Planting Trees to Mitigate Climate Change: Policy Incentives Could Lead to Increased Carbon Sequestration
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PNW Pacific Northwest Research Station INSIDE Modeling Carbon Sequestration . 2 Possible Paths . 3 How to Increase Carbon Sequestration . 4 What’s Next . 5 FINDINGS issue two hundred thirty-six / february 2021 “Science affects the way we think together.” Lewis Thomas Planting Trees to Mitigate Climate Change: Policy Incentives Could Lead to Increased Carbon Sequestration IN SUMM A RY The 741 million acres of forestland in the United States play a role in mitigating the effects of climate change by sequestering nearly 16 percent of the atmospheric car- bon dioxide emissions produced annually in our country. Reducing the conversion of forestland to other uses and planting even more trees, whether through affor- estation or reforestation, would increase the nation’s carbon storage capacity. The U.S. Department of Agriculture USDA Natural USDA ResourceConservation Service (USDA) has several incentive programs to accomplish these goals. Researchers with the USDA Forest Ser- vice and Portland State University mod- eled various scenarios to determine how carbon sequestration would increase if the agency increased its financial investment in these tree planting and forest conserva- tion programs. They also modeled how a A private tree farm in western Oregon. Trees can mitigate climate change by absorbing atmospheric carbon. 10-percent reduction in the area burned Carbon remains sequestered in any wood product for the life of that product. by stand-replacing wildfires could affect carbon sequestration. Because increasing “People acting together as a group Atlantic Ocean; it’s estimated that 850,000 tons levels of atmospheric carbon has a social can accomplish things which no of topsoil was lost. cost, they calculated the monetary value of the carbon sequestrated. individual acting alone Through the Prairie States Forestry Project, could ever hope to bring about.” Roosevelt wanted to create a shelterbelt of trees The research team found that afforesta- —Franklin Roosevelt and shrubs spanning from the Canadian border tion and reforestation policies yielded the to the Texas Panhandle. Carrying out this project greatest return in carbon sequestration. By n 1935, President Franklin Roosevelt initi- was a multiagency effort that involved the U.S. 2050, 469 teragrams (Tg) of carbon diox- ated a groundbreaking project, literally, Forestry Service (later named the U.S. Forest ide equivalent per year (CO2 eq/yr) could I in the hopes of stemming an ongoing Service), the Works Progress Administration, be sequestered compared to a baseline ecological disaster. Over the previous 4 years, and the Civilian Conservation Corps. By the scenario of 323 Tg CO2 eq/yr. They esti- the Midwest and Great Plains experienced end of 1930s, 250 million trees were planted, mated the cost of expanding afforestation reoccurring annual droughts. With the prairies resulting in more than 18,000 miles of shel- and reforestation programs at $6.5 billion, now converted to fields of wheat and other terbelts across the Midwest and Great Plains. far less than the estimated $93.6 billion in agricultural crops that weren’t drought toler- Many of these legacy shelterbelts remain on monetary benefits that the increased car- ant, the crops withered and died. Without roots the landscape. Several U.S. Department of bon sequestration from expanding these to retain the topsoil, dust storms carried it as Agriculture (USDA) programs, such as the programs was projected to yield. far away as New York City and even out to the Natural Resources Conservation Service and Farm Service Agency’s Conservation Reserve Program, encourage farmers and landowners to KEY FINDINGS maintain or plant new windbreaks. Subsequent research has shown that the economic benefits of windbreaks, such as increased crop yield and • Modeling showed that the greatest gains in carbon sequestration and monetary benefit livestock protection during the winter, outweigh resulted from increasing afforestation and reforestation efforts, followed by reducing the economic value of using the land for agri- forestland development. Reducing the area burned by stand-replacing wildfire by 10 cultural uses. percent yielded the smallest gains in sequestered carbon. Now, nearly 90 years later, trees are once again seen as a solution to an ecological disaster. • By 2050, afforestation and reforestation policies could increase carbon sequestra- Climate change, caused by increased levels of tion from a baseline scenario of 323 to 469 teragrams of carbon dioxide equivalent carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gasses per year. This increase is equivalent to the amount of carbon emissions produced to in the atmosphere from human activities, is power 17 million homes in a year, according to the Environmental Protection Agency resulting in an increased frequency and sever- Greenhouse Gas Equivalents Calculator. ity of natural disasters, such as hurricanes and wildfires. And, there are societal costs associ- • The approximate cost of implementing the simulated afforestation and reforestation ated with these natural disasters: lives are lost, policy was estimated at $6.5 billion. This is about 7 percent of the estimated $93.6 bil- the health of millions can be affected by smoke lion in benefits projected to result from increasing the carbon sequestered in trees. inhalation and the stress of evacuation, fol- lowed by the costs of rebuilding. Trees can indirectly mitigate the effects of proposed Trillion Trees Act would “establish reached out to Chris Hartley in the USDA climate change by sequestering atmospheric forest management, reforestation, and utiliza- Office of Environmental Markets for assis- carbon as a product of photosynthesis, which tion practices which lead to the sequestration tance with a project they wanted to undertake. converts sunlight into energy by splitting a car- of greenhouse gases, and for other purposes.” “C-FARE wanted to put values on the benefi- bon dioxide molecule into its raw components. cial changes aside from production that result Yet, how much might the planting of more Oxygen is released into the atmosphere while from USDA conservation programs, focus- trees actually increase carbon sequestration? carbon is turned into a carbohydrate that is ing on benefits that either previously had not Coincidentally, 7 years prior to the launch of used to fuel growth. All plants sequester car- been measured or were difficult to measure,” the One Trillion Trees initiative, a research bon, but trees, due to their longevity and size, explains Luanne Lohr, Forest Service Research team from the USDA Forest Service and aca- are capable of sequestering significant volumes and Development’s national program lead for demia ran a hypothetical exercise to answer of carbon over the course of their lifetime. economic research. that question. There are calls to action both internationally Specifically, C-FARE was interested in and nationally to plant trees: the One Trillion Modeling Carbon explicitly linking the improvements in human Trees initiative calls for planting a trillion trees Sequestration well-being to improvements in ecosystems that worldwide by 2030. In the United States, the result from private sector adoption of USDA’s In spring 2016, Jeff Kline, a research for- incentive programs, such as the Conservation ester with the USDA Forest Service Pacific Reserve Program or the Environmental Northwest Research Station, and Robert Quality Incentives Program, and fed- Purpose of PNW Science Findings Haight, a research forester with the Forest eral investments in public lands. Eventually, To provide scientific information to people Service Northern Research Station, traveled C-FARE settled on creating case studies to who make and influence decisions about to Washington, D.C. for a meeting sponsored value pollinator habitat, forest carbon seques- managing land. by the Council on Food, Agriculture and tration, and water quality improvements. PNW Science Findings is published monthly by: Resource Economics (C-FARE). They were among 30 other scientists from around the “Chris and I were asked by C-FARE’s project Pacific Northwest Research Station country, primarily from federal agencies, leaders to recommend Forest Service research- USDA Forest Service whose expertise C-FARE sought. ers to lead the carbon sequestration study,” Lohr P.O. Box 3890 says. “That our researchers were sought out is a Portland, Oregon 97208 C-FARE is a nonprofit organization whose recognition that the Forest Service plays a really Send new subscription and change of address goals include connecting academic research important role in USDA as the authoritative information to: and extension agencies to policymakers. They source on carbon accounting and valuation.” [email protected] The Forest Service became the authoritative Rhonda Mazza, editor; [email protected] source on evaluating carbon and ecosystem Jason Blake, layout; [email protected] services on forestlands in part because of Pacific two pieces of legislation. The Multiple Use Coast To find Science Findings online, visit Sustained Yield Act of 1960 required national https://www.fs.usda.gov/pnw/ Rocky Mountain forests to be managed for both market benefits, and click on Publications. North such as timber production, and nonmarket ben- To become a digital subscriber, visit: efits, such as water quality, wildlife, and recre- https://www.fs.usda.gov/pnw/page/publica- South ation. The 2012 Forest Service Planning Rule tions-subscription recognized carbon sequestration as another United