The Cuban Piece in China’s Puzzle: T he Second Cuban Missile Crisis (CMC2) “To Win Without Fighting is Best” -Sun Tzu By Ilario Pantano
[email protected] Page 1 of 12 The Cuban Piece in China’s Puzzle: The Second Cuban Missile Crisis December 4,2009 “the essence of [active defense] is to take the initiative and to annihilate the enemy…While strategically the guideline is active defense, [in military campaigns] the emphasis is placed on taking the initiative in active offense. Only in this way can the strategic objective of active defense be realized.” -People!s liberation Army (PLA), Science of Campaigns, 20001 The Scenario : The cavernous Ilyushin Il-76 cargo jets bleed out red light in the predawn as the tail sections part. Ramps are deployed quietly. The humidity level is high and some of the diesel engines struggle to life, but within moments of their arrival large dark trucks begin rolling out of the winged behemoths and onto the tarmac. 30 minutes later the trucks have been guided to their destinations led by blacked out vehicles with taped-over brake lights. For months planes and ships had been arriving on a regular schedule delivering bicycles and flat screen TVs. Hundreds of brightly painted ‘Yutong’ buses have rolled off of container ships, but not all the loads shuttled through the Cuban ports were benign. With a series of midnight flights and inconspicuous freight containers, the Chinese had succeeded in turning Cuba into the world’s largest sea-based weapons platform. The offensive strike capability wouldn’t be the traditional (and vulnerable) piloted jets, but rather thousands of mobile ballistic missiles and remotely controlled Unmanned Combat Air Vehicles (UCAVs).