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Integrating Geographic Information Technologies for Land Change Analysis and Modeling in an Urban Area Ting Liu

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Integrating Geographic Information Technologies for Land Change Analysis and Modeling in an Urban Area Ting Liu Florida State University Libraries Electronic Theses, Treatises and Dissertations The Graduate School 2014 Integrating Geographic Information Technologies for Land Change Analysis and Modeling in an Urban Area Ting Liu Follow this and additional works at the FSU Digital Library. For more information, please contact [email protected] FLORIDA STATE UNIVERSITY COLLEGE OF SOCIAL SCIENCES AND PUBLIC POLICY INTEGRATING GEOGRAPHIC INFORMATION TECHNOLOGIES FOR LAND CHANGE ANALYSIS AND MODELING IN AN URBAN AREA By TING LIU A Dissertation submitted to the Department of Geography in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy Degree Awarded: Summer Semester, 2014 Ting Liu defended this dissertation on July 1, 2014. The members of the supervisory committee were: Xiaojun Yang Professor Directing Dissertation Timothy S. Chapin University Representative Joseph Pierce Committee Member J. Anthony Stallins Committee Member Tingting Zhao Committee Member The Graduate School has verified and approved the above-named committee members, and certifies that the dissertation has been approved in accordance with university requirements. ii ACKNOWLEDGMENTS Many thanks to my committee, Dr. Xiaojun Yang, Dr. Joseph Pierce, Dr. Tony Stallins, Dr. Tingting Zhao, and Dr. Timothy Chapin for their advising and support on my dissertation research. The Department and University gave me the opportunity to pursue my Ph.D. degree and supported my studies and research. This impact on my academic career is too great to be expressed in words. iii TABLE OF CONTENTS List of Tables ................................................................................................................................ vii List of Figures ................................................................................................................................ ix Abstract .......................................................................................................................................... xi CHAPTER ONE - INTRODUCTION ...........................................................................................1 1.1 Background ....................................................................................................................1 1.1.1 Land change and the emergence of land change science ......................................1 1.1.2 Geographic information technologies and land change science ...........................2 1.2 Objectives ......................................................................................................................3 1.3 Study area.......................................................................................................................4 1.4 Organization of the dissertation .....................................................................................6 CHAPTER TWO - MAPPING LAND USE/COVER IN AN URBAN AREA WITH STRATIFIED CLASSIFICATION AND MULTIPLE ENDMEMBER SPECTRAL MIXTURE ANALYSIS ......................................................................................................................................8 2.1 Introduction ....................................................................................................................8 2.2 Research methods ........................................................................................................11 2.2.1 Data collection and preprocessing ......................................................................11 2.2.2 Land classification scheme .................................................................................14 2.2.3 Landscape partition .............................................................................................14 2.2.4 Multiple endmember spectral mixture analysis (MESMA) ................................18 2.2.5 Supervised classification .....................................................................................21 2.2.6 Thematic accuracy assessment ...........................................................................22 2.3 Results and discussion .................................................................................................23 2.4 Conclusions ..................................................................................................................32 CHAPTER THREE - MONITORING LAND CHANGES IN AN URBAN AREA USING SATELLITE IMAGERY, GIS AND LANDSCAPE METRICS ..................................................34 3.1 Introduction ..................................................................................................................34 3.2 Research methods ........................................................................................................37 3.2.1 Data collection and preprocessing ......................................................................37 3.2.2 Image processing ................................................................................................40 3.2.3 Urban land change analysis ................................................................................44 3.3 Results and discussion .................................................................................................51 3.4 Conclusions ..................................................................................................................56 iv CHAPTER FOUR - A SCALE-DEPENDENT ANALYSIS OF THE FACTORS DRIVING URBAN LAND USE CHANGES .................................................................................................58 4.1 Introduction ..................................................................................................................58 4.2 Research methods ........................................................................................................61 4.2.1 Data preparation ..................................................................................................61 4.2.2 Statistical analysis ...............................................................................................71 4.3 Results of driving force analysis ..................................................................................73 4.3.1 Residential land use ............................................................................................73 4.3.2 Commercial/industrial land use ..........................................................................74 4.4 Discussion ....................................................................................................................75 4.4.1 Effects of aggregation levels ...............................................................................75 4.4.2 Effects of spatial extents .....................................................................................77 4.5 Conclusions ..................................................................................................................79 CHAPTER FIVE - LAND CHANGE MODELING: STATUS AND PROSPECT ....................81 5.1 Introduction ..................................................................................................................81 5.2 Land change modeling approaches ..............................................................................84 5.2.1 Statistical regression model ................................................................................84 5.2.2 Artificial neural networks ...................................................................................85 5.2.3 Markov chain modeling ......................................................................................86 5.2.4 Cellular automata ................................................................................................86 5.2.5 Economic models ................................................................................................87 5.2.6 Agent-based models ............................................................................................88 5.3 Major issues in land change modeling .........................................................................89 5.3.1 Coupling human-environment systems...............................................................89 5.3.2 Scale dependency and multilevel interactions ....................................................90 5.3.3 Temporal dynamics and complexity ...................................................................91 5.4 Integrated land change modeling for global environmental changes ..........................91 5.5 Conclusions ..................................................................................................................93 CHAPTER SIX - SIMULATING RESIDENTIAL LAND USE CHANGE THROUGH AN AGENT-BASED MODELING APPROACH ...............................................................................95 6.1 Introduction ..................................................................................................................95 6.2 Research methods ........................................................................................................98 6.2.1 Model conceptualization .....................................................................................98 v 6.2.2 Model implementation ......................................................................................103 6.3 Results and discussion ...............................................................................................109 6.4 Conclusions ................................................................................................................112 CHAPTER
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