Moving to Opportunity for Fair Housing Demonstration Program
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Moving to Opportunity for Fair Housing Demonstration Program Final Impacts Evaluation U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development | Office of Policy Development and Research Visit PD&R’s website www.hud.gov/policy or www.huduser.org to find this report and others sponsored by HUD’s Office of Policy Development and Research (PD&R). Other services of HUD USER, PD&R’s Research and Information Service include listservs, special interest and bimonthly publications (best practices, significant studies from other sources), access to public use databases, and a hotline (1-800-245-2691) for help with accessing the information you need. Moving to Opportunity for Fair Housing Demonstration Program Final Impacts Evaluation Prepared for: U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Office of Policy Development & Research Prepared by: Lisa Sanbonmatsu Jens Ludwig, Project Director Lawrence F. Katz, Principal Investigator Lisa A. Gennetian Greg J. Duncan Ronald C. Kessler Emma Adam Thomas W. McDade Stacy Tessler Lindau with: Matthew Sciandra Fanghua Yang Ijun Lai William Congdon Joe Amick Ryan Gillette Michael A. Zabek Jordan Marvakov Sabrina Yusuf Nicholas A. Potter National Bureau of Economic Research November 2011 Acknowledgments This report was prepared under HUD Contract C–CHI–00808 to the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER). For their support, advice, and open-mindedness about the study design, we are grateful to the Government Technical Representative for the study, Todd M. Richardson (Associate Deputy Assistant Secretary for Policy Development), as well as Mark D. Shroder (Associate Deputy Assistant Secretary for Research, Evaluation, and Monitoring), Kevin J. Neary (Deputy Assistant Secretary for Research, Evaluation, and Monitoring), Erika Poethig (Deputy Assistant Secretary for Policy Development), and Raphael Bostic (Assistant Secretary for Policy Development and Research). Michelle Sternthal, Jennifer Stoloff, and Ronald Wilson at HUD also provided valuable comments on an earlier draft of this report. Additional support for the long-term (10–15 year) MTO follow-up study reported on here came from the National Science Foundation (SES–0527615), the National Institute for Child Health and Human Development (R01–HD040404, R01–HD040444), the Centers for Disease Control (R49–CE000906), the National Institute of Mental Health (R01–MH077026), the National Institute for Aging (P20–AG012180, R56–AG031259, P01–AG005842–22S1), the National Opinion Research Center’s Population Research Center (through R24–HD051152–04 from the National Institute of Child Health and Human Development), University of Chicago’s Center for Health Administration Studies, the U.S. Department of Education/Institute of Education Sciences (R305U070006), the John D. and Catherine T. MacArthur Foundation, the Smith Richardson Foundation, the Spencer Foundation, the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, and the Russell Sage Foundation. This study was also supported by a grant from the Annie E. Casey Foundation to the Urban Institute. Outstanding advice about the design, execution, and interpretation of the MTO study was provided by our Technical Review Panel, which included: J. Lawrence Aber (New York University); Jeanne Brooks-Gunn (Columbia University); Charles Brown (University of Michigan); Thomas Cook (Northwestern University); Kenneth Dodge (Duke University); Felton Earls (Harvard Medical School); Ronald Ferguson (Harvard University); John Goering (City University of New York); Christopher Jencks (Harvard University); Kathleen Mullan Harris (University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill); Edgar Olsen (University of Virginia); Robert Sampson (Harvard University); Eldar Shafir (Princeton University); Laurence Steinberg (Temple University); and Jane Waldfogel (Columbia University). We also thank Larry Orr for feedback, and are particularly grateful to Jeffrey R. Kling for his tireless commitment and sage advice. We also wish to thank numerous other collaborators who assisted in a variety of substantive and methodological components of the MTO study. A research team at the Urban Institute expertly developed the housing and neighborhood module for the long-term survey as well as a new methodology for using survey and administrative data to measure housing assistance receipt. Margery Turner, Susan Popkin, and Jennifer Comey provided feedback and guidance at various stages of design and analysis, and Megan Gallagher, David Price, and Kaitlin Franks supported measurement and analytic work. Numerous useful insights about the design of the long-term MTO study also came from discussions with the research team that has been carrying out qualitative data collection from MTO families, including Kathy Edin of Harvard University, Stefanie DeLuca of Johns Hopkins University, and Susan Clampet-Lundquist of St. Joseph’s University. We thank Debi McInnis and our colleagues at Abt Associates for their hard work tracking MTO families and for developing a method for constructing the participants’ address histories. Important insights about the analysis and interpretation of the medical findings in the long-term MTO data came from conversations with our collaborator Robert Whitaker of Temple University, as well as discussions with James Meigs of Harvard University. Don Rock assisted in developing a strategy for administering math and English achievement assessments to MTO youth, and Michelle Najarian at Educational Testing Service helped create the scaled achievement scores. Nancy Sampson and her research team at the Harvard Medical School constructed the mental health outcomes. William Congdon at the Brookings Institution was instrumental in designing many of the modules for the MTO survey. Outstanding assistance with the development of the survey instruments, data preparation, and analysis was provided by Matthew Sciandra, Fanghua Yang, Ijun Lai, Joe Amick, Ryan Gillette, Michael A. Zabek, Jordan Marvakov, Sabrina Yusuf, and Nicholas A. Potter and former research assistants and analysts Alessandra Del Conte Dickovick, Santhi Hariprasad, Plamen Nikolov, Brandi Coates, and Magali Fassiotto. Janet Stein at NBER, Michael Weis at Northwestern University, and Kari Beardsley, Sabrina Fisher, and Aida Cavalic at the Brookings Institution provided exceptional assistance in managing the numerous grants that supported this study. We thank Dan Feenberg for his technical advice, Mohan Ramanujan and Len McCain for helping to support the technological needs of the project, and Korland Simmons for his administrative support of the project. Barbara Ray, owner of Hiredpen, Inc., helped with editing the report. The study would not have been possible without the incredible efforts of Nancy Gebler at the University of Michigan’s Survey Research Center (SRC) in leading the monumental task of directing, launching, and ensuring high-quality administration of the survey interview for thousands of MTO adults and youth. At SRC, we also thank senior project advisor Beth-Ellen Pennell; project manager Barbara Ward; production manager Margaret Hudson; data manager Lisa Wood; financial analyst Mary Kern; sampling statistician James Wagner; programmers James Hagerman and Pamela Swanson; project assistant Hongyu Johnson; the field team leaders Yvonne Ragland, Sima Ballinger, Ana Socarras, Beverly Hight, Susan Brown, Beth Babich, and Charlotte Morley; and the dedicated interviewers for their tremendous efforts. We thank Jerry Yeo and Christine Lee at the University of Chicago for their assistance in carrying out separate analyses that helped validate our dried blood spot measures for health outcomes among MTO participants; John Rickford at Stanford University and Holly Craig at the University of Michigan for their assistance in developing measures of speech patterns; Michael Barr of the University of Michigan for his help designing measures of household savings behavior and access to credit and banking services; John List of the University of Chicago and Sendhil Mullainathan of Harvard University for assistance in developing measures of decision making processes; Heidi Guyer at the Health and Retirement Study for the dried blood spot protocols; Maryann Chandler at Flexsite Laboratories; and Eric Whitsel, leader of the biology core of the National Longitudinal Study of Adolescent Health, for guidance on dried blood spot measurement and assay. We are also grateful to the large number of local, state, and federal government agencies that were willing to share the administrative data necessary for evaluating long-term MTO impacts. But perhaps most important, we are grateful to the MTO families themselves for their willingness to share their lives with us. We hope that the results of this study, one of the largest ever undertaken by HUD, will help guide government officials in their decisions about how best to improve the lives of some of our nation’s most disadvantaged residents. The contents of this report are the views of the contractor and do not necessarily reflect the views or policies of the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, the U.S. Government, or any state or local agency that provided data. The use of South Carolina Department of Social Services and the Florida Department of Juvenile Justice records in the preparation of this material is acknowledged, but it is not to be construed as implying official approval of either department of the conclusions presented. New York State Division of Criminal Justice Services (DCJS) provided de-identified arrest data for the study. DCJS is not