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Memorandum of Discussion
MEMORANDUM OF DISCUSSION A meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee was held in the offices of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System in Washington, D. C., on Monday, November 27, 1967, at 9:30 a.m., at the call of Chairman Martin. PRESENT: Mr. Martin, Chairman 1/ Mr. Brimmer Mr. Francis Mr. Maisel Mr. Mitchell Mr. Robertson Mr. Scanlon Mr. Sherrill Mr. Swan Mr. Wayne 1/ Messrs. Ellis, Hickman, and Galusha, Alternate Members of the Federal Open Market Committee Mr. Irons, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Mr. Holland, Secretary Mr. Sherman, Assistant Secretary Mr. Kenyon, Assistant Secretary Mr. Broida, Assistant Secretary Mr. Hackley, General Counsel Mr. Brill, Economist Messrs. Baughman, Garvy, Hersey, Koch, Partee, and Solomon, Associate Economists Mr. Holmes, Manager, System Open Market Account Mr. Cardon, Legislative Counsel, Board of Governors Mr. Fauver, Assistant to the Board of Governors Mr, Williams, Adviser, Division of Research and Statistics, Board of Governors Mr. Reynolds, Adviser, Division of International Finance, Board of Governors 1/ Left the meeting at the point indicated. 11/27/67 -2 Mr. Axilrod, Associate Adviser, Division of Research and Statistics, Board of Governors Miss Eaton, General Assistant, Office of the Secretary, Board of Governors Miss McWhirter, Analyst, Office of the Secretary, Board of Governors Messrs. Bilby, Eastburn, Mann, Brandt, and Tow, Vice Presidents of the Federal Reserve Banks of New York, Philadelphia, Cleveland, Atlanta, and Kansas City, respectively Mr. MacLaury, Assistant Vice President, Federal Reserve Bank of New York Mr. Deming, Manager, Securities Department, Federal Reserve Bank of New York Mr. -
Studies in Applied Economics
SAE./No.128/October 2018 Studies in Applied Economics THE BANK OF FRANCE AND THE GOLD DEPENDENCY: OBSERVATIONS ON THE BANK'S WEEKLY BALANCE SHEETS AND RESERVES, 1898-1940 Robert Yee Johns Hopkins Institute for Applied Economics, Global Health, and the Study of Business Enterprise The Bank of France and the Gold Dependency: Observations on the Bank’s Weekly Balance Sheets and Reserves, 1898-1940 Robert Yee Copyright 2018 by Robert Yee. This work may be reproduced or adapted provided that no fee is charged and the proper credit is given to the original source(s). About the Series The Studies in Applied Economics series is under the general direction of Professor Steve H. Hanke, co-director of The Johns Hopkins Institute for Applied Economics, Global Health, and the Study of Business Enterprise. About the Author Robert Yee ([email protected]) is a Ph.D. student at Princeton University. Abstract A central bank’s weekly balance sheets give insights into the willingness and ability of a monetary authority to act in times of economic crises. In particular, levels of gold, silver, and foreign-currency reserves, both as a nominal figure and as a percentage of global reserves, prove to be useful in examining changes to an institution’s agenda over time. Using several recently compiled datasets, this study contextualizes the Bank’s financial affairs within a historical framework and argues that the Bank’s active monetary policy of reserve accumulation stemmed from contemporary views concerning economic stability and risk mitigation. Les bilans hebdomadaires d’une banque centrale donnent des vues à la volonté et la capacité d’une autorité monétaire d’agir en crise économique. -
Measuring the Natural Rate of Interest: International Trends and Determinants
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF SAN FRANCISCO WORKING PAPER SERIES Measuring the Natural Rate of Interest: International Trends and Determinants Kathryn Holston and Thomas Laubach Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System John C. Williams Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco December 2016 Working Paper 2016-11 http://www.frbsf.org/economic-research/publications/working-papers/wp2016-11.pdf Suggested citation: Holston, Kathryn, Thomas Laubach, John C. Williams. 2016. “Measuring the Natural Rate of Interest: International Trends and Determinants.” Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco Working Paper 2016-11. http://www.frbsf.org/economic-research/publications/working- papers/wp2016-11.pdf The views in this paper are solely the responsibility of the authors and should not be interpreted as reflecting the views of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco or the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. Measuring the Natural Rate of Interest: International Trends and Determinants∗ Kathryn Holston Thomas Laubach John C. Williams December 15, 2016 Abstract U.S. estimates of the natural rate of interest { the real short-term interest rate that would prevail absent transitory disturbances { have declined dramatically since the start of the global financial crisis. For example, estimates using the Laubach-Williams (2003) model indicate the natural rate in the United States fell to close to zero during the crisis and has remained there into 2016. Explanations for this decline include shifts in demographics, a slowdown in trend productivity growth, and global factors affecting real interest rates. This paper applies the Laubach-Williams methodology to the United States and three other advanced economies { Canada, the Euro Area, and the United Kingdom. -
The Future of Europe the Eurozone and the Next Recession Content
April 2019 Chief Investment Office GWM Investment Research The future of Europe The Eurozone and the next recession Content 03 Editorial Publication details This report has been prepared by UBS AG and UBS Switzerland AG. Chapter 1: Business cycle Please see important disclaimer and 05 Cyclical position disclosures at the end of the document. 08 Imbalances This report was published on April 9 2019 10 Emerging markets Authors Ricardo Garcia (Editor in chief) Chapter 2: Policy space Jens Anderson Michael Bolliger 14 Institutional framework Kiran Ganesh Matteo Ramenghi 16 Fiscal space Roberto Scholtes Fabio Trussardi 19 Monetary space Dean Turner Thomas Veraguth Thomas Wacker Chapter 3: Impact Contributors Paul Donovan 23 Bond markets Elisabetta Ferrara Tom Flury 26 Banks Bert Jansen Claudia Panseri 29 Euro Achim Peijan Louis Pfau Giovanni Staunovo Themis Themistocleous Appendix Desktop Publishing 32 The evolution of the EU: A timeline Margrit Oppliger 33 Europe in numbers Cover photo 34 2020–2025 stress-test scenario assumptions Gettyimages Printer Neidhart + Schön, Zurich Languages English, German and Italian Contact [email protected] Order or subscribe UBS clients can subscribe to the print version of The future of Europe via their client advisor or the Printed & Branded Products Mailbox: [email protected] Electronic subscription is also available via the Investment Views on the UBS e-banking platform. 2 April 2019 – The future of Europe Editorial “Whatever it takes.” These words of Mario Draghi’s marked the inflection point in the last recession and paved the way to the present economic recovery. But as the euro celebrates its 20th birthday, the world and investors are beset again by recessionary fears, with risks mounting and likely to continue doing so in the coming years. -
Anatomy of a Crisis
Page 7 Chapter 2 Munich: Anatomy of A Crisis eptember 28, 1938, “Black Wednesday,” dawned on a frightened Europe. Since the spring Adolf Hitler had spoken often about the Sudetenland, the western part of Czechoslovakia. Many of the 3 Smillion German-speaking people who lived there had complained that they were being badly mistreated by the Czechs and Slovaks. Cooperating closely with Sudeten Nazis, Hitler at first simply demanded that the Czechs give the German-speakers within their borders self-government. Then, he upped the ante. If the Czechs did not hand the Sudetenland to him by October 1, 1938, he would order his well-armed and trained soldiers to attack Czechoslovakia, destroy its army, and seize the Sudetenland. The Strategic Location of the Sudetenland Germany’s demand quickly reverberated throughout the European continent. Many countries, tied down by various commitments and alliances, pondered whether—and how—to respond to Hitler’s latest threat. France had signed a treaty to defend the Czechs and Britain had a treaty with France; the USSR had promised to defend Czechoslovakia against a German attack. Britain, in particular, found itself in an awkward position. To back the French and their Czech allies would almost guarantee the outbreak of an unpredictable and potentially ruinous continental war; yet to refrain from confronting Hitler over the Sudetenland would mean victory for the Germans. In an effort to avert the frightening possibilities, a group of European leaders converged at Munich Background to the Crisis The clash between Germany and Czechoslovakia over the Sudetenland had its origins in the Versailles Treaty of 1919. -
The Bulgarian Financial Crisis of 1996/1997
A Service of Leibniz-Informationszentrum econstor Wirtschaft Leibniz Information Centre Make Your Publications Visible. zbw for Economics Berlemann, Michael; Nenovsky, Nikolay Working Paper Lending of first versus lending of last resort: The Bulgarian financial crisis of 1996/1997 Dresden Discussion Paper Series in Economics, No. 11/03 Provided in Cooperation with: Technische Universität Dresden, Faculty of Business and Economics Suggested Citation: Berlemann, Michael; Nenovsky, Nikolay (2003) : Lending of first versus lending of last resort: The Bulgarian financial crisis of 1996/1997, Dresden Discussion Paper Series in Economics, No. 11/03, Technische Universität Dresden, Fakultät Wirtschaftswissenschaften, Dresden This Version is available at: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/48137 Standard-Nutzungsbedingungen: Terms of use: Die Dokumente auf EconStor dürfen zu eigenen wissenschaftlichen Documents in EconStor may be saved and copied for your Zwecken und zum Privatgebrauch gespeichert und kopiert werden. personal and scholarly purposes. Sie dürfen die Dokumente nicht für öffentliche oder kommerzielle You are not to copy documents for public or commercial Zwecke vervielfältigen, öffentlich ausstellen, öffentlich zugänglich purposes, to exhibit the documents publicly, to make them machen, vertreiben oder anderweitig nutzen. publicly available on the internet, or to distribute or otherwise use the documents in public. Sofern die Verfasser die Dokumente unter Open-Content-Lizenzen (insbesondere CC-Lizenzen) zur Verfügung gestellt haben sollten, -
Causes, Solutions and References for the Subprime Lending Crisis
Vol. 1, No. 2 International Journal of Economics and Finance Causes, Solutions and References for the Subprime Lending Crisis Caiying Tian School of Accounting, Shandong Economic University Ji’nan 250014, China E-mail: [email protected] Abstract The subprime lending crisis and a series of relative problems have aroused wide concerns by various governments, especially by financial institutions, which have begun to suspect the easy money policy, the risk regulation of financial institution, and the rating agency. Based on the analysis of the cause of the subprime lending crisis, using foreign solutions for references, some advices were proposed in the article for China to face the financial crisis, i.e. guiding by the Basel agreement, disposing the relationship between financial innovation and risk regulation, establishing the independent currency policy frame, and recovering the market liquidity and confidence. Keywords: Subprime lending crisis, Currency policy, Financial regulation 1. Cause of formation of US subprime lending crisis 1.1 Too easy-money policy The current fluctuation of financial market has been induced by the global easy monetary management since the beginning of the year of 2002. Easy currency policy, increasingly progressive financial technology, continually ascending risk burden and financial lever boosted the current mess together. Especially, when the prices of various assets rise, the international credit can be gained freely by a cheap price. These too easy global credit conditions reflect the mutual function among the currency policy, the exchange rate system selected by some countries (especially by the developing countries with abundant labor forces), and the important change of the global financial system. -
List of Certain Foreign Institutions Classified As Official for Purposes of Reporting on the Treasury International Capital (TIC) Forms
NOT FOR PUBLICATION DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY JANUARY 2001 Revised Aug. 2002, May 2004, May 2005, May/July 2006, June 2007 List of Certain Foreign Institutions classified as Official for Purposes of Reporting on the Treasury International Capital (TIC) Forms The attached list of foreign institutions, which conform to the definition of foreign official institutions on the Treasury International Capital (TIC) Forms, supersedes all previous lists. The definition of foreign official institutions is: "FOREIGN OFFICIAL INSTITUTIONS (FOI) include the following: 1. Treasuries, including ministries of finance, or corresponding departments of national governments; central banks, including all departments thereof; stabilization funds, including official exchange control offices or other government exchange authorities; and diplomatic and consular establishments and other departments and agencies of national governments. 2. International and regional organizations. 3. Banks, corporations, or other agencies (including development banks and other institutions that are majority-owned by central governments) that are fiscal agents of national governments and perform activities similar to those of a treasury, central bank, stabilization fund, or exchange control authority." Although the attached list includes the major foreign official institutions which have come to the attention of the Federal Reserve Banks and the Department of the Treasury, it does not purport to be exhaustive. Whenever a question arises whether or not an institution should, in accordance with the instructions on the TIC forms, be classified as official, the Federal Reserve Bank with which you file reports should be consulted. It should be noted that the list does not in every case include all alternative names applying to the same institution. -
Evaluating Information: Validity, Reliability, Accuracy, Triangulation
Chapter 7 Evaluating Information: Validity, Reliability, Accuracy, Triangulation Teaching and learning objectives: 1. To consider why information should be assessed 2. To understand the distinction between ‘primary’ and ‘secondary sources’ of information 3. To learn what is meant by the validity, reliability, and accuracy of information 4. To consider some warnings about ‘official data’ 5. To consider further the distinction between ‘facts’ and ‘truth’ 6. To understand the origin of triangulation and its application to research 7. To consider methods of sampling which can be used to collect data. ‘Do not feel absolutely certain of anything’. Bertrand Russell, 1951.1 Introduction In Chapter 6, you read how published research reports can be assessed. The research component analysis and Rose’s ABCDE model examined the completeness and coherence of the research process adopted. They also considered the validity or otherwise of the relationships between theory and hypothesis, concepts and indicators, empiric data and analysis, and conclusions. Research essentially involves the gathering or collection of data that addresses the research question and enables theory to be tested or developed. So the data from which answers to the research question are to be drawn must be appropriate in terms of its relevance and efficacy – ‘fitness for purpose’. Much of this information will be drawn from published sources [10:45 7/12/2007 5052-Pierce-Ch07.tex] Job No: 5052 Pierce: Research Methods in Politics Page: 79 79–99 80 Research Methods in Politics that will be supplemented as necessary by new information specially collected for the research project. So this chapter therefore suggests how best you can assess existing data and seek additional material. -
Sudden Stops and Currency Drops: a Historical Look
View metadata, citation and similar papers at core.ac.uk brought to you by CORE provided by Research Papers in Economics This PDF is a selection from a published volume from the National Bureau of Economic Research Volume Title: The Decline of Latin American Economies: Growth, Institutions, and Crises Volume Author/Editor: Sebastian Edwards, Gerardo Esquivel and Graciela Márquez, editors Volume Publisher: University of Chicago Press Volume ISBN: 0-226-18500-1 Volume URL: http://www.nber.org/books/edwa04-1 Conference Date: December 2-4, 2004 Publication Date: July 2007 Title: Sudden Stops and Currency Drops: A Historical Look Author: Luis A. V. Catão URL: http://www.nber.org/chapters/c10658 7 Sudden Stops and Currency Drops A Historical Look Luis A. V. Catão 7.1 Introduction A prominent strand of international macroeconomics literature has re- cently devoted considerable attention to what has been dubbed “sudden stops”; that is, sharp reversals in aggregate foreign capital inflows. While there seems to be insufficient consensus on what triggers such reversals, two consequences have been amply documented—namely, exchange rate drops and downturns in economic activity, effectively constricting domes- tic consumption smoothing. This literature also notes, however, that not all countries respond similarly to sudden stops: whereas ensuing devaluations and output contractions are often dramatic among emerging markets, fi- nancially advanced countries tend to be far more impervious to those dis- ruptive effects.1 These stylized facts about sudden stops have been based entirely on post-1970 evidence. Yet, periodical sharp reversals in international capital flows are not new phenomena. Leaving aside the period between the 1930s Depression and the breakdown of the Bretton-Woods system in 1971 (when stringent controls on cross-border capital flows prevailed around Luis A. -
The Discount Window Refers to Lending by Each of Accounts” on the Liability Side
THE DISCOUNT -WINDOW David L. Mengle The discount window refers to lending by each of Accounts” on the liability side. This set of balance the twelve regional Federal Reserve Banks to deposi- sheet entries takes place in all the examples given in tory institutions. Discount window loans generally the Box. fund only a small part of bank reserves: For ex- The next day, Ralph’s Bank could raise the funds ample, at the end of 1985 discount window loans to repay the loan by, for example, increasing deposits were less than three percent of total reserves. Never- by $1,000,000 or by selling $l,000,000 of securities. theless, the window is perceived as an important tool In either case, the proceeds initially increase reserves. both for reserve adjustment and as part of current Actual repayment occurs when Ralph’s Bank’s re- Federal Reserve monetary control procedures. serve account is debited for $l,000,000, which erases the corresponding entries on Ralph’s liability side and Mechanics of a Discount Window Transaction on the Reserve Bank’s asset side. Discount window lending takes place through the Discount window loans, which are granted to insti- reserve accounts depository institutions are required tutions by their district Federal Reserve Banks, can to maintain at their Federal Reserve Banks. In other be either advances or discounts. Virtually all loans words, banks borrow reserves at the discount win- today are advances, meaning they are simply loans dow. This is illustrated in balance sheet form in secured by approved collateral and paid back with Figure 1. -
'The Birth of the Euro' from <I>EUROPE</I> (December 2001
'The birth of the euro' from EUROPE (December 2001-January 2002) Caption: On the eve of the entry into circulation of euro notes and coins on January 1, 2002, the author of the article relates the history of the single currency's birth. Source: EUROPE. Magazine of the European Union. Dir. of publ. Hélin, Willy ; REditor Guttman, Robert J. December 2001/January 2002, No 412. Washington DC: Delegation of the European Commission to the United States. ISSN 0191- 4545. Copyright: (c) EUROPE Magazine, all rights reserved The magazine encourages reproduction of its contents, but any such reproduction without permission is prohibited. URL: http://www.cvce.eu/obj/the_birth_of_the_euro_from_europe_december_2001_january_2002-en-fe85d070-dd8b- 4985-bb6f-d64a39f653ba.html Publication date: 01/10/2012 1 / 5 01/10/2012 The birth of the euro By Lionel Barber On January 1, 2002, more than 300 million European citizens will see the euro turn from a virtual currency into reality. The entry into circulation of euro notes and coins means that European Monetary Union (EMU), a project devised by Europe’s political elite over more than a generation, has finally come down to the street. The psychological and economic consequences of the launch of Europe’s single currency will be far- reaching. It will mark the final break from national currencies, promising a cultural revolution built on stable prices, enduring fiscal discipline, and lower interest rates. The origins of the euro go back to the late 1960s, when the Europeans were searching for a response to the upheaval in the Bretton Woods system, in which the US dollar was the dominant currency.