Chapter 1

Deliang CHEN Maisa ROJAS Nares CHUERSUWAN Gabriele HEGERL Tetsuzo YASUNARI Sweden Chile Thailand UK/ Japan University Suranaree University of Research Ins tute for of Gothenburg University of Chile Technology Geosciences Humanity and Nature

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Kim COBB Aida DIONGUE NIANG Paul EDWARDS Seita EMORI Sergio Henrique FARIA United States of America Senegal United States of America Japan Spain/Brazil Agence Na onale de Georgia InstItute of l’Avia on Civile et de la Stanford University and Na onal Ins tute for BC3 - Basque Centre for Technology Mété orologie University of Michigan Environmental Studies Climate Change

Edward HAWKINS Pandora HOPE Philippe HUYBRECHTS Malte MEINSHAUSEN Sawsan MUSTAFA UK Australia Belgium Australia/Germany Sudan

University of Reading Bureau of Meteorology Vrije Universiteit Brussel The University of Ministry of Animal Melbourne Resources

Gian-Kasper PLATTNER Bjørn H. SAMSET Anne Marie TREGUIER Switzerland Norway Swiss Federal Research CICERO Center for Ins tute for Forest, Snow interna onal climate CNRS and Landscape research Chapter 2

Sergey GULEV Peter THORNE Timothy OSBORN Azar ZARRIN Jinho AHN Russian Federa on Ireland/UK UK Iran Republic of Korea Russian Academy of Ferdowsi University of Sciences Maynooth University University of East Anglia Mashhad Seoul Na onal University

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Kinfe BEYENE Frank DENTENER Ca a M. DOMINGUES Sebas an GERLAND Daoyi GONG Ethiopia /Netherlands Australia Norway/Germany China

Na onal Meteorological European Commission University of Tasmania Norwegian Polar Beijing Normal Agency Joint Research Centre Ins tute University

Darrell KAUFMAN Hyacinth NNAMCHI Johannes QUAAS Juan Antonio RIVERA Sharon SMITH United States of America Nigeria Germany Argen na Canada Ins tute for Snow Northern Arizona University of Nigeria University of Leipzig Research, Glaciology and Geological Survey of University Environmental Sciences Canada

Blair TREWIN Russell VOSE Australia United States of America

Bureau of Meteorology NOAA/NCEI Chapter 3

Veronika EYRING Nathan GILLETT Tomas HALENKA Jose Antonio Daniel MITCHELL Germany Canada Czech Republic MARENGO ORSINI UK Deutsches Zentrum für Environment and Climate Brazil/Peru Lu - und Raumfahrt e.V. Change Canada Charles University CEMADEN University of Bristol and University of Bremen (CLA) (CLA) (RE) (RE) (RE)

Krishna ACHUTA RAO Rondro ana Marcelo BARREIRO Nicolas BELLOUIN Christophe CASSOU India BARIMALALA PARRILLO UK/France France / Uruguay Indian Ins tute of Madagascar Universidad de la University of Reading Universite de Toulouse Tecnology University of Cape Town República

Paul DURACK Yu KOSAKA Shayne MCGREGOR Seung-Ki MIN Olaf MORGENSTERN United States of Japan Australia Republic of Korea New Zealand/Germany America/Australia Na onal Ins tute of Lawrence Livermore The University of Tokyo Monash University Pohang University of Water and Atmospheric Na onal Laboratory Science and Technology Research

Ying SUN China

China Meteorological Administra on Chapter 4

June-Yi LEE Jochem MAROTZKE Krishna Kumar KANIKI- Vladimir KATTSOV Masahide KIMOTO Republic of Korea Germany CHARLA Russian Federa on Japan Pusan Na onal Max Planck Ins tute for Qatar/India Federal Service for University Meteorology Qatar Meteorology Hydrometeorology and University of Tokyo Department Environmental Monitoring (CLA) (CLA) (RE) (RE) (RE)

Govindasamy BALA Long CAO Susanna CORTI John DUNNE Francois ENGELBRECHT India/United States of China Italy United States of America South Africa America Indian Ins tute of Zhejiang University Is tuto di Scienze NOAA Geophysical Fluid Council for Scien fi c and Science dell’Amosfera e del Clima Dynamics Laboratory Industrial Research

Erich FISCHER John FYFE Christopher JONES Amanda MAYCOCK Joseph MUTEMI Switzerland Canada UK UK Kenya

ETH Zurich Environment and Climate Met Offi ce Hadley Centre University of Leeds University of Nairobi Change Canada

Ousman NDIAYE Swapna PANICKAL Tianjun ZHOU Senegal India China Ins tute of Atmospheric Senegalese Na onal Civil Ins tute of Tropical Physics Avia on and Meterology Meteorology Chinese Academy of Sciences Chapter 5

Josep CANADELL Pedro Victor BROVKIN Richard FEELY Jose LARA LARA Australia SCHEEL MONTEIRO Germany/ United States of America Mexico Comonwealth Scien c South Africa Russian Federa on NOAA Pacifi c marine Ensenada Center for and Industrial CSIR Max Planck Ins tute for Environmental Scien fi c Research and Organiza on Meteorology Laboratory Higher Educa on (CLA) (CLA) (RE) (RE) (RE)

Marcos COSTA Le cia Peter COX Alexey V. ELISEEV Stephanie HENSON Brazil COTRIM DA CUNHA UK Russian Federa on UK Brazil The Federal University Universidade do Estado University of Exeter Moscow State University Na onal Oceanography of Viçosa do Rio de Janeiro Centre

Masao ISHII Samuel JACCARD Charles KOVEN Annalea LOHILA Prabir PATRA Japan Switzerland United States of America Finland Japan/India Japan Agency for Japan Meteorological University of Bern Lawrence Berkeley Finnish Meteorological Marine-Earth Science Agency Na onal Laboratory Ins tute and Technology

Shilong PIAO Joeri ROGELJ Stephen SYAMPUNGANI Sönke ZAEHLE Kirsten ZICKFELD China Austria/Belgium Zambia Germany Canada/Germany Interna onal Ins tute Peking University for Applied Systems Copperbelt University Max Planck Ins tute for Simon Fraser University Analysis Biogeochemistry Chapter 6

William COLLINS Hong LIAO Yugo KANAYA Michael PRATHER Nourredine YASSAA United States of America China Japan United States of America Algeria Lawrence Berkeley Nanjing University of Japan Agency for University of California Laboratory and Informa on Science and Marine-Earth Science Irvine Vice-Chair WGI University of California Technology and Technology (CLA) (CLA) (RE) (RE) (RE)

Bhupesh ADHIKARY Paulo Eduardo Terje BERNTSEN Sandro FUZZI Nepal ARTAXO NETTO Norway Italy Laura GALLARDO Interna onal Centre for Brazil Chile Integrated Mountain University of Oslo Ins tute of Atmospheric Development University of São Paulo Sciences and Climate University of Chile

Astrid KIENDLER-SCHARR Zbigniew KLIMONT Vaishali NAIK Sophie SZOPA Nadine UNGER Germany/Austria Poland United States of America France UK IEK-8: Troposphere For- Interna onal Ins tute Laboratoire des Sciences schungszentrum Jülich for Applied Systems GFDL/NOAA du Climat de University of Exeter GmbH Analysis (IIASA) l’Environnement

Prodromos ZANIS Greece

University of Thessaloniki Chapter 7

Piers FORSTER Trude STORELVMO Robert COLMAN H Damon MATTHEWS Venkatachalam UK Norway Australia Canada RAMASWAMY Australian Bureau of United States of America University of Leeds University of Oslo Meteorology Concordia University NOAA/ Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (CLA) (CLA) (RE) (RE) (RE)

Kyle ARMOUR William COLLINS Jean-Louis DUFRESNE David FRAME Daniel LUNT United States of America UK France New Zealand UK

University of Washington University of Reading LMD/IPSL , CNRS & Victoria University of University of Bristol UPMC Wellington

Thorsten MAURITSEN Ma hew PALMER Masahiro WATANABE Mar n WILD Hua ZHANG Sweden/Denmark UK Japan Switzerland China

Department for Me- Met Offi ce Hadley Centre University of Tokyo Ins tute for Atmospheric Na onal Climate Center teorology at Stockholm and Climate Science University Chapter 8

Hervé DOUVILLE Krishnan RAGHAVAN James RENWICK Pascale BRACONNOT Arona DIEDHIOU France India New Zealand France Cote d’Ivoire/Senegal Indian Ins tute of Tropi- Victoria University of Laboratoire des Sciences Université Félix Météo-France cal Meteorology Wellington du Climat et de Houphouet Boigny l’Environnement (CLA) (CLA) (CLA) (RE) (RE)

Richard ALLAN Paola A. ARIAS Mathew BARLOW Ruth CEREZO MOTA Annalisa CHERCHI UK Colombia United States of America Mexico Italy UNAM / Laboratory of University of Reading Universidad de An oquia University of Engineering and Coastal Fondazione CMCC/INGV Massachuse s Lowell Processes

Thian Yew GAN Joelle GERGIS Dabang JIANG Asif KHAN Mohamed MEDDI Canada/Malaysia Australia China Pakistan Algeria

University of Alberta University of Melbourne Chinese Academy of UET Peshawar and LUMS Na onal Higher School Sciences Lahore of Hydraulics of Blida

Wilfried POKAM MBA Daniel ROSENFELD Jessica TIERNEY Olga ZOLINA Cameroon Israel United States of America Russian Federa on

University of Yaounde 1 The Hebrew University University of Arizona P.P.Shirshov Ins tute of of Jerusalem Oceanology RAS Chapter 9

Baylor FOX-KEMPER Helene HEWITT Cunde XIAO Unnikrishnan ALAKKAT Benjamin HORTON United States of America UK China India Singapore/UK Beijing Normal CSIR-Na onal Ins tute of Nanyang Technological Brown University Met Offi ce Hadley Centre University Oceanography University

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Simon MARSLAND Guðfi nna Sybren DRIJFHOUT Tamsin EDWARDS Nicholas GOLLEDGE Australia AÐALGEIRSDÓTTIR Netherlands UK New Zealand/UK CSIRO Climate Science Iceland Centre Royal Netherlands King’s College London Victoria University of University of Iceland Meteorological Ins tute Wellington (RE)

Robert KOPP Gerhard KRINNER Anders LEVERMANN Alan MIX Dirk NOTZ United States of America France Germany United States of America Germany

Rutgers University Université Grenoble Potsdam Ins tute for Oregon State University Max Planck Ins tute for Alpes Climate Impact Research Meteorology

Intan NURHATI Lucas RUIZ Jean-Bap ste SALLEE Aimée SLANGEN Yongqiang YU Indonesia Argen na France Netherlands China NIOZ Royal Nether- Indonesian Ins tute of IANIGLA CCT-MENDOZA CNRS/Sorbonne lands Ins tute for Sea Ins tute of Atmospheric Sciences CONICET Université Research Physics Chapter 10

Francisco DOBLAS-REYES Bruce HEWITSON Greg FLATO Fredolin TANGANG Muhammad Irfan TARIQ Spain South Africa Canada Malaysia Pakistan ICREA and Barcelona Na onal University of Supercompu ng Center University of Cape Town Vice-Chair WGI Malaysia Vice-Chair WGI

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Mansour ALMAZROUI Alessandro DOSIO William GUTOWSKI Rein HAARSMA Rafi q HAMDI Saudi Arabia Italy United States of America Netherlands Belgium

King Abdulaziz University European Commission Iowa State University Royal Netherlands Royal Meteorological Joint Research Centre Meteorological Ins tute Ins tute of Belgium

Won-Tae KWON Benjamin LAMPTEY Douglas MARAUN Anna Amelia Tannecia STEPHENSON Republic of Korea Niger/Ghana Austria/Germany SÖRENSSON Jamaica African Centre of Argen na Jeju Research Ins tute Meteorological University of Graz Center for Ocean and University of the West Applica ons for Atmosphere Sciences Indies Development

Izuru TAKAYABU Laurent TERRAY Andrew TURNER Zhiyan ZUO Japan France UK China

Meteorological Research CECI, CERFACS/CNRS University of Reading Chinese Academy of Ins tute Meteorological Sciences Chapter 11

Sonia SENEVIRATNE Zhang XUEBIN Johnny CHAN Asgeir SORTEBERG Carolina VERA Switzerland Canada China Norway Argen na Ins tute for Atmospheric Climate Research Divi- City University of Hong and Climate Science sion, Environment and Kong University of Bergen Vice-Chair WGI Climate Change Canada (CLA) (CLA) (RE) (RE) (RE)

Muhammad ADNAN Wafae BADI Claudine DERECZYNSKI Alejandro DI LUCA Subimal GHOSH Pakistan Morocco Brazil Australia/Argen na India

Global Change Impact Moroccan Federal University of Rio University of New South Indian Ins tute of Studies Centre Meteorological Service de Janeiro Wales Technology Bombay

Lo i HALIMI Iskhaq ISKANDAR James KOSSIN Sophie LEWIS Friederike OTTO Algeria Indonesia United States of America Australia UK/Germany

Na onal Meteorological University of Sriwijaya NOAA/NCEI Center for University of New South University of Oxford Offi ce Weather and Climate Wales

Izidine PINTO Masaki SATOH Sergio M. Mickael WEHNER Botao ZHOU Mozambique Japan VICENTE-SERRANO United States of America China Spain Nanjing University of University of Cape Twon The University of Tokyo Spanish Na onal Lawrence Berkeley Informa on Science and Research Council Na onal Laboratory Technology Chapter 12

Roshanka RANASINGHE Alexander RUANE Robert VAUTARD Edvin ALDRIAN David KAROLY Netherlands/Sri Lanka/ United States of America France Indonesia Australia Australia NASA Goddard Ins tute Laboratoire des Sciences Australian Government IHE Del / for Space Studies du Climat et de Vice-Chair WGI Na onal Environment University of Twente l’Environnement Science Programme (CLA) (CLA) (CLA) (RE) (RE)

Murat TÜRKEŞ Meriem ALAOURI Nigel ARNELL Roxana BOJARIU Erika COPPOLA Turkey Morocco UK Romania Italy The Abdus Salam Boğaziçi University Direc on de la Météoro- University of Reading Na onal Meteorological Interna onal Centre for logie Na onale Administra on Theore cal Physics (RE)

Faye Abigail CRUZ Suraje DESSAI Akm Saiful ISLAM Mohammad RAHIMI Daniel RUIZ CARRASCAL Philippines UK/Portugal Bangladesh Iran Colombia Bangaldesh University Manila Observatory University of Leeds of Engineering and Semnan University Universidad EIA Technology

Jana SILLMANN Mouhamadou Bamba Claudia TEBALDI Rashyd ZAABOUL Norway/Germany SYLLA United States of America United Arab Emirates/ Burkina Faso/Senegal Morocco Center for Interna onal WASCAL Competence Na onal Center for Interna onal Center for Climate Research Center Atmospheric Research Biosaline Agriculture ATLAS

José Manuel GUTIÉRREZ Richard JONES Gemma Teresa NARISMA Ines CAMILLONI Jens Hesselbjerg Spain UK Philippines Argen na CHRISTENSEN Spanish Na onal University of Buenos Denmark Research Council Met Offi ce Hadley Centre Manila Observatory Aires University of Copenhagen

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Fa ma DRIOUECH Muhammad AMJAD Nana Ama Browne Svitlana KRAKOVSKA Jian LI Morocco Pakistan KLUTSE Ukraine China Ghana Ukrainian Vice-Chair WGI Global Change Impact Ghana Space Science and Hydrometeorological Chinese Academy of Studies Centre Technology Ins tute Ins tute Meteorological Sciences (RE)

Daniel Sebas an H. MERNILD Lincoln MUNIZ ALVES Bart VAN DEN HURK Jin-Ho YOON MARTÍNEZ-CASTRO Denmark Brazil Netherlands Republic of Korea Cuba Ins tuto de NERSC (Nansen Center) Na onal Ins tute for Royal Netherlands Me- Gwangju Ins tute of Meteorología Space Research teorological Ins tute Science and Technology IPCC Vice-Chairs, Working Group I Bureau and TSU

Ko BARRETT Thelma KRUG Youba SOKONA Valérie Panmao ZHAI IPCC Vice-Chair IPCC Vice-Chair IPCC Vice-Chair MASSON DELMOTTE Co-Chair Co-Chair

Fa ma DRIOUECH Edvin ALDRIAN Greg FLATO Jan FUGLESTEVDT Muhammad Irfan TARIQ WGI Vice-Chair WGI Vice-Chair WGI Vice-Chair WGI Vice-Chair WGI Vice-Chair

Wilfran Carolina VERA Nourredine YASSA Sarah CONNORS Anna PIRANI MOUFOUMA OKIA WGI Vice-Chair WGI Vice-Chair TSU Senior Science Head ot TSU TSU Head of Science Offi cer

Robin MATTHEWS Yang CHEN Rong YU Baiquan ZHOU Xiao ZHOU TSU Senior Science TSU Senior Science TSU Science Assistant Offi cer Offi cer TSU Science Assistant TSU Science Assistant

Melissa GOMIS Clo lde PEAN Elisabeth LONNOY Tim WATERFIELD TSU Graphics and Communica on Offi cer TSU Head of Opera ons TSU Project Assistant TSU IT Offi cer Chapter Scien sts

CHAPTER 1 CHAPTER 3 CHAPTER 4 CHAPTER 5 CHAPTER 6 Hui-Wen LAI Lisa BOCK Kyung-Sook YUN Alice LEBEHOT Chaincy KUO Sweden Germany South Africa USA Department of Earth Deutsches Zentrum für IBS Center for Climate University of Cape Town, Lawrence Berkeley Sciences, University of Lu - und Raumfahrt Physics (ICCP), Pusan Marine Research Ins - Na onal Laboratory Gothenburg Na onal University tute (Ma-Re)

CHAPTER 7 CHAPTER 7 CHAPTER 8 CHAPTER 9 CHAPTER 9 Kari ALTERSKJAR Chris SMITH Sabin THAZHE PURAYIL Lijuan HUA Tamzin PALMER Norway UK India China UK CICERO University of Leeds Indian Ins tute of Tro- Chinese Academy of Met Offi ce pical Meteorology, Mi- Meteorological Sciences nistry of Earth Sciences

CHAPTER 9 CHAPTER 11 CHAPTER 12 ATLAS Brodie PEARSON Hui WAN Carley ILES Emilie VANVYVE USA/UK Canada France/UK UK/Belgium Brown University Environment and Cli- LSCE - IPSL MET OFFICE mate Change / Govern- ment of Canada