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Final Study on Poultry Catastrophic Disease

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Final Study on Poultry Catastrophic Disease Final Study for the Study on Poultry Catastrophic Disease Final Study on Poultry Catastrophic Disease Deliverable 2: Final Study Order Number: D15PD00012 Submitted to: USDA-RMA COTR: Jaime Padget 6501 Beacon Drive Kansas City, Missouri 64133-6205 Submitted by: Watts and Associates, Inc. 4331 Hillcrest Road Billings, Montana59101 Delivery Date: September 30, 2015 This document includes data that shall not be disclosed outside of the Government and shall not be duplicated, used, or disclosed, in whole or in part, for any purpose. The Government shall have the right to duplicate, use, or disclose the data to the extent provided in Order No. D15PD00012. All pages of this document are subject to this restriction. Final Study for the Study on Poultry Catastrophic Disease Table of Contents Section I. Executive Summary ........................................................................................................ 1 Section II. Sector Descriptions ....................................................................................................... 5 II.A. Broiler Sector ..................................................................................................................... 6 II.B. Turkey Sector ................................................................................................................... 12 II.C. Layer Sector ...................................................................................................................... 20 II.D. Game Birds ....................................................................................................................... 31 Section III. Stakeholder Input ....................................................................................................... 34 Section IV. Existing Program Review .......................................................................................... 46 Section V. Data Availability and Applicability Assessment ........................................................ 58 Section VI. Pricing Methodologies Investigations ....................................................................... 69 VI.A. Broiler Sector .................................................................................................................. 69 VI.B. Turkey Sector .................................................................................................................. 70 VI.C. Layer Sector .................................................................................................................... 71 VI.D. Game Bird Sector............................................................................................................ 75 Section VII. Risk Assessments ..................................................................................................... 76 VII.A. Broiler Sector................................................................................................................. 76 VII.B. Turkey Sector................................................................................................................. 82 VII.C. Layer Sector ................................................................................................................... 86 VII.D. Game Bird Sector .......................................................................................................... 91 Section VIII. Research Findings ................................................................................................... 95 Section IX. Summary of Feasibility Assessment ........................................................................ 104 List of Tables Table 1. Top Broiler Integrators, United States, 2013 .................................................................... 7 Table 2. Economic Indicators–Broiler, United States .................................................................. 10 Table 3. Broiler Production by States, 20141 ................................................................................ 11 Table 4. Top U.S. Turkey Processors in 2014 .............................................................................. 17 Table 5. Geographic Distribution of 2014 Turkey Production in the United States..................... 18 Table 6. Economic Indicators – Turkeys, United States ............................................................... 19 Table 7. 2014 United States Egg Production by State .................................................................. 24 Table 8. Economic Indicators – Layer Segment United States .................................................... 27 Table 9. Top Ten Egg Production Companies: 2013 ................................................................... 28 Table 10. Top Ten States (in order of Value Sold): Number of Farms Reporting Layers 2012 Census of Agriculture .......................................................................................... 29 Table 11. Game Birds Reported in 2012 Census of Agriculture by Inventory............................. 33 Table 12. Important Diseases by Poultry Industry Sector ............................................................ 59 Table 13. Census of Agriculture Poultry Species for which Data are Collected and Reported ... 60 Table 14. Sample Census of Agriculture Arkansas State-level Annual Sales: Chickens by Operation Size ......................................................................................... 61 Table 15. Sample Census of Agriculture California County-level Single Period Inventory: December Chukar Inventory ........................................................................................ 61 Table 16. Sample of NASS Reported Condemnation Data: Chicken Condemnations Due to Diseases in 2014 by Number of Head .............................................................. 62 Table 17. APHIS Report on the Status of OEI Reportable Diseases in the United States in 2012 ................................................................................................... 64 Use or disclosure of information or data i Risk Management Agency contained on this sheet is subject to the Order No: D15PD00012 restrictions on the title page of this report. Final Study for the Study on Poultry Catastrophic Disease Table 18. NASS Reported Condemnations of Chickens Due to Diseases in 2014 ...................... 65 Table 19. Poultry Diseases with NPIP Protocols for Response .................................................... 65 Table 20. Poultry Diseases Topics Addressed in the 2004 Report of the Committee on Transmissible Diseases of Poultry and Other Avian Species - USAHA ..................... 66 Table 21. Poultry Diseases Topics Addressed in the 2014 Report of the Committee on Transmissible Diseases of Poultry and Other Avian Species - USAHA ..................... 66 Table 22. Poultry Yearbook Egg Prices 1955 to 2004 .................................................................. 74 Table 23. Prices Received 1996 to 2014 ....................................................................................... 74 Table 24. Broiler Catastrophic Disease List: Available Vaccinations and NPIP Protocol Inclusion ............................................................................................... 80 Table 25. Turkey Catastrophic Disease List: Available Vaccinations and NPIP Protocol Inclusion ............................................................................................... 85 Table 26. Layer Catastrophic Disease List: Available Vaccinations and NPIP Protocol Inclusion ............................................................................................... 88 Table 27. Waterfowl Catastrophic Disease List: Available Vaccinations and NPIP Protocol Inclusion ............................................................................................... 92 Table 28. Game Bird Catastrophic Disease List: Available Vaccinations and NPIP Protocol Inclusion ............................................................................................... 93 Table 29. Ready-to-Cook Poultry - A Quality Summary of Specifications for Standards of Quality for Individual Carcasses and Parts .................................................................. 97 Table 30. Summary of U.S. Standards for Quality of Individual Shell Eggs ............................... 99 List of Appendices Appendix A. Poultry Grower Contracts Appendix B. Stakeholder Input Exhibit 1. Listening Session Agenda Exhibit 2. Sample Listening Session Press Release Appendix C. State Veterinarians Appendix D. APHIS Stakeholder Registry Reports List of Attachments Attachment I. Poultry-Grading Manual Attachment II. United States Classes, Standards, and Grades for Poultry AMS 70.200 et seq. Attachment III. Egg-Grading Manual Attachment IV. United States Standards, Grades, and Weight Classes for Shell Eggs AMS 56 Use or disclosure of information or data ii Risk Management Agency contained on this sheet is subject to the Order No: D15PD00012 restrictions on the title page of this report. Final Study for the Study on Poultry Catastrophic Disease SECTION I. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The Statement of Work (SOW) for Order Number D15PD00012 identifies the objectives of the project as “…to obtain information and to determine if providing poultry catastrophic disease coverage would benefit agricultural producers; to help poultry producers and Congress understand how these risks are being, or could be addressed by the crop insurance system; to find and evaluate any existing policies or plans of insurance that provide coverage
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