Ⅱ. Lectures and Essays by the Winners of the Blue Planet Prize (2007-2011)
Total Page:16
File Type:pdf, Size:1020Kb
Load more
Recommended publications
-
Twenty-Fifth Session of the Committee on Sustainable Energy 28-30 September 2016, Geneva, United Nations, Palais Des Nations
CSE-25/2016/INF.7 Twenty-fifth session of the Committee on Sustainable Energy 28-30 September 2016, Geneva, United Nations, Palais des Nations BIOGRAPHY OF KEYNOTE SPEAKERS Dr. Volker Krey Deputy Program Director, Energy Program, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA) Volker Krey graduated in theoretical physics from the University of Dortmund (Germany) in 2002. In 2003, he joined the Institute of Energy Research - Systems Analysis and Technology Evaluation of the Research Centre Julich, where he continued to work until 2007. Since 2006, he has held a PhD in mechanical engineering from the Ruhr-University of Bochum (Germany). Dr. Krey first visited IIASA as a participant of the Young Scientists Summer Program (YSSP) in 2004. He joined IIASA's Energy Program in October 2007 and since October 2011, is the Deputy Program Director. Dr. Krey's main fields of scientific interest are the integrated assessment of climate change and the energy challenges, including energy security and energy access. His work focuses on the development and application of integrated assessment models with different regional focuses (national to global scale) and time horizons. In addition, decision making under uncertainty, in particular in the context of future energy transitions and climate change mitigation strategies has been an important part of Dr. Krey's research activities. He has been appointed Lead Author of the recently published IPCC 5th Assessment Report of Working Group III, a Lead Author of the Global Energy Assessment (GEA), and a Lead Author of the IPCC Special Report on Renewable Energy Sources and Climate Change Mitigation. Since 2010, he has been an Associate Deputy Editor of the well-known journal Climatic Change. -
Fall-Winter 2004
Rocky Mountain Institute/volume xx #3/Fall-Winter 2004 RMIRMInewsletterSolutionsSolutions Checkmate, Oil Dependence T HE F INAL M OVEISONTHE WAY Winning the Oil Endgame will be officially released inning the Oil Endgame dictated by government for reasons of on 20 September. Here, we present the executive summary. offers a coherent strategy ideology. This roadmap is independ- For more information, Wfor ending oil dependence, ent, peer-reviewed, written for busi- please visit www.oilendgame.org. starting with the United States but ness and military leaders, and co-fund- applicable worldwide. There are ed by the Pentagon. It combines with uncommon public policies: mar- many analyses of the oil prob- innovative technologies and new ket-oriented without taxes, innova- lem. This synthesis is the first business models tion-driven without mandates, not roadmap of the oil solution— dependent on major (if any) national one led by business legislation, and designed to support, for profit, not not distort, business logic. Two centuries ago, the first indus- trial revolution made people a hundred times more productive, harnessed fossil energy for transport and The production, and nurtured the cover young U.S. economy. Then, over the art stylizes past 145 years, the Age of Oil brought the thirteenth unprecedented mobility, globe-span- game of the 1972 world title match ning military power, and amazing between Bobby Fischer synthetic products. (USA) and Boris Spassky (USSR). It shows the endgame But at what cost? Oil, which created position after 61. the sinews of our strength, is now Illustration: Ian Naylor, www.aircrew.co.uk CONTINUED ON NEXT PAGE Briefing the Homeowner. -
Winning the Oil Endgame: Innovation for Profits, Jobs, and Security Oil Dependence
“We’ve embarked on the beginning of the Last Days of the Age of Oil. Nations of the world that are striving to modernize will make choices different from the ones we have made. They will have to. And even today’s industrial powers will shift energy use patterns....[T]he market share for carbon-rich fuels will diminish, as the demand for other forms of energy grows. And energy companies have a choice: to embrace the future and recognize the growing demand for a wide array of fuels; or ignore reality, and slowly—but surely—be left behind.” —Mike Bowlin, Chairman and CEO, ARCO, and Chairman, American Petroleum Institute, 9 Feb. 1999 1 “My personal opinion is that we are at the peak of the oil age and at the same time the begin- ning of the hydrogen age. Anything else is an interim solution in my view. The transition will be very messy, and will take many and diverse competing technological paths, but the long- term future will be in hydrogen and fuel cells.” —Herman Kuipers, Business Team Manager, Innovation & Research, Shell Global Solutions, 1. Bowlin 1999. 21 Nov. 2000 2 2. Kuipers 2000. “The days of the traditional oil company are numbered, in part because of emerging technolo- gies such as fuel cells....” 3. Bijur, undated. — Peter I. Bijur, Chairman and CEO, Texaco, Inc., late 1990s 3 4. Ingriselli 2001. “Market forces, greenery, and innovation are shaping the future of our industry and propelling 5. Gibson-Smith 1998. us inexorably towards hydrogen energy. Those who don’t pursue it…will rue it.” — Frank Ingriselli, President, Texaco Technology 6. -
Peak Oil Strategic Management Dissertation
STRATEGIC CHOICES FOR MANAGING THE TRANSITION FROM PEAK OIL TO A REDUCED PETROLEUM ECONOMY BY SARAH K. ODLAND STRATEGIC CHOICES FOR MANAGING THE TRANSITION FROM PEAK OIL TO A REDUCED PETROLEUM ECONOMY BY SARAH K. ODLAND JUNE 2006 ORIGINALLY SUBMITTED AS A MASTER’S THESIS TO THE FACULTY OF THE DIVISION OF BUSINESS AND ACCOUNTING, MERCY COLLEGE IN PARTIAL FULFILLMENT OF THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THE DEGREE OF MASTER OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION, MAY 2006 TABLE OF CONTENTS Page LIST OF ILLUSTRATIONS AND CHARTS v LIST OF TABLES vii PREFACE viii INTRODUCTION ELEPHANT IN THE ROOM 1 PART I THE BIG ROLLOVER: ONSET OF A PETROLEUM DEMAND GAP AND SWITCH TO A SELLERS’ MARKET CHAPTER 1 WHAT”S OIL EVER DONE FOR YOU? (AND WHAT WOULD HAPPEN IF IT STOPPED DOING IT?) 5 Oil: Cheap Energy on Demand - Oil is Not Just a Commodity - Heavy Users - Projected Demand Growth for Liquid Petroleum - Price Elasticity of Oil Demand - Energy and Economic Growth - The Dependence of Productivity Growth on Expanding Energy Supplies - Economic Implications of a Reduced Oil Supply Rate CHAPTER 2 REALITY CHECK: TAKING INVENTORY OF PETROLEUM SUPPLY 17 The Geologic Production of Petroleum - Where the Oil Is and Where It Goes - Diminishing Marginal Returns of Production - Hubbert’s Peak: World Oil Production Peaking and Decline - Counting Oil Inventory: What’s in the World Warehouse? - Oil Resources versus Accessible Reserves - Three Camps: The Peak Oilers, Official Agencies, Technology Optimists - Liars’ Poker: Got Oil? - Geopolitical Realities of the Distribution of Remaining World -
Environmentally Themed Books for Adults*
Environmentally Themed Books for Adults* *The City of Roanoke does not endorse any books on this list; they are provided merely as a starting point for your own investigation. Collected from various sources, 2015. NON-FICTION Desert Solitaire: A Season in the Wilderness by Edward Abbey Biohazard: The Chilling True Story of the Largest Covert Biological Weapons Program in the World - Told from Inside by the Man Who Ran It by Ken Alibek The Bleeding of the Stone by Ibrahim al-Koni Enviro-Capitalists: Doing Good While Doing Well by Terry Lee Anderson and Donald R. Leal Free Market Environmentalism by Terry L. Anderson and Donald R. Leal Babylon's Ark: The Incredible Wartime Rescue of the Baghdad Zoo by Lawrence Anthony and Graham Spence Earth from the Air by Yann Arthus-Bertrand Our Angry Earth: A Ticking Ecological Bomb by Isaac Asimov and Frederik Pohl State of the World 2010: Transforming Cultures: From Consumerism to Sustainability by Erik Assadourian et al Wild Solutions: How Biodiversity is Money in the Bank by Andrew Beattie and Paul R. Ehrlich Environmental Principles and Policies: An Interdisciplinary Introduction by Sharon Beder Global Spin: The Corporate Assault on Environmentalism by Sharon Beder Ecology: From Individuals to Ecosystems by Michael Begon et al The Coming Global Superstorm by Art Bell and Whitley Strieber Fundamentals of Stack Gas Dispersion (4th edition) by Milton R. Beychok Aqueous Wastes from Petroleum and Petrochemical Plants by Milton R. Beychok Putting Biodiversity on the Map: Priority Areas for Global Conservation -
Department of Defense Energy Strategy Lengyel Teaching an Old Dog New Tricks Cut Along Dotted Line
Brig Gen Kenneth Newton Walker Kenneth Walker enlisted at Denver, Colorado, on 15 December 1917. He took flying training at Mather Field, California, getting his com- mission and wings in November 1918. After a tour in the Philippines, he returned to Langley Field, Virginia, in February 1925 with a subsequent assignment in December 1928 to attend the Air Corps Tactical School. Retained on the faculty as a bombardment in- structor, Walker became the epitome of the strategic thinkers at the school and coined the revolutionary airpower “creed of the bomber”: “A well-planned, well-organized and well-flown air force attack will constitute an offensive that cannot be stopped.” Following attendance at the Command and General Staff School at Fort Leavenworth, Kansas, in 1933 and promotion to major, he served for three years at Hamilton Field, California, and another three years at Luke Field, Ford Island, and Wheeler Field, Hawaii. Walker returned to the United States in January 1941 as assistant chief of the Plans Division for the chief of the Air Corps in Washington, DC. He was promoted to lieutenant colonel in July 1941 and colonel in March 1942. During this time, when he worked in the Operations Division of the War Department General Staff, he coauthored the air-campaign strategy known as Air War Plans Division—Plan 1, the plan for organizing, equipping, deploying, and employing the Army Air Forces to defeat Germany and Japan should the United States become embroiled in war. The authors completed this monumental undertaking in less than one month, just before Japan at- tacked Pearl Harbor—and the United States was, in fact, at war. -
Profitable Solutions for Oil, Climate, and Proliferation AMORY B
Profitable solutions for oil, climate, and proliferation AMORY B. LOVINS, CHAIRMAN AND CHIEF SCIENTIST, ROCKY MOUNTAIN INSTITUTE (WWW.RMI.ORG) Invited draft for Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, 31 October 2006, updated and slightly expanded for American Academy in Berlin 27 August 2007; 1,543 words + endnotes & biosketch Raymond Williams wrote, “To be truly radical is to make hope possible, not despair convincing.” Problems like climate change, oil dependence, and nuclear proliferation seem so huge and daunting that energy policy seems like a stupid multiple-choice test: “Would you prefer to die of (a) climate change, (b) oil wars, or (c) nuclear holocaust?” Yet if we take economics and technologies seriously, the right answer is the one usually omitted—(d) none of the above— because all of the conventionally dreadful answers are both unnecessary and uneconomic. To see how, let’s start with climate. Climate protection, like the Hubble Space Telescope’s mirror, got spoiled by a sign error: in fact, climate solutions are not costly but profitable, because saving fuel costs less than buying fuel. Many leading companies are making billions of dollars’ profit by cutting their carbon intensity or emissions at rates of 5–8%/y.1 When politicians who lament climate protection’s supposed costs, burdens, and sacrifices join the parallel universe of practitioners who routinely achieve profits, jobs, and competitive advantage by wasting less fuel, the political obstacles will dissolve faster than any glacier. Stabilizing carbon emissions requires only increasing energy productivity ($ GDP per GJ) by 2%/y rather than the canonically assumed 1%/y; stabilizing climate needs only ~3%/y. -
The International Politics of Oil Vol
1 St Antony’s International Review The International Politics of Oil Vol. 2, No. 1, May 2006 Simon Bromley · Joshua Busby Nils Duquet · Leben Nelson Moro Peter Utting & Kate Ives 2 Climate Change and Collective Action: 35 Troubles in the Transition to a Post-Oil Economy Joshua Busby Oil is essential to the modern economy, providing, among other things, the foundation for transportation systems that facilitate human mobility. The security of oil supplies at reasonable and stable prices is one of the highest priorities of any government. The discovery of petroleum and the invention of the internal combustion engine radically transformed human existence in the 20th century, providing for individual mobil- ity across wide geographic spaces. While citizens of the United States (us) in particular have long enjoyed personal automobiles, millions of Chinese and Indians are set to experience such liberty for the first time as their countries become richer. However, the seductive freedom of the automobile comes concomitantly with a dependence on petroleum that most countries must import from unstable regimes. Oil has facilitated the modern industrial economy and yet given rise to negative externali- ties, from pollution and negative effects on public health to a corrosive impact on governance, particularly among producer nations. These effects have become increasingly salient as the consequences of glo- bal climate change have become clearer. At the same time, the links between oil dependence, authoritarian oil producing regimes and terrorism have crystallised public awareness of the oil security externali- ties that are not incorporated within market prices.1 In 2005, it appeared that us$70 per barrel oil prices might have provided the market signal that consumers should ready themselves for the post-oil future.2 How- ever, while technological developments may yet yield rapid transitions to a much less oil intensive economy, without creative government poli- cies and aggressive efforts by industry, present trends will only deepen global oil dependency. -
Reinventing Fire: Secure Energy Without Oil, Coal, Or Nuclear 6 December 2013 – GL 102, 1300
NPS Defense Energy Program Presents: Defense Energy Seminar www.nps.edu/energy Reinventing Fire: Secure Energy Without Oil, Coal, or Nuclear 6 December 2013 – GL 102, 1300 With Guest Lecturer Dr. Amory B. Lovins Cofounder and Chief Scientist, Rocky Mountain Institute (RMI) A transdisciplinary "grand synthesis" published in 2011 by Rocky Moun- tain Institute (RMI) showed in detail how to run a 2.6x-bigger 2050 U.S. economy with no oil, coal, or nuclear energy, one-third less natural gas, 82–86% lower fossil carbon emissions, and a $5-trillion lower net- present-value cost than business-as-usual (counting all externalities at Dr. Amory B. Lovins zero). The transition requires no inventions nor Acts of Congress, but can be led by business for prot, enabled by administrative and state policy innovations and sped by military innovation. These surprising outcomes emerge from integrating all four energy-using sectors (transportation, buildings, industry, and electricity) and four kinds of innovations—not just technology and public policy but also design and business strategy. A key theme, Integrative design, often makes very large energy savings cost less than small or no savings, turning dimin- ishing returns into expanding returns. An ecient, diverse, distributed, renewable electricity system can yield important economic, risk-management, and resilience benets. These civilian ndings also reect important military opportunities for more ght with less fuel and for more resilient facilities and eective operations. RMI recently launched a collaborative initiative to apply Reinventing Fire's ndings to China. Abridged Biography: Amory B. Lovins has been active in ~50 countries for nearly 40 years as an innovator and practi- tioner in energy and its links to security, development, environment, and economy. -
Physicist Amory B. Lovins
Physicist Amory B. Lovins (1947– ) is cofounder and Chairman Emeritus and until September 2019 was Chief Scientist of Rocky Mountain Institute (www.rmi.org), continuing as an independent contractor and Trustee. He has been an energy advisor to major firms and governments in 70+ countries for 45+ years; author of 31 books and 650+ papers; and an integrative designer of superefficient buildings, factories, and vehicles. He has received the Blue Planet, Volvo, Zayed, Onassis, Nissan, Shingo, and Mitchell Prizes, the MacArthur and Ashoka Fellowships, the Happold, Benjamin Franklin, and Spencer Hutchens Medals, 12 honorary doctorates, and the Heinz, Lindbergh, Right Livelihood (“alternative Nobel”), National Design, and World Technology Awards. In 2016, the President of Germany awarded him the Officer’s Cross of the Order of Merit (Bundesverdienstkreuz 1. Klasse). A Harvard and Oxford dropout, former Oxford don, honorary US architect, and Swedish engineering academician, he has taught at ten universities, most recently Stanford’s Engineering School and the Naval Postgraduate School (but only on topics he’s never formally studied, so as to retain beginner’s mind). He served on the U.S. National Petroleum Council 2011–18 and on the U.S. Chief of Naval Operations’ Advisory Board 2013–14. Time has named him one of the world’s 100 most influential people, and Foreign Policy, one of the 100 top global thinkers. His latest books include Natural Capitalism (1999, www.natcap.org), Small Is Profitable (2002, www.smallisprofitable.org), Winning the Oil Endgame (2004, www.oilendgame.com), The Essential Amory Lovins (2011), and Reinventing Fire (2011, www.reinventingfire.com). -
The Nuclear Illusion AMORY B
Ambio Nov 08 preprint, dr 18, 27 May 2008, DRAFT subject to further peer review/editing The Nuclear Illusion AMORY B. LOVINS AND IMRAN SHEIKH A widely heralded view holds that nuclear power is experiencing a dramatic worldwide revival and vibrant growth, because it’s competitive, necessary, reliable, secure, and vital for fuel security and climate protection. That’s all false. In fact, nuclear power is continuing its decades-long collapse in the global marketplace because it’s grossly uncompetitive, unneeded, and obsolete—so hopelessly uneconomic that one needn’t debate whether it’s clean and safe; it weakens electric reliability and national security; and it worsens climate change compared with devoting the same money and time to more effective options. Yet the more decisively nuclear power is humbled by swifter and cheaper rivals, the more zealously its advocates claim it has no serious competitors. The web of old fictions1 ingeniously spun by a coordinated and intensive global campaign is spread by a credulous press and boosted by the nuclear enthusiasts who, probably for the first time ever, now happen to lead nearly all major governments at once. Many people have been misled, including four well-known individu- als with long environmental histories2—amplified by the industry’s echo box into a sham but widely believed claim of broad green endorsement—and some key legislators. As a result, the U.S. Congress in late 2007 voted $18.5 billion, and the industry will soon be back for another $30+ billion, in new loan guarantees for up to 80% of the cost of new U.S. -
Winning the Oil Endgame: Innovation for Profits, Jobs, and Security Oil Dependence
“We’ve embarked on the beginning of the Last Days of the Age of Oil. Nations of the world that are striving to modernize will make choices different from the ones we have made. They will have to. And even today’s industrial powers will shift energy use patterns....[T]he market share for carbon-rich fuels will diminish, as the demand for other forms of energy grows. And energy companies have a choice: to embrace the future and recognize the growing demand for a wide array of fuels; or ignore reality, and slowly—but surely—be left behind.” —Mike Bowlin, Chairman and CEO, ARCO, and Chairman, American Petroleum Institute, 9 Feb. 1999 1 “My personal opinion is that we are at the peak of the oil age and at the same time the begin- ning of the hydrogen age. Anything else is an interim solution in my view. The transition will be very messy, and will take many and diverse competing technological paths, but the long- term future will be in hydrogen and fuel cells.” —Herman Kuipers, Business Team Manager, Innovation & Research, Shell Global Solutions, 2 1. Bowlin 1999. 21 Nov. 2000 2. Kuipers 2000. “The days of the traditional oil company are numbered, in part because of emerging technolo- gies such as fuel cells....” 3. Bijur, undated. —Peter I. Bijur, Chairman and CEO, Texaco, Inc., late 1990s 3 4. Ingriselli 2001. “Market forces, greenery, and innovation are shaping the future of our industry and propelling 5. Gibson-Smith 1998. us inexorably towards hydrogen energy. Those who don’t pursue it…will rue it.” —Frank Ingriselli, President, Texaco Technology 6.