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Public Opinion Poll Residents of

August 6 – August 15, 2020 Detailed Methodology • The survey was conducted on behalf of the International Republican Institute’s Center for Insights in Survey Research by SIAR Research & Consulting.

• Data was collected between August 6 – August 15, 2020 though computer-assisted telephone interviews administered via both mobile and landline numbers.

• The sample consisted of n=1,223 residents of Kyrgyzstan, aged 18 and older.

• A multi-stage sampling method was used to design a nationally representative sample according to National Statistical Committee of the Kyrgyz Republic’s 2019 Demographic Yearbook of the Kyrgyz Republic (January 1, 2019). The sample was stratified by oblast/city and urbanicity. • An initial database of mobile and landline numbers was assembled that comprised two separate sources. Seventy- five percent of the database’s numbers are sourced from SIAR’s proprietary database of previous survey participant phone numbers. SIAR’s database is derived from phone numbers collected during nationally- representative surveys conducted throughout the past twelve months. The remaining twenty-five percent of the database’s phone numbers are randomly generated from area codes used by operators at the time of this study. Numbers were randomly selected from the combined database. • The respondent selection methodology depended on the type of line used to contact respondents. For mobile numbers, the mobile phone user is selected. For landline numbers shared by multiple individuals, the last birthday protocol is used for randomized respondent selection.

• The data is weighted by oblast/city, urbanicity, age and gender according to the 2019 Demographic Yearbook of the Kyrgyz Republic.

• The response rate for the survey was 47 percent.

• The margin of error at the mid-range of the full sample does not exceed ±2.8 points at the 95 percent confidence level.

• Interviews were conducted in Kyrgyz (63 percent), Russian (35 percent), and Uzbek (2 percent).

• Cited bases are weighted. Charts and graphs may not add up to 100 percent due to rounding.

• The survey was funded by the U.S. Agency for International Development. 2 Frequently Cited Disaggregates Disaggregate Disaggregation Category Base City n=210 Chui Oblast n=187 Issyk-Kul Oblast n=93 Oblast n=53 Oblast/City Talas Oblast n=47 Oblast n=240 Jalal-Abad Oblast n=232 Oblast n=98 Osh City n=63 Urban n=436 Urbanicity Rural n=787 Men n=595 Gender Women n=628 Age 18-35 n=618 Age Groups Age 36-55 n=390 Age 56 and older n=214

Satisfaction with Satisfied n=398 Government’s COVID-19 Response Not satisfied n=814

*Cited bases are weighted. Margin of error will vary with sample size n 3 Geographical Key: 7 Oblasts and 2 Cities

Bishkek City Issyk-Kul Oblast Chui Oblast Bishkek City Talas Oblast Jalal-Abad Oblast Naryn Oblast Osh Oblast Osh City Osh City Batken Oblast

4 National Outlook In general, would you say that our country is heading in the right direction or in the wrong direction?

All Respondents 41% 53% 6% Age Groups Age 18-35 41% 52% 7% Age 36-55 41% 54% 5% Age 56 and older 40% 54% 5% Gender Men 38% 58% 4% Women 43% 49% 8% Urbanicity Urban 28% 69% 4% Rural 48% 45% 7% Oblast/City Bishkek City 8% 88% 4% Chui Oblast 25% 68% 7% Issyk-Kul Oblast 20% 65% Naryn Oblast 25% 63% 12% Talas Oblast 34% 66% 0% Osh Oblast 49% 49% 2% Jalal-Abad Oblast 68% 31% 1% Batken Oblast 65% 14% 20% Osh City 79% 18% 3% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% In the right direction In the wrong direction Don't know/Refused to answer 6 In general, would you say that our country is heading in the right direction or in the wrong direction?

To what extent are you satisfied with the government’s response to the coronavirus? Satisfied 69% 27% 4% <1% 33%

67%

Satisfied Not satisfied 27% 66% 7% Not satisfied Don't know/Refused to answer

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

In the right direction In the wrong direction Don't know/Refused to answer

7 In general, would you say that our country is heading in the right direction or in the wrong direction?

100%

90%

80%

70% 65% 65% 66% 62% 63% 63% 60% 59% 60% 58% 57% 56% 54% 52% 52% 58% 50% 52% 53% 48%49% 50% 48% 45% 47% 43% 47% 45% 40% 44% 39% 41% 39%39%39% 37% 38% 38% 36% 30% 30% 33% 29% 30% 25% 31% 29% 28% 28% 27% 20% 23% 23% 17% 10% 14% 14% 13% 12% 12% 11% 13% 12% 12% 11% 12% 11% 10% 10% 8% 10% 6% 9% 8% 11% 8% 7%

0% 7%

Jul-15

Apr-05

Oct-06 Oct-08 Oct-14

Sep-11

Mar-06 Mar-16 Mar-17

Feb-12 Feb-13 Feb-14 Feb-15

Aug-12 Aug-20

Dec-19

Nov-07 Nov-10 Nov-17 Nov-18

May-07 May-09 May-10 May-11

Right direction Wrong direction Don't know/refused to answer

*Note: Comparison between August and previous polls should be treated with caution due to differing methodologies. The previous polls were conducted via face-to-face interviews at respondents’ homes. 8 How would you describe the current economic situation in your household?

All Respondents 9% 63% 24% 4% <1% Age Groups Age 18-35 10% 66% 20% 3% <1% Age 36-55 8% 61% 28% 3% <1% Age 56 and older 10% 56% 28% 6% Gender Men 9% 62% 24% 5% <1% Women 10% 64% 24% 3% Urbanicity Urban 10% 57% 30% 4% Rural 9% 66% 21% 4% <1% Oblast/City Bishkek City 4% 49% 41% 6% Chui Oblast 2% 66% 29% 3% Issyk-Kul Oblast 5% 68% 1% Naryn Oblast 55% 41% 4% Talas Oblast 4% 70% 22% 4% Osh Oblast 10% 65% 16% 9% <1% Jalal-Abad Oblast 23% 61% 16% <1% Batken Oblast 4% 85% 10% 1% Osh City 20% 60% 19% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Very good Somewhat good Somewhat bad Very bad Don't know/Refused to answer 9 What is the most important problem facing our country today? (Spontaneous response; multiple responses permitted) Economy - unemployment 61% COVID-19/Coronavirus 51% Corruption 49% Healthcare 38% Economy - cost of living 25% Education 24% Economy - other/general 22% Economy - poverty 20% Social services/benefits 16% Migration 15% Internal conflicts 13% Economy - small businesses 11% Agriculture 9% Housing 8% Infrastructure 7% Water 7% Crime/safety 6% External conflicts/war 5% Electricity 4% Environment 3% Natural disasters 3% Terrorism 3% Border issues 2% Malnutrition 2% Other 7% No problem 1% Don't know/Refused to answer 1% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% *Responses receiving less than 2% are collapsed into Other. 10 What is the most important problem facing our country today? (Spontaneous response; multiple responses permitted; top 10 responses displayed) All Respondents Bishkek City Economy - unemployment 61% Healthcare 70% COVID-19/Coronavirus 51% Corruption 67% Corruption 49% Economy - unemployment 64% Healthcare 38% COVID-19/Coronavirus 52% Economy - cost of living 25% Education 48% Education 24% Internal conflicts 34% Economy - other/general 22% Economy - poverty 27% Economy - poverty 20% Economy - other/general 26% Social services/benefits 16% Economy - cost of living 25% Migration 15% Economy - small businesses 14%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Chui Oblast Issyk-Kul Oblast Economy - unemployment 62% Economy - unemployment 47% Corruption 49% COVID-19/Coronavirus 36% COVID-19/Coronavirus 36% Economy - other/general 31% Economy - other/general 32% Healthcare 29% Economy - cost of living 29% Education 15% Economy - poverty 29% Corruption 15% Healthcare 24% Economy - poverty 14% Social services/benefits 22% Economy - cost of living 13% Education 21% Social services/benefits 11% Economy - small businesses 12% Migration 11%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 11 What is the most important problem facing our country today? (Spontaneous response; multiple responses permitted; top 10 responses displayed) All Respondents Naryn Oblast Economy - unemployment 61% Internal conflicts 83% COVID-19/Coronavirus 51% Healthcare 58% Corruption 49% Environment 44% Healthcare 38% Electricity 38% Economy - cost of living 25% Corruption 28% Education 24% Agriculture 25% Economy - other/general 22% External conflicts/war 21% Economy - poverty 20% Infrastructure 20% Social services/benefits 16% COVID-19/Coronavirus 13% Migration 15% Malnutrition 12%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Jalal-Abad Oblast Talas Oblast COVID-19/Coronavirus 63% Economy - unemployment 72% Economy - unemployment 62% COVID-19/Coronavirus 67% Corruption 32% Corruption 55% Healthcare 30% Healthcare 51% Economy - cost of living 26% Economy - cost of living 42% Migration 24% Agriculture 23% Education 19% Social services/benefits 23% Economy - other/general 14% Education 23% Social services/benefits 13% Migration 19% Economy - poverty 12% Infrastructure 15%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 12 What is the most important problem facing our country today? (Spontaneous response; multiple responses permitted; top 10 responses displayed) All Respondents Osh City Economy - unemployment 61% Corruption 86% COVID-19/Coronavirus 51% Economy - unemployment 65% Corruption 49% Economy - cost of living 46% Healthcare 38% Economy - small businesses 27% Economy - cost of living 25% Economy - poverty 25% Education 24% Economy - other/general 24% Economy - other/general 22% COVID-19/Coronavirus 22% Economy - poverty 20% Terrorism 10% Social services/benefits 16% Housing 6% Migration 15% Water 5%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Batken Oblast Osh Oblast Healthcare 73% Economy - unemployment 63% COVID-19/Coronavirus 68% Corruption 53% Economy - unemployment 55% COVID-19/Coronavirus 52% Economy - other/general 40% Migration 27% Corruption 31% Healthcare 25% Agriculture 30% Economy - poverty 23% Social services/benefits 28% Education 20% Infrastructure 22% Economy - cost of living 20% Education 22% Economy - small businesses 17% Water 20% Social services/benefits 16%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 13 COVID-19 Response To what extent is the coronavirus a concern for you?

All Respondents 46% 33% 14% 7% <1% Age Groups Age 18-35 40% 37% 15% 7% <1% Age 36-55 48% 30% 15% 7% Age 56 and older 56% 27% 8% 8% Gender Men 42% 31% 18% 9% <1% Women 50% 34% 11% 5% <1% Urbanicity Urban 43% 41% 11% 4% Rural 47% 28% 15% 9% <1% Oblast/City Bishkek City 46% 39% 14% 2% Chui Oblast 21% 21% 28% 28% 2% Issyk-Kul Oblast 48% 33% 16% 3% Naryn Oblast 42% 45% 12% 2% Talas Oblast 53% 32% 13% 2% Osh Oblast 41% 36% 15% 9% Jalal-Abad Oblast 56% 33% 10% 1% Batken Oblast 83% 13% 3%1% Osh City 38% 57% 3% 2% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Very serious Somewhat serious Somewhat not serious Not at all serious Don't know/Refused to answer 15 To what extent are you satisfied with the national government’s response to the coronavirus?

All Respondents 8% 24% 27% 40% 1% Age Groups Age 18-35 9% 21% 30% 39% 1% Age 36-55 8% 26% 25% 41% <1% Age 56 and older 8% 31% 20% 40% 1% Gender Men 9% 25% 26% 39% 1% Women 7% 24% 28% 40% 1% Urbanicity Urban 6% 18% 27% 49% <1% Rural 10% 28% 27% 35% 1% Oblast/City Bishkek City 1% 10% 24% 65% Chui Oblast 2% 14% 24% 59% 2% Issyk-Kul Oblast 5% 12% 34% 47% 2% Naryn Oblast 0% 20% 33% 46% 2% Talas Oblast 0% 29% 28% 42% Osh Oblast 7% 34% 25% 33% Jalal-Abad Oblast 26% 37% 25% 11% <1% Batken Oblast 1% 24% 36% 34% 4% Osh City 19% 36% 27% 17% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Very satisfied Somewhat satisfied Somewhat dissatisfied Not at all satisfied Don't know/Refused to answer 16 Political Parties and Candidates Do you plan to vote in the upcoming parliamentary elections?

All Respondents 77% 17% 6% Age Groups Age 18-35 75% 20% 5% Age 36-55 79% 14% 7% Age 56 and older 80% 14% 6% Gender Men 79% 17% 5% Women 75% 18% 7% Urbanicity Urban 71% 24% 5% Rural 80% 14% 6% Oblast/City Bishkek City 66% 30% 4% Chui Oblast 71% 20% 9% Issyk-Kul Oblast 63% 19% 18% Naryn Oblast 26% 4% Talas Oblast 81% 17% 2% Osh Oblast 82% 14% 4% Jalal-Abad Oblast 90% 7% 3% Batken Oblast 84% 13% 2% Osh City 74% 14% 11% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Yes No Don't know/Refused to answer 18 Please name all of the political parties you are familiar with in your region. (Spontaneous response; multiple responses permitted)

SDPK (Social Democratic Party of Kyrgyzstan) 43% Ata-Meken 42% Respublika 28% Ata-Jurt 27% Bir-Bol 24% Kyrgyzstan 19% Birimdik 18% Onuguu-Progress 17% Butun Kyrgyzstan 11% Zamandash 10% Mekenim Kyrgyzstan 10% Ak-Shumkar 3% Mekenchil 3% Ak-Jol 3% Respublika-Ata-Jurt 2% Ar-Namys 2% Tabylga 1% Reforma 1% KLDP (Kyrgyz Liberal Democratic Party) 1% Meken Yntymagy 1% Yntymak 1% Other 6% Don't know/Refused to answer 15%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 19 Please name all of the political parties you are familiar with in your region. (Spontaneous response; multiple responses permitted; top 10 responses) All Respondents Bishkek City SDPK 43% SDPK 76% Ata-Meken 42% Ata-Meken 68% Respublika 28% Respublika 60% Ata-Jurt 27% Bir-Bol 49% Bir-Bol 24% Onuguu-Progress 36% Kyrgyzstan 19% Kyrgyzstan 35% Birimdik 18% Ata-Jurt 19% Onuguu-Progress 17% Zamandash 18% Butun Kyrgyzstan 11% Mekenim Kyrgyzstan 15% Zamandash 10% Ak-Jol 13%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Chui Oblast Issyk-Kul Oblast SDPK 41% SDPK 22% Ata-Meken 37% Mekenim Kyrgyzstan 19% Respublika 21% Respublika 18% Bir-Bol 20% Ata-Meken 18% Ata-Jurt 17% Zamandash 11% Onuguu-Progress 13% Ata-Jurt 11% Birimdik 8% Birimdik 10% Zamandash 7% Kyrgyzstan 7% Kyrgyzstan 7% Bir-Bol 5% Mekenim Kyrgyzstan 3% Onuguu-Progress 5%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 20 Please name all of the political parties you are familiar with in your region. (Spontaneous response; multiple responses permitted; top 10 responses) All Respondents Naryn Oblast SDPK 43% Ata-Meken 48% Ata-Meken 42% SDPK 48% Respublika 28% Respublika 31% Ata-Jurt 27% Ata-Jurt 19% Bir-Bol 24% Kyrgyzstan 17% Kyrgyzstan 19% Zamandash 17% Birimdik 18% Onuguu-Progress 8% Onuguu-Progress 17% Ak-Shumkar 8% Butun Kyrgyzstan 11% Bir-Bol 6% Zamandash 10% Birimdik 5%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Jalal-Abad Oblast Talas Oblast Ata-Jurt 31% Respublika 31% Ata-Meken 30% Ata-Meken 30% SDPK 26% SDPK 23% Birimdik 22% Kyrgyzstan 17% Kyrgyzstan 22% Mekenim Kyrgyzstan 17% Bir-Bol 20% Ata-Jurt 8% Onuguu-Progress 20% Birimdik 6% Respublika 19% Zamandash 4% Butun Kyrgyzstan 14% Bir-Bol 4% Zamandash 13% Ak-Shumkar 4%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 21 Please name all of the political parties you are familiar with in your region. (Spontaneous response; multiple responses permitted; top 10 responses) All Respondents Osh City SDPK 43% Ata-Meken 34% Ata-Meken 42% Respublika 33% Respublika 28% Ata-Jurt 25% Onuguu-Progress 15% Ata-Jurt 27% Butun Kyrgyzstan 14% Bir-Bol 24% SDPK 10% Kyrgyzstan 19% Bir-Bol 8% Birimdik 18% Mekenim Kyrgyzstan 6% Onuguu-Progress 17% Kyrgyzstan 5% Butun Kyrgyzstan 11% Birimdik 5%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Batken Oblast Osh Oblast SDPK 54% Ata-Jurt 55% Ata-Meken 40% SDPK 47% Bir-Bol 37% Ata-Meken 45% Birimdik 26% Birimdik 36% Kyrgyzstan 24% Bir-Bol 23% Respublika 18% Respublika 22% Respublika-Ata-Zhurt 16% Butun Kyrgyzstan 21% Mekenim Kyrgyzstan 15% Onuguu-Progress 18% Butun Kyrgyzstan 14% Kyrgyzstan 17% Ata-Jurt 12% Zamandash 7%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 22 For each of the following items, [… do] they have great influence, some influence, not much influence or no influence at all on your views of political parties or candidates?

Opinions of respected people 19% 27% 20% 28% 5%

Meetings with politicians 17% 25% 20% 33% 5%

Candidates/politicians debates 14% 24% 22% 34% 6%

Social media 12% 23% 25% 35% 5% Visits of party or candidate representatives to your house 11% 21% 22% 42% 4% Candidates giving away food or supplies in your district 9% 21% 24% 41% 5% TV ads 8% 21% 22% 45% 4%

Personal letters to you from the candidate 10% 17% 20% 48% 5% Phone calls to your house from the or candidate 8% 18% 22% 46% 5% Billboards 4% 15% 24% 52% 5%

Articles in newspapers about the candidates 4% 13% 21% 57% 5%

Radio ads 4% 13% 20% 59% 4% Paid ads in newspapers for the candidate or party 4% 13% 20% 59% 5% Slogans, text messages on vehicles 4% 12% 22% 57% 5%

Brochures, pamphlets 4% 11% 23% 57% 5%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Great influence Some influence Not much influence No influence at all Don't know/Refused to answer 23 If the parliamentary elections were held today, for which party would you vote? (Spontaneous response)

I would vote “against all” 15% Ata-Jurt 7% Respublika 6% Birimdik 5% SDPK (Social Democratic Party of Kyrgyzstan) 5% Ata-Meken 5% Onuguu-Progress 4% Butun Kyrgyzstan 4% Bir-Bol 3% Mekenchil 2% Kyrgyzstan 2% Mekenim Kyrgyzstan 1% Other 1% Party of youth/party of young people 1% KLDP (Kyrgyz Liberal Democratic Party) 1% Zamandash 1% Ak-Shumkar 1% Not decided yet 2% Would not vote 10% Don't know/Refused to answer 27%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 24 If the parliamentary elections were held today, for which party would you vote? (Spontaneous response) Among Likely Voters, n=940 Among *Decided Voters, n=510 Ata-Jurt 8% 15% Respublika 7% 13% Do you plan to vote in the SDPK 6% 12% upcoming parliamentary Birimdik 6% 12% elections? Ata-Meken 6% 11% Onuguu-Progress 5% 8% 6% Butun Kyrgyzstan 4% 8% 17% Bir-Bol 3% 6% Mekenchil 2% 4% Kyrgyzstan 2% 3% Mekenim Kyrgyzstan 1% 2% 77% Zamandash 1% 2% Yes KLDP 1% 2% No Ak-Shumkar 1% 2% Party of youth/party of young people 1% 1% Don't know/Refused to Other 1% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% answer I would vote “against all” 12% Not decided yet 2% Would not vote 1% Don't know/Refused to answer 29% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%

*"Decided Voters" are those who are likely to vote and who also expressed a party/candidate preference for upcoming elections. 25 If the parliamentary elections were held today, for which party would you vote? (Spontaneous response)

All Respondents 47% 2% 15% 10% 27%

Urbanicity Urban 35% 4% 21% 14% 27%

Rural 53% 1% 11% 8% 27%

Oblast/City Bishkek City 11% 32% 17% 40%

Chui Oblast 34% 22% 13% 31%

Issyk-Kul Oblast 25% 29% 13% 33%

Naryn Oblast 8% 2% 23% 22% 46%

Talas Oblast 13% 11% 7% 70%

Osh Oblast 83% 1% 2% 8% 6%

Jalal-Abad Oblast 70% 3% 2%4% 20%

Batken Oblast 30% 13% 15% 5% 37%

Osh City 93% 2% 2%3%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Named a party Not decided yet I would vote "against all" Would not vote Don't know/Refused to answer

26 Bishkek City If the parliamentary elections were held today, for which party would you vote? (Spontaneous response)

I would vote “against all” 32%

Respublika 4%

Bir-Bol 3%

Ata-Meken 1%

Mekenim Kyrgyzstan 1%

Onuguu-Progress 1%

SDPK 1%

Mekenchil <1%

Zamandash <1%

Other <1%

Would not vote 17%

Don't know/Refused to answer 40%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

27 Chui Oblast If the parliamentary elections were held today, for which party would you vote? (Spontaneous response)

I would vote “against all” 22% Respublika 8% Ata-Meken 5% SDPK 3% Ak-Shumkar 3% Party of youth/party consisting of young people 3% Onuguu-Progress 2% Bir-Bol 2% Birimdik 2% Butun Kyrgyzstan 1% Mekenim Kyrgyzstan 1% Ata-Jurt 1% Ala-Too Yntymagy 1% Mekenchil 1% KLDP <1% Kyrgyzstan <1% Other 1% Would not vote 13% Don't know/Refused to answer 31%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

28 Issyk-Kul Oblast If the parliamentary elections were held today, for which party would you vote? (Spontaneous response)

I would vote “against all” 29%

SDPK 7%

Party of youth/party consisting of young people 4%

Respublika 3%

Birimdik 2%

Ata-Meken 2%

Ata-Jurt 1%

Mekenchil 1%

Other 3%

Would not vote 13%

Don't know/Refused to answer 33%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

29 Naryn Oblast If the parliamentary elections were held today, for which party would you vote? (Spontaneous response)

I would vote “against all” 23%

SDPK 2%

Other 2%

Zamandash 2%

Kyrgyzstan 2%

Not decided yet 2%

Would not vote 22%

Don't know/Refused to answer 46%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

30 Talas Oblast If the parliamentary elections were held today, for which party would you vote? (Spontaneous response)

I would vote “against all” 11%

Respublika 6%

Ata-Meken 2%

Mekenchil 2%

Other 2%

Would not vote 7%

Don't know/Refused to answer 70%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

31 Osh Oblast If the parliamentary elections were held today, for which party would you vote? (Spontaneous response)

Birimdik 20% Ata-Jurt 13% SDPK 9% Onuguu-Progress 7% Ata-Meken 7% Butun Kyrgyzstan 6% Respublika 5% KLDP 3% Kyrgyzstan 3% Bir-Bol 3% I would vote “against all” 2% Mekenchil 2% Mekenim Kyrgyzstan 2% Zamandash 1% Ak-Shumkar <1% Tabylga <1% Other <1% Not decided yet 1% Would not vote 8% Don't know/Refused to answer 6% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

32 Jalal-Abad Oblast If the parliamentary elections were held today, for which party would you vote? (Spontaneous response)

Ata-Jurt 14% SDPK 10% Respublika 6% Onuguu-Progress 6% Ata-Meken 6% Bir-Bol 5% Butun Kyrgyzstan 5% Mekenchil 4% Kyrgyzstan 4% Zamandash 2% Birimdik 2% I would vote “against all” 2% Mekenim Kyrgyzstan 2% Ak-Shumkar 1% Party of youth/party consisting of young people <1% KLDP <1% Other 2% Not decided yet 3% Would not vote 4% Don't know/Refused to answer 20% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

33 Batken Oblast If the parliamentary elections were held today, for which party would you vote? (Spontaneous response)

I would vote “against all” 15%

Butun Kyrgyzstan 9%

Birimdik 8%

Ata-Jurt 3%

SDPK 3%

Onuguu-Progress 2%

Bir-Bol 2%

Ata-Meken 1%

Respublika 1%

Ak-Shumkar 1%

Not decided yet 13%

Would not vote 5%

Don't know/Refused to answer 37%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

34 Osh City If the parliamentary elections were held today, for which party would you vote? (Spontaneous response)

Respublika 25%

Ata-Jurt 18%

Ata-Meken 16%

Onuguu-Progress 13%

Butun Kyrgyzstan 11%

Mekenim Kyrgyzstan 5%

Mekenchil 3%

Kyrgyzstan 3%

I would vote “against all” 2%

Would not vote 2%

Don't know/Refused to answer 3%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

35 Which politicians or public persons do you trust the most? (Spontaneous response; up to three responses permitted) Babanov O 10% 4% 2% 16% Tashiev K 7% 4% 1% 12% Madumarov A 6% 3% 2% 11% Zhaparov S 3% 3% 1% 7% Akaev J 3% 3% 2% 8% Tekebaev O 3% 2% 1% Jeenbekov S 4% 1% <1% Surabaldieva E 1% 2% 1% Bekeshev D 2% 1% 1% Mombekov R 2% 2% 1% Torobaev B 2% 1% <1% Moldokmatova A 1%1% <1% Jeenbekov A 1%1% 1% Berdaliev B 1%1% 1% Sarybashev T 2%1% <1% Sulaimanova A 1%1% <1% Kochorov U 1%1% <1% Isakov S 1%1% 1% Atambaev A 1% <1%<1% Other 16% 11% 5% None/No such person 3% Don't know/Refused to answer 27% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% First Response Second Response Third Response 36 [For each attribute that a candidate may have], please tell me if it would make you more or less likely to vote for the candidate. Or, would it not matter?

Candidate is 35 years old or younger 46% 19% 32% 3%

Candatate is female 29% 24% 44% 3%

Candidate is from an opposition party 24% 22% 46% 8%

Candidate has never held office before 24% 30% 41% 5%

Candidate has a different ethnic background 11% 26% 58% 4%

Candidate has a different religion 11% 28% 57% 4%

Candidate is from the party in power 11% 41% 41% 7%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% More Less Not matter Don't know/Refused to answer 37 [For each attribute that a candidate may have], please tell me if it would make you more or less likely to vote for the candidate. Or, would it not matter? Candidate is 35 years old or younger All Respondents 46% 19% 32% 3% Age Groups Age 18-35 48% 17% 33% 2% Age 36-55 41% 22% 34% 2% Age 56 and older 48% 19% 27% 5% Gender Men 45% 16% 37% 2% Women 47% 22% 28% 3% Urbanicity Urban 49% 23% 27% 1% Rural 44% 17% 35% 4% Oblast/City Bishkek City 53% 18% 28% <1% Chui Oblast 48% 9% 30% 13% Issyk-Kul Oblast 71% 4% 1% Naryn Oblast 9% 40% Talas Oblast 66% 21% 13% Osh Oblast 33% 27% 39% 1% Jalal-Abad Oblast 56% 18% 22% 3% Batken Oblast 12% 13% 75% Osh City 22% 59% 19% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% More Less Not matter Don't know/Refused to answer 38 [For each attribute that a candidate may have], please tell me if it would make you more or less likely to vote for the candidate. Or, would it not matter? Candidate is 35 years old or younger

To what extent are you satisfied with the government’s response to the coronavirus? Satisfied 38% 26% 34% 2% <1% 33%

67%

Satisfied Not satisfied 50% 15% 31% 3% Not satisfied Don't know/Refused to answer

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

More Less Not matter Don't know/Refused to answer

39 [For each attribute that a candidate may have], please tell me if it would make you more or less likely to vote for the candidate. Or, would it not matter? Candidate is female All Respondents 29% 24% 44% 3% Age Groups Age 18-35 29% 24% 44% 3% Age 36-55 28% 21% 48% 3% Age 56 and older 33% 26% 38% 3% Gender Men 21% 25% 51% 2% Women 37% 22% 38% 3% Urbanicity Urban 38% 23% 39% <1% Rural 25% 24% 47% 4% Oblast/City Bishkek City 49% 9% 41% Chui Oblast 29% 20% 40% 12% Issyk-Kul Oblast 38% 11% 1% Naryn Oblast 16% 57% Talas Oblast 47% 15% 38% Osh Oblast 15% 28% 55% 2% Jalal-Abad Oblast 34% 38% 25% 3% Batken Oblast 3% 18% 79% Osh City 22% 51% 27% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% More Less Not matter Don't know/Refused to answer 40 [For each attribute that a candidate may have], please tell me if it would make you more or less likely to vote for the candidate. Or, would it not matter? Candidate is female

To what extent are you satisfied with the government’s response to the Coronavirus? Satisfied 25% 34% 39% 2% <1% 33%

67%

Satisfied Not satisfied 32% 19% 47% 3% Not satisfied Don't know/Refused to answer

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

More Less Not matter Don't know/Refused to answer

41 [For each attribute that a candidate may have], please tell me if it would make you more or less likely to vote for the candidate. Or, would it not matter? Candidate is from an opposition party All Respondents 24% 22% 46% 8% Age Groups Age 18-35 24% 24% 43% 8% Age 36-55 24% 18% 49% 8% Age 56 and older 26% 20% 46% 8% Gender Men 23% 21% 50% 6% Women 25% 22% 42% 10% Urbanicity Urban 33% 21% 38% 8% Rural 19% 22% 50% 8% Oblast/City Bishkek City 49% 11% 39% 1% Chui Oblast 9% 15% 45% 31% Issyk-Kul Oblast 28% 16% 11% Naryn Oblast 13% 73% 2% Talas Oblast 34% 19% 47% Osh Oblast 22% 25% 50% 3% Jalal-Abad Oblast 26% 33% 31% 10% Batken Oblast 7% 8% 84% 1% Osh City 11% 62% 27% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% More Less Not matter Don't know/Refused to answer 42 [For each attribute that a candidate may have], please tell me if it would make you more or less likely to vote for the candidate. Or, would it not matter? Candidate is from an opposition party

To what extent are you satisfied with the government’s response to the coronavirus? Satisfied 21% 27% 45% 7% <1% 33%

67%

Satisfied Not satisfied 26% 19% 46% 9% Not satisfied Don't know/Refused to answer

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

More Less Not matter Don't know/Refused to answer

43 [For each attribute that a candidate may have], please tell me if it would make you more or less likely to vote for the candidate. Or, would it not matter? Candidate has never held office before All Respondents 24% 30% 41% 5% Age Groups Age 18-35 23% 32% 41% 5% Age 36-55 24% 30% 42% 4% Age 56 and older 27% 26% 41% 6% Gender Men 20% 29% 47% 3% Women 27% 31% 35% 6% Urbanicity Urban 27% 34% 36% 3% Rural 22% 28% 44% 6% Oblast/City Bishkek City 33% 27% 39% 2% Chui Oblast 27% 19% 38% 16% Issyk-Kul Oblast 24% 17% 8% Naryn Oblast 32% 62% Talas Oblast 23% 40% 37% Osh Oblast 20% 38% 40% 1% Jalal-Abad Oblast 28% 37% 29% 6% Batken Oblast 9% 14% 77% Osh City 22% 53% 24% 2% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% More Less Not matter Don't know/Refused to answer 44 [For each attribute that a candidate may have], please tell me if it would make you more or less likely to vote for the candidate. Or, would it not matter? Candidate has never held office before

To what extent are you satisfied with the government’s response to the coronavirus? Satisfied 20% 38% 39% 3% <1% 33%

67%

Satisfied Not satisfied 26% 26% 43% 5% Not satisfied Don't know/Refused to answer

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

More Less Not matter Don't know/Refused to answer

45 [For each attribute that a candidate may have], please tell me if it would make you more or less likely to vote for the candidate. Or, would it not matter? Candidate has a different ethnic background All Respondents 11% 26% 58% 4% Age Groups Age 18-35 12% 28% 56% 4% Age 36-55 11% 23% 62% 4% Age 56 and older 8% 27% 61% 5% Gender Men 9% 26% 61% 3% Women 13% 27% 56% 5% Urbanicity Urban 12% 25% 61% 2% Rural 10% 27% 57% 6% Oblast/City Bishkek City 16% 19% 64% 1% Chui Oblast 4% 19% 63% 14% Issyk-Kul Oblast 7% 27% 5% Naryn Oblast 24% 66% Talas Oblast 21% 17% 62% Osh Oblast 8% 30% 60% 2% Jalal-Abad Oblast 19% 32% 44% 5% Batken Oblast 2% 15% 83% Osh City 11% 63% 26% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% More Less Not matter Don't know/Refused to answer 46 [For each attribute that a candidate may have], please tell me if it would make you more or less likely to vote for the candidate. Or, would it not matter? Candidate has a different ethnic background

To what extent are you satisfied with the government’s response to the coronavirus? Satisfied 12% 32% 54% 2% <1% 33%

67%

Satisfied Not satisfied 11% 24% 61% 5% Not satisfied Don't know/Refused to answer

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

More Less Not matter Don't know/Refused to answer

47 [For each attribute that a candidate may have], please tell me if it would make you more or less likely to vote for the candidate. Or, would it not matter? Candidate has a different religion All Respondents 11% 28% 57% 4% Age Groups Age 18-35 12% 31% 53% 4% Age 36-55 9% 26% 61% 3% Age 56 and older 10% 27% 58% 5% Gender Men 10% 31% 56% 3% Women 12% 26% 57% 5% Urbanicity Urban 12% 27% 60% 1% Rural 11% 29% 55% 6% Oblast/City Bishkek City 11% 19% 70% <1% Chui Oblast 5% 16% 63% 15% Issyk-Kul Oblast 8% 44% 1% Naryn Oblast 38% 57% Talas Oblast 8% 30% 62% Osh Oblast 8% 33% 58% 1% Jalal-Abad Oblast 21% 24% 48% 7% Batken Oblast 4% 36% 60% Osh City 23% 56% 21% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% More Less Not matter Don't know/Refused to answer 48 [For each attribute that a candidate may have], please tell me if it would make you more or less likely to vote for the candidate. Or, would it not matter? Candidate has a different religion

To what extent are you satisfied with the government’s response to the coronavirus? Satisfied 12% 32% 54% 2% <1% 33%

67%

Satisfied Not satisfied 11% 24% 61% 5% Not satisfied Don't know/Refused to answer

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

More Less Not matter Don't know/Refused to answer

49 [For each attribute that a candidate may have], please tell me if it would make you more or less likely to vote for the candidate. Or, would it not matter? Candidate is from the party in power All Respondents 11% 41% 41% 7% Age Groups Age 18-35 10% 42% 41% 7% Age 36-55 12% 40% 42% 6% Age 56 and older 10% 42% 39% 9% Gender Men 9% 42% 44% 5% Women 12% 40% 39% 9% Urbanicity Urban 8% 53% 36% 4% Rural 12% 35% 44% 8% Oblast/City Bishkek City 3% 63% 34% <1% Chui Oblast 4% 42% 31% 24% Issyk-Kul Oblast 11% 36% 10% Naryn Oblast 50% 48% Talas Oblast 2% 64% 34% Osh Oblast 23% 32% 43% 3% Jalal-Abad Oblast 18% 34% 39% 9% Batken Oblast 3% 13% 84% Osh City 13% 58% 29% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% More Less Not matter Don't know/Refused to answer 50 [For each attribute that a candidate may have], please tell me if it would it make you more or less likely to vote for the candidate. Or, would it not matter? Candidate is from the party in power

To what extent are you satisfied with the government’s response to the coronavirus? Satisfied 18% 36% 42% 3% <1% 33%

67%

Satisfied Not satisfied 7% 44% 41% 8% Not satisfied Don't know/Refused to answer

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

More Less Not matter Don't know/Refused to answer

51 Have you changed your address in order to vote in this year’s elections?

1% 2%

Yes, I changed my address for the upcoming elections.

No, I have not recently changed my address.

Don't know/Refused to answer

97%

52 Demographics Demographics

70% 64%

60%

51% 51% 50% 49%

40% 36% 32% 30%

20% 19% 20% 18% 17% 15%

10% 8% 8% 4% 4% 5%

0%

Men

Rural

Urban

Women

Osh Osh City

Age18-24 Age25-34 Age35-44

Osh Osh Oblast

ChuiOblast

BishkekCity

TalasOblast

Naryn Oblast Naryn

Batken Batken Oblast

Issyk-Kul Oblast Issyk-Kul Jalal-Abad Jalal-Abad Oblast Gender Age Urbanicity Region

54 Demographics

60% 54%

50% 45% 41% 40% 40% 37% 30% 30%

18% 20% 15% 15%

10% 4% <1% <1%

0%

Adequate

Employed

Secondary

Subsistence

Unemployed

Barely Barely subsistence

Less than secondary than Less

More than More adequate

Technical/Lyceum/College

Complete/incomplet Higher Complete/incomplet

Don't know/refused to answer know/refused to Don't Don't know/Refused to know/Refused answer Don't Educational Attainment Household Financial Status Employment Status

55 Demographics

100% 89% 90% 80% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 15% 10% 5% 4% 4% 1% 2% 1% <1% <1%

0%

Other Other

Uzbek Uzbek

Uighur

Kyrgyz Kyrgyz

Russian Russian

Don't know/Refused to answer know/Refused Don't Don't know/Refused to know/Refused answer Don't What is your ethnicity? What is the main language you speak at home?

56 Center for Insights in Survey Research 202.408.9450 | [email protected] www.IRI.org | @IRI_Polls