2019 ISSUE 6 GSA GNSS Market Report EDITOR’S SPECIAL GNSS AND NEWSPACE More information on the European Union is available on the Internet (http://europa.eu). Luxembourg: Publications Office of the European Union, 2019 ISBN: 978-92-9206-043-5 ISSN: 2529-4938 doi:10.2878/031762 Copyright © European GNSS Agency, 2019 This document and the information contained in it is subject to applicable copyright and other intellectual property rights under the laws of the Czech Republic and other states. Third parties may download, copy, print and provide the document in its entirety to other third parties provided that there is no alteration of any part of it. Information contained in the document may be excerpted, copied, printed and provided to third parties only under the condition that the source and copyright owner is clearly stated as follows: “Source: GNSS Market Report, Issue 6, copyright © European GNSS Agency, 2019”. 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By downloading, forwarding, and/or copying this document or any parts thereof, in whichever format, whether digital or otherwise, the user acknowledges and accepts the above terms of use as applicable to him/her. 2 GNSS Market Report | Issue 6, 2019 ISSUE 6 2019 Issue 6 How to read this report The GNSS Market Report is a continuously evolving publication that builds upon a similar structure and format used in previous issues. The 6th issue of GNSS Market is therefore structured into the following blocks: • General overview of the GNSS market explains what GNSS is and what the user requirements are. It also presents quantification on future shipments, revenues and installed base for the GNSS market as a whole. The introduction also provides a global industry overview as well as focus on EGNSS and the synergies with Copernicus. • Macrotrends affecting GNSS presents trends such as Climate Change & Circular Economy, Big Data, Artificial Intelligence, Silver Economy, etc. that lead to the development of new information-intensive services and impact the adoption of GNSS solutions. • GNSS market segments forms the core of the report and follows the same structure used for each of the ten market segments (the only exception is a shortened new segment “Emergency response”): • To introduce the sector, a short summary of the GNSS applications is presented; • Key market segment trends are illustrated with examples; • User perspective of the segment focuses on user needs and the use of GNSS from the users’ point of view; • The industry value chain provides a non-exhaustive list of key stakeholders; • Recent developments focus on historical data of the shipments of GNSS devices by application, presenting initiatives and examples that have recently been implemented; • Future market evolution forecasts shipments or revenues over the next decade spanning 2019 to 2029. It presents ideas and concepts whose outputs will impact the market in the mid-term and highlights promising applications that might boost the future growth of the segment; • European GNSS provides information on the current usage of Galileo, EGNOS and associated relevant projects within the particular segment; • Reference charts present a forecast of the installed base and revenues of the market segment by regions and by applications. • In this issue the Editor’s special introduces a new segment of GNSS receivers in satellites and it`s relation to an evolving space sector. • Annexes close the report with a description of the methodology behind the data presented (Annex 1), definition of key performance parameters (Annex 2), list of acronyms (Annex 3) and information about the authors (Annex 4). 4 GNSS Market Report | Issue 6, 2019 FOREWORD Dear Reader, The global GNSS downstream market continues to grow rapidly and this year the The Report is the result of thorough and continuous work by a team of 20 GSA global installed base of GNSS devices in use is forecast to reach almost 6.5 billion, experts from various market segments over the last two years, backed up by more while global GNSS downstream market revenues from both devices and services than 50 external experts who helped to verify the data contained in more than are set to reach an astonishing €150 billion. It is worth highlighting that out of 70 charts. I have witnessed the development of this report since its first edition 1.7 billion GNSS shipped units in 2019, more than 40% will be Galileo enabled, a and I am amazed to see how it has grown from a short document containing four remarkable and promising result for European GNSS programme. segments into a fully-fledged report describing in great detail key trends, recent developments, value chains, user perspectives and future market evolutions In this context, it is more important than ever to keep on top of developments and covering ten segments. trends on the GNSS market and this is what the GSA GNSS Market Report offers. Now in its sixth edition, the Report has established itself as the most authoritative When combined with other reports in the GSA Intelligence Reports series, such as reference document for information on the global GNSS market, and is regularly the GNSS User Technology Report and Reports on User Needs and Requirements referenced by policy-makers and business leaders around the world. for Position, Navigation and Time, the GNSS Market Report provides a compre- hensive overview of the GNSS landscape. I am confident that the latest edition of The structure of this year’s report follows the successful format of previous issues the GNSS Market Report will enable you to keep your finger on the pulse of the (for a detailed overview see the opposite page), while at the same time extending GNSS industry and reap the maximum benefit from the opportunities offered by and updating the content and topics. Due to the evolution of market segments this rapidly developing market. and trends, some segments (like LBS and Surveying) have been renamed to better reflect the solutions they contain. Moreover, two new segments have been added: the rapidly evolving Drones segment, following the huge interest of readers in Carlo des Dorides the Editors’ Special on drones in the previous edition; and Emergency Response, Executive director providing a thorough overview of all emergency beacons in one place, when previously this has been split between Aviation, Maritime and LBS. “GNSS for NewSpace” has been chosen as the Editor’s Special topic this year, fea- turing NewSpace and other drivers behind the growing number of GNSS space receivers. On top of shipments and the installed base of GNSS receivers, a classi- The European GNSS Agency (GSA) fication of in-space applications is provided along with Galileo`s contribution to Prague, October 2019 the Space Service Volume. GNSS Market Report | Issue 6, 2019 5 THE GEOGRAPHY OF GNSS Asia-Pacific will continue to account for more than half of the global GNSS installed base European Union (EU28) Russia and Non-EU 28 (Non-EU28 Europe) 2019 2029 2019 2029 Value % Value % Value % Value % Installed Base 0.7 bln 11.0 1.0 bln 11.0 Installed Base 0.3 bln 4.0 0.3 bln 3.5 Revenue (€) 38.4 bln 25.5 65.3 bln 20.1 Revenue (€) 9.7 bln 6.4 16.3 bln 5.0 Devices per capita 1.4 2.1 Devices per capita 1.1 1.5 North America Asia-Pacific 2019 2029 2019 2029 Value % Value % Value % Value % Installed Base 1.0 bln 15.9 1.5 bln 15.2 Installed Base 3.4 bln 53.2 5.1 bln 53.5 Revenue (€) 40.3 bln 26.7 92.2 bln 28.4 Revenue (€) 46.0 bln 30.5 106.0 bln 32.7 Devices per capita 2.0 2.7 Devices per capita 0.8 1.1 South America + Caribbean World Middle East + Africa 2019 2029 2019 2029 2019 2029 Value % Value % Value Value Value % Value % Installed Base 0.6 bln 9.7 0.9 bln 9.3 Installed Base 6.4 bln 9.5 bln Installed Base 0.4 bln 6.3 0.7 bln 7.5 Revenue (€) 8.1 bln 5.4 13.2 bln 4.1 Revenue (€) 150.7 bln 324.4 bln Revenue (€) 8.2 bln 5.4 31.4 bln 9.7 Devices per capita 1.2 1.6 Devices per capita 0.8 1.1 Devices per capita 0.2 0.4 Consumer The wearables market is on the rise, while dual-frequency and high accuracy are gaining traction in Emergency Multi-constellation is the recognized paradigm by all major beacon manufacturers. Innovative Solutions smartphones. Leveraging the hardware as a platform, software and apps provide endless opportu- Response features such as Return Link and Remote Activation are on the rise. nities to tailor the use of position to the needs of mass market users. Rail Railways are in the process of digitalization and GNSS is part of the game. GNSS based solutions for Road As vehicles become more intelligent and automated, and the Mobility-as-a-Service business expands, signalling applications will help reduce cost and enhance performance.