Trends in the Stability of Antarctic Coastal Polynyas and the Role of Topographic Forcing Factors
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remote sensing Article Trends in the Stability of Antarctic Coastal Polynyas and the Role of Topographic Forcing Factors Liyuan Jiang 1,2, Yong Ma 1, Fu Chen 1,*, Jianbo Liu 1, Wutao Yao 1,2 , Yubao Qiu 1 and Shuyan Zhang 1,2 1 Aerospace Information Research Institute, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100094, China; [email protected] (L.J.); [email protected] (Y.M.); [email protected] (J.L.); [email protected] (W.Y.); [email protected] (Y.Q.); [email protected] (S.Z.) 2 School of Electronic, Electrical and Communication Engineering, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China * Correspondence: [email protected]; Tel.: +86-010-8217-8158 Received: 2 February 2020; Accepted: 18 March 2020; Published: 24 March 2020 Abstract: Polynyas are an important factor in the Antarctic and Arctic climate, and their changes are related to the ecosystems in the polar regions. The phenomenon of polynyas is influenced by the combination of inherent persistence and dynamic factors. The dynamics of polynyas are greatly affected by temporal dynamical factors, and it is difficult to objectively reflect the internal characteristics of their formation. Separating the two factors effectively is necessary in order to explore their essence. The Special Sensor Microwave/Imager (SSM/I) passive microwave sensor has been making observations of Antarctica for more than 20 years, but it is difficult for existing current sea ice concentration (SIC) products to objectively reflect how the inherent persistence factors affect the formation of polynyas. In this paper, we proposed a long-term multiple spatial smoothing method to remove the influence of dynamic factors and obtain stable annual SIC products. A halo located on the border of areas of low and high ice concentration around the Antarctic coast, which has a strong similarity with the local seabed in outline, was found using the spatially smoothed SIC products and seabed. The relationship of the polynya location to the wind and topography is a long-understood relationship; here, we quantify that where there is an abrupt slope and wind transitions, new polynyas are best generated. A combination of image expansion and threshold segmentation was used to extract the extent of sea ice and coastal polynyas. The adjusted record of changes in the extent of coastal polynyas and sea ice in the Southern Ocean indicate that there is a negative correlation between them. Keywords: Southern Ocean; coastal polynyas; SIC; seabed 1. Introduction Polynyas are mesoscale phenomena that occur in the polar regions, and are important features of sea ice cover. The term refers to an area of open water in sea ice that remains ice free or covered by thin ice for a long time under weather conditions where sea water can freeze. Their horizontal scale ranges from 0.1 to 100 km, with areas in the range 10 to 105 km2 [1–9]. Polynyas are sensitive to climate change, and play an important role in air–sea interactions [6,9–11], halocline maintenance [3,11], and biodiversity [12–16]. The formation and expansion of a polynya is accompanied by salt precipitation during the freezing of sea water. The low temperature and high brine concentration produced in this process are an important source of dense polar water masses [17–19]. Polynyas play an important role in affecting the exchange of heat and moisture between the sea and the air [20–22]. The heat loss over thin ice (the polynya) can be several or even hundreds of times higher than the heat loss over thick ice Remote Sens. 2020, 12, 1043; doi:10.3390/rs12061043 www.mdpi.com/journal/remotesensing Remote Sens. 2020, 12, 1043 2 of 21 (the sea ice) [23,24]. The open waters of polynyas are also important habitats for birds and marine mammals [8,25,26]. Depending on which mechanism forms and maintains polynyas in high latitude oceans, polynyas can be divided into open-ocean and coastal polynyas [1,7,27,28]. The formation of open-ocean polynyas is mainly due to a vertical circulation pattern, known as a "sensible-heat polynya" [1,27,29]. Due to continuous convective mixing, the heat from the upwelling deep warm water rises to the surface layer, which prevents the formation of sea ice. The surface-cooled seawater then sinks to the bottom of the ocean and is replaced by more rising warm water [27]. Due to the complexity of the influencing factors, the mechanisms behind the formation and maintenance of open-ocean polynyas are still not fully understood. The essence of a coastal polynya, in contrast, is a region where ice is constantly generated near the shore and is continuously carried out into the ocean by the action of local winds or ocean currents, which balances the loss of heat to the atmosphere and maintains the amount of heat in the open water at the same time [3,5,8,27,29,30]. The heat released into the atmosphere from coastal polynyas is derived from the heat that is lost from seawater in the form of "latent heat" during freezing. Therefore, this type of polynya is also called a "latent-heat polynya" [1,27,30]. Coastal polynyas in Antarctica play an important role in the production of highly saline and highly dense water, which has a profound impact on the formation of the Antarctic bottom water [18,19,31,32]. There are many factors that influence the formation and persistence of polynyas. Very recent studies have suggested that landfast sea ice (fast ice) plays an important role in the formation and variability of the polynyas [33]. Surface winds over Antarctica are closely related to the orientation and surface ice topography [34]. The Ross Shelf polynya (RSP) was inhibited by large icebergs, and the new polynyas formed downwind of the icebergs [35]. Within the ocean circulation, terrain obstacles can enhance the upward flow of warm deep water, which is an important factor in the formation and maintenance of polynyas [27]. Gordon [36] proposed that the formation of the Weddell Polynya in the Southern Ocean is the result of vertical convective mixing of ocean currents and surface-warming seawater caused by the underwater Maud Rise near the polynya. Alverson [37] used numerical methods to study the formation of polynyas under the influence of topographical factors, and found that local convection above seamounts is enhanced, and that the surface buoyancy flux can drive the convection of deep water. Based on the time scale involved, these influencing factors can be categorized as dynamic factors or persistent ones. The dynamic factors refer to temporary dynamical factors affecting the formation and maintenance of polynyas over a short period of time, including short-term variations in climatic conditions that are disturbance factors, such as the wind, surface ocean currents, and surface salinity. These factors have a large effect on studies of the secular variation in a polynya. The persistent factors refer to intrinsic persistent factors that act on polynyas for a long time; these include ocean thermodynamic processes [38,39], topography, and ocean dynamic processes [27,40,41]. Under the combined effect of these various factors, polynyas change constantly. Thanks to the progress of remote sensing technology, it is now possible to use satellite sensors to monitor sea ice. However, coastal polynyas in the Southern Ocean are small-scale features that are difficult to monitor from satellite microwave radiometry. It is common to estimate the area of polynyas from SIC maps by using an ice concentration threshold. Passive microwave sensors are not restricted by the time of day, or influenced by clouds, and they have better space time continuity, which is important in the monitoring of sea ice in the polar regions. Markus and Burns proposed a polynya signature simulation method (PSSM) to estimate subpixel-scale coastal polynyas with satellite passive microwave data [42]. Several studies have generated polynyas detection and ice production estimation using polarization ratios from radiometer data [43,44]. A recent paper used a combination of the thermal infrared and passive microwave data to retrieve the sea ice production in polynyas [45]. At present, many kinds of SIC products are obtained from passive microwave remote sensing data [46,47], which provide sufficient data for monitoring polynyas. However, due to the influence of dynamic factors, some daily SIC products may show abrupt changes from one day to the next, and monthly products may vary greatly due to short-term climate anomalies in certain months. Additionally, the daily and Remote Sens. 2020, 12, 1043 3 of 21 monthly products can only provide information about polynyas over a short period of time, making it difficult to analyze the long-term stability of polynyas. What is more, current research on the factors affecting polynyas is limited to local areas and most studies are based on the results of simulation tests. The persistent factors are the decisive factors affecting the long-term stability of polynyas. Therefore, how to effectively remove the influence of dynamic factors and analyze the persistent factors affecting polynya formation and maintenance is an urgent problem that needs to be solved. In the present study, we proposed a spatial-temporal smoothing strategy to obtain SIC products covering a period of one year (365 days) from which the dynamic factors were removed by making use of the SIC monitoring product for many years. A combination of the buffer clip and threshold segmentation was used to extract the area of sea ice and coastal polynyas. This paper analyzed the correlation between the formation and persistence of coastal polynyas and the local topography in the Southern Ocean, as well as changes in the long-term stability of the polynyas, which is affected by persistent factors.