Rethinking Offsetting for a Net Zero World

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Rethinking Offsetting for a Net Zero World Foreword 03 Lord Deben Net Zero explained 04 Professor Carly McLachlan e true price of fashion 08 Dr Patsy Perry Decoupling aviation and shipping 12 Professor Alice Larkin Rethinking osetting for a Net Zero world 16 Dr John Broderick, Dr Joe Blakey and Professor Matthew Paterson Small nuclear, big dierence? 20 Professor Richard Taylor e oshore wind challenge 24 Professor Mike Barnes Getting serious about CO 2 removal 29 Dr Claire Gough and Dr Andrew Wele Fixing the food chain; accountability in emissions 32 Professor Sarah Bridle Everyday water demand: How to reduce emissions in unseen sectors 35 Dr Claire Hoolohan and Dr Alison Browne Energy equity in the drive for Net Zero 39 Professor Stefan Bouzarovski and Professor Stephanie Pincetl F oreword Lord Deben he impacts of climate change are becoming ere is much work to do. Industries and businesses clear for all to see. Extreme weather events such must have long-term signals that encourage them to T as the recent ooding in the UK have brought invest in zero-carbon options. Partnerships will be home the risks of the changing climate. Scientists say needed across industry, academia, government and the with certainty that human activity lies behind these third sector to ensure new skills are developed to create changes. e need to act couldn’t be clearer. a net zero compatible workforce. Similar collaboration In June last year, the UK Parliament passed new is needed to deliver innovative solutions to some of the legislation on the advice of the Committee on Climate thorniest challenges we face, such as how to capture and Change, which I chair. It commits the UK to reduce store large amounts of CO 2. its greenhouse gas emissions to net zero by 2050. e Involving the public in the many changes ahead is pledges which have followed signal a clear ambition from critical. e net zero transition will not go unnoticed as local authorities, businesses and academic institutions to we shi to lower-carbon forms of heating in our homes, come together to help meet this vital goal. as we opt for electric rather than petrol and diesel Targets alone, however, are only an intention. ey vehicles, as we choose to walk and cycle more. require policies, informed by the best available evidence, at all begins this year, in the year of climate largely set by government, to deliver the UK’s net zero action. e private sector, academia, NGOs and transition over the next 30 years. e scale of action, and government must come together to ensure that the UK’s the level of coordination that entails across the public leadership on climate change is clear as we host the and private sectors, is challenging. Achieving net zero is pivotal UN Climate Summit in November in Glasgow. a must for our planet, but the shi away from fossil fuels is is our chance to show the world that we are serious will also modernise our economy, and bring cleaner air, about righting the wrongs of the past. It’s an opportunity more nutritious diets, new industries, and jobs. we must seize. Lord Deben is Chairman of the Committee on Climate Change. He was the UK’s longest-serving Secretary of State for the Environment (1993 to 1997). He has held several other high-level ministerial posts, including Secretary of State for Agriculture, Fisheries and Food (1989 to 1993), and has consistently championed the strong links between environmental concerns and business interests. 2 3 Net Zero explained Professor Carly McLachlan he Paris Agreement commits us to keeping heating and industry have proven much more stubborn Our plans for net zero must be and osetting schemes is that their consideration may the global temperature rise this century to reduce. e Committee on Climate Change (CCC) explicit on the balance between stie the changes to policy, regulation and investment to 'well below' 2°C above pre-industrial track 24 indicators to assess progress on climate action required to get to absolute zero. is is exacerbated T emissions reduction and GGR and levels and to pursue eorts to limit the increase to in the UK. In their latest progress report they found if cheap, and potentially unveried, oset products 1.5°C. e Intergovernmental Panel on Climate that only seven of these were on track and of these, how both of these elements will be are available on the market and if economic models Change Report on 1.5°C made clear that climate only two were outside of the power sector. On a global sustainably delivered. assume that GGR can be delivered for a lower cost impacts are already being experienced as a result of scale emissions continue to rise, despite decades than emissions reductions. For example, the United the approximately 1°C of warming that has already of international commitments, increasingly stark States and Saudi Arabia arguing against the adoption occurred. e dierences in impacts between warnings about climate impacts, and announcements of through international osets. Net zero intuitively of language stressing the need for removals to be 1.5°C and 2°C are stark, and yet so far, the specic ambitious plans and targets. sounds like a stronger commitment than the UK additional rather than alternatives to emissions commitments made globally on reducing emissions Against this backdrop the UK has recently adopted previously made. However, there are a number of risks reduction at the UN Environmental Assembly. Here align with approximately 3°C of warming. a target of reaching net zero GHG emissions by 2050, and challenges that this new terminology presents we have clear evidence at an international scale of e UK is widely seen as being at the vanguard replacing the previous target of an 80% reduction by that we must tackle head on to ensure a net zero target GGR being used to justify continued investment and of international climate policy and action. It was the 2050 based on 1990 levels. is change followed the supports a more ambitious programme of climate expansion of fossil fuels internationally. rst country to adopt legally binding climate change CCC’s Net Zero Report which analysed the need for, action than the one it replaces. Focusing on net zero could also be a potential targets through the Climate Change Act in 2008. Based and benets of, targeting net zero emissions by 2050, as deterrent to fully utilising our GGR or carbon on emissions here in the UK (including international well as the challenges in meeting such a commitment. What should be prioritised? sink capacity. For example, e National Trust has aviation and shipping), the UK has achieved a 40% We must resist the urge to think only about the net recently announced ambitious tree planting and land reduction in greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions What does Net Zero mean? zero target date. We need to focus not just on getting to management schemes to lock up carbon. However, (at since 1990. However, when we look at consumption e ‘net’ part of this term is vital because it combines zero, but our pathway of emissions reduction. To limit least for now) they articulate this ambition in terms emissions (including the emissions embedded in goods into a single term goals of both reducing our emissions temperature increases in line with the Paris Agreement, of balancing their own organisational emissions, and services that we buy from other countries) our total and providing emissions ‘removals’ so that overall this signicant and rapid cuts in emissions are needed now. hitting net zero in 2030 and committing to meeting emissions are about 50% larger than the emissions here balances to zero. ere are a variety of technologies and For example, our work setting local authority level the CCC goal of 17% of forest land cover nationally. in the UK. e data for these ‘consumption emissions’ practices proposed which have the potential to remove energy-only carbon budgets has indicated the need for To fully exploit the potential climate benet from our only starts in 1997, and since then we’ve only managed CO 2 from the atmosphere. e rationale for including 10-15% per annum reductions for Greater Manchester land, some organisations may have to be supported to around a 10% reduction. GGR (Greenhouse Gas Removal) in a plan for net zero to be aligned with the Paris Agreement commitments. become ‘net negative’. e vast majority of our emissions reductions is that there are some sectors that prove very dicult e UK’s net zero 2050 goal refers to all greenhouse have come from the power sector; food, mobility, or even impossible to reduce completely to zero, as gases – but some sectors, for example, road transport What can be done? identied by colleagues in the article ‘Rethinking and electricity, can and will need to move faster. Our plans for net zero must be explicit on the balance osetting for a Net Zero world.’ between emissions reduction and GGR and how both e UK’s net zero 2050 goal e CCC plan recommends that the UK should GGR and emissions reductions; a joined up approach of these elements will be sustainably delivered. Just refers to all greenhouse gases – deliver these GGRs within national borders. Such an Whilst some sectors will not be able to reach zero, as many organisations or sectors may have thought approach supports the UK taking responsibility and we must remember that many sectors do have the they were in the 20% remaining emissions of the but some sectors can and will control over the contribution we make to climate potential to get to, or very close to, ‘absolute zero,’ such previous 80% by 2050 target, there is now a risk that need to move faster.
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