Situation Report Coronavirus Spreading Widely in Multiple Countries as Global Risk Increases Author s: Mathew Mikuni, Senior Regional Analyst – Asia/Pacific Stephanie Kiefer, Senior Regional Analyst – Europe, the Worldwide Caucasus, and Central Asia March 3, 2020 Samson Sampson, Senior Regional Analyst – Middle East and North Africa Josh Strongin, Lead Intelligence Analyst – North America Contact :
[email protected] Overview On Friday, the World Health Organization (WHO) upgraded the global risk assessment for novel coronavirus (COVID-19) to “Very High,” reflecting the fact that the virus is increasing its spread across the world. In recent days, there have been more new cases reported outside mainland China compared to within mainland China. The WHO has said that South Korea, Japan, Italy, and Iran are the organization’s greatest concerns at this time regarding the COVID-19 outbreak. The European Union also raised its risk level to “moderate to high,” with dozens of additional countries reporting COVID-19 cases, while the United States has also reported multiple deaths. There is a growing risk that COVID-19 could spread at a higher pace within these countries or to other countries as well. As of Tuesday, March 3, there have been over 92,000 cases of COVID-19 reported across dozens of countries, which have resulted in at least 3,100 deaths. Around 85 percent of these cases have been reported in mainland China, although this percentage has been decreasing in recent days. Over the past week, China has only reported a few hundred new cases per day, compared to the thousands of cases before, suggesting that at the moment, they are continuing to contain the outbreak.