“Dysrationalia” Among University Students: the Role of Cognitive
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A Task-Based Taxonomy of Cognitive Biases for Information Visualization
A Task-based Taxonomy of Cognitive Biases for Information Visualization Evanthia Dimara, Steven Franconeri, Catherine Plaisant, Anastasia Bezerianos, and Pierre Dragicevic Three kinds of limitations The Computer The Display 2 Three kinds of limitations The Computer The Display The Human 3 Three kinds of limitations: humans • Human vision ️ has limitations • Human reasoning 易 has limitations The Human 4 ️Perceptual bias Magnitude estimation 5 ️Perceptual bias Magnitude estimation Color perception 6 易 Cognitive bias Behaviors when humans consistently behave irrationally Pohl’s criteria distilled: • Are predictable and consistent • People are unaware they’re doing them • Are not misunderstandings 7 Ambiguity effect, Anchoring or focalism, Anthropocentric thinking, Anthropomorphism or personification, Attentional bias, Attribute substitution, Automation bias, Availability heuristic, Availability cascade, Backfire effect, Bandwagon effect, Base rate fallacy or Base rate neglect, Belief bias, Ben Franklin effect, Berkson's paradox, Bias blind spot, Choice-supportive bias, Clustering illusion, Compassion fade, Confirmation bias, Congruence bias, Conjunction fallacy, Conservatism (belief revision), Continued influence effect, Contrast effect, Courtesy bias, Curse of knowledge, Declinism, Decoy effect, Default effect, Denomination effect, Disposition effect, Distinction bias, Dread aversion, Dunning–Kruger effect, Duration neglect, Empathy gap, End-of-history illusion, Endowment effect, Exaggerated expectation, Experimenter's or expectation bias, -
Can Animal Data Translate to Innovations Necessary for a New
Green BMC Medical Ethics (2015) 16:53 DOI 10.1186/s12910-015-0043-7 DEBATE Open Access Can animal data translate to innovations necessary for a new era of patient-centred and individualised healthcare? Bias in preclinical animal research Susan Bridgwood Green Abstract Background: The public and healthcare workers have a high expectation of animal research which they perceive as necessary to predict the safety and efficacy of drugs before testing in clinical trials. However, the expectation is not always realised and there is evidence that the research often fails to stand up to scientific scrutiny and its 'predictive value' is either weak or absent. Discussion: Problems with the use of animals as models of humans arise from a variety of biases and systemic failures including: 1) bias and poor practice in research methodology and data analysis; 2) lack of transparency in scientific assessment and regulation of the research; 3) long-term denial of weaknesses in cross-species translation; 4) profit-driven motives overriding patient interests; 5) lack of accountability of expenditure on animal research; 6) reductionist-materialism in science which tends to dictate scientific inquiry and control the direction of funding in biomedical research. Summary: Bias in animal research needs to be addressed before medical research and healthcare decision-making can be more evidence-based. Research funding may be misdirected on studying 'disease mechanisms' in animals that cannot be replicated outside tightly controlled laboratory conditions, and without sufficient critical evaluation animal research may divert attention away from avenues of research that hold promise for human health. The potential for harm to patients and trial volunteers from reliance on biased animal data1 requires measures to improve its conduct, regulation and analysis. -
Curriculum Reform at Tertiary Level As Key to Graduate Employability and Entrepreneurship in Lesotho
Journal of US-China Public Administration, June 2017, Vol. 14, No. 6, 339-347 doi: 10.17265/1548-6591/2017.06.005 D DAVID PUBLISHING Curriculum Reform at Tertiary Level as Key to Graduate Employability and Entrepreneurship in Lesotho T. Mukurunge, N. Tlali Limkokwing University of Creative Technology, Maseru, Lesotho The curriculum in Lesotho at tertiary level does not adequately prepare graduates for the employment world, nor for self-made business people. The main emphasis is theoretical and academic excellence rather than for production in industry or for empowerment with entrepreneurial skills. This is a problem because Lesotho does not have an industrial power base for the economy to employ a big number of tertiary graduates. The industries that offer employment to citizens are mainly the Chinese-owned textile industries and taxi/transport industry, or the South African mines and farms which require cheap labour and not tertiary graduates. Lesotho therefore requires an education that produces graduates who can create employment for other primarily or highly skilled technocrats who will be able to be employed above the level of mere labourers in the sophisticated economy of South Africa. This study therefore sought to establish what the Ministry of Education and tertiary institutions are doing about this scenario, whether they have plans for curriculum review that will be aligned towards producing entrepreneurs and technocrats for the economic development of Lesotho. This research will benefit the authorities responsible for development through small businesses, the employment sector, as well as tertiary institutions in curriculum review. Keywords: curriculum, curriculum review, entrepreneurship, tertiary institutions, technocrats Curriculum is a planned and guided learning experiences carried out in the institution for the purpose of living a useful and productive life in our contemporary society today (Ogwu, Omeje, & Nwokenna, 2014, p. -
“Dysrationalia” Among University Students: the Role of Cognitive
“Dysrationalia” among university students: The role of cognitive abilities, different aspects of rational thought and self-control in explaining epistemically suspect beliefs Erceg, Nikola; Galić, Zvonimir; Bubić, Andreja Source / Izvornik: Europe’s Journal of Psychology, 2019, 15, 159 - 175 Journal article, Published version Rad u časopisu, Objavljena verzija rada (izdavačev PDF) https://doi.org/10.5964/ejop.v15i1.1696 Permanent link / Trajna poveznica: https://urn.nsk.hr/urn:nbn:hr:131:942674 Rights / Prava: Attribution 4.0 International Download date / Datum preuzimanja: 2021-09-29 Repository / Repozitorij: ODRAZ - open repository of the University of Zagreb Faculty of Humanities and Social Sciences Europe's Journal of Psychology ejop.psychopen.eu | 1841-0413 Research Reports “Dysrationalia” Among University Students: The Role of Cognitive Abilities, Different Aspects of Rational Thought and Self-Control in Explaining Epistemically Suspect Beliefs Nikola Erceg* a, Zvonimir Galić a, Andreja Bubić b [a] Department of Psychology, Faculty of Humanities and Social Sciences, University of Zagreb, Zagreb, Croatia. [b] Department of Psychology, Faculty of Humanities and Social Sciences, University of Split, Split, Croatia. Abstract The aim of the study was to investigate the role that cognitive abilities, rational thinking abilities, cognitive styles and self-control play in explaining the endorsement of epistemically suspect beliefs among university students. A total of 159 students participated in the study. We found that different aspects of rational thought (i.e. rational thinking abilities and cognitive styles) and self-control, but not intelligence, significantly predicted the endorsement of epistemically suspect beliefs. Based on these findings, it may be suggested that intelligence and rational thinking, although related, represent two fundamentally different constructs. -
Estudios Públicos 141, Revista De Políticas Públicas
DEBATE LA DIVERSIDAD POLÍTICA VA A MEJORAR LA CIENCIA DE LA PSICOLOGÍA SOCIAL* José L. Duarte Jarret T. Crawford Universidad Estatal de Arizona The College of New Jersey [email protected] [email protected] Charlotta Stern Jonathan Haidt U niversidad de Estocolmo Universidad de Nueva York [email protected] [email protected] Lee Jussim Philip E. Tetlock U niversidad de Rutgers U niversidad de Pensilvania [email protected] [email protected]. wwww.cepchile.cl RESUMEN: Los psicólogos han demostrado el valor de la diversidad —en especial, la diversidad de puntos de vista— para potenciar la creatividad, la capacidad de descubrimiento y la solución de proble- mas. Pero un tipo clave de diversidad sigue ausente en la psicología académica, en general, y en la psicología social, en particular: la diversidad política. Este artículo revisa la evidencia disponible y halla elementos que respaldan cuatro afirmaciones: 1) La psicología * Publicado originalmente en Behavioral and Brain Sciences 38 (2015). Traduci- mos aquí, con la debida autorización, el artículo original y una selección de los nu- merosos comentarios críticos que acompañaron su publicación en dicha revista. La traducción fue realizada por Cristóbal Santa Cruz para Estudios Públicos. Todos los autores contribuyeron de manera sustancial y son nombrados en orden inverso según su antigüedad académica. Ellos agradecen a Bill von Hippel, Michael Huemer, Jon Krosnick, Greg Mitchell, Richard Nisbett y Bobbie Spellman por sus comentarios a versiones preliminares de este artículo, si bien ello no implica nece- sariamente que suscriban las opiniones expresadas en este artículo. Estudios Públicos, 141 (verano 2016), 173-248 ISSN: 0716-1115 (impresa), 0718-3089 (en línea) 174 ESTUDIOS PÚBLICOS, 141 (verano 2016), 173-248 académica solía tener una considerable diversidad política, pero la ha perdido casi por completo en los últimos 50 años. -
STATS 305 Notes1
STATS 305 Notes1 Art Owen2 Autumn 2013 1The class notes were beautifully scribed by Eric Min. He has kindly allowed his notes to be placed online for stat 305 students. Reading these at leasure, you will spot a few errors and omissions due to the hurried nature of scribing and probably my handwriting too. Reading them ahead of class will help you understand the material as the class proceeds. 2Department of Statistics, Stanford University. 0.0: Chapter 0: 2 Contents 1 Overview 9 1.1 The Math of Applied Statistics . .9 1.2 The Linear Model . .9 1.2.1 Other Extensions . 10 1.3 Linearity . 10 1.4 Beyond Simple Linearity . 11 1.4.1 Polynomial Regression . 12 1.4.2 Two Groups . 12 1.4.3 k Groups . 13 1.4.4 Different Slopes . 13 1.4.5 Two-Phase Regression . 14 1.4.6 Periodic Functions . 14 1.4.7 Haar Wavelets . 15 1.4.8 Multiphase Regression . 15 1.5 Concluding Remarks . 16 2 Setting Up the Linear Model 17 2.1 Linear Model Notation . 17 2.2 Two Potential Models . 18 2.2.1 Regression Model . 18 2.2.2 Correlation Model . 18 2.3 TheLinear Model . 18 2.4 Math Review . 19 2.4.1 Quadratic Forms . 20 3 The Normal Distribution 23 3.1 Friends of N (0; 1)...................................... 23 3.1.1 χ2 .......................................... 23 3.1.2 t-distribution . 23 3.1.3 F -distribution . 24 3.2 The Multivariate Normal . 24 3.2.1 Linear Transformations . 25 3.2.2 Normal Quadratic Forms . -
Working Memory, Cognitive Miserliness and Logic As Predictors of Performance on the Cognitive Reflection Test
Working Memory, Cognitive Miserliness and Logic as Predictors of Performance on the Cognitive Reflection Test Edward J. N. Stupple ([email protected]) Centre for Psychological Research, University of Derby Kedleston Road, Derby. DE22 1GB Maggie Gale ([email protected]) Centre for Psychological Research, University of Derby Kedleston Road, Derby. DE22 1GB Christopher R. Richmond ([email protected]) Centre for Psychological Research, University of Derby Kedleston Road, Derby. DE22 1GB Abstract Most participants respond that the answer is 10 cents; however, a slower and more analytic approach to the The Cognitive Reflection Test (CRT) was devised to measure problem reveals the correct answer to be 5 cents. the inhibition of heuristic responses to favour analytic ones. The CRT has been a spectacular success, attracting more Toplak, West and Stanovich (2011) demonstrated that the than 100 citations in 2012 alone (Scopus). This may be in CRT was a powerful predictor of heuristics and biases task part due to the ease of administration; with only three items performance - proposing it as a metric of the cognitive miserliness central to dual process theories of thinking. This and no requirement for expensive equipment, the practical thesis was examined using reasoning response-times, advantages are considerable. There have, moreover, been normative responses from two reasoning tasks and working numerous correlates of the CRT demonstrated, from a wide memory capacity (WMC) to predict individual differences in range of tasks in the heuristics and biases literature (Toplak performance on the CRT. These data offered limited support et al., 2011) to risk aversion and SAT scores (Frederick, for the view of miserliness as the primary factor in the CRT. -
Communication Science to the Public
David M. Berube North Carolina State University ▪ HOW WE COMMUNICATE. In The Age of American Unreason, Jacoby posited that it trickled down from the top, fueled by faux-populist politicians striving to make themselves sound approachable rather than smart. (Jacoby, 2008). EX: The average length of a sound bite by a presidential candidate in 1968 was 42.3 seconds. Two decades later, it was 9.8 seconds. Today, it’s just a touch over seven seconds and well on its way to being supplanted by 140/280- character Twitter bursts. ▪ DATA FRAMING. ▪ When asked if they truly believe what scientists tell them, NEW ANTI- only 36 percent of respondents said yes. Just 12 percent expressed strong confidence in the press to accurately INTELLECTUALISM: report scientific findings. ▪ ROLE OF THE PUBLIC. A study by two Princeton University researchers, Martin TRENDS Gilens and Benjamin Page, released Fall 2014, tracked 1,800 U.S. policy changes between 1981 and 2002, and compared the outcome with the expressed preferences of median- income Americans, the affluent, business interests and powerful lobbies. They concluded that average citizens “have little or no independent influence” on policy in the U.S., while the rich and their hired mouthpieces routinely get their way. “The majority does not rule,” they wrote. ▪ Anti-intellectualism and suspicion (trends). ▪ Trump world – outsiders/insiders. ▪ Erasing/re-writing history – damnatio memoriae. ▪ False news. ▪ Infoxication (CC) and infobesity. ▪ Aggregators and managed reality. ▪ Affirmation and confirmation bias. ▪ Negotiating reality. ▪ New tribalism is mostly ideational not political. ▪ Unspoken – guns, birth control, sexual harassment, race… “The amount of technical information is doubling every two years. -
Understanding Outcome Bias ∗
Understanding Outcome Bias ∗ Andy Brownbacky Michael A. Kuhnz University of Arkansas University of Oregon January 31, 2019 Abstract Disentangling effort and luck is critical when judging performance. In a principal-agent experiment, we demonstrate that principals' judgments of agent effort are biased by luck, despite perfectly observing the agent's effort. This bias can erode the power of incentives to stimulate effort when there is noise in the outcome process. As such, we explore two potential solutions to this \outcome bias" { control over irrelevant information about luck, and outsourcing judgment to independent third parties. We find that both are ineffective. When principals have control over information about luck, they do not avoid the information that biases their judgment. In contrast, when agents have control over the principal's information about luck, agents strategically manipulate principals' outcome bias to minimize their punishments. We also find that independent third parties are just as biased as principals. These findings indicate that outcome bias may be more widespread and pernicious than previously understood. They also suggest that outcome bias cannot be driven solely by disappointment nor by distributional preferences. Instead, we hypothesize that luck directly affects beliefs about agents even though effort is perfectly observed. We elicit the beliefs of third parties and principals and find that lucky agents are believed to exert more effort in general than identical, unlucky agents. JEL Classification: C92, D63, D83 Keywords: Experiment, Reciprocity, Outcome Bias, Attribution Bias, Blame ∗We wish to thank Gary Charness, Ryan Oprea, Peter Kuhn, Joshua Miller, Justin Rao, and James Andreoni for valuable feedback. -
Moral Hindsight
Special Issue: Moral Agency Research Article Moral Hindsight Nadine Fleischhut,1 Björn Meder,2 and Gerd Gigerenzer2,3 1Center for Adaptive Rationality, Max Planck Institute for Human Development, Berlin, Germany 2Center for Adaptive Behavior and Cognition, Max Planck Institute for Human Development, Berlin, Germany 3Center for Adaptive Behavior and Cognition, Harding Center for Risk Literacy, Max Planck Institute for Human Development, Berlin, Germany Abstract: How are judgments in moral dilemmas affected by uncertainty, as opposed to certainty? We tested the predictions of a consequentialist and deontological account using a hindsight paradigm. The key result is a hindsight effect in moral judgment. Participants in foresight, for whom the occurrence of negative side effects was uncertain, judged actions to be morally more permissible than participants in hindsight, who knew that negative side effects occurred. Conversely, when hindsight participants knew that no negative side effects occurred, they judged actions to be more permissible than participants in foresight. The second finding was a classical hindsight effect in probability estimates and a systematic relation between moral judgments and probability estimates. Importantly, while the hindsight effect in probability estimates was always present, a corresponding hindsight effect in moral judgments was only observed among “consequentialist” participants who indicated a cost-benefit trade-off as most important for their moral evaluation. Keywords: moral judgment, hindsight effect, moral dilemma, uncertainty, consequentialism, deontological theories Despite ongoing efforts, hunger crises still regularly occur all deliberately in these dilemmas, where all consequences are over the world. From 2014 to 2016,about795 million people presented as certain (Gigerenzer, 2010). Moreover, using worldwide were undernourished, almost all of them in dilemmas with certainty can result in a mismatch with developing countries (FAO, IFAD, & WFP, 2015). -
Academic Success Factors Influencing Linguistically Diverse and Native English Speaking Associate Degree Nursing Students Josie Lynn Veal Marquette University
Marquette University e-Publications@Marquette Dissertations (2009 -) Dissertations, Theses, and Professional Projects Academic Success Factors Influencing Linguistically Diverse and Native English Speaking Associate Degree Nursing Students Josie Lynn Veal Marquette University Recommended Citation Veal, Josie Lynn, "Academic Success Factors Influencing Linguistically Diverse and Native English Speaking Associate Degree Nursing Students" (2012). Dissertations (2009 -). Paper 242. http://epublications.marquette.edu/dissertations_mu/242 ACADEMIC SUCCESS FACTORS INFLUENCING LINGUISTICALLY DIVERSE AND NATIVE ENGLISH SPEAKING ASSOCIATE DEGREE NURSING STUDENTS by Josie Veal, MSN, RN, FNP-BC A Dissertation submitted to the Faculty of the Graduate School, Marquette University, in Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements for the Degree of Doctor of Philosophy Milwaukee, Wisconsin December 2012 ABSTRACT ACADEMIC SUCCESS FACTORS INFLUENCING LINGUISTICALLY DIVERSE AND NATIVE ENGLISH SPEAKING ASSOCIATE DEGREE NURSING STUDENTS Josie Veal, MSN, RN, FNP-BC Marquette University, 2012 To address the healthcare needs of vulnerable populations, nursing educators should evaluate educational preparedness and identify which factors influence a successive academic trajectory in nursing school. A prospective design was used to determine the relationships and differences among the anatomy and physiology course grade, self-efficacy, linguistic diversity, language acculturation, and components of the National League for Nursing pre-admission exam for registered nurses and first semester nursing course grades of linguistically diverse and native English speaking associate degree nursing students. A relationship exists between the PAX-RN composite score, anatomy mean grade, language diversity, and general self-efficacy score, the Nursing Pharmacology and Nursing Fundamentals course grades for associate degree nursing students. The PAX-RN composite score and the AP mean grade were related to all first semester courses for associate degree students. -
Infographic I.10
The Digital Health Revolution: Leaving No One Behind The global AI in healthcare market is growing fast, with an expected increase from $4.9 billion in 2020 to $45.2 billion by 2026. There are new solutions introduced every day that address all areas: from clinical care and diagnosis, to remote patient monitoring to EHR support, and beyond. But, AI is still relatively new to the industry, and it can be difficult to determine which solutions can actually make a difference in care delivery and business operations. 59 Jan 2021 % of Americans believe returning Jan-June 2019 to pre-coronavirus life poses a risk to health and well being. 11 41 % % ...expect it will take at least 6 The pandemic has greatly increased the 65 months before things get number of US adults reporting depression % back to normal (updated April and/or anxiety.5 2021).4 Up to of consumers now interested in telehealth going forward. $250B 76 57% of providers view telehealth more of current US healthcare spend % favorably than they did before COVID-19.7 could potentially be virtualized.6 The dramatic increase in of Medicare primary care visits the conducted through 90% $3.5T telehealth has shown longevity, with rates in annual U.S. health expenditures are for people with chronic and mental health conditions. since April 2020 0.1 43.5 leveling off % % Most of these can be prevented by simple around 30%.8 lifestyle changes and regular health screenings9 Feb. 2020 Apr. 2020 OCCAM’S RAZOR • CONJUNCTION FALLACY • DELMORE EFFECT • LAW OF TRIVIALITY • COGNITIVE FLUENCY • BELIEF BIAS • INFORMATION BIAS Digital health ecosystems are transforming• AMBIGUITY BIAS • STATUS medicineQUO BIAS • SOCIAL COMPARISONfrom BIASa rea• DECOYctive EFFECT • REACTANCEdiscipline, • REVERSE PSYCHOLOGY • SYSTEM JUSTIFICATION • BACKFIRE EFFECT • ENDOWMENT EFFECT • PROCESSING DIFFICULTY EFFECT • PSEUDOCERTAINTY EFFECT • DISPOSITION becoming precise, preventive,EFFECT • ZERO-RISK personalized, BIAS • UNIT BIAS • IKEA EFFECT and • LOSS AVERSION participatory.