societal impacts of variability in the Earth/Sun System. • All the missions reviewed here are needed in order to study this connected system. • Progress in the collection of high quality data and in the application of these data to computer models to better understand the physics has been exceptional. -
Waves and Magnetism in the Solar Atmosphere (WAMIS)
METHODS published: 16 February 2016 doi: 10.3389/fspas.2016.00001 Waves and Magnetism in the Solar Atmosphere (WAMIS) Yuan-Kuen Ko 1*, John D. Moses 2, John M. Laming 1, Leonard Strachan 1, Samuel Tun Beltran 1, Steven Tomczyk 3, Sarah E. Gibson 3, Frédéric Auchère 4, Roberto Casini 3, Silvano Fineschi 5, Michael Knoelker 3, Clarence Korendyke 1, Scott W. McIntosh 3, Marco Romoli 6, Jan Rybak 7, Dennis G. Socker 1, Angelos Vourlidas 8 and Qian Wu 3 1 Space Science Division, Naval Research Laboratory, Washington, DC, USA, 2 Heliophysics Division, Science Mission Directorate, NASA, Washington, DC, USA, 3 High Altitude Observatory, Boulder, CO, USA, 4 Institut d’Astrophysique Spatiale, CNRS Université Paris-Sud, Orsay, France, 5 INAF - National Institute for Astrophysics, Astrophysical Observatory of Torino, Pino Torinese, Italy, 6 Department of Physics and Astronomy, University of Florence, Florence, Italy, 7 Astronomical Institute, Slovak Academy of Sciences, Tatranska Lomnica, Slovakia, 8 Applied Physics Laboratory, Johns Hopkins University, Laurel, MD, USA Edited by: Mario J. P. F. G. Monteiro, Comprehensive measurements of magnetic fields in the solar corona have a long Institute of Astrophysics and Space Sciences, Portugal history as an important scientific goal. Besides being crucial to understanding coronal Reviewed by: structures and the Sun’s generation of space weather, direct measurements of their Gordon James Duncan Petrie, strength and direction are also crucial steps in understanding observed wave motions. National Solar Observatory, USA Robertus Erdelyi, In this regard, the remote sensing instrumentation used to make coronal magnetic field University of Sheffield, UK measurements is well suited to measuring the Doppler signature of waves in the solar João José Graça Lima, structures. -
Coronal Mass Ejections and Solar Radio Emissions
CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS AND SOLAR RADIO EMISSIONS N. Gopalswamy∗ Abstract Three types of low-frequency nonthermal radio bursts are associated with coro- nal mass ejections (CMEs): Type III bursts due to accelerated electrons propagating along open magnetic field lines, type II bursts due to electrons accelerated in shocks, and type IV bursts due to electrons trapped in post-eruption arcades behind CMEs. This paper presents a summary of results obtained during solar cycle 23 primarily using the white-light coronagraphic observations from the Solar Heliospheric Ob- servatory (SOHO) and the WAVES experiment on board Wind. 1 Introduction Coronal mass ejections (CMEs) are associated with a whole host of radio bursts caused by nonthermal electrons accelerated during the eruption process. Radio bursts at low frequencies (< 15 MHz) are of particular interest because they are associated with ener- getic CMEs that travel far into the interplanetary (IP) medium and affect Earth’s space environment if Earth-directed. Low frequency radio emission needs to be observed from space because of the ionospheric cutoff (see Fig. 1), although some radio instruments permit observations down to a few MHz [Erickson 1997; Melnik et al., 2008]. Three types of radio bursts are prominent at low frequencies: type III, type II, and type IV bursts, all due to nonthermal electrons accelerated during solar eruptions. The radio emission is thought to be produced by the plasma emission mechanism [Ginzburg and Zheleznyakov, 1958], involving the generation of Langmuir waves by nonthermal electrons accelerated during the eruption and the conversion of Langmuir waves to electromagnetic radiation. Langmuir waves scattered off of ions or low-frequency turbulence result in radiation at the fundamental (or first harmonic) of the local plasma frequency. -
Galactic Cosmic Ray Radiation Hazard in the Unusual Extended Solar Minimum Between Solar Cycle 23 and 24
1 Galactic Cosmic Ray Radiation Hazard in the Unusual Extended Solar 2 Minimum between Solar Cycle 23 and 24 3 4 N. A. Schwadron, A. J. Boyd, K. Kozarev 5 Boston University, Boston, Mass, USA 6 M. Golightly, H. Spence 7 University of New Hampshire, Durham New Hampshire, USA 8 L. W. Townsend 9 University of Tennessee, Knoxville, TN, USA 10 M. Owens 11 Space Environment Physics Group, Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, 12 UK 13 14 Abstract. Galactic Cosmic Rays (GCRs) are extremely difficult to shield against and 15 pose one of most severe long-term hazards for human exploration of space. The recent 16 solar minimum between solar cycle 23 and 24 shows a prolonged period of reduced solar 17 activity and low interplanetary magnetic field strengths. As a result, the modulation of 18 GCRs is very weak, and the fluxes of GCRs are near their highest levels in the last 25 19 years in the Fall of 2009. Here, we explore the dose-rates of GCRs in the current 20 prolonged solar minimum and make predictions for the Lunar Reconnaissance Orbiter 21 (LRO) Cosmic Ray Telescope for the Effects of Radiation (CRaTER), which is now 22 measuring GCRs in the lunar environment. Our results confirm the weak modulation of 23 GCRs leading to the largest dose rates seen in the last 25 years over a prolonged period of 24 little solar activity. 25 26 Background – Galactic Cosmic Rays and Human Health 27 28 In balloon flights in 1912-1913, Hess first measured a form of radiation that intensified 29 with altitude [Hess, 1912; 1913]. -
ESA Bulletin No
MARSDEN 6/12/03 5:08 PM Page 60 Artist’s impression of Ulysses’ exploratory mission (by D. Hardy) Science 60 esa bulletin 114 - may 2003 www.esa.int MARSDEN 6/12/03 5:08 PM Page 61 News from the Sun’s Poles News from the Sun’s Poles Courtesy of Ulysses Richard G. Marsden ESA Directorate of Scientific Programmes, ESTEC, Noordwijk, The Netherlands Edward J. Smith Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, USA True to its classical namesake in Dante’s Introduction Launched from Cape Canaveral more than 13 years ago, Ulysses Inferno, the ESA-NASA Ulysses mission has is well on its way to completing two full circuits of the Sun in a unique orbit that takes it over the north and south poles of our ventured into the ‘unpeopled world star. In doing so, the European-built space probe and its payload of scientific instruments have added a fundamentally new beyond the Sun’,in the pursuit of perspective to our knowledge of the bubble in space in which the Sun and the Solar System exist, called ‘the heliosphere’. ‘knowledge high’! www.esa.int esa bulletin 114 - may 2003 61 MARSDEN 6/12/03 5:09 PM Page 62 Science A small spacecraft by today’s standards, Ulysses weighed just 367 kg at launch, including its scientific payload of 55 kg. The nine scientific instruments on board measure the solar wind, the heliospheric magnetic field, natural radio emission and plasma waves, energetic particles and cosmic rays, interplanetary and interstellar dust, neutral interstellar helium atoms, and cosmic gamma-ray bursts. -
Pecularities of Cosmic Ray Modulation in the Solar Minimum 23/24
PECULARITIES OF COSMIC RAY MODULATION IN THE SOLAR MINIMUM 23/24. M. V. Alania 1,2, R. Modzelewska 1 and A. Wawrzynczak 3 1 Institute Math. & Physics, Siedlce University, 3 Maja 54, 08-110 Siedlce, Poland. 2 Institute of Geophysics, Tbilisi State University, Tbilisi, Georgia. 3Institute of Computer Science, Siedlce University, 3 Maja 54, 08-110 Siedlce, Poland. [email protected], [email protected], [email protected], Abstract We study changes of the galactic cosmic ray (GCR) intensity for the ending period of the solar cycle 23 and the beginning of the solar cycle 24 using neutron monitors experimental data. We show that an increase of the GCR intensity in 2009 is generally related with decrease of the solar wind velocity U, the strength B of the interplanetary magnetic field (IMF), and the drift in negative (A<0) polarity epoch. We present that temporal changes of rigidity dependence of the GCR intensity variation before reaching maximum level in 2009 and after it, do not noticeably differ from each other. The rigidity spectrum of the GCR intensity variations calculated based on neutron monitors data (for rigidities > 10 GV) is hard in the minimum and near minimum epoch. We do not recognize any non-ordinary changes in the physical mechanism of modulation of the GCR intensity in the rigidity range of GCR particles to which neutron monitors respond. We compose 2-D non stationary model of transport equation to describe variations of the GCR intensity for 1996-2012 including the A>0 (1996-2001) and the A<0 (2002-2012) periods; diffusion coefficient of cosmic rays for rigidity 10-15 GV is increased by ~ 30% in 2009 (A<0) comparing with 1996 (A>0).