GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

TUESDAY, AUGUST 8 7:00 a.m.–10:00 p.m. CC-Level 4 South Lobby

Cyber Center Tuesday

7:00 a.m.–10:00 a.m. S-Metropolitan Ballroom A Tours Council of Chapters Business Meeting and Breakfast (closed) 9:00 a.m.–1:00 p.m. CC-Convention Place Chair(s): Ronald Wasserstein, Washburn University TR06 - Historical Seattle Tour (fee event) 7:00 a.m.–10:00 a.m. S-Ballard 1:00 p.m.–5:00 p.m. CC-Convention Place Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences TR07 - Glassblowing Tour (fee event) Executive Committee Meeting (closed) Chair(s): Robert Wilkinson, Lubrizol Committee/Business Meetings 7:00 a.m.–6:00 p.m. CC-507, CC-508 & Other Activities Speaker Work Rooms 5:15 a.m.–7:00 a.m. Off Property 7:30 a.m.–9:00 a.m. H-Cayuse Gertrude Cox Scholarship Race Project on Filming of Distinguished Statisticians (closed) 7:00 a.m.–8:30 a.m. S-Cedar Room Organizer(s): Nitis Mukhopadhyay, University of Connecticut Section on Statisticians in Defense and National 7:30 a.m.–12:00 p.m. S-Aspen Room Security Business Meeting Chair(s): Ron Fricker, Naval Postgraduate School Biopharmaceutical Section Executive Committee Meeting (closed) 7:00 a.m.–8:30 a.m. H-Excelsior Chair(s): Stacy Lindborg, Eli Lilly and Company Technometrics Editorial Board Meeting (closed) Chair(s): Randy R. Sitter, Simon Fraser University 7:30 a.m.–4:30 p.m. CC-Level 4 South Lobby JSM Main Registration 7:00 a.m.–8:30 a.m. S-Spruce Room ASA Membership/Special Assistance Desk Business and Economics Statistics Section Executive Committee Meeting (closed) 8:00 a.m.–9:30 a.m. H-Portland Chair(s): Paul Shaman, University of Pennsylvania Section on Risk Analysis Executive Committee Meeting (closed) 7:00 a.m.–8:30 a.m. H-Discovery Chair(s): Susan Sereika, University of Pittsburgh Section on Quality and Productivity Executive 8:00 a.m.–12:00 p.m. H-Sherman Meeting (closed) Chair(s): Christine M. Anderson-Cook, Los Alamos National Committee of Presidents of Statistical Societies Laboratory Committee Meeting (closed) Organizer(s): Linda Young, University of Florida 7:00 a.m.–8:30 a.m. CC-302 Committee on Statistics and Disability Annual 8:00 a.m.–4:00 p.m. S-Admiral Meeting (closed) ASA/NCTM Beyond AP Statistics (closed) Chair(s): Roxy Peck, California Polytechnic State University, San Luis Chair(s): Joan Turek, U.S. Department of Health and Human Services Obispo

7:00 a.m.–8:30 a.m. H-Chatham 8:00 a.m.–6:00 p.m. CC-Exhibit Hall 4B Scientifi c and Public Affairs Advisory Committee Career Placement Service Meeting Chair(s): David Marker, Westat 8:00 a.m.–6:00 p.m. CC-Exhibit Hall 4A Exhibitor Lounge

Seattle 129 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

8:00 a.m.–6:00 p.m. CC-209 12:30 p.m.–2:00 p.m. CC-302 Amgen Inc. Interview Room (by invitation only) Interface Foundation of North America Board Organizer(s): Chander Varma, Amgen Inc. Meeting (closed) Organizer(s): Tim C. Hesterberg, Insightful Corporation 8:30 a.m.–10:00 a.m. S-Juniper Section on Statistical Education Executive 12:30 p.m.–2:00 p.m. H-Portland Committee Meeting (closed) Deming Lectureship Committee Speaker Luncheon Chair(s): Christine Franklin, University of Georgia (closed) Chair(s): Lorraine Denby, Avaya Labs Research 9:00 a.m.–10:00 a.m. CC-302 Mu Sigma Rho Executive Committee 12:30 p.m.–4:30 p.m. H-Stevens Boardroom & Foyer Organizer(s): Marcia Gumpertz, North Carolina State University ENAR RAB/RECOM Luncheon Meeting (by invitation only) 9:00 a.m.–5:00 p.m. CC-Level 4 South Lobby Organizer(s): Kathy Hoskins, ENAR ASA Marketplace 2:00 p.m.–3:30 p.m. S-Everett 9:00 a.m.–5:00 p.m. CC-Level 1 Council of Chapters Traveling Course Citywide Concierge Center Chair(s): Delray Schultz, Millersville University

9:00 a.m.–6:00 p.m. CC-Exhibit Hall 4A 2:00 p.m.–3:30 p.m. S-Spruce Room EXPO 2006 ASA Committee Organization and Management Task ASA Communities Booth #101 Force (closed) Chair(s): Susan J. Devlin, Th e Artemis Group LLC 10:15 a.m.–12:15 p.m. H-Cayuse Introduction to Statistics Focus Group 2:30 p.m.–4:00 p.m. H-Cayuse Organizer(s): Liliana Molina, Pearson Education JBES Editorial Board Meeting Chair(s): Torben G. Andersen, Northwestern University 10:30 a.m.–1:00 p.m. S-Willow A New Chapter Offi cers Meeting with Council of 3:40 p.m.–4:00 p.m. CC-3B Chapters Vice Chairs Presentation of 2006 Roger Herriot Award with Chair(s): Ronald Wasserstein, Washburn University Reception (open) Chair(s): Lawrence H.Cox, National Center for Health Statistics 12:00 p.m.–1:30 p.m. H-Excelsior JCGS Management Committee Meeting (closed) 4:00 p.m.–5:00 p.m. H-Sherman Chair(s): Dianne Cook, Iowa State University JASA Reviews Assistant Editors Meeting (closed) Chair(s): Robert Lund, Clemson University 12:30 p.m.–2:00 p.m. H-Blewett Suite The American Statistician Editorial Board Meeting 4:00 p.m.–6:00 p.m. S-Metropolitan Ballroom A (closed) Council of Chapters Workshop and Reception: New Chair(s): Peter Westfall, Texas Tech University and Not So New Methods of Communications for Chapters Featuring Wiki Pages (closed) 12:30 p.m.–2:00 p.m. H-Discovery Chair(s): J. Lynn Palmer, M. D. Anderson Cancer Center ASA Defense and Security Task Force Meeting (closed) Chair(s): Alyson Wilson, Los Alamos National Laboratory 4:30 p.m.–6:00 p.m. S-Cedar Room Biometrics Editorial Board (closed) 12:30 p.m.–2:00 p.m. S-Douglas Room Organizer(s): Marie Davidian, North Carolina State University Open Source Textbook Project Planning Meeting Organizer(s): Beatrix Jones, Massey University 5:00 p.m.–6:00 p.m. CC-602 Caucus for Women in Statistics Business Meeting Organizer(s): Mary W. Gray, American University

130 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

5:00 p.m.–6:00 p.m. CC-601 5:30 p.m.–7:00 p.m. S-Cirrus Ballroom

Business and Economics Statistics Section Business Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Open Tuesday Meeting Meeting Chair(s): Paul Shaman, University of Pennsylvania Chair(s): Dalene Stangl, Duke University

5:00 p.m.–6:30 p.m. CC-609 5:30 p.m.–7:00 p.m. CC-4C-1 Section on Survey Research Methods Business Section on Government Statistics Business Meeting Meeting Chair(s): Stephanie Shipp, National Institute of Standards and Chair(s): Roger Tourangeau, University of Maryland Technology

5:00 p.m.–6:30 p.m. CC-605 5:30 p.m.–7:30 p.m. CC-4C-3 JSM 2008 Program Committee Orientation Meeting Joint Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences (closed) and Section on Quality and Productivity Business Chair(s): Russell V. Lenth, University of Iowa Meeting and Mixer Chair(s): Christine M. Anderson-Cook, Los Alamos National 5:00 p.m.–7:00 p.m. S-Willow B Laboratory; Robert Wilkinson, Lubrizol North Carolina State University Reception for Alumni and Friends 5:30 p.m.–7:30 p.m. CC-606 Organizer(s): Tom Gerig, North Carolina State University Biopharmaceutical Section Business Meeting Chair(s): Stacy Lindborg, Eli Lilly and Company 5:00 p.m.–7:00 p.m. S-Douglas Room Friends and Alumni of UCLA 5:30 p.m.–7:30 p.m. H-Princessa II Ballroom Organizer(s): Jason Mesa, University of California, Los Angeles University of Michigan Biostatistics and Statistics Departments Joint Alumni Reception 5:30 p.m.–6:30 p.m. CC-607 Organizer(s): Jack Kalbfl eisch, University of Michigan Section on Statistics and Marketing Business Meeting 5:30 p.m.–7:30 p.m. CC-610 Chair(s): Alan Montgomery, Carnegie Mellon University Section on Statistics in Epidemiology Social Mixer Chair(s): Sander Greenland, University of California, Los Angeles 5:30 p.m.–6:30 p.m. S-Willow A Institute of Mathematical Statistics New Member 6:00 p.m.–6:30 p.m. CC-Ballroom 6ABC and Student Reception 2006 ASA New Fellows Group Picture (closed) Organizer(s): Elyse Gustafson, IMS Chair(s): M. Elizabeth Halloran, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center 5:30 p.m.–7:00 p.m. CC-603 6:30 p.m.–7:30 p.m. CC-607 Section on Statistical Consulting Business Meeting Chair(s): Philip Dixon, Iowa State University Joint Mixer for Section on Statistics and Marketing and the Business & Economics Section 5:30 p.m.–7:00 p.m. CC-604 Chair(s): Alan Montgomery, Carnegie Mellon University; Paul ENAR Business Meeting (open to all ENAR members) Shaman, University of Pennsylvania Organizer(s): Kathy Hoskins, ENAR 6:00 p.m.–7:30 p.m. CC-302 5:30 p.m.–7:00 p.m. CC-613 Insightful Reception Section on Nonparametric Statistics Business Meeting Organizer(s): Gina Buzzelle, Insightful Corporation Chair(s): Pranab K. Sen, Th e University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill 6:00 p.m.–8:00 p.m. H-Leonesa Ballroom I 5:30 p.m.–7:00 p.m. Off Property University of Wisconsin-Madison Department of University of Washington Department of Statistics Reception Biostatistics Alumni Meeting Organizer(s): Jun Shao, University of Wisconsin-Madison Organizer(s): Xiao-Hua Andrew Zhou, University of Washington

Seattle 131 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

6:30 p.m.–7:30 p.m. CC-4C-2 CE_27C CC-305 2006 ASA New Fellows Reception (by invitation only) 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. Chair(s): M. Elizabeth Halloran, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Effective Scientifi c Writing Center The ASA Instructor(s): Judith A. Swan, Princeton University 6:30 p.m.–8:00 p.m. S-Aspen Room Bristol-Myers Squibb Company Presentation and CE_28C CC-304 Reception (closed) 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. Organizer(s): Denise Houghton, Bristol-Myers Squibb Company Bioequivalence and Statistics in Clinical Pharmacology 6:30 p.m.–8:00 p.m. S-Ballard The ASA CRC Press/Taylor & Francis Reception (by invitation Instructor(s): Scott Patterson, GlaxoSmithKline; Byron Jones, Pfi zer Inc. only) CE_29C CC-303 Organizer(s): David Grubbs, CRC Press 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. 9:30 p.m.–12:00 a.m. CC-4C-3 Methods and Computational Tools for the Screening JSM Informal Dance Party (all welcome, included in and Classifi cation of Microarray Gene Expression Data registration fee) The ASA, Biopharmaceutical Section Instructor(s): Geoff McLachlan, University of Queensland; Kim-Anh Do, M. D. Anderson Cancer Center

Continuing Education (Fee Events) CE_30C CC-310 1:00 p.m.–5:00 p.m. CE_23C CC-310 Meta-analysis: Statistical Methods for Combining 8:00 a.m.–12:00 p.m. the Results of Independent Studies Adaptive Tests of Signifi cance and Confi dence The ASA Intervals Instructor(s): Ingram Olkin, Stanford University The ASA Instructor(s): Th omas W. O’Gorman, Northern Illinois University

CE_24C CC-306 Roundtables with Coffee 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. 7:00 a.m.–8:15 a.m. Bayesian Analysis of Case-Control Data The ASA, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science 212 CC-4C-1 Instructor(s): Malay Ghosh, University of Florida; Bhramar Mukherjee, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science University of Florida; Samiran Sinha, Texas A&M University Roundtable with Coffee (fee event) CE_25C CC-309 Section on Bayesian Statistical Science 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. Organizer(s): Merlise Clyde, Duke University Analysis of Environmental Data with Nondetects TL01 Can and Should We Teach Bayesian Inference in Stat 101?—❖Jerome Reiter, Duke University The ASA, Section on Statistics and the Environment Instructor(s): Dennis R. Helsel, U.S. Geological Survey; Lopaka Lee, U.S. Geological Survey 213 CC-4C-1 Section on Statistical Consulting Roundtable CE_26C CC-307 & 308 with Coffee (fee event) 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. Section on Statistical Consulting Models for Discrete Repeated Measures Organizer(s): Phillip Chapman, Colorado State University The ASA, Section on Statistics in Epidemiology TL02 Bioinformatics Consulting: Keeping up to Date—❖Ann Instructor(s): Geert Verbeke, K.U. Leuven; Geert Molenberghs, Hess, Colorado State University Limburgs Universitair Centrum

132 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

214 CC-4C-1 Special Presentation 8:30 a.m.–10:20 a.m.

Section on Statistical Education Roundtable Tuesday with Coffee (fee event) 219 CC-4C-4 Section on Statistical Education Introductory Overview Lectures: Computer Organizer(s): Patti Collings, Brigham Young University Experiments—Other TL03 Motivating the Math Major To Consider a Career in The ASA, ENAR, IMS, SSC, WNAR, Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences Statistics—❖Carolyn Cuff , Westminster College Organizer(s): Th omas M. Loughin, Kansas State University Chair(s): Andrew J. Booker, Th e Boeing Company 215 CC-4C-1 8:35 a.m. What Are Computer Experiments, and How Do Section on Statistics and the Environment We Design Them?—❖William Notz, Th e Ohio Roundtable with Coffee (fee event) State University Section on Statistics and the Environment 9:25 a.m. The Modeling and Analysis of Data from Organizer(s): Peter Guttorp, University of Washington Computer Experiments—❖Th omas Santner, Th e TL04 Bayesian Applications in Environmental Science—❖Eric Ohio State University P. Smith, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion University; Keying Ye, Th e University of Texas at San Antonio Invited Sessions 8:30 a.m.–10:20 a.m. 216 CC-4C-1 Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences 220 CC-619 Roundtable with Coffee (fee event) JBES Invited Session—Invited Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences JBES-Journal of Business and Economic Statistics Organizer(s): Winson Taam, Th e Boeing Company Organizer(s): Torben G. Andersen, Northwestern University TL05 Weibull Analysis—❖Fritz Scholz, Th e Boeing Chair(s): Torben G. Andersen, Northwestern University Company 8:35 a.m. On the Fit and Forecasting Performance of New Keynesian Models—❖Frank Schorfheide, 217 CC-4C-1 University of Pennsylvania; Marco Del Negro, Section on Risk Analysis Roundtable with Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta; Frank Smets, Coffee (fee event) European Central Bank; Raf Wouters, National Bank of Belgium Section on Risk Analysis Organizer(s): Duane Steff ey, Exponent, Inc. 9:20 a.m. Disc: Larry Christiano, Northwestern University TL06 Estimation of Health Risk from Fish Consumption 9:35 a.m. Disc: A. Ronald Gallant, Duke University Associated with Fishing in an Urban Industrial Setting— 9:50 a.m. Disc: Christopher Sims, Princeton University ❖ Rose Ray, Exponent, Inc. 10:05 a.m. Floor Discussion

218 CC-4C-1 221 CC-2B Section on Teaching Statistics in the Health ● ✪ Six Sigma: What’s Missing—Invited Sciences Roundtable with Coffee (fee event) Section on Quality and Productivity, Section on Statistical Education Section on Teaching Statistics in the Health Sciences Organizer(s): Ramon Leon, University of Tennessee Organizer(s): Patrick Tarwater, Th e University of Texas Health Science Chair(s): Roger W. Hoerl, GE Global Research Center at Houston 8:35 a.m. Improving the Six Sigma Toolkit—❖Gerald TL07 Productivity versus Professionalism in Biostatistics— J. Hahn, GE Global Research/RPI; ❖Necip ❖ Lemuel Moye, Th e University of Texas Health Doganaksoy, GE Global Research Science Center at Houston 9:05 a.m. Six Sigma: What Is Missing?—❖William C. Parr, University of Tennessee

Seattle 133 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

9:35 a.m. Making Six Sigma Work: Statistics, Semi- 9:25 a.m. Sample Size and the Value of Information— Statistics, and Soft Stuff—❖Blanton Godfrey, ❖Kimberly M. Th ompson, Harvard School of North Carolina State University Public Health 10:05 a.m. Floor Discussion 9:50 a.m. Disc: Stephen Senn, University of Glasgow 10:10 a.m. Floor Discussion 222 CC-3A ● ✪ Bayesian Methods in Computational 224 CC-608 Biology—Invited ● ✪ Statistical Methods for Integrative Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, Biometrics Section, WNAR, ENAR Genomics—Invited Organizer(s): Joseph G. Ibrahim, Th e University of North Carolina at Biometrics Section, WNAR, ENAR Chapel Hill Organizer(s): Giovanni Parmigiani, Th e Johns Hopkins University Chair(s): Joseph G. Ibrahim, Th e University of North Carolina at Chair(s): Kim-Anh Do, M. D. Anderson Cancer Center Chapel Hill 8:35 a.m. Integrative Correlation: a Gene-Level Measure 8:35 a.m. Evolutionary Sparse Factor Modeling of Cross-Study Reproducibility—❖Leslie Cope, for Subpathway Identifi cation and Th e Johns Hopkins University; Liz Garrett- Characterization—❖Mike West, Duke Mayer, Th e Johns Hopkins University; Edward University; Carlos Carvalho, Duke University; Gabrielson, Th e Johns Hopkins University Quanli Wang, Duke University; Joseph School of Medicine; Giovanni Parmigiani, Th e Lucas, Duke University; Joseph Nevins, Duke Johns Hopkins University University; Jeff rey Chang, Duke University 9:00 a.m. A Bayesian Model for Cross-Study Differential 9:00 a.m. Bayesian Inference for Biochemical Network Expression—❖Andrew Nobel, Th e University Dynamics—❖Darren J. Wilkinson, University of of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Haakon Newcastle upon Tyne Tjelmeland, Norwegian University of Science 9:25 a.m. Bayesian One-Way and Two-Way Clustering and Technology; Rob Scharpf, Th e Johns Methods for Genomic Data—❖Jun Liu, Harvard Hopkins University; Giovanni Parmigiani, Th e University Johns Hopkins University 9:50 a.m. Statistical Methods for Motif Detection 9:25 a.m. Statistical Methods for Analysis of Copy Number Incorporating Structural Features of DNA— and Expression Transcript Data—❖Debashis ❖Mayetri Gupta, Th e University of North Ghosh, University of Michigan Carolina at Chapel Hill 9:50 a.m. Integrative Homologous Regulation Analysis 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion between Mouse and Human—❖Jae K. Lee, University of Virginia 223 CC-400 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion ● Alternative Approaches for Sample Size Planning—Invited 225 CC-603 Section on Statistical Consulting, Section on Statistical Education Network Visualization—Invited Organizer(s): Peter Bacchetti, University of California, San Francisco Section on Statistical Graphics, Section on Statisticians in Defense and Chair(s): Stuart A. Gansky, University of California, San Francisco National Security 8:35 a.m. Estimating the Minimally Signifi cant Difference Organizer(s): Deborah F. Swayne, AT&T Labs-Research for a Clinical Study—❖Robert A. Parker, Chair(s): Leland Wilkinson, SPSS Inc. Harvard School of Public Health 8:35 a.m. Scaling up Graph Visualization—❖Stephen 9:00 a.m. A Completely Different Approach to Sample North, AT&T Labs-Research ❖ Size Planning— Peter Bacchetti, University of 9:05 a.m. Scalable Drawing of Trees and Graphs— California, San Francisco; Charles E. McCulloch, ❖Tamara Munzner, Th e University of British University of California, San Francisco; Mark R. Columbia Segal, University of California, San Francisco

134 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

9:35 a.m. Visualizing Evolving Graphs by Simultaneous 9:25 a.m. Evaluation of Diagnostic Tests in Studies with Embeddings—❖Stephen G. Kobourov, Verifi cation Bias—❖Marina Kondratovich, U.S. Tuesday University of Arizona Food and Drug Administration 10:05 a.m. Floor Discussion 9:50 a.m. Disc: Colin B. Begg, Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center 226 CC-617 10:10 a.m. Floor Discussion ● Teaching Biostatistics without Equations to Health Care Professionals—Invited 228 CC-618 Section on Teaching Statistics in the Health Sciences, Section on Statistical ● ✪ Statistical Responses to Legislation: the Education, Section on Statistical Graphics Privacy Rule—Invited Organizer(s): Janet A. Tooze, Wake Forest University School of Committee on Privacy and Confi dentiality, Section on Health Policy Statistics Medicine Organizer(s): Alvan O. Zarate, National Center for Health Statistics Chair(s): Janet A. Tooze, Wake Forest University School of Medicine Chair(s): Laura Zayatz, U.S. Census Bureau 8:35 a.m. Teaching Research Design to Health Sciences 8:35 a.m. The Statistician’s Role in Developing the HIPAA Professionals—❖Stephen W. Looney, LSU De-identifi cation Standard—❖Alvan O. Zarate, Health Sciences Center National Center for Health Statistics 9:00 a.m. Teaching Statistical Concepts through 9:00 a.m. The Federal Statisticians’ Response to the HIPAA Visualization—❖Edward H. Ip, Wake Forest Privacy Rule—❖Jacob Bournazian, Energy University School of Medicine; Gary Wolgast, Information Administration Wake Forest University School of Medicine 9:25 a.m. Statistical Deidentifi cation and the HIPAA 9:25 a.m. Effective Teaching of Applied Biostatistics Rule—❖Patrick Baier, National Opinion for Clinicians Enrolled in a Research Training Research Center Program—❖Jodi Lapidus, Oregon Health & Science University 9:50 a.m. Disc: J. Neil Russell, National Center for Education Statistics 9:50 a.m. Disc: Ralph O’Brien, Th e Cleveland Clinic 10:10 a.m. Floor Discussion 10:10 a.m. Floor Discussion 229 CC-602 227 CC-607 Recent Developments in Nonparametric ● Statistical Issues in Diagnostic Medicine— Survival Analysis Methods—Invited Invited ENAR, Biometrics Section, WNAR, Section on Nonparametric Statistics Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, Biometrics Section, Section on Health Organizer(s): Haibo Zhou, Th e University of North Carolina at Chapel Policy Statistics, ENAR Hill Organizer(s): Estelle Russek-Cohen, U.S. Food and Drug Chair(s): Jianqing Fan, Princeton University Administration Chair(s): Estelle Russek-Cohen, U.S. Food and Drug Administration 8:35 a.m. Partially Linear Hazard Regression for Multivariate Survival Data—❖Jianwen Cai, Th e 8:35 a.m. Evaluating the Predictiveness of a Continuous University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Marker—❖Margaret S. Pepe, Fred Hutchinson Jianqing Fan, Princeton University; Jiancheng Cancer Research Center/University of Jiang, Princeton University; Haibo Zhou, Th e Washington; Ying Huang, University of University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Washington; Ziding Feng, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center 8:55 a.m. A General Imputation Methodology for Nonparametric Regression with Censored 9:00 a.m. Double-Semiparametric ROC Regression Data—❖Daniel Rubin, University of California, Analysis—❖Xiao-Hua Andrew Zhou, University Berkeley; Mark van der Laan, University of of Washington; Huazhen Lin, University of California, Berkeley Washington

Seattle 135 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

136 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers Tuesday

Seattle 137 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

9:15 a.m. Kernel-Smoothed Profi le Likelihood Function Missing Data?—❖Guanghan Liu, Merck in Accelerated Failure Time Model—❖Donglin Research Laboratories Zeng, Th e University of North Carolina at 8:55 a.m. An Analytic Road Map for Incomplete Chapel Hill; Danyu Lin, Th e University of North Longitudinal Clinical Trial Data—❖Craig Carolina at Chapel Hill Mallinckrodt, Eli Lilly and Company; Shuyi 9:35 a.m. Nonparametric Analysis of Multivariate Shen, Eli Lilly and Company; Caroline Competing Risks Data—❖Jason P. Fine, Beucnkens, Limburgs Universitair Centrum; University of Wisconsin-Madison Geert Molenberghs, Limburgs Universitair 9:55 a.m. An Additive Modulated Renewal Process— Centrum ❖Dorota Dabrowska, University of California, 9:15 a.m. Mixed-Effects Latent Curve Modeling of Los Angeles Incomplete Longitudinal Cognitive Data—❖John 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion J. McArdle, University of Southern California 9:35 a.m. Scope of the Problem, Options Available, and Empirical Performance of Techniques for 230 CC-206 Handling Missing Data in Randomized Clinical ● Client-Oriented Perspectives on Small-Area Trials: Focus on Weight Loss Trials—❖David Estimation—Invited B. Allison, Th e University of Alabama at Section on Survey Research Methods, Section on Physical and Engineering Birmingham Sciences 9:55 a.m. Disc: Fanhui Kong, U.S. Food and Drug Organizer(s): Avinash C. Singh, Statistics Canada Administration Chair(s): Graham Kalton, Westat 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion 8:35 a.m. Characterization of Cost Structures, Perceived Value, and Optimization Issues in Small-Domain Estimation—❖John L. Eltinge, Bureau of Labor 232 CC-615 Statistics Applications in Seasonal Adjustment—Topic- 9:00 a.m. A Small-Area Estimation Approach in Reducing Contributed Survey Costs—❖Partha Lahiri, University of Business and Economics Statistics Section Maryland; Paul D. Williams, National Center for Organizer(s): Benoit Quenneville, Statistics Canada Health Statistics Chair(s): Peter Kenny, PBK Research 9:25 a.m. Some Problems and Possible Solutions in 8:35 a.m. Balancing SA Series as a Complement to the Developing a Small-Area Estimation Product for Direct and Indirect SA of Series—❖Benoit Clients—❖Avinash C. Singh, Statistics Canada Quenneville, Statistics Canada 9:50 a.m. Disc: Jon N. K. Rao, Carleton University 8:55 a.m. Computing Tasks Associated with Seasonal 10:10 a.m. Floor Discussion Adjustment at Statistics Canada: Methods and Software—❖Susie Fortier, Statistics Canada; Benoit Quenneville, Statistics Canada Topic-Contributed Sessions 9:15 a.m. Exploring Model-Based Seasonal Adjustment for Industry Employment Statistics—❖Christopher 8:30 a.m.–10:20 a.m. Manning, Bureau of Labor Statistics; Jeff rey A. Smith, Bureau of Labor Statistics 231 CC-609 9:35 a.m. Variance Estimation for Noise Components in ● Missing Data in Clinical Trials: Can We Do Time Series from a Survey—❖Daniell Toth, Better Than LOCF?—Topic-Contributed Bureau of Labor Statistics; Stuart Scott, Bureau Biopharmaceutical Section, Biometrics Section, ENAR of Labor Statistics Organizer(s): Bret Musser, Merck Research Laboratories 9:55 a.m. Disc: Estela BeeDagum, University of Bologna Chair(s): Bret Musser, Merck Research Laboratories 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion 8:35 a.m. Is It Better To Use Random Effects Models in Analysis of Repeated Binary Responses with

138 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

233 CC-210 9:35 a.m. Using the Audit Trail Data To Evaluate the ✪ Quality of Collection of the Canadian National New Methods for Testing Sensitive Questions Tuesday Using the National Health Interview Survey— Longitudinal Survey of Children and Youth— ❖ Topic-Contributed Bruno Lapierre, Statistics Canada; Scott Meyer, Statistics Canada Section on Survey Research Methods Organizer(s): Peter Meyer, National Center for Health Statistics 9:55 a.m. Floor Discussion Chair(s): Julie Trépanier, Statistics Canada 8:35 a.m. Developing New Methods and Questions for 235 CC-214 Improving Response and Measurement on Climate, Weather, and Spatial-Temporal Sensitive Questions on the National Health Models—Topic-Contributed ❖ Interview Survey— Peter Meyer, National Section on Statistics and the Environment, Section on Statisticians in Defense Center for Health Statistics; James Dahlhamer, and National Security, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, WNAR National Center for Health Statistics; John Pleis, Organizer(s): Stephan Sain, University of Colorado at Denver and National Center for Health Statistics Health Sciences Center 8:55 a.m. Sampling and Oversampling in the National Chair(s): Douglas W. Nychka, National Center for Atmospheric Research Health Interview Survey—❖Chris Moriarity, 8:35 a.m. Models for Multivariate Spatial Lattice Data National Center for Health Statistics and Assessing Climate Change—❖Stephan Sain, 9:15 a.m. Unfolding the Answers? Income Brackets and University of Colorado at Denver and Health Income Nonresponse in the National Health Sciences Center Interview Survey (NHIS)—❖John Pleis, National 8:55 a.m. Spatial Patterns of Global Climate Change Center for Health Statistics Fields—❖Reinhard Furrer, Colorado School 9:35 a.m. Questions People Don’t Like To Answer: of Mines; Reto Knutti, National Center for Wealth and Social Security Numbers—❖James Atmospheric Research Dahlhamer, National Center for Health Statistics; 9:15 a.m. Modeling Precipitation Network Data When Peter Meyer, National Center for Health Station Reporting Times Are Misaligned— Statistics; John Pleis, National Center for Health ❖Jarrett Barber, Montana State University; Statistics Alan E. Gelfand, Duke University; Douglas 9:55 a.m. Disc: James Chromy, RTI International W. Nychka, National Center for Atmospheric 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion Research 9:35 a.m. Spatial and Temporal Models for Evaluating IPCC Climate Model Outputs—❖Mikyoung Jun, Texas 234 CC-211 A&M University; Douglas W. Nychka, National ● ✪ Frontiers in Demographic Coverage Center for Atmospheric Research; Reto Knutti, Measurement—Topic-Contributed National Center for Atmospheric Research Social Statistics Section 9:55 a.m. A Hierarchical Bayesian Spatio-Temporal Model Organizer(s): Dean H. Judson, U.S. Census Bureau for Tropospheric Carbon Monoxide—❖Anders Chair(s): Jeremy Wu, U.S. Census Bureau Malmberg, National Center for Atmospheric 8:35 a.m. Demographic Coverage Measurement: Can Research ❖ Information Integration Theory Help?— Dean 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion H. Judson, U.S. Census Bureau 8:55 a.m. Demographic Analysis in the UK Census: a Look Back to 2001 and Looking Forward to 2011— 236 CC-3B Owen Abbott, Offi ce for National Statistics; Spatial Modeling—Topic-Contributed ❖Garnett Compton, Offi ce for National Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, Section on Nonparametric Statistics Statistics Organizer(s): Herbert Lee, University of California, Santa Cruz 9:15 a.m. Coverage Assessment and Adjustment in the Chair(s): Christopher Hans, Th e Ohio State University 2011 UK Census—❖Owen Abbott, Offi ce for 8:35 a.m. Gaussian Processes and Limiting Linear National Statistics Models—Robert Gramacy, University of

Seattle 139 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Cambridge; ❖Herbert Lee, University of 238 CC-204 California, Santa Cruz Health Policy Student Paper Awards—Topic- 8:55 a.m. Bayesian Model for Dependent Nonparametric Contributed Regressions—❖Abel Rodriguez, Duke Section on Health Policy Statistics University; Alan E. Gelfand, Duke University; Organizer(s): Bonnie Ghosh-Dastidar, RAND Corporation David B. Dunson, National Institute of Chair(s): Bonnie Ghosh-Dastidar, RAND Corporation Environmental Health Sciences 8:35 a.m. Understanding Self-Reported Disability 9:15 a.m. Sampling Importance Resampling for Computer among the Elderly: a Novel Use of Anchoring Model Inverse Problems—❖Matt Taddy, Vignettes—❖Kate Stewart, Harvard University; University of California, Santa Cruz; Bruno Mary Beth Landrum, Harvard Medical School; Sanso, University of California, Santa Cruz; David M. Cutler, Harvard University Herbert Lee, University of California, Santa Cruz 8:55 a.m. Hierarchical and Joint Site-Edge Methods for 9:35 a.m. Bayesian Computational Methods for Models in Medicare Hospice Service Region Boundary Geosciences—❖Alejandro Villagran, University Analysis—❖Haijun Ma, University of of New Mexico; Gabriel Huerta, University of Minnesota; Bradley P. Carlin, University of New Mexico Minnesota; Sudipto Banerjee, University of 9:55 a.m. The Effect of Collinearity on Parameter Estimation Minnesota in Bayesian Spatially Varying Coeffi cient Models— 9:15 a.m. Extending the Capture-Recapture Methodology ❖David Wheeler, Th e Ohio State University To Estimate Disease Subpopulation Sizes in the 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion Presence of Cross-Classifi cation—❖Ulysses Diva, University of Connecticut; Dipak Dey, University of Connecticut; Timothy Morse, 237 CC-401 University of Connecticut Health Center ● Fostering Active Learning in Statistics—Topic- 9:35 a.m. Methods for Profi ling the Value of Hospital Care Contributed Following Acute Myocardial Infarction—❖Justin Section on Statistical Education, Section on Teaching Statistics in the Health Timbie, Harvard University Sciences 9:55 a.m. Nonparametric Statistical Methods for a Organizer(s): Carl Lee, Central Michigan University Cost-Effectiveness Analysis—❖Phillip Dinh, Chair(s): Carl Lee, Central Michigan University University of Washington; Xiao-Hua Andrew 8:35 a.m. How Do You Come up with These Things?— Zhou, University of Washington ❖André Michelle Lubecke, Lander University 10:15 p.m. Floor Discussion 8:55 a.m. Using Simulation To Introduce Inference— ❖Sharon Lane-Getaz, University of Minnesota/ Cal Poly; Andrew Zieffl er, University of Minnesota Topic-Contributed Panel 9:15 a.m. Active Learning in an Online Introductory 8:30 a.m.–10:20 a.m. Statistics Course—❖Michelle Everson, University of Minnesota 239 CC-2A 9:35 a.m. Designing Classroom Activities for Student ● ✪ Responding to Emergency Needs for Data: Learning—❖Allan Rossman, California Developing Population Estimates in the Wake of Polytechnic State University, San Luis Obispo; Hurricane Katrina—Topic-Contributed Beth Chance, California Polytechnic State Section on Government Statistics University, San Luis Obispo Organizer(s): Wendy Alvey, U.S. Census Bureau; Lisa Blumerman, U.S. 9:55 a.m. Evaluation of Students’ Learning in Real-Time Census Bureau Online Activities Environment—❖Felix Famoye, Chair(s): Edward Spar, Council of Professional Associations on Federal Central Michigan University; Carl Lee, Central Statistics Michigan University Panelists: ❖Th omas Nardone, Bureau of Labor Statistics 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion ❖Christa Jones, U.S. Census Bureau

140 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

❖Lisa Blumerman, U.S. Census Bureau 8:50 a.m. Novel Bayesian Variable-Selection Priors for ❖ “Large p Small n” Data Analysis—❖Joseph Marc Roemer, U.S. Census Bureau Tuesday Lucas, Duke University ❖Sally Obenski, U.S. Census Bureau 9:05 a.m. New Priors for Complex System Reliabilities and 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion Trends—❖Earl Lawrence, Los Alamos National Laboratory; Scott Vander Wiel, Los Alamos National Laboratory Regular Contributed Sessions 9:20 a.m. Reference Priors in Linear Models with General 8:30 a.m.–10:20 a.m. Covariance Structures—❖Xin Zhao, Merck & Co., Inc.; Martin T. Wells, Cornell University 240 CC-205 9:35 a.m. Bayesian Interval Estimation of Attributable Risk Methods for High-Dimensional Data— Using Probability Matching Prior—❖Bin Huang, Contributed Cincinnati Children’s Hospital Medical Center; IMS Siva Sivaganisan, University of Cincinnati Chair(s): Elizabeth Koehler, University of Washington 9:50 a.m. Bayesian Inference with Matching Priors— ❖ 8:35 a.m. Constrained Dimension Reduction Based Ana-Maria Staicu, University of Toronto on Canonical Correlation—❖Jianhui Zhou, 10:05 a.m. A General Approach for Constructing University of Virginia Normalizing Constants for Parameter Selection ❖ 8:50 a.m. Sliced Inverse Regression under Data Priors— Christopher Carter, University of New Contamination—❖Ulrike Genschel, Iowa State South Wales University 9:05 a.m. Signifi cance and Recovery of Block Structures 242 CC-213 in Binary and Real Matrices with Noise—❖Xing Classifi cation and Other Correlated Data Sun, Th e University of North Carolina at Chapel Problems—Contributed Hill; Andrew Nobel, Th e University of North Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences Carolina at Chapel Hill Chair(s): EunJoo Lee, Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. 9:20 a.m. Some Extensions of a Two-Sample Test under 8:35 a.m. InfoEvolve(TM): a Data Mining Tool Combining the Effect of High Dimension—❖Yingli Qin, Information Theory and Genetic Algorithms— ❖ Iowa State University; Song X. Chen, Iowa State Aaron J. Owens, DuPont; Karen M. Bloch, University; Liang Peng, Iowa State University DuPont 9:35 a.m. Detecting Sparse Signals with a Large Scale of 8:50 a.m. Analysis of Handwritten ZIP Code Digits Using ❖ SPRTs—❖Yanhong Wu, University of the Pacifi c OBSTree— Atina Dunlap Brooks, North Carolina State University; Jacqueline Hughes- 9:50 a.m. On the Accuracy of Data Squashing—❖Atsuyuki Oliver, North Carolina State University Kogure, Keio University; Masahiko Sagae, Gifu University 9:05 a.m. A Nonparametric Approach Based on a Like Markov Property for Classifi cation—❖Eun Sug 10:05 a.m. New Tools for Sparse Inference: the Regime of Park, Texas Transportation Institute; Cliff ord Moderate Signifi cances—❖Jiashun Jin, Purdue Spiegelman, Texas A&M University University 9:20 a.m. Sensitivity Analysis with Correlated Inputs: ❖ 241 CC-601 Application to Kinetic Models— Sebastien Construction of Prior Distributions—Contributed Da Veiga, Institut Français du Pétrole; Francois Wahl, Institut Français du Pétrole; Fabrice Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Gamboa, Université Paul Sabatier Chair(s): Raphael Gottardo, Th e University of British Columbia 9:35 a.m. A Structural Equation Method for Modeling 8:35 a.m. An Asymptotic Viewpoint on High-Dimensional Data Center Thermal Distribution—❖Zhiguang Bayesian Testing—❖Dan Spitzner, Virginia Qian, Georgia Institute of Technology; Yasuo Polytechnic Institute and State University Amemiya, IBM T. J. Watson Research Center

Seattle 141 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

9:50 a.m. Improved Tolerance Factors for Multivariate 10:05 a.m. Estimation of Correlation Coeffi cient in Bivariate Normal—❖Sumona Mondal, University Normal Population Based on Concomitants of Louisiana at Lafayette; Kalimuthu of Order Statistics—❖Qinying He, Th e Ohio Krishnamoorthy, University of Louisiana at State University; H. N. Nagaraja, Th e Ohio State Lafayette University 10:05 a.m. K-Means Clustering: a Novel Probabilistic Formulation, with Some Applications— ❖ 244 CC-212 Samiran Ghosh, University of Connecticut; ● ✪ Risk Assessment: Disease, Health, and Dipak Dey, University of Connecticut Harm—Contributed Section on Risk Analysis, Biometrics Section, ENAR 243 CC-605 Chair(s): Brian Caff o, Th e Johns Hopkins University Missing or Censored Data—Contributed 8:35 a.m. Characterization of Occupant Anthropometry Section on Statistical Computing, Biometrics Section, ENAR and Clearance Measures in Passenger Cars— Chair(s): George Terrell, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State ❖Duane Steff ey, Exponent, Inc.; Robert Bove, University Jr., Exponent, Inc.; Jacob Fisher, Exponent, Inc.; 8:35 a.m. Counting the Homeless in Los Angeles County— Lauren Ciccarelli, Exponent, Inc.; Robert Cargill, ❖ Brian Kriegler, University of California, Los Exponent, Inc.; Tara Moore, Exponent, Inc. Angeles; Richard Berk, University of California, 8:50 a.m. Smallpox and Pandemic Infl uenza: Modeling Los Angeles; Don Ylvisaker, University of Potential Challenges for the U.S. Blood California, Los Angeles Supply—❖Steven Anderson, U.S. Food and Drug 8:50 a.m. An Investigation of Missing Data Methods Administration for Decision Trees—❖Yufeng Ding, New 9:05 a.m. A Comparison of Bayesian Networks and MCMC York University; Jeff rey Simonoff , New York Techniques for Quantitative Risk Assessment— University ❖Paola Berchialla, University of Torino; Silvia ❖ 9:05 a.m. Nonlinear Neural Network Imputation— Safaa Snidero, University of Torino; Alexandru Stancu, Amer, National Opinion Research Center University of Torino; Cecilia Scarinzi, University 9:20 a.m. Using Objective Measures in Combination with of Torino; Roberto Corradetti, University of Self-Report To Estimate Adherence—❖Richard Torino; Dario Gregori, University of Torino Th ompson, Th e Johns Hopkins Bloomberg 9:20 a.m. Risk Assessment of Listeria Monocytogenes on School of Public Health; Michael Griswold, Frankfurters with Organic Acid Salts Surface Th e Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Treatments—❖Zheng Lu, Iowa State University; Public Health; Arlene Butz, Th e Johns Hopkins Chunwang Gao, Iowa State University University; Michele Donithan, Th e Johns 9:35 a.m. Generalized Residual Sojourns under Truncation Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health and Censoring—❖John Hsieh, University of 9:35 a.m. Test of Independence with Incomplete Nevada, Reno Contingency Table—❖Shin-Soo Kang, Iowa 9:50 a.m. General Indexes for Spatial-Temporal Population State University; Kenneth Koehler, Iowa State Risk Assessment—❖Chu-Chih Chen, National University; Michael D. Larsen, Iowa State Health Research Institutes University 10:05 a.m. Public Health Interventions and Transition 9:50 a.m. A Comparison of Parametric and Semiparametric Probabilities—❖Paula Diehr, University of Methods for Predicting Limited Dependent Washington Variables—❖Maya Sternberg, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; Alula Hadgu, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; Suephy Chen, Emory University School of Medicine

142 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

245 CC-616 9:05 a.m. Assessing the Reproducibility of an Analytical ● Method—❖Jason Liao, Merck Research Misspecifi cations, Data Quality, and Tuesday Improvements—Contributed Laboratories Business and Economics Statistics Section 9:20 a.m. Imputing Nonignorable Missing Data on Clinical Chair(s): Michael Smith, University of Sydney Laboratory Assessments—❖Kapildeb Sen, Bristol- 8:35 a.m. Sons, Daughters, and Parents’ Labor Supply: New Myers Squibb Company; Chen-Sheng Lin, Bristol- Evidence from Matched CPS Data—❖James Myers Squibb Company; Kannan Natarajan, Vere, Th e University of Hong Kong Novartis Pharmaceuticals Corporation; Jun Xing, Bristol-Myers Squibb Company 8:50 a.m. Statistical Modeling: Science versus Business and Domain Expertise—❖Igor Mandel, Media 9:35 a.m. Web-Based Interactive Bayesian Multiple- Planning Group; David Hauser, Media Planning Objective Optimal Designs for Dose Response ❖ Group Studies with Constraints— Xiang-feng Wu, Stony Brook University; Wei Zhu, Stony Brook 9:05 a.m. Estimating Signatures on a Petition with Cis— ❖ University; Holger Dette, Ruhr-Universität Mary M. Whiteside, Th e University of Texas at Bochum; Weng Kee Wong, University of Arlington; Mark E. Eakin, Th e University of Texas California, Los Angeles 9:20 a.m. Estimation of Industry Distribution of Statistical 9:50 a.m. Teaching Statistics to Clinical Research Staff in Discrepancy in National Income and Product a Pharmaceutical Company—❖Sunil Dhar, New Accounts—❖ Baoline Chen, Bureau of Economic Jersey Institute of Technology; Farid Kianifard, Analysis Novartis Pharmaceuticals Corporation 9:35 a.m. Quantifying the Quality of Macroeconomic 10:05 a.m. Floor Discussion Variables—❖Alex Teterukovsky, Statistics Sweden; Lars-Erik Öller, Statistics Sweden/ Stockholm University 247 CC-613 ● Methods for Agreement and Paired Data— 9:50 a.m. Incorporating EITC Participation into the SAIPE Contributed Program’s County Poverty Model—❖Wesley Biometrics Section, ENAR Basel, U.S. Census Bureau; Brian J. O’Hara, U.S. Chair(s): Michael Haber, Emory University Census Bureau 8:35 a.m. Concordance Correlation Coeffi cient for Ordinal 10:05 a.m. Misspecifi cation of Cointegrating Ranks in Data—❖Jingyun Yang, Th e Pennsylvania State Seasonal Models—❖Byeongchan Seong, Pohang University University of Science and Technology; Sinsup Cho, Seoul National University; Sung K. Ahn, 8:50 a.m. Paradoxes Revisited: Comparison of B-Statistic ❖ Washington State University; S. Y. Hwang, with Kappa— Shankar Viswanathan, Th e Sookmyung Women’s University University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Shrikant I. Bangdiwala, Th e University of North 246 CC-612 Carolina at Chapel Hill ● Nonclinical, Nonbiological Drug 9:05 a.m. Interobserver Variability and Intraobserver Development—Contributed Variability—❖Jing Han, St. Francis Hospital Biopharmaceutical Section 9:20 a.m. Assessing Rater Exchangeability and Identifying Chair(s): Yanping Wang, Eli Lilly and Company an Atypical Rater Using a Log-Linear Modeling ❖ 8:35 a.m. Statistical Issues of Two-Stage Delivery Dose Approach— Kari Kastango, University of Uniformity Test of Orally Inhaled and Nasal Drug Pittsburgh; Roslyn A. Stone, Veteran’s Aff airs Products—❖Meiyu Shen, U.S. Food and Drug Pittsburgh Healthcare System Administration; Yi Tsong, U.S. Food and Drug 9:35 a.m. The Test-Based Exact Confi dence Intervals of Administration the Difference between Two Proportions for ❖ 8:50 a.m. Practical Considerations on Lot Acceptance Small-Sample Paired Binary Data— Hong-Long Sampling Procedures—❖Boguang Zhen, U.S. Wang, National Taipei University; Shiu-Ying Lin, Food and Drug Administration National Taipei University; Xiao-Hua Andrew Zhou, University of Washington

Seattle 143 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

9:50 a.m. Problems Related to Effect Size Measurement 8:50 a.m. Sample Size Re-estimation for Time-to-Event and Analysis—❖Sibabrata Banerjee, New Jersey Studies—❖Erinn Hade, Th e Ohio State University; Institute of Technology Soledad Fernandez, Th e Ohio State University; 10:05 a.m. Confi dence Interval of Effect Size in Paired and David Jarjoura, Th e Ohio State University Parallel-Group Study—❖Jianrong Wu, St. Jude 9:05 a.m. Sample Size and Power Calculation with Children’s Research Hospital; Guoyong Jiang, Generalized Mixed Effects Model—❖Qianyu Cephalon, Inc. Dang, University of Pittsburgh; Sati Mazumdar, University of Pittsburgh 9:20 a.m. Design of Clinical Trials with Flexible Sample 248 CC-614 ❖ ● Inference for Categorical Data—Contributed Size— Lu Cui, sanofi -aventis; Fang Liu, Merck Research Laboratories; Ray Zhu, sanofi -aventis Biometrics Section Chair(s): Kenneth Koehler, Iowa State University 9:35 a.m. Approximate Confi dence Intervals for Power in UNIREP Analyses—❖Matthew Gribbin, 8:35 a.m. Exact Inference for Contingency Tables with Th e University of North Carolina at Chapel Correlated Data—❖Chris Corcoran, Utah State Hill; Keith E. Muller, Th e University of North University Carolina at Chapel Hill; Jacqueline Johnson, Th e 8:50 a.m. Exact Unconditional Inference for Multinomial University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Likelihoods with an Example Using 2x3 9:50 a.m. Designing Standardly Tailored Multicomponent Contingency Tables—❖Gerald Crans, Eli Lilly Intervention Trials in Medicine To Yield Unbiased and Company; Jonathan J. Shuster, University of Effect Estimates—❖Heather G. Allore, Yale Florida University 9:05 a.m. Measuring Association in Contingency Tables— 10:05 a.m. Evaluation of Several Multiple Comparison ❖Shailendra Banerjee, Centers for Disease Procedures for Noninferiority Trials with Two Control and Prevention Doses of a Treatment and a Control with a Binary 9:20 a.m. Data Information with the Cochran-Mantel- Success Rate Endpoint—❖Hongling Zhou, U.S. ❖ Haenszel Test— Philip E. Cheng, Academia Sinica Food and Drug Administration; Mohammad 9:35 a.m. Modifi ed Maximum Likelihood Estimation of the Huque, U.S. Food and Drug Administration Proportional Odds Model—❖Evrim Oral, Middle East Technical University 250 CC-606 9:50 a.m. Using Variation Reduction Point To Remove ✪ Censoring and Modeling with Censoring— Extraneous Effect in Modeling—❖Chong Yau Fu, National Yang-Ming University; Shih-Hua Contributed Liu, National Yunlin University of Science & Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, Biometrics Section, ENAR Technology Chair(s): Kiros Berhane, University of Southern California 10:05 a.m. Floor Discussion 8:35 a.m. Interval Estimation for a Measure of Stochastic Superiority—❖Euijung Ryu, University of Florida 8:50 a.m. Estimating Equation Approach for Regression 249 CC-610 Analysis of Interval-Censored Failure Time ● Design of Power and Sample Size in Clinical Data—❖HeeJeong Lim, California State University, Trials—Contributed Fullerton; Xingqiu Zhao, McMaster University; Biometrics Section, ENAR Jianguo Sun, University of Missouri-Columbia Chair(s): James F. Ward, Sand Point Statistics Group 9:05 a.m. Sensitivity of the Kaplan-Meier Estimate to 8:35 a.m. Blinded Sample-Size Re-estimation in Nonignorable Censoring—❖Tao Liu, University Randomized Block Trials with Continuous of Pennsylvania School of Medicine; Daniel F. Endpoint—❖Biao Xing, Genentech, Inc.; Heitjan, University of Pennsylvania Jitendra Ganju, BiostatWorks 9:20 a.m. Censoring Point in Logistic ELISA Standard Curves—❖Ryan E. Wiegand, Medical University of South Carolina; Elizabeth H. Slate, Medical

144 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

University of South Carolina; Elizabeth G. Hill, 251 CC-604 Medical University of South Carolina; Jyotika K. ● ✪ Design and Analysis Issues in Tuesday Fernandes, Medical University of South Carolina Epidemiological Modeling—Contributed 9:35 a.m. Biases Due to Left Censoring and Left Truncation Section on Statistics in Epidemiology in Estimating Menopausal Transition Stages from Chair(s): Jonathan Mahnken, Th e University of Kansas Medical Center Menstrual Cycle Data—Kevin Cain, University of 8:35 a.m. Data Analysis under Case-Cohort Designs with ❖ Washington; Bin Nan, University of Michigan Clustered Binary Outcome Data—❖Shou-En 9:50 a.m. Predicting Exposure at a Specifi ed Time Based Lu, University of Medicine & Dentistry of on an Extended Randomized Regression Model New Jersey; Yong Lin, University of Medicine for Interval-Censored Data—❖Robert Lyles, & Dentistry of New Jersey; Joanna H. Shih, Emory University; Amita K. Manatunga, Emory National Cancer Institute University; Renee Moore, Emory University; 8:50 a.m. Early, Cost-Effective Identifi cation of High- Michele Marcus, Emory University Risk/Priority Control Areas in Foot-and-Mouth 10:05 a.m. Inference for Partially Observed Systems Disease Epidemics—❖Steven Schwager, Cornell with an Application to Cholera—Edward L. University; Ariel Rivas, Cornell University; Ionides, University of Michigan; ❖Carles Stephen Smith, Cornell University; Antoni Breto, University of Michigan; Aaron A. King, Magri, Cornell University University of Michigan 9:05 a.m. Capture-Recapture Revisited—❖Lawrence Lessner, SUNY University at Albany

Seattle 145 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

9:20 a.m. Heterogeneity on Estimation Size of Hard-to- 10:05 a.m. Improved Confi dence Intervals for the Bernoulli Reach Population Using Capture-Recapture Parameter—Wheyming Tina Song, National Data—❖Shenghai Zhang, Public Health Agency Tsing Hua University; ❖Chia-Jung Chang, of Canada National Tsing Hua University 9:35 a.m. Analysis of a Disease and Probability of Exposure Association Using a Replicated Error- ❖ 253 CC-203 Prone Exposure Assessment— Chengxing ● Survey-Based Estimation II—Contributed Lu, Emory University; Robert Lyles, Emory Section on Survey Research Methods University Chair(s): Elizabeth R. Zell, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention 9:50 a.m. A Two-Phase Analysis of Air Pollution and 8:35 a.m. Methods for Birth Cohort Analysis for the Adverse Birth Outcomes—❖Katherine Hoggatt, National Immunization Survey—❖Phil Smith, University of Michigan; Sander Greenland, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; University of California, Los Angeles; Beate Ritz, Kirk Wolter, National Opinion Research Center; University of California, Los Angeles James Singleton, Centers for Disease Control and 10:05 a.m. Floor Discussion Prevention 8:50 a.m. Estimation of Regression Coeffi cients with Unequal 252 CC-201 Probability Samples—❖Yu Wu, Iowa State ● Survey-Based Variance Estimation I— University; Wayne Fuller, Iowa State University Contributed 9:05 a.m. Indirect Sampling and the Problem of Section on Survey Research Methods Identifi cation of Links—❖Pierre Lavallée, Chair(s): Keith Rust, Westat/University of Maryland Statistics Canada; Xiaojian Xu, University of 8:35 a.m. Confi dence Intervals for Quantile Estimation Alberta from Complex Survey Data—❖Babubhai V. 9:20 a.m. A Comparison between Ratio Estimation and Shah, SAFAL Institute Inc.; Akhil Vaish, RTI Post-Stratifi cation—❖Chang-Tai Chao, National International Cheng Kung University; Tzu-Ching Chiang, 8:50 a.m. Estimating Prevalence When a Subset of the National Cheng Kung University Sample Requires Further Evaluation—❖David C. 9:35 a.m. Using Income as an Auxiliary Variable To Improve Hoaglin, Abt Associates Inc.; K. P. Srinath, Abt the Design of Household Expenditure Surveys— Associates Inc. ❖Charles Mitchell, Statistics Canada; Christian 9:05 a.m. Variance Estimation for Ordered Categories— Nadeau, Statistics Canada ❖Steven Pedlow, National Opinion Research 9:50 a.m. Model Averaging in Survey Estimation—❖Xiaoxi Center; Yongyi Wang, National Opinion Li, Iowa State University; Jean D. Opsomer, Iowa Research Center; Kirk Wolter, National Opinion State University Research Center 10:05 a.m. Integrating Person and Housing Unit Weighting 9:20 a.m. Variance Estimation in a Survey for Iowa’s State for the Current Population Survey—❖Andrew Board of Education—Michael D. Larsen, Iowa Zbikowski, U.S. Census Bureau; Phawn State University; ❖Lu Lu, Iowa State University Letourneau, U.S. Census Bureau 9:35 a.m. Variance Estimation in Complex Survey Sampling for Generalized Linear Models—❖Sundar 254 CC-620 Natarajan, New York University Medical Center; ● Nonparametric Regression Methods II— Stuart Lipsitz, Brigham and Women’s Hospital; Contributed Garrett Fitzmaurice, Harvard University; Charity Section on Nonparametric Statistics G. Moore, University of South Carolina Chair(s): Yolanda Munoz Maldonado, Th e University of Texas School 9:50 a.m. Variance Estimation of the Survey-Weighted of Public Health ❖ Kappa Measure of Agreement— Moshe Feder, 8:35 a.m. Spline Single-Index Prediction Model—❖Li RTI International Wang, Michigan State University; Lijian Yang, Michigan State University

146 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

8:50 a.m. Testing Lack-of-Fit of Heteroscedastic 255 CC-611 Nonlinear Regression Models with Local Linear ● Biomarkers and Joint Models—Contributed Tuesday ❖ Smoothers— Chin-Shang Li, St. Jude Children’s Biometrics Section, WNAR, ENAR Research Hospital Chair(s): Elizabeth Brown, University of Washington ❖ 9:05 a.m. Local Analytic Curve Estimation— Richard 8:35 a.m. Mixtures-of-Experts Joint Model for Longitudinal Charnigo, University of Kentucky; Cidambi Biomarkers and Recurrent Events—❖Jun Han, Srinivasan, University of Kentucky Georgia State University; Elizabeth H. Slate, 9:20 a.m. Nonparametric Regression with Coarsened Medical University of South Carolina; Edsel Predictors—❖Aurore Delaigle, University of Peña, University of South Carolina California, San Diego 8:50 a.m. Joint Analysis of Longitudinal Measurements 9:35 a.m. Asymptotic Approximation to a Nonparametric and Competing Risks Failure Time Data—❖Ning Regression Experiment with Unknown Li, University of California, Los Angeles; Robert Variance—❖Andrew Carter, University of Elashoff , University of California, Los Angeles; California, Santa Barbara Gang Li, University of California, Los Angeles 9:50 a.m. Floor Discussion 9:05 a.m. Joint Modeling of Survival and Longitudinal Data—Jimin Ding, University of California, Davis 9:20 a.m. Type I and II Error of Joint Multimarkers Cox Models To Predict Chronic Disease Outcomes— ❖Philimon Gona, Boston University

Seattle 147 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

9:35 a.m. Robust Analysis of Biomarker Data with Invited Sessions 10:30 a.m.–12:20 p.m. Informative Missingness Using a Two-Stage Hypothesis Test in an HIV Treatment Interruption Trial: AIEDRP AIN503 /ACTG A5217—❖Karen 257 CC-4C-4 ● ✪ Messer, University of California, San Diego; Hurricane Katrina and Economic Data— Florin Vaida, University of California, San Diego; Invited Christine Hogan, Columbia University Business and Economics Statistics Section 9:50 a.m. Evaluating Causal Effect Predictiveness of Organizer(s): John L. Eltinge, Bureau of Labor Statistics Candidate Surrogate Endpoints—❖Peter Chair(s): John L. Eltinge, Bureau of Labor Statistics Gilbert, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research 10:35 a.m. Current Population Survey Response to the ❖ Center/University of Washington; Michael G. Hurricane Katrina Disaster— Edwin L. Robison, Hudgens, Th e University of North Carolina at Bureau of Labor Statistics; Anne Polivka, Bureau Chapel Hill of Labor Statistics; Diane Herz, Bureau of Labor Statistics; Lawrence Cahoon, U.S. Census 10:05 a.m. A Novel Approach for Proteomic Biomarker Bureau; Richard Ning, U.S. Census Bureau; Identifi cation Using Mass Spectrometry— Maria Reed, U.S. Census Bureau; Greg Weyland, ❖Chen Ji, Stony Brook University; Yeming U.S. Census Bureau Ma, Brookhaven National Laboratory; Xuena Wang, University of Hawaii; Esther Arkin, Stony 11:00 a.m. Accounting for Katrina Effects in State Labor Force ❖ Brook University; Joseph Mitchell, Stony Brook Estimates— Richard Tiller, Bureau of Labor University; Wei Zhu, Stony Brook University Statistics; Sharon Brown, Bureau of Labor Statistics 11:25 a.m. Effects of Hurricane Katrina on the BLS Payroll Survey—❖Patricia Getz, Bureau of Labor Special Presentation Statistics; Richard Rosen, Bureau of Labor Statistics; Larry Huff , Bureau of Labor Statistics; 10:30 a.m.–12:20 p.m. Angela Clinton, Bureau of Labor Statistics 11:50 a.m. Analysis and Procedures in the Census Bureau’s 256 CC-400 Trade Surveys after Hurricane Katrina—❖Jock ASA Stat Bowl Session 1—Other R. Black, U.S. Census Bureau; Ruth E. Detlefsen, The ASA, ENAR, IMS, SSC, WNAR U.S. Census Bureau Organizer(s): Mark Payton, Oklahoma State University 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion Chair(s): Mark Payton, Oklahoma State University Game 1—❖Upasana Santra, University of Florida; ❖Samiran ❖ 258 CC-607 Ghosh, University of Connecticut; Susanta ● ✪ Tewari, University of Georgia; ❖Xinwei Deng, Estimation of Treatment Effect for Clinical Georgia Institute of Technology Trials with Group Sequential Designs—Invited Biopharmaceutical Section, Biometrics Section, ENAR Game 2—❖Vivekananda Roy, University of Florida; ❖Ying ❖ Organizer(s): Michael W. Lee, Johnson & Johnson Pharmaceutical Hung, Georgia Institute of Technology; Dipankar R&D; Hui Quan, sanofi -aventis Bandyopadhyay, University of Georgia; ❖Jeff rey Chair(s): Daowen Zhang, sanofi -aventis Lidicker, Temple University 10:35 a.m. Estimation Following Group Sequential Trials: ❖ ❖ Game 3— Fang Yu, University of Connecticut; Alicia a Bayesian View—❖Gary L. Rosner, M. D. ❖ Graziosi, Temple University; Arunava Anderson Cancer Center Chakravartty, University of California, Riverside; 11:10 a.m. Conditional Estimation of Treatment Effects ❖Rajarshi Dey, Kansas State University for Clinical Trials with Group Sequential ❖ ❖ Game 4— Ke Zhang, Kansas State University; Tanujit Dey, Designs—❖Michael W. Lee, Johnson & Johnson ❖ Case Western Reserve University; Christopher Pharmaceutical R&D; Hui Quan, sanofi -aventis Rigdon, Southern Illinois University; ❖Satrajit 11:45 a.m. Disc: Weichung J. Shih, University of Medicine & Roychoudhury, New Jersey Institute of Technology Dentistry of New Jersey 12:05 p.m. Floor Discussion

148 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

259 CC-2B 261 CC-206 ● ✪ ● Advances in Phylogenetic Inference— Modeling Behavioral Data from Clinical Tuesday Invited Research on Smoking—Invited IMS, WNAR Section on Health Policy Statistics, Biometrics Section Organizer(s): Bret Larget, University of Wisconsin-Madison Organizer(s): E. Paul Wileyto, University of Pennsylvania Chair(s): Bret Larget, University of Wisconsin-Madison Chair(s): Joseph L. Schafer, Th e Pennsylvania State University 10:35 a.m. Analysis of Comparative Data with Hierarchical 10:35 a.m. Modeling Heaping in Self-Reported Cigarette Autocorrelation—❖Cecile Ane, University of Counts—❖Daniel F. Heitjan, University of Wisconsin-Madison Pennsylvania 11:00 a.m. Using Bootstrap Support for Splits To Construct 11:00 a.m. A Cure Mixture Model for Multivariate Time-to- Confi dence Regions for Trees—❖Edward Susko, Event Data—❖E. Paul Wileyto, University of Dahousie University Pennsylvania 11:25 a.m. The Threshold Model: an Underutilized Resource 11:25 a.m. Modeling Variation in the Effects of Smoking in Phylogenetic Inference—❖Joseph Felsenstein, Using Intensive Longitudinal Data—❖Donald University of Washington Hedeker, University of Illinois at Chicago 11:50 a.m. Algebraic Statistics and Phylogenetic Inference: 11:50 a.m. Exploring the Relationship between Adverse Establishing Identifi ability of Mutation Events, Compliance, Dropout, and Abstinence in Models—❖Elizabeth S. Allman, University of Pharmacotherapy Smoking Cessation Trials— Alaska, Fairbanks; John A. Rhodes, University of ❖Joel A. Dubin, University of Waterloo Alaska, Fairbanks 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion 262 CC-603 260 CC-210 ● ✪ Complex Data Structures—Invited ● Personal Networks: Applications Using Data SSC on Social Relationships—Invited Organizer(s): James Staff ord, University of Toronto Section on Statistical Computing, Section on Statisticians in Defense and Chair(s): James Staff ord, University of Toronto National Security, Section on Statistical Graphics 10:35 a.m. Issues Relating to Methods for Analysis of Organizer(s): Chris Volinsky, AT&T Labs-Research Survey Data—❖David Binder, Statistical Society Chair(s): Deepak K. Agarwal, AT&T Labs-Research of Canada; Georgia Roberts, Statistics Canada 10:35 a.m. Design and Analysis of ‘How Many Xs Do You 11:05 a.m. Spatial-Temporal Modeling for Marine Ecological ❖ Know?’ Surveys— Tian Zheng, Columbia Systems—❖Joanna M. Flemming, Dahousie University; Andrew Gelman, Columbia University University ❖ 11:00 a.m. Data Mining in Networks— David Jensen, 11:35 a.m. A Stochastic Model for Forest Fire Growth— University of Massachusetts ❖Willard J. Braun, University of Western Ontario 11:25 a.m. The Dynamics of Viral Marketing—Jure 12:05 p.m. Floor Discussion Leskovec, Carnegie Mellon University; ❖Lada A. Adamic, University of Michigan; Bernardo Huberman, Hewlett Packard Labs 263 CC-3A ● ✪ 11:50 a.m. Modeling Massive Dynamic Graphs—❖Chris Effective Leadership for Statistical Thinking Volinsky, AT&T Labs-Research and Impact—Invited 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion Council of Chapters, Section on Statistical Education, Section on Statistical Consulting Organizer(s): James Kenyon, Bristol-Myers Squibb Company Chair(s): James Kenyon, Bristol-Myers Squibb Company 10:35 a.m. Building Statistical Thinking into the School Curriculum: Obstacles and Opportunities— ❖Richard L. Scheaff er, University of Florida

Seattle 149 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

11:05 a.m. Seven Habits of Highly Effective Statisticians in 11:25 a.m. Spatially Varying AR Processes Based on Discrete Pharmaceutical Industry—❖Frank Shen, Convolutions—❖Bruno Sanso, University of Bristol-Myers Squibb Company California, Santa Cruz; Alexandra Schmidt, 11:35 a.m. Effective Statistical Leadership in Government Universidade Federal de Rio de Janeiro; Aline and Industry—❖Fritz J. Scheuren, National Nobre, Universidade Federal de Rio de Janeiro Opinion Research Center 11:50 a.m. Using Computer Models To Inform about Space- ❖ 12:05 p.m. Floor Discussion Time Fields— Dave Higdon, Los Alamos National Laboratory 12:15 a.m. Floor Discussion 264 CC-604 ● Bombs to Bullets, People to Planets: Exploring Imaging Applications with a Statistician’s Eye— 266 CC-211 Invited ● ✪ Challenges Facing the Next Generation of Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences, Section on Statisticians in Applied Statisticians—Invited Defense and National Security, Section on Statistical Graphics Social Statistics Section, Committee on Applied Statisticians, Committee on Organizer(s): Kary Myers, Los Alamos National Laboratory Women in Statistics, Committee on Law and Justice Statistics, Section on Chair(s): Kary Myers, Los Alamos National Laboratory Statistical Education, Section on Statistical Consulting 10:35 a.m. Do Guns Transfer Their DNA to Bullets?— Organizer(s): Kelly H. Zou, Harvard Medical School ❖William F. Eddy, Carnegie Mellon University Chair(s): Alan M. Zaslavsky, Harvard Medical School 11:00 a.m. Using Image Grand Tour To Explore Multiangle, 10:35 a.m. Motivations and Challenges Facing Women Statisticians—❖ Multispectral Satellite Imagery—❖Amy Kelly H. Zou, Harvard Medical Braverman, Jet Propulsion Laboratory; Edward School Wegman, George Mason University; Wendy 11:00 a.m. Statistical Tools Employed in Legal Settings— Martinez, Offi ce of Naval Research; Juergen ❖Mary W. Gray, American University Symanzik, Utah State University; Brad Wallet, 11:25 a.m. Professional Accreditation for Statisticians— Automated Decisions ❖Mary Batcher, Ernst & Young LLP 11:25 a.m. Tomographic Imaging Using Background Cosmic 11:50 a.m. Disc: Kimberly F. Sellers, Georgetown University ❖ Radiation— Nicolas Hengartner, Los Alamos 12:10 p.m. Floor Discussion National Laboratory 11:50 a.m. Using Statistics To Search and Annotate Pictures— ❖Nuno Vasconcelos, University of California, San Diego; Pedro J. Moreno, Google, Inc. Invited Panels 10:30 a.m.–12:20 p.m. 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion 267 CC-2A ● Practical Issues in Conducting Statistics 265 CC-616 Education Research—Invited ● ✪ Bayesian Spatio-Temporal Models—Invited Section on Statistical Education WNAR, Biometrics Section, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, Section Organizer(s): Joan Garfi eld, University of Minnesota on Statistics and the Environment Chair(s): Joan Garfi eld, University of Minnesota Organizer(s): Bruno Sanso, University of California, Santa Cruz Panelists: ❖Robert DelMas, University of Minnesota Chair(s): Catherine A.Calder, Th e Ohio State University ❖ 10:35 a.m. Spatial Dynamic Factor Models—❖Hedibert Beth Chance, California Polytechnic State University, San Luis Obispo F. Lopes, Th e University of Chicago; Esther S. ❖ Salazar, Instituto de Matemática-UFRJ; Dani Sterling Hilton, Brigham Young University Gamerman, Instituto de Matemática-UFRJ ❖Lawrence M. Lesser, Th e University of Texas at 11:00 a.m. Characterizing Invasions with Hierarchical, Rule- El Paso Based Systems—❖Mevin B. Hooten, University ❖Andrew Zieffl er, University of Minnesota of Missouri-Columbia; Christopher K. Wikle, 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion University of Missouri-Columbia

150 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Topic-Contributed Sessions 11:35 a.m. Bayesian Inference for NLME Models Involving ODEs—❖Sujit Ghosh, North Carolina State Tuesday 10:30 a.m.–12:20 p.m. University; Lovely Goyal, North Carolina State University 268 CC-601 11:55 a.m. Bayesian Modeling of Longitudinal Data with ● Nonparametric Statistical Process Control Nonignorable Missing Data—❖Liansheng Zhu, Methods—Topic-Contributed North Carolina State University; Sujit Ghosh, Section on Quality and Productivity, Section on Nonparametric Statistics North Carolina State University; Subhashis Organizer(s): Subha Chakraborti, Th e University of Alabama Ghosal, North Carolina State University Chair(s): Subha Chakraborti, Th e University of Alabama 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion 10:35 a.m. Minimum Control Charts—❖Willem Albers, University Twente 270 CC-617 10:55 a.m. Distribution-Free Quality Control Charts Based ● Recent Advances in Analyzing Agreement ❖ on Signed-Rank-Like Statistics— Saad Bakir, Data—Topic-Contributed Alabama State University Biometrics Section, ENAR 11:15 a.m. Dispersion Control Charts Based on Ranks— Organizer(s): Ananda Sen, University of Michigan ❖ Raid Amin, University of West Florida Chair(s): Ananda Sen, University of Michigan 11:35 a.m. Distribution-Free Multivariate Process Control 10:35 a.m. Bivariate Modeling of Interobserver Agreement Based on Log-Linear Modeling—❖Peihua Qiu, Coeffi cients—❖Mohamed Shoukri, King Faisal University of Minnesota Specialist Hospital; Allan Donner, University of 11:55 a.m. A Bayesian Approach in Modeling Shifts of the Western Ontario Mean/Variance of Count Data—❖Panagiotis 10:55 a.m. A Weighted Kappa for Agreement between Two Tsiamyrtzis, Athens University of Economics Ratings with Different Ordinal Scales—❖Stuart and Business; Douglas M. Hawkins, University of Lipsitz, Brigham and Women’s Hospital Minnesota 11:15 a.m. Coeffi cient of Agreement for Binary Data 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion with Replications—❖Huiman Barnhart, Duke University; Michael Haber, Emory University; 269 CC-609 Andrzej Kosinski, Duke University ● ✪ Bayesian Computational Methods for 11:35 a.m. A Permutation Test for Dependent Concordance Biomedical Applications—Topic-Contributed Correlation Coeffi cients—❖John M. Williamson, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, Biometrics Section, ENAR Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; Hung-Mo Lin, Th e Pennsylvania State Organizer(s): Sujit Ghosh, North Carolina State University University; Sara Crawford, Th e Rollins School of Chair(s): Marina Vannucci, Texas A&M University Public Health of Emory University 10:35 a.m. Bayesian Hidden Markov Modeling of Array CGH Data—❖Subharup Guha, Harvard School of 11:55 a.m. Disc: Allan Donner, University of Western Public Health Ontario 10:55 a.m. A Hierarchical Bayesian Analysis of Longitudinal 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion Frequency Data Using Piecewise Linear Regression—❖John Kern, Duquesne University; Nicholas Bernini, Duquesne University; Sujit Ghosh, North Carolina State University 11:15 a.m. Bayesian Spatial Modeling of Data from Bird Surveys—❖Raymond Webster, North Carolina State University; Kenneth Pollock, North Carolina State University; Th eodore Simons, North Carolina State University

Seattle 151 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

271 CC-602 11:55 a.m. Disc: Patrick Heagerty, University of Washington ● ✪ Extremes: Methods for Environmental and 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion Meteorological Studies—Topic-Contributed WNAR 273 CC-201 Organizer(s): Daniel Cooley, Colorado State University ● The Transition from the Long Form to the Chair(s): Daniel Cooley, Colorado State University American Community Survey: Findings from The 10:35 a.m. How Good Are the Air Quality Standards?— National Academies Panel—Topic-Contributed ❖Sofi a Aberg, Lund University; Peter Guttorp, Section on Survey Research Methods University of Washington Organizer(s): Michael L. Cohen, Committee on National Statistics 10:55 a.m. A Statistical Approach to North American Chair(s): Michael L. Cohen, Committee on National Statistics Rainfall—❖Jie Zhou, Th e University of North 10:35 a.m. Functionality and Usability of Information from Carolina at Chapel Hill the American Community Survey—❖Connie 11:15 a.m. Bayesian Hierarchical Modeling for Extreme Citro, Committee on National Statistics; Graham ❖ Values in Spatio-Temporal Data— Huiyan Kalton, Westat; Michael L. Cohen, Committee Sang, Duke University; Alan E. Gelfand, Duke on National Statistics University 10:55 a.m. The ACS and the Data User Community— 11:35 a.m. Predicting Extreme Hurricane Winds in the United ❖Joseph Salvo, New York City Department of ❖ States— Th omas Jagger, Florida State University City Planning; Nancy Dunton, Th e University of 11:55 a.m. Statistical Analysis of a POT Model with Time- Kansas Medical Center; Charles Purvis, Oakland Varying Extreme Parameters—❖Marta Nogaj, Metro Transportation Commission Commission of Atomic Energy 11:15 a.m. Methodological Issues in the ACS—❖Graham 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion Kalton, Westat; Tim Holt, Retired; Sharon Lohr, Arizona State University; Hal Stern, University of 272 CC-611 California, Irvine ● ✪ Outcome-Dependent Sampling—Topic- 11:35 a.m. Disc: Jay Waite, U.S. Census Bureau Contributed 11:55 a.m. Disc: Allen Schirm, Mathematica Policy Section on Statistics in Epidemiology Research, Inc. Organizer(s): Jonathan Wakefi eld, University of Washington 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion Chair(s): James Lynch, University of Nebraska Medical Center 10:35 a.m. The Combination of Ecological and Individual- 274 CC-212 ❖ Level Data— Jonathan Wakefi eld, University of Student Paper Award Winners—Topic- Washington; Sebastien Haneuse, Group Health Contributed Cooperative Section on Statistical Computing, Section on Statistical Graphics 10:55 a.m. Two-Phase Methods for Ecological Studies— Organizer(s): Jose Pinheiro, Novartis Pharmaceuticals Corporation ❖ Sebastien Haneuse, Group Health Cooperative; Chair(s): Jose Pinheiro, Novartis Pharmaceuticals Corporation Jonathan Wakefi eld, University of Washington 10:35 a.m. Effi cient Computation and Variable Selection for 11:15 a.m. The Optimal Ratio of Cases to Controls for the L1-Norm Quantile Regression—❖Youjuan Estimating the Classifi cation Accuracy of Li, University of Michigan; Ji Zhu, University of ❖ a Biomarker— Holly E. Janes, Th e Johns Michigan Hopkins University; Margaret S. Pepe, Fred 10:55 a.m. An Algorithm for Regression of Scalars on Hutchinson Cancer Research Center/University Images—❖Philip Reiss, Columbia University; of Washington R. Todd Ogden, Columbia University 11:35 a.m. An Effi cient Outcome-Dependent Sampling 11:15 a.m. Clustering with Confi dence—❖Rebecca Nugent, Design for Longitudinal Binary Response University of Washington; Werner Stuetzle, Data—❖Jon Schildcrout, Vanderbilt University University of Washington Medical Center; Patrick Heagerty, University of Washington

152 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

11:35 a.m. Kernel Regularization and Dimension Research Center; Leslie Athey, National Opinion Reduction—Fan Lu, University of Wisconsin- Research Center; Suzanne Bard, National Tuesday Madison; Grace Wahba, University of Opinion Research Center; Judith Petty, National Wisconsin-Madison; Yi Lin, University of Opinion Research Center Wisconsin-Madison; Sunduz Keles, University 11:15 a.m. Effects of Late-Stage Completions on Data of Wisconsin-Madison; Stephen J. Wright, Quality—❖Karen Grigorian, National Opinion University of Wisconsin-Madison Research Center; Th omas B. Hoff er, National 11:55 a.m. Disc: Charles Roosen, Insightful Corporation Opinion Research Center; Ronald S. Fecso, 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion National Science Foundation 11:35 a.m. Disc: Cheryl R. Landman, U.S. Census Bureau 275 CC-205 11:55 a.m. Floor Discussion ● Measuring and Improving Data Quality— Topic-Contributed 276 CC-608 Section on Government Statistics High-Dimensional Modeling and Model Organizer(s): Nancy M. Gordon, U.S. Census Bureau Selection—Topic-Contributed Chair(s): Nancy M. Gordon, U.S. Census Bureau Section on Bayesian Statistical Science 10:35 a.m. How Do We Know If We Aren’t Looking? An Organizer(s): Christopher Hans, Th e Ohio State University Investigation of Data Quality in the SCF— Chair(s): Herbert Lee, University of California, Santa Cruz ❖ Arthur Kennickell, Federal Reserve Board 10:35 a.m. Priors for High-Dimensional Covariance 10:55 a.m. An Economic Analysis of Survey Response Models—❖Charles Curry, University of Quality—❖Julia Lane, National Opinion California, Santa Cruz

Seattle 153 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

10:55 a.m. High-Dimensional Modeling and Model Regular Contributed Sessions ❖ Selection— Carlos Carvalho, Duke University 10:30 a.m.–12:20 p.m. 11:15 a.m. Sparsity in Linear Regression for High- Dimensional Problems—❖Christopher Hans, Th e Ohio State University 278 CC-203 ● Sample Survey Quality III—Contributed 11:35 a.m. A Bayesian Nonparametric Approach for Section on Survey Research Methods Expression Proteomic Analyses—❖Leanna House, Duke University; Merlise Clyde, Duke Chair(s): David Dolson, Statistics Canada University; Robert Wolpert, Duke University 10:35 a.m. An Evaluation of Methods To Compensate for Noncoverage of Phoneless Households Using 11:55 a.m. Making Sense of Estimating Integrated Information on Interruptions in Telephone Likelihoods: Bridges, Paths, and Other Routes— Service and Presence of Wireless Phones— ❖Russell Steele, McGill University ❖Meena Khare, National Center for Health 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion Statistics; Sadeq Chowdhury, National Opinion Research Center; Kirk Wolter, National Opinion 277 CC-615 Research Center; Karen Wooten, National ✪ Topics in Function Estimation Using Immunization Program; Stephen Blumberg, Isotonization and Smoothing Techniques— National Center for Health Statistics Topic-Contributed 10:50 a.m. Using Record Linkage Techniques To Improve Online IMS, Section on Nonparametric Statistics Genealogical Research with Census Records— ❖John Lawson, Brigham Young University Organizer(s): Moulinath Banerjee, University of Michigan Chair(s): Jon A. Wellner, University of Washington 11:05 a.m. Integrating Culture Industries into Canada’s ❖ 10:35 a.m. Nonparametric Density Estimation from National Economic Surveys Program— Mary Covariate Information—❖Ryan Elmore, March, Statistics Canada; Paddison Wong, Colorado State University; Peter G. Hall, Statistics Canada Australian National University; Vladimir 11:20 a.m. The Internet Response Method: Impact on the Troynikov, Department of Primary Industries Canadian Census of Population Data—❖Laurent 10:55 a.m. Limiting Distribution of the NPMLE for Current Roy, Statistics Canada Status Data with Competing Risks—❖Marloes 11:35 a.m. Good Item or Bad: Can Latent Class Analysis Maathuis, University of Washington Tell? Examining the Effectiveness of the Latent 11:15 a.m. Penalized Likelihood Ratio Method for the Class Analysis Approach to Item Evaluation— ❖ Spiking Problem in Nonincreasing Density Frauke Kreuter, University of Maryland; Roger Estimation—❖Jayanta Pal, University of Tourangeau, University of Maryland; Ting Yan, Michigan Institute for Social Research 11:35 a.m. Fractile Graphical Analysis with Multiple 11:50 a.m. Population Coverage in the National Survey Covariates—❖Bodhisattva Sen, University of on Drug Use and Health—Susan R. Hunter, ❖ Michigan RTI International; Katherine B. Morton, RTI International; James Chromy, RTI International; 11:55 a.m. Disc: Moulinath Banerjee, University of Peilan C. Martin, RTI International Michigan 12:05 p.m. Floor Discussion 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion 279 CC-204 ● Survey-Based Estimation III—Contributed Section on Survey Research Methods Chair(s): Bryan Sayer, Social & Scientifi c Systems, Inc. 10:35 a.m. New Cell Collapsing Strategies Based on Collapsing Adjustment Factor—❖Jay J. Kim, National Center for Health Statistics; Richard

154 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Valliant, University of Michigan; Wenxing Zha, Postgraduate School; Samuel Wu, University of National Institutes of Health Florida Tuesday 10:50 a.m. Stratifi cation for Radio Listening Estimation— 11:50 a.m. Regression Modeling Using Multiple Sources ❖Richard Griffi ths, Arbitron Inc. To Detect Group-Level Differences in Pitching 11:05 a.m. Calculating Effect Sizes Using Survey Data— Performance—❖Liam O’Brien, Colby College; ❖Jun Liu, Research Triangle Institute Matthew Aschaff enburg, Colby College 11:20 a.m. Estimation for Two-Phase Panel Surveys— 12:05 p.m. A Cross-Country Comparison of Effi ciency of ❖Jason Legg, Iowa State University; Wayne Soccer-Betting Markets—❖Ruud H. Koning, Fuller, Iowa State University; Sarah M. Nusser, University of Groningen Iowa State University 11:35 a.m. Evaluation of Collapsing Criteria in Sample 281 CC-614 Weighting—❖Linda Tompkins, National Center ● ✪ Pedigree/Population Analyses—Contributed for Health Statistics; Jay J. Kim, National Center Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, Biometrics Section, ENAR for Health Statistics; Wenxing Zha, National Chair(s): Jinbo Chen, University of Pennsylvania Institutes of Health 10:35 a.m. Family-Based Liquid Association Analysis on 11:50 a.m. A Pseudo-Empirical Likelihood Approach for Atherosclerosis in C3H/HeJ.ApoE-/- x C57BL/6J. ❖ Stratifi ed Samples with Nonresponse— Fang ApoE-/- Cross—❖Tun-Hsiang Yang, University of Fang, University of Wisconsin-Madison; California, Los Angeles; Ker-Chau Li, University Quan Hong, Eli Lilly and Company; Jun Shao, of California, Los Angeles; Shinsheng Yuan, University of Wisconsin-Madison University of California, Los Angeles; Aldons J. 12:05 p.m. Estimation Methods To Produce Preliminary Lusis, University of California, Los Angeles; Wei Statistics in an Employment Survey—❖Anders Sun, University of California, Los Angeles; Susanna Holmberg, Statistics Sweden; Natalie Jansson, Wang, University of California, Los Angeles Statistics Sweden; Martin Odencrants, Statistics 10:50 a.m. Evaluating the Impact of Family Structure on Sweden Estimating Genetic Association Parameters in Family Studies—❖Stefan Boehringer, National 280 CC-3B Cancer Institute; Ruth Pfeiff er, National Cancer Hot Topics in Sports—Contributed Institute Section on Statistics in Sports, Section on Statistical Education 11:05 a.m. Evaluation of Three Approaches To Correct for Chair(s): Michael Anderson, Battelle Ascertainment of Pedigrees for Random-Effects Cox Proportional Hazard Linkage Analysis— 10:35 a.m. A Compound Logistic Regression Model for Third ❖ Down Effi ciency in the NFL—❖Christopher Susan Slager, Mayo Clinic College of Medicine; Rigdon, Southern Illinois University; Steve Shannon K. McDonnell, Mayo Clinic College Rigdon, Southern Illinois University of Medicine; Vernon S. Pankratz, Mayo Clinic College of Medicine; Antje Hoering, Cancer 10:50 a.m. Using Spatial Analysis as a Coaching Tool in Ice Research and Biostatistics; Terry M. Th erneau, ❖ Hockey— Robin Lock, St. Lawrence University; Mayo Clinic College of Medicine; Mariza de Travis Gingras, St. Lawrence University; Andrade, Mayo Clinic College of Medicine Chris Wells, St. Lawrence University; Michael 11:20 a.m. A Probability Model for Recent Tb Transmissions Schuckers, St. Lawrence University in Genetic Clusters—❖Nong Shang, Centers for ❖ 11:05 a.m. An Interesting Classroom Exercise— Laurence Disease Control and Prevention Robinson, Ohio Northern University 11:35 a.m. Human Population Structure Detection via 11:20 a.m. Identifying and Evaluating Contrarian Strategies Multilocus Genotype Clustering—❖Xiaoyi Gao, ❖ for NCAA Tournament Pools— Jarad Niemi, North Carolina State University; Bruce S. Weir, Duke University; Bradley P. Carlin, University of University of Washington Minnesota; Jonathan Alexander, Duke University 11:50 a.m. Testing for Familial Aggregation When the 11:35 a.m. Improved College Football Scheduling Using a Population Size Is Known—❖Yixin Fang, ❖ Pseudo-Swiss System— David Annis, Naval Columbia University

Seattle 155 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

12:05 p.m. A Study of an Allele-Sharing Statistic on Extended Pedigrees—❖Saonli Basu, University of Minnesota 10:50 a.m. Population Segmentation for Portfolio Strategies—❖Timothy H. Lee; Otto Schwalb 282 CC-613 11:05 a.m. Synthesis-Effi cient Portfolio of Investment ● ✪ Disease Modeling: Theory and Projects—❖Alex Fedorov, Novosibirsk Applications—Contributed State Technical University; Dmitri Shubin, Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, Biometrics Section, ENAR Novosibirsk State Technical University; Anatoly Chair(s): Eric Siegel, University of Arkansas for Medical Sciences Naumov, Novosibirsk State Technical University 10:35 a.m. Model Choice in Time Series Studies of Air 11:20 a.m. Assessing the Effects of Variability in Interest ❖ Pollution and Mortality—❖Roger Peng, Th e Rate Derivative Pricing— Michael Crotty, Johns Hopkins University; Francesca Dominici, North Carolina State University; Peter Th e Johns Hopkins University; Th omas A. Louis, Bloomfi eld, North Carolina State University Th e Johns Hopkins University 11:35 a.m. Structural Models of Corporate Bond Yields by ❖ 10:50 a.m. A Generalized Threshold Mixed Model for Nonconvex Penalized Least Squares— Yuejiao Analyzing Non-Normal Nonlinear Time Series: Ma, Th e Pennsylvania State University Plague in Kazakhstan as an Illustration— 11:50 a.m. Toward Identifi cation of Shocks in State-Space ❖Noelle I. Samia, Th e University of Iowa; Models: Application to Stochastic Volatility— Kung-Sik Chan, Th e University of Iowa; Nils C. ❖Nour Meddahi, Montréal University; Stéphane Stenseth, Th e University of Oslo Gregoir, CREST/INSEE 11:05 a.m. Statistical Determination of the Length of 12:05 p.m. Estimating the Commonality in Volatility-Volume Quarantine Periods in an Epidemic—❖Xiaojun Relationship—❖Lei Zhang, Syracuse University; You, Th e Johns Hopkins University Raja Velu, Syracuse University; Tze Leung Lai, 11:20 a.m. Bayesian Analysis of the 1918 Infl uenza Stanford University; Haipeng Xing, Columbia Pandemic in Baltimore, MD—❖Yue Yin, Th e University Johns Hopkins University 11:35 a.m. Changes in Infant Mortality by Socioeconomic 284 CC-606 Status: U.S. Residents, 1995–2000—❖Jay ● Preclinical Design and Analysis—Contributed H. Kim, Centers for Disease Control and Biopharmaceutical Section, ENAR Prevention; Joe Fred Gonzalez, Jr., National Chair(s): Kannan Natarajan, Novartis Pharmaceuticals Corporation Center for Health Statistics; Paul D. Williams, 10:35 a.m. Some Results Concerning Multiplicities in National Center for Health Statistics Animal Carcinogenicity Studies—❖Mohammad 11:50 a.m. BMI, Race, and Prostate Cancer—❖Negasi Rahman, U.S. Food and Drug Administration; Beyene, National Center for Health Statistics Karl Lin, U.S. Food and Drug Administration 12:05 p.m. Standardized Risk and Description of Results 10:50 a.m. Predictive Fingerprint Modeling in Systems from Multivariable Modeling of a Binary Biology—❖Lei Zhu, GlaxoSmithKline; Response—Bong-Rae Kim, University of Florida; Daniel Parks, GlaxoSmithKline; Xiwu Lin, ❖Randy L. Carter, University at Buff alo; P. V. GlaxoSmithKline; Kwan Lee, GlaxoSmithKline; Rao, University of Florida Amit Bhattacharyya, GlaxoSmithKIine; Edit Kurali, GlaxoSmithKline; Amber Anderson, 283 CC-401 GlaxoSmithKline; Dilip Rajagopalan, Portfolios and Derivations—Contributed GlaxoSmithKline Business and Economics Statistics Section 11:05 a.m. Evaluation of a Novel Metric for Quality Control Chair(s): Paul Shaman, University of Pennsylvania in an RNA Interference High-Throughput Assay— ❖Xiaohua Zhang, Merck Research Laboratories; 10:35 a.m. Mimicking Portfolios with Conditioning Namjin Chung, Merck Research Laboratories; Information—❖Andrew Siegel, University of Amy Espeseth, Merck Research Laboratories; Washington Marc Ferrer, Merck Research Laboratories

156 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

11:20 a.m. On Methods To Utilize HIV-RNA Data Measured U.S. Food and Drug Administration; John by Two PCR Assays—❖Joshua Chen, Merck & Lawrence, U.S. Food and Drug Administration Tuesday Co., Inc.; Chunpeng Fan, University of Wisconsin- 10:50 a.m. Designs for Phase I Clinical Trials with Multiple Madison; Jing Zhao, Merck & Co., Inc. Courses of Subjects at Different Doses— 11:35 a.m. Consideration of Parallel-Line and Logistic Models ❖Shenghua Fan, California State University, East for Potency Estimation—❖Bill Pikounis, Centocor Bay; You-Gan Wang, CSIRO Mathematical and R&D, Inc.; Ken Goldberg, Centocor R&D, Inc. Information Sciences 11:50 a.m. A Linear Model Approach To Detect Outliers in 11:05 a.m. Bayesian Decision-Theoretic Adaptive Designs Quantitative PCR—❖Michael Man, Pfi zer Inc. for Clinical Trials—❖Yi Cheng, Indiana 12:05 p.m. Quantifi cation Limits in HIV Clinical Trials— University South Bend ❖Michael Nessly, Merck Research Laboratories 11:20 a.m. Use of Hadamard Matrices in Designs for Two- Color Factorial Microarray Experiments—❖Yu Ding, Temple University; Damaraju Raghavarao, 285 CC-612 Temple University ● Sample Size—Contributed 11:35 a.m. Minimax Estimation of Means in Large-Scale Biopharmaceutical Section Experiments—❖Tiejun Tong, Yale University; Chair(s): Tom Kelleher, Bristol-Myers Squibb Company Liang Chen, Yale University; Hongyu Zhao, Yale 10:35 a.m. Sample Size Considerations in Noninferiority University Trials—❖Qi Jiang, Amgen Inc.; Steven Snapinn, 11:50 a.m. Tradeoffs between Power and ‘Confounding’ in Amgen Inc. a Small Microarray Experiment—❖Mary Putt, 10:50 a.m. Determining Sample Size for Proportions When University of Pennsylvania; Th omas Cappola, the Information on a Prognostic Factor Is University of Pennsylvania Unavailable—❖Bong S. Kim, Neumann College 12:05 p.m. Likelihood Inference for Survival Analysis in Two- 11:05 a.m. Sample Size Re-estimation in a Dose-Response Stage Randomization Designs—❖Abdus Wahed, Study—❖Kazuhiko Kuribayashi, Pfi zer Inc.; University of Pittsburgh Mike D. Smith, Pfi zer Inc. 11:20 a.m. Sample-Size Estimation for Repeated Measures 287 CC-618 Analysis in Randomized Clinical Trials with ● Statistical Methods in Assays and Cell Line Missing Data—Kaifeng Lu, Merck & Co., Inc.; Experiments—Contributed ❖ Xiaohui Luo, Merck & Co., Inc.; Pei-Yun Chen, Biometrics Section, ENAR Merck & Co., Inc. Chair(s): Jayawant Mandrekar, Mayo Clinic College of Medicine 11:35 a.m. Sample-Size Calculations in Logistic Regression: 10:35 a.m. Evaluation Parallelism Testing Methods in Comments on Hsieh, Bloch, and Larsen’s Immunoassay—❖Lanju Zhang, MedImmune, ❖ Method— Mohammed K. Alam, University of Inc.; Harry Yang, MedImmune, Inc.; Iksung Cho, Cincinnati; Marepalli Rao, University of Cincinnati; MedImmune, Inc. Rupa Mitra, Minnesota State University 10:50 a.m. Censored Poisson Regression with Normal 11:50 a.m. Extracting Information from an Ongoing Blinded Random Effects with an Application to a Dilution Trial—❖Jitendra Ganju, BiostatWorks Assay—❖Jorge Quiroz, Wyeth Research; Jeff rey 12:05 p.m. Floor Discussion R. Wilson, Arizona State University 11:05 a.m. LD50/IC50 Estimation for in vitro Cytotoxicity— ❖ 286 CC-619 Wenquan Wang, Th e University of Alabama at Birmingham ● Clinical Trial and Microarray Design— Contributed 11:20 a.m. Application of Pharmacokinetic Modeling To Guide Clinical Sample Testing—❖Andrew Chen, Biometrics Section, ENAR MedImmune, Inc.; Harry Yang, MedImmune, Chair(s): Daniel Sargent, Mayo Clinic College of Medicine Inc.; Lanju Zhang, MedImmune, Inc.; Iksung 10:35 a.m. Adaptive Design on Adjusting Sample Size Cho, MedImmune, Inc.; Ed O’Connor, ❖ without Infl ating Type I Error— Jialu Zhang, MedImmune, Inc.

Seattle 157 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

11:35 a.m. Error Variance Estimation with Few Replicates University of Kansas Medical Center; JoAnn in Cell Line Experiments—❖David Jarjoura, Th e Lierman, Th e University of Kansas Medical Ohio State University; Soledad Fernandez, Th e Center; William M. Brooks, Th e University of Ohio State University; Keding Hua, Th e Ohio Kansas Medical Center State University 11:35 a.m. A Central Limit Theorem for High-Dimensional 11:50 a.m. Theoretical Relationship between Direct and Spatially Correlated Processes—❖Danielle Indirect Potency Assays for Biological Product Harvey, University of California, Davis; Qian of Live Virus—❖Harry Yang, MedImmune, Inc.; Weng, University of California, Davis; Evan Iksung Cho, MedImmune, Inc. Fletcher, University of California, Davis; Charles 12:05 p.m. Floor Discussion DeCarli, University of California, Davis; Laurel Beckett, University of California, Davis 11:50 a.m. Image Analysis by Spatial Point Process 288 CC-620 Modeling in Irregular Area—❖Weimin Zhang, Analysis of Imaging and Spatial Data— Texas A&M University; Suojin Wang, Texas Contributed A&M University Biometrics Section, ENAR 12:05 p.m. Identifying Risk Factors for Encephalitis from Chair(s): Diana Miglioretti, Group Health Cooperative West Nile Virus Infection Using Scan Statistics— 10:35 a.m. Applications of Copulas To Improve Covariance ❖Sarah Baraniuk, Th e University of Texas Estimation for PLS—❖Gina D’Angelo, University School of Public Health; Kristy Lillibridge, Th e of Pittsburgh; Lisa Weissfeld, University University of Texas School of Public Health of Pittsburgh; Scott Ziolko, University of Pittsburgh; Chester Mathis, University of Pittsburgh; William Klunk, University of 289 CC-213 Pittsburgh; Steven DeKosky, University of Robust Methods—Contributed Pittsburgh; Julie Price, University of Pittsburgh Section on Statistical Computing 10:50 a.m. Establishing the Utility of MRI Parameters in Chair(s): H. N. Nagaraja, Th e Ohio State University Predicting Disease Activity in RRMS Patients 10:35 a.m. On Weighted Least Squares for Missing Data— Using GMDM—❖Welfredo R. Patungan, ❖Sergey Tarima, Medical College of Wisconsin University of the Philippines; Daniel Bonzo, 10:50 a.m. Testing Equality of Covariance Matrices When Serono, Inc. Data Are Incomplete—❖Mortaza Jamshidian, 11:05 a.m. Application of Randomized Singular Value California State University, Fullerton; James Decomposition Techniques to the Analysis of Schott, University of Central Florida Imaging Data Using Partial Least Squares— 11:05 a.m. Robust Diagnostics for Multivariate Mixed ❖Scott Ziolko, University of Pittsburgh; Lisa Continuous and Categorical Data—❖Tsung-Chi Weissfeld, University of Pittsburgh; Chester Cheng, National Chengchi University; Atanu Mathis, University of Pittsburgh; William Klunk, Biswas, Indian Statistical Institute University of Pittsburgh; Steven DeKosky, 11:20 a.m. A Markov Chain Monte Carlo Approach for University of Pittsburgh; Julie Price, University of Finding the Minimum Volume Ellipsoid— Pittsburgh ❖J. Brian Gray, Th e University of Alabama; Eric 11:20 a.m. A Comparison of Different Methods for B. Howington, Coastal Carolina University ❖ Identifying Outliers in MRS Data— Sandra B. 11:35 a.m. Clustering of Outlier Structure Using Minimal Hall, Th e University of Kansas Medical Center; Spanning Tree Rankings and Minimum Volume Mihai Popescu, Th e University of Kansas Ellipsoids—❖Mark W. Lukens, George Mason Medical Center; Anda Popescu, Th e University University; James Gentle, George Mason of Kansas Medical Center; Niaman Nazir, Th e University University of Kansas Medical Center; Th omas ❖ Malone, Th e University of Kansas Medical 11:50 a.m. Spanning Trees as Data Analysis Tools— Adam Center; Robin Aupperle, Th e University of Petrie, Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute; Th omas Kansas Medical Center; Allan Schmitt, Th e R. Willemain, Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute

158 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

12:05 p.m. A Nonparametric Approach to Descriptive 291 CC-214 Measures of Multivariate Massive Data Based on ● Spline-Based Methods—Contributed Tuesday ❖ Convex Hull Peeling Depth— Hyunsook Lee, Section on Nonparametric Statistics, Biometrics Section Th e Pennsylvania State University Chair(s): Dongfeng Wu, Mississippi State University 10:35 a.m. Log-Density Functional ANOVA Model Estimation 290 CC-605 and Nonparametric Graphical Model Building— ● Analysis of Factorial Experiments— ❖Yongho Jeon, University of Wisconsin-Madison Contributed 10:50 a.m. Model Selection in Accelerated Failure Time Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences, Section on Quality and Models with Nonlinear Covariate Effects— Productivity ❖Chenlei Leng, National University of Singapore; Chair(s): Christopher Malone, Winona State University Shuangge Ma, University of Washington 10:35 a.m. Iterative Stepdown Tests: Analysis of Orthogonal 11:05 a.m. Effi cient Polynomial Spline Estimation of Saturated Factorial Designs—❖Daniel Voss, Partially Linear Models for Clustered Data— Wright State University ❖Lan Xue, Oregon State University; Li Wang, 10:50 a.m. Error Sum of Squares Comparison for Model Oregon State University; Lijian Yang, Michigan Search, Identifi cation, and Discrimination— State University ❖Hongjie Deng, University of California, 11:20 a.m. Shape-Restricted Spline Regression—❖Xiao Riverside; Subir Ghosh, University of California, Wang, University of Maryland Baltimore County Riverside 11:35 a.m. Smoothing Spline Estimation for Skew- 11:05 a.m. Power Comparisons for Model Search, Symmetric Density Function—❖Sheng-Mao Identifi cation, and Discrimination—❖Ying Luan, Chang, North Carolina State University; Hao University of California, Riverside; Subir Ghosh, Zhang, North Carolina State University University of California, Riverside 11:50 a.m. Multivariate Time-Dependent Spectral Analysis 11:20 a.m. A Comparison of Three Approaches to Modeling Using Cholesky—❖Ming Dai, Th e University of a Multivariate Response in a Designed North Carolina at Charlotte; Wensheng Guo, Experiment—❖Steven LaLonde, Rochester University of Pennsylvania Institute of Technology; Peter Bajorski, 12:05 p.m. Bivariate Binomial Spatial Modeling of Loa Rochester Institute of Technology Loa Prevalence in Tropical Africa—❖Ciprian 11:35 a.m. Bayesian Analysis of Split Plot Failure M. Crainiceanu, Th e Johns Hopkins University; Amplifi cation Experiments—❖Oksoun Yee, Peter Diggle, University of Lancaster; Barry Schering-Plough Corporation; Robert W. Mee, Rowlingson, University of Lancaster University of Tennessee 11:50 a.m. Deriving Optimal Conditions for Large-Scale 292 CC-610 Controlled Synthesis of Nanostructures Using The Interface of Bayesian and Frequentist Statistical Methods—❖Tirthankar Dasgupta, Georgia Institute of Technology; Christopher Methods—Contributed Ma, Georgia Institute of Technology; Roshan J. Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Vengazhiyil, Georgia Institute of Technology; Chair(s): Qingzhao Yu, Th e Ohio State University Zhong L. Wang, Georgia Institute of Technology; 10:35 a.m. Admissibility and Minimaxity of Generalized C. F. Jeff Wu, Georgia Institute of Technology Bayes Estimators for Spherically Symmetric ❖ 12:05 p.m. Application of Two-Level Unreplicated Factorial Family— Yuzo Maruyama, University of Tokyo; Designs in Agricultural Field Experiments— Akimichi Takemura, University of Tokyo ❖Tessema Astatkie, Nova Scotia Agricultural 10:50 a.m. Adjusting Frequentist Results for Previous College Information by Combining Prior and Objective Posterior Distributions—❖David Bickel, Pioneer Hi-Bred International, Inc.

Seattle 159 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

11:05 a.m. Relationships between Frequentist and Bayesian University; Lei Shen, GlaxoSmithKline; Jun Liu, Prediction Limits of the Poisson Process: Harvard University Noninformative Priors—❖Valbona Bejleri, 05 A Nonparametric Method of Background Correction University of District of Columbia for Microarray Data Analysis—❖Zhongxue Chen, 11:20 a.m. Reconciling Bayesian and Frequentist Evidence Southern Methodist University; Monnie McGee, in the One-Sided Scale Parameter Testing Southern Methodist University; Richard Scheuermann, Problem—❖Athanasios Micheas, University of Th e University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center Missouri-Columbia; Dipak Dey, University of at Dallas Connecticut 06 A Case Study for Finding Condition-Specifi c cis- 11:35 a.m. Combining Bootstrap and Bayesian Inferences— Regulatory Motifs and Modules in the Mouse ❖Yan Zhou, University of Michigan Genome—vDongseok Choi, Oregon Health & Science 11:50 a.m. Higher Order Semiparametric Frequentist University; Yuan Fang, Oregon Health & Science Inference Based on the Profi le Sampler— University; William Mathers, Oregon Health & Science ❖Guang Cheng, University of Wisconsin- University Madison; Michael Kosorok, University of 07 Identifying Responder Cells in High-Content Imaging— Wisconsin-Madison ❖Shuguang Huang, Eli Lilly and Company; Adeline 12:05 p.m. Floor Discussion Yeo, Eli Lilly and Company 08 Simulation Study Investigating Nonrandom Recombination Events on Single Point LOD Scores— Regular Contributed Posters ❖Derek Blankenship, Th e University of Oklahoma Health Sciences Center 10:30 a.m.–12:20 p.m. 09 A Method for Computing the Overall Statistical Signifi cance of a Treatment Effect among a Group 293 CC-Level 6 East Lobby of Genes—❖Taewon Lee, National Center for Contributed Posters—Contributed Toxicological Research; Robert Delongchamp, National General Methodology, WNAR, Biometrics Section, Biopharmaceutical Center for Toxicological Research; Cruz Velasco, Section, Section on Statistics and the Environment, Section on Survey Louisiana State University Health Sciences Center Research Methods 10 An Alternative Approach To Estimate Averages in Organizer(s): Maura E. Stokes, SAS Institute, Inc. Affymetrix Chips—❖William R. Schucany, Southern Chair(s): Maura E. Stokes, SAS Institute, Inc. Methodist University; Md. Jobayer Hossain, Southern Genetics, bioinformatics, computational biology Methodist University; Julia V. Kozlitina, Southern 01 Sample Size and Power Calculations in Case-Control Methodist University; Kinfemichael Gedif, Southern Designs for Detecting Gene-Environment Interaction Methodist University in the Presence of Environmental Correlation—❖Amy 11 Near-Infrared (NIR) Spectroscopy Coupled with Murphy, Harvard School of Public Health; Peter Kraft, Molecular Marker Data as a Tool for Gene Discovery— Harvard University ❖Mervyn Marasinghe, Iowa State University; Paul 02 Examining the Multiple Dye-Swap Design for Effi cient Scott, Iowa State University/USDA-ARS and Effective Microarray Studies—❖Th eresa Kim, Sampling and survey methodology University of Washington 12 A Matrix Approach for Comparing Estimates of 03 Using the Maximum Cross-Correlation Statistic a Population Total under a Many-to-Many Frame To Find Signifi cant Voxel-Wise Activations in fMRI Structure—Martin Levy, University of Cincinnati; Experiments—❖Kinfemichael Gedif, Southern ❖ZhiYuan Dong, University of Cincinnati Methodist University; Richard F. Gunst, Southern 13 Comparison of Alternatives for Controlling Group Methodist University; Qihua Lin, Southern Methodist Quarters Person Estimates in the American Community University; William R. Schucany, Southern Methodist Survey—❖Lynn Weidman, U.S. Census Bureau; University Michael Ikeda, U.S. Census Bureau; Julie Tsay, U.S. 04 Predict Gene Expression Using Logistic Regression— Census Bureau ❖Lei Guo, Harvard University; Yuan Yuan, Harvard

160 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

14 American Community Survey (ACS) Variance Reduction 296 CC-4C-2 of Small Areas via Coverage Adjustment Using an Biopharmaceutical Section Roundtables with Tuesday Administrative Records Match—❖Donald Malec, U.S. Lunch (fee event) Census Bureau; Elizabeth Huang, U.S. Census Bureau; Biopharmaceutical Section Jerry J. Maples, U.S. Census Bureau; Lynn Weidman, Organizer(s): Amit Bhattacharyya, GlaxoSmithKIine U.S. Census Bureau TL10 Contemporary Issues in Data Monitoring Committees— 15 A Comparison of Strategies for Reducing Item ❖David Kerr, Axio Research Nonresponse in a Web Survey—❖Jeff rey Kerwin, TL11 Controlling Error Rate in Safety Assessments from a Westat; Kerry Levin, Westat; Andrew Wang, National Regulatory Perspective—❖ Institute of Standards and Technology; Stephen Qian Li, U.S. Food and Drug Campbell, National Institute of Standards and Administration Technology; Stephanie Shipp, National Institute of TL12 The Use of Targeted Designs in Clinical Trials—❖Gerald Standards and Technology Crans, Eli Lilly and Company; Matthew Rotelli, Eli 16 Estimating Variance of Double Sampling Using Lilly and Company Jackknife and Bootstrap Methods—❖Jing Wang, Sam TL13 Statistical Concerns and Methodology Regarding Cognitive Houston State University; Ferry Butar Butar, Sam and Psychomotor Endpoints in Early Development (Phase I Houston State University Trials)—❖Cynthia Gargano, Merck & Co., Inc. TL14 Preferred Methods of Dealing with Missing Data in Clinical Trials—❖Rukmini Rajagopalan, Abbott Laboratories Speaker Luncheon 12:30 p.m.–1:50 p.m. TL15 Decision Rules Based on Multiple Endpoints in Clinical Trials—❖Alex Dmitrienko, Eli Lilly and Company 294 CC-4C-1 TL16 Patient-Reported Outcomes: Issues Related to the Business and Economics Statistics Section Collection and Analysis, Including Measurement Reliability and Sensitivity—❖Tammy J. Massie, U.S. Food and Speaker with Lunch (fee event)—Speaker with Drug Administration Lunch TL17 Statistician’s Role in PK/PD Modeling and Clinical Business and Economics Statistics Section Trial Simulation—❖Haiyuan Zhu, Merck Research Organizer(s): Paul Shaman, University of Pennsylvania Laboratories TL08 Housing Correction or Crash—❖Mark McMullen, TL18 Retrospective Testing for Baseline Variables Comparability Moody’s Economy.com and Subsequent Covariate Adjustments for Signifi cant Imbalance: Good Clinical Practice or Bad Statistical ❖ Roundtables with Lunch Practice?— Abdul Sankoh, sanofi -aventis TL19 Statistical Issues Regarding Experimental Medicine— 12:30 p.m.–1:50 p.m. ❖James Bolognese, Merck Research Laboratories TL20 Bayesian Dose-Finding Strategies for Phase I Oncology 295 CC-4C-2 Trials—❖Glen Laird, Novartis Pharmaceuticals Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Corporation Roundtable with Lunch (fee event) TL21 On the Evaluation of Benefi t and Risk: the Tools We Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Have and How They Help—❖Yili Pritchett, Abbott Organizer(s): Merlise Clyde, Duke University Laboratories TL09 Objective Bayes Model Selection—❖M. J. Bayarri, TL22 Use of Adaptive Clinical Trial Designs in Clinical University of Valencia Development for Product Registration—❖Laura Meyerson, Biogen Idec

Seattle 161 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

297 CC-4C-3 301 CC-4C-3 Section on Statistical Consulting Roundtable Section on Government Statistics Roundtables with Lunch (fee event) with Lunch (fee event) Section on Statistical Consulting Section on Government Statistics, Section on Health Policy Statistics, Organizer(s): Todd Nick, Cincinnati Children’s Hospital Medical Center Committee on Gay and Lesbian Concerns in Statistics TL23 Extreme Consulting: a Novel Method of Improving Organizer(s): Roberta Sangster, Bureau of Labor Statistics Effi ciency of Biostatistical Analysis—❖Daniel Byrne, TL28 Including Sexual Orientation Questions in Surveys: Issues Vanderbilt University and Approaches—❖Sarah Boslaugh, Washington University in St. Louis TL29 ASA and Volunteerism: New Special-Interest Group— 298 CC-4C-3 ❖ Section on Statisticians in Defense and National Roberta Sangster, Bureau of Labor Statistics Security Roundtable with Lunch (fee event) Section on Statisticians in Defense and National Security 302 CC-4C-3 Organizer(s): Lara S. Schmidt, RAND Corporation Section on Statistical Graphics Roundtable with TL24 Epidemiology and Education: Using Public Health and Lunch (fee event) National Security in Statistics Education—❖Henry Section on Statistical Graphics Rolka, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; Organizer(s): Simon Urbanek, AT&T Labs-Research Donna Stroup, Centers for Disease Control and TL30 Are Graphics/Interactive Graphics Useful for Getting Prevention Your Work Done?—❖Matthias Schonlau, RAND Corporation; Martin Th eus, University of Augsburg 299 CC-4C-3 Section on Statistical Education Roundtables 303 CC-4C-3 with Lunch (fee event) Section on Health Policy Statistics Roundtables Section on Statistical Education with Lunch (fee event) Organizer(s): Patti Collings, Brigham Young University Section on Health Policy Statistics TL25 Using Technology in the Classroom and for Distance Organizer(s): Bonnie Ghosh-Dastidar, RAND Corporation Education—❖Michael Speed, Texas A&M University TL31 The Role of Prescription Drugs in Health and Disability— ❖ TL26 Teaching Introductory Statistics with (All) Sports Michele Connolly, U.S. Social Security Administration Examples—❖Robin Lock, St. Lawrence University TL32 Peer Grouping Methodology in Hospital Profi ling— ❖Chintamani Rairikar, BlueCross BlueShield of Illinois 300 CC-4C-3 Section on Statistics in Epidemiology 304 CC-4C-3 Roundtable with Lunch (fee event) Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences Section on Statistics in Epidemiology Roundtable with Lunch (fee event) Organizer(s): Jennifer Clark Nelson, Group Health Cooperative Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences TL27 Design and Analytic Challenges of Conducting Biomedical Organizer(s): Winson Taam, Th e Boeing Company Research with Older Populations: Steps Toward a TL33 What’s the Difference between Collaborative Research and ❖ Gerontologic Biostatistics—❖Peter H. Van Ness, Yale Consulting?— Roger W. Hoerl, GE Global Research University; Heather G. Allore, Yale University 305 CC-4C-3 Section on Quality and Productivity Roundtable with Lunch (fee event) Section on Quality and Productivity Organizer(s): William R. Myers, Procter & Gamble TL34 Graphical and Numeric Approaches to Selecting Effects in Two-Level Factorial Models—❖Wayne Adams, Stat-Ease

162 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

American Statistical Association Presidential Address & Tuesday Awards Session Sallie Keller-McNulty, ASA President Tuesday, August 8, 2006, 8:00 p.m. Washington State Convention & Trade Center, Ballroom 6ABC

Is your associate, professor, student, colleague, friend, or organization being recognized at the Joint Statistical Meetings in Seattle?

Samuel S. Wilks Edward C. Bryant Gertrude M. Cox Gottfried E. Noether W. J. Youden Award Memorial Award Scholarship Scholarship Awards in Lab Testing

★ Statistics in Chemistry Award ★ ASA Fellows ★ Founders Award ★ Outstanding Statistical Application Award ★ Statistical Partnerships among Academe, Industry, and Government (SPAIG) Award Plan to attend the ASA Presidential Address and Awards Session for the recognition of the ASA’s most distinguished members.

Seattle 163 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

306 CC-4C-3 3:20 p.m. Signals and Noises: Statistical Models Based on Section on Survey Research Methods Fundamental Tenets of the Environmental and Roundtables with Lunch (fee event) Ecological Sciences—❖Mark S. Kaiser, Iowa Section on Survey Research Methods State University Organizer(s): Steven G. Heeringa, University of Michigan 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion TL35 Sharing Frame Information To Improve Coverage and Reduce Cost and Duplication of Effort—❖Paula Weir, 310 CC-602 Energy Information Administration ✪ Recent Advances in Resampling Methods for TL36 Bayesian Inference for Complex Sample Surveys— Complex Data Structures—Invited ❖ Roderick J. Little, University of Michigan Section on Nonparametric Statistics Organizer(s): Soumendra N. Lahiri, Iowa State University 307 CC-4C-3 Chair(s): Shuxia Sun, Wright State University Social Statistics Section Roundtable with Lunch 2:05 p.m. A Nonparametric Plug-in Rule for Smoothing (fee event) Parameter Selection—❖Soumendra N. Lahiri, Social Statistics Section Iowa State University Organizer(s): Allen Schirm, Mathematica Policy Research, Inc. 2:30 p.m. A Blockwise Empirical Likelihood for Spatial ❖ TL37 Telephone Surveys: Where Do We Go from Here?— Data— Daniel J. Nordman, Iowa State ❖Clyde Tucker, Bureau of Labor Statistics University 2:55 p.m. The Limit of Finite Sample Size and a Problem with Subsampling—❖Donald W. K. Andrews, Special Presentation 2:00 p.m.–3:50 p.m. Yale University 3:20 p.m. Unit Root Testing via the Tapered Block ❖ 308 CC-400 Bootstrap— Cameron Parker, University of San Diego; Dimitris Politis, University of California, ASA Stat Bowl Session 2—Other San Diego The ASA, ENAR, IMS, SSC, WNAR 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion Organizer(s): Mark Payton, Oklahoma State University Chair(s): Mark Payton, Oklahoma State University Round 2—❖Winners from Session 1, Six players will advance 311 CC-606 from Round 1 to Round 2 ● ✪ Computational Challenges of Massive Datasets and Sources—Invited Section on Statistical Computing, Section on Statisticians in Defense and Invited Sessions 2:00 p.m.–3:50 p.m. National Security, Section on Statistical Graphics Organizer(s): Karen Kafadar, University of Colorado 309 CC-3A Chair(s): Karen Kafadar, University of Colorado ● Modern Statistics at Land Grant Institutions: 2:05 p.m. Statistical and Computational Issues Associated with Massive Public Health Databases for Memorial Session for Holly Fryer—Invited Detecting Adverse Events—❖Kathe E. Bjork, Memorial, Section on Statistical Education Colorado Department of Public Health and Organizer(s): Th omas M. Loughin, Kansas State University Environment Chair(s): Th omas M. Loughin, Kansas State University 2:35 p.m. Dimension Reduction of Large Datasets in the ❖ 2:05 p.m. The Life and Times of Holly Fryer— John E. Atmospheric Sciences—❖Barbara A. Bailey, Boyer, Kansas State University University of Colorado 2:30 p.m. Recent Developments on Multiplicative 3:05 p.m. Automated Metadata— ❖ Edward Wegman, Interaction Models— Dallas E. Johnson, Kansas George Mason University; ❖Faleh Alshameri, State University George Mason University ❖ 2:55 p.m. Estimating Genetic Relatedness— Bruce S. 3:35 p.m. Floor Discussion Weir, University of Washington

164 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

312 CC-4C-4 2:35 p.m. Platforms for the Early Detection of Cancer— ● ✪ ❖Andrew Quong, Th omas Jeff erson University Statistical Models in Evolutionary Biology— Tuesday Invited 3:05 p.m. Comparing Adaptive and Nonadaptive IMS, Biometrics Section, WNAR Algorithms for Cancer Early Detection with Organizer(s): Christopher Genovese, Carnegie Mellon University Novel Biomarker—❖Martin W. McIntosh, Fred Chair(s): Cecile Ane, University of Wisconsin-Madison Hutchinson Cancer Research Center 2:05 p.m. Introductory Discussion—❖Christopher 3:35 p.m. Floor Discussion Genovese, Carnegie Mellon University 2:25 p.m. Mathematical Models of Speciation—❖Sergey 315 CC-3B Gavrilets, University of Tennessee ● ✪ Statistical Careers in Government 3:05 p.m. Fitness Value of Information—❖Carl Bergstrom, Agencies—Invited University of Washington; Michael Lachmann, Section on Government Statistics, Section on Statistical Education Max Planck Institute for Mathematics in the Organizer(s): John L. Eltinge, Bureau of Labor Statistics Sciences Chair(s): Carol C. House, National Agricultural Statistics Service 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion 2:05 p.m. Growing Challenges Facing Federal Statisticians and Agencies—❖William G. Barron, Princeton 313 CC-611 University Biometrics Editor Invited Session—Invited 2:30 p.m. Recruitment, Training, and Retention of ❖ ENAR, WNAR Government Statisticians— Clyde Tucker, Organizer(s): Xihong Lin, Harvard School of Public Health; Mike Bureau of Labor Statistics Kenward, University of London 2:55 p.m. Meeting the Challenges of Science at the Chair(s): Naisyin Wang, Texas A&M University Frontiers: Statistics in a Government Science 2:05 p.m. Are Flexible Designs Sound?—❖Carl-Fredrik Agency—❖Nell Sedransk, National Institute of Burman, AstraZeneca Pharmaceuticals; Statistical Sciences ❖Christian Sonesson, AstraZeneca 3:20 p.m. Disc: John L. Eltinge, Bureau of Labor Statistics Pharmaceuticals 3:40 p.m. Floor Discussion 2:45 p.m. Disc: Christopher Jennison, University of Bath 2:55 p.m. Disc: Michael Proschan, Biostatistics Research 316 CC-203 Branch, NIAID ● Multilevel Modeling of Complex Survey 3:05 p.m. Disc: Peter Bauer, University of Vienna Data—Invited 3:15 p.m. Disc: Marianne Frisén, Göteborg University Section on Survey Research Methods, Section on Health Policy Statistics 3:25 p.m. Rejoiner(s): Carl-Fredrik Burman, AstraZeneca Organizer(s): Milorad Kovacevic, Statistics Canada Pharmaceuticals; Christian Sonesson, Chair(s): David Binder, Statistical Society of Canada AstraZeneca Pharmaceuticals 2:05 p.m. Multilevel Modeling with Multistage Survey 3:40 p.m. Floor Discussion Samples—❖Tihomir Asparouhov, Muthén & Muthén; Bengt Muthen, University of California, Los Angeles 314 CC-607 ● 2:30 p.m. Adjusting for Unequal Selection Probability in Challenges for Early Detection of Cancer Multilevel Models: a Comparison of Software Using Genomic or Proteomic Profi les—Invited Packages—❖Kim Chantala, Th e University of General Methodology, Biometrics Section, WNAR, ENAR North Carolina at Chapel Hill; C. M. Suchindran, Organizer(s): Larry G. Kessler, U.S. Food and Drug Administration Th e University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Chair(s): Larry G. Kessler, U.S. Food and Drug Administration 2:55 p.m. Bootstrapping for Variance Estimation in Multilevel 2:05 p.m. Analytic Opportunities: Moving New Diagnostics Models Fitted to Survey Data—❖Milorad ❖ to the Clinic— Robert Lipshutz, Aff ymetrix Kovacevic, Statistics Canada; Rong Huang, Statistics Canada; Yong You, Statistics Canada

Seattle 165 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

3:20 p.m. Disc: Michael Sverchkov, Bureau of Labor 319 CC-617 Statistics/BAE Systems IT ● ✪ Statistical Challenges in Natural Resource 3:40 p.m. Floor Discussion Management—Invited Section on Statistics and the Environment 317 CC-610 Organizer(s): Estelle Russek-Cohen, U.S. Food and Drug Administration ● ✪ The Use of Quality Control Charts in Chair(s): Gretchen Moisen, U.S. Forest Service Biosurveillance and Prospective Public Health 2:05 p.m. Bayesian Analysis of Animal Community Surveillance—Invited Structure—❖Jeff rey A. Royle, U.S. Geological Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, ENAR Survey/Patuxent Wildlife Research Center Organizer(s): William H. Woodall, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and 2:30 p.m. A Vision for Forest Inventory—❖Ronald E. State University; J. Michael Hardin, Th e University of Alabama McRoberts, U.S. Department of Agriculture Chair(s): Landon Sego, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University 2:55 p.m. Challenges in Modeling Associations between 2:05 p.m. The Use of Control Charts in Health Care Streams and Their Watersheds—❖John Van Monitoring and Public Health Surveillance— Sickle, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency ❖ William H. Woodall, Virginia Polytechnic 3:20 p.m. What Is a Realistic Fisheries Stock Assessment Institute and State University Model?—❖Terrance Quinn, University of Alaska 2:30 p.m. Cumulative Sum Methods for Spatial Surveillance— 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion ❖Peter A. Rogerson, University of Buff alo 2:55 p.m. Performance of Residual-Based Control Charts Using Generalized Exponential Smoothing of Syndromic Data for Routine Health Topic-Contributed Sessions Surveillance—❖Howard S. Burkom, Th e Johns 2:00 p.m.–3:50 p.m. Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory; Galit Shmueli, University of Maryland; Sean 320 CC-613 Murphy, Th e Johns Hopkins University Applied ● Physics Laboratory Beyond Your Parents’ Models: Latent Variables as You May Not Yet Have Thought of Them— 3:20 p.m. A Neural Network Approach to Control Charts with Applications to Health Surveillance—❖Benjamin Topic-Contributed M. Adams, Th e University of Alabama; Kidakan Biometrics Section, ENAR Saithanu, Th e University of Alabama; J. Michael Organizer(s): Karen Bandeen-Roche, Th e Johns Hopkins Bloomberg Hardin, Th e University of Alabama School of Public Health Chair(s): Bradley P. Carlin, University of Minnesota 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion 2:05 p.m. Latent Variable Mixture Modeling with Genetic Applications—❖Bengt Muthen, University of 318 CC-401 California, Los Angeles ● Technometrics Invited Session—Invited 2:25 p.m. Latent Variable Modeling—❖Katherine Masyn, Technometrics, Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences University of California, Davis; Tihomir Organizer(s): Randy R. Sitter, Simon Fraser University Asparouhov, Muthén & Muthén; Bengt Muthen, Chair(s): Randy R. Sitter, Simon Fraser University University of California, Los Angeles ❖ 2:05 p.m. Simultaneous Variable Selection— Berwin A. 2:45 p.m. Semiparametric Bayesian Structural Equation Turlach, Th e University of Western Australia; Models—❖David B. Dunson, National Institute William N. Venables, CSIRO Mathematical of Environmental Health Sciences and Information Sciences; Stephen J. Wright, University of Wisconsin-Madison 3:05 p.m. Penalized Latent Class Regression: Incorporating Scientifi c Knowledge into Measurement 2:55 p.m. A New Strategy for Variable Selection— Xiaohui Models—❖Jeannie-Marie Sheppard, Th e Johns Luo, Merck & Co., Inc.; Leonard A. Stefanski, Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health; North Carolina State University; ❖Dennis A. Karen Bandeen-Roche, Th e Johns Hopkins Boos, North Carolina State University Bloomberg School of Public Health; Peter Zandi, 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion

166 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Th e Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public 2:45 p.m. Comparison of Bayesian and Frequentist Adaptive Health; William Eaton, Th e Johns Hopkins Designs for Combination Proof-of-Concept/Dose Tuesday Bloomberg School of Public Health Response Modeling Trials in Phase II—❖Nitin 3:25 p.m. Principal Stratifi cation Designs To Estimate Patel, Cytel Inc.; James Bolognese, Merck Outcomes Missing Due to Death—❖Constantine Research Laboratories; Jerald Schindler, Cytel Frangakis, Th e Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Inc.; Scott Berry, Berry Consultants; Yannis Public Health; Donald Rubin, Harvard University; Jemiai, Cytel Inc.; Vipul Suru, Cytel Inc. Ming-Wen An, Th e Johns Hopkins University 3:05 p.m. Bayesian Modeling of Safety Data Using 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion Databases of Placebo Patients—❖Jose Pinheiro, Novartis Pharmaceuticals Corporation; Chyi- Hung Hsu, Novartis Pharmaceuticals Corporation 321 CC-201 3:25 p.m. Disc: Sue-Jane Wang, U.S. Food and Drug ● ✪ Innovative Uses of the Survey of Income Administration and Program Participation for Social Program 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion Evaluation—Topic-Contributed Social Statistics Section Organizer(s): Carole L. Popoff , U.S. Census Bureau Chair(s): John Czajka, Mathematica Policy Research, Inc. 2:05 p.m. Assessing the Effect of Allocated Data on the Estimated Value of Total Household Income in the Survey of Income and Program Participation JSM INFORMAL (SIPP)—❖Patricia Fisher, U.S. Census Bureau 2:25 p.m. Welfare Reform Revisited: Leavers and Cyclers— How Are They Doing under the New Restrictive DANCE PARTY Time Limits?—❖Carole L. Popoff , U.S. Census Bureau; Qi Wang, U.S. Census Bureau Tuesday, August 8, 9:30 p.m. – midnight 2:45 p.m. Assessing Estimates of Program Participation: CC-4C-3 an Analysis of Matched SIPP and Administrative Data—❖Scott Cody, Mathematica Policy Research, Inc.; Julie Sykes, Mathematica Policy Research, Inc. 3:05 p.m. Accounting for SIPP Design Effects: Testing Four Approaches with the 2004 Panel—❖Arthur F. Jones, U.S. Census Bureau; Robert Nielsen, U.S. Census Bureau; Michael Davern, University of Minnesota; John Boies, U.S. Census Bureau 3:25 p.m. Floor Discussion

322 CC-608 POC/Adaptive Design—Topic-Contributed Biopharmaceutical Section Organizer(s): James Bolognese, Merck Research Laboratories Chair(s): James Bolognese, Merck Research Laboratories 2:05 p.m. Impact of Pharmacometrics Reviews on Drug Approval and Labeling Decisions—❖Joga Gobburu, U.S. Food and Drug Administration 2:25 p.m. Adaptive by Design in Exploratory Development— ❖Brenda Gaydos, Eli Lilly and Company

Seattle 167 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

323 CC-205 325 CC-2B ● Quality Initiatives in Establishment Surveys— ✪ Spatial and Spatio-Temporal Bayesian Topic-Contributed Inference—Topic-Contributed Section on Survey Research Methods Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Organizer(s): Shawna Waugh, Energy Information Administration Organizer(s): Michele Guindani, M. D. Anderson Cancer Center Chair(s): Nicolas Hengartner, Los Alamos National Laboratory Chair(s): Christopher Carter, University of New South Wales 2:05 p.m. A Methodology for Evaluating Suffi ciency of 2:05 p.m. Multivariate Spatial Modeling in Bayesian Survey Frames—❖Howard Bradsher-Fredrick, Hierarchical Settings—❖Sudipto Banerjee, Energy Information Administration University of Minnesota 2:25 p.m. An Evaluation of the 2002 MECS Measure of 2:25 p.m. Flexible Spatial Modeling for Multivariate Size—❖William Giff ord, Energy Information Geological Data Using Convolved Covariance Administration Functions—❖Anandamayee Majumdar, Arizona 2:45 p.m. Quality Issues in a Regulatory Data Collection State University; Alan E. Gelfand, Duke University System—❖Alan K. Jeeves, Bureau of 2:45 p.m. Gaussian Process Models for a Sphere with Transportation Statistics Application to Faraday Rotation Measures— ❖ 3:05 p.m. Disc: Eugene Burns, Bureau of Transportation Margaret Short, Los Alamos National Statistics Laboratory; Dave Higdon, Los Alamos National Laboratory; Philipp Kronberg, Los Alamos 3:25 p.m. Floor Discussion National Laboratory 3:05 p.m. A Comprehensive Spatial-Temporal Analysis of 324 CC-214 Breast Cancer: First Primary, Second Primary, and ✪ Statistical Methods on Networks and Breast Cancer Survival—❖Song Zhang, M. D. Graphs—Topic-Contributed Anderson Cancer Center Section on Statisticians in Defense and National Security, Section on 3:25 p.m. Bayesian Nonparametric Mixture Modeling for Statistical Graphics Spatial Processes—❖Michele Guindani, Organizer(s): Patricia H. Carter, Naval Surface Warfare Center M. D. Anderson Cancer Center; Alan E. Gelfand, Chair(s): David Marchette, Naval Surface Warfare Center Duke University; Sonia Petrone, Università 2:05 p.m. Graphs for Streaming Text—❖Elizabeth Commerciale Luigi Bocconi Hohman, Naval Surface Warfare Center 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion 2:25 p.m. Graph Theoretic Methods for the Identifi cation of Article Associations—❖Jeff rey L. Solka, Naval Surface Warfare Center; Avory Bryant, Naval 326 CC-604 Surface Warfare Center; Nicholas Tucey, Naval Least Angle Regression—Topic-Contributed Surface Warfare Center Section on Statistical Computing 2:45 p.m. Anomaly Detection in Genetic Networks— Organizer(s): Tim C. Hesterberg, Insightful Corporation ❖Christopher Overall, George Mason University; Chair(s): Trevor Hastie, Stanford University Jeff rey L. Solka, Naval Surface Warfare Center; J. 2:05 p.m. New Methods and Software for Variable ❖ W. Weller, George Mason University; Carey Priebe, Selection in Regression— Chris Fraley, Th e Johns Hopkins University Insightful Corporation; Tim C. Hesterberg, Insightful Corporation 3:05 p.m. Network Traffi c Profi ling—❖Patricia H. Carter, Naval Surface Warfare Center 2:25 p.m. Penalized Cox Regression Analysis in the High- Dimensional and Low Sample Size Settings 3:25 p.m. Disc: John Rigsby, Naval Surface Warfare Center with Application to Microarray Gene Expression 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion Data—❖Jiang Gui, University of Pennsylvania; Hongzhe Li, University of Pennsylvania 2:45 p.m. Grouped and Hierarchical Model Selection through Composite Absolute Penalties (CAPs)— ❖Guilherme Rocha, University of California,

168 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Berkeley; Peng Zhao, University of California, 2:20 p.m. Deletion Approach To Handling Missing Data Berkeley; Bin Yu, University of California, in Longitudinal Data—❖Cuiling Wang, Albert Tuesday Berkeley Einstein College of Medicine; Myunghee C. Paik, 3:05 p.m. Determination of Regularization Parameter Columbia University Using L-Curve by LARS-LASSO Algorithm— 2:35 p.m. Impact of Missing Data on Building Prognostic ❖Leming Qu, Boise State University; Partha Models and Summarizing Models across Routh, Boise State University Studies—❖Mahtab Munshi, Takeda Global 3:25 p.m. Disc: Greg Ridgeway, RAND Corporation Research and Development Center; Daniel McGee, Sr., Florida State University 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion 2:50 p.m. Using Multiple Imputation To Improve Race- Specifi c Disease Rate Reporting in a National 327 CC-211 Active Surveillance System—❖Elizabeth R. Zell, Proper Compensation for Statistical Consulting Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Services Provided in a University Setting— 3:05 p.m. Effi cacy Studies of Malaria Treatments in Africa: Topic-Contributed Effi cient Estimation with Missing Indicators of Section on Statistical Consulting, Section on Statistical Education Failure—❖Rhoderick Machekano, University of Organizer(s): H. Dean Johnson, Washington State University California, Berkeley; Alan Hubbard, University Chair(s): H. Dean Johnson, Washington State University of California, Berkeley 2:05 p.m. Successes (and Challenges) in Funding Campus 3:20 p.m. Application of Errors-in-Variables to Model Consulting Facilities—❖Murray Clayton, Variation between Studies in Regression University of Wisconsin-Madison Equations for GFR—❖Tom Greene, Th e 2:25 p.m. An Overview of The Ohio State University Cleveland Clinic; Liang Li, Th e Cleveland Clinic Statistical Consulting Service—❖Christopher 3:35 p.m. Dose-Response Errors and Detection of Biological Holloman, Th e Ohio State University Thresholds—❖Michael E. Ginevan, Exponent, Inc.; 2:45 p.m. Multiple Solutions to Funding Statistical Deborah K. Watkins, Exponent, Inc. Consulting within a University—❖Linda Young, University of Florida 329 CC-204 3:05 p.m. Compensation Is More Than Money: Life as ● Mode Considerations—Contributed an Internal Statistical Consultant in a Medical Section on Survey Research Methods School—❖Sarah Boslaugh, Washington Chair(s): Sarah M. Nusser, Iowa State University University in St. Louis 2:05 p.m. Color, Labels, and Interpretive Heuristics 3:25 p.m. Disc: Barbara Mann, Wright State University for Response Scales—❖Roger Tourangeau, 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion University of Maryland; Mick Couper, University of Michigan; Frederick G. Conrad, Institute for Social Research Regular Contributed Sessions 2:20 p.m. Effi cient Multimode Data Collection—❖David 2:00 p.m.–3:50 p.m. Dolson, Statistics Canada 2:35 p.m. Improved Evaluation of the Quantitative Survey Response Variance—❖Patrick Flanagan, U.S. 328 CC-612 Census Bureau ● ✪ Approaches for Handling Missing Data and 2:50 p.m. Comparing Performance and Self-Reported Data Measurement Issues—Contributed on Ease of Use of Surveys—❖Christine Rho, Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, Biometrics Section Bureau of Labor Statistics Chair(s): Betsy Gunnels, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention 3:05 p.m. Estimation of Measurement Error and 2:05 p.m. Missingness Screens and Regression Modeling Identifi cation of Causes in the Absence of in Clinical Aging Research—❖Peter H. Van Ness, Validation Data—❖Andy Peytchev, University of Yale University Michigan

Seattle 169 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

3:20 p.m. An Alternative Estimator for Multi-Frame 2:20 p.m. Minimax Asymptotic Mean-Squared-Error of Sample Designs—❖Charles D. Palit, University L-estimators of Scale Parameter—❖Daniela of Wisconsin Szatmari-Voicu, Th e University of Texas at El 3:35 p.m. Is There a Homogeneity in Value Orientations Paso within European Societies?—❖Peter P. Mohler, 2:35 p.m. Order Statistics of Concomitants of Subsets of ZUMA Order Statistics and Applications—❖Ke Wang, Th e Ohio State University; H. N. Nagaraja, Th e 330 CC-2A Ohio State University ● ✪ 2:50 p.m. Power Transformation Toward a Linear Bayesian Methods in the Social Sciences— ❖ Contributed Regression Quantile— Yunming Mu, Texas A&M University Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Chair(s): Sanjib Basu, Northern Illinois University 3:05 p.m. Some Moment Relationships for Skew- Symmetric Distributions—❖Dale Umbach, Ball 2:05 p.m. Latent Space Models for Irish Voting Data— State University ❖Isobel Claire Gormley, Trinity College Dublin; Th omas B. Murphy, Trinity College Dublin 3:20 p.m. On the Decomposition of the Skew-Symmetric Family of Probability Distributions—❖Jose A. 2:20 p.m. A Bayesian Approach to Correct Sample Sanqui, Appalachian State University; Arjun K. Selection Bias in Hierarchical Linear Models— Gupta, Bowling Green State University; Truc T. ❖Jun Lu, American University; Labeed Nguyen, Bowling Green State University Mokatrin, American University 3:35 p.m. Floor Discussion 2:35 p.m. Exploring Teacher by Student Interactions in Longitudinal Achievement Data— ❖J. R. Lockwood, RAND Corporation; Daniel 332 CC-210 McCaff rey, RAND Corporation Estimation for Government Data Collection— 2:50 p.m. An Item Response Model for Balancing Contributed Personalization and Privacy in Online Section on Government Statistics Browsing—❖Steven L. Scott, University of Chair(s): Frank Potter, Mathematica Policy Research, Inc. Southern California; Ramnath Chellappa, Emory 2:05 p.m. New Models for Estimating Health Insurance University Coverage for Small Areas—❖Donald M. Bauder, 3:05 p.m. Modeling Student Ability in Low-Stakes U.S. Census Bureau ❖ Settings— Eric Loken, Th e Pennsylvania State 2:20 p.m. Small-Area Estimation of Health Insurance University Coverage at the Sub-State Level: a Hierarchical 3:20 p.m. A Bayesian Approach to the Calibration of New Bayes Model—❖Steven Riesz, U.S. Census Test Items—❖Tiandong Li, Westat; Chinfang Bureau; Robin Fisher, U.S. Census Bureau Wong, University of Maryland; Ru Lu, University 2:35 p.m. Estimation of Standardized State-Level Food of Maryland Stamp Participation Rates—❖Elizabeth Stuart, 3:35 p.m. Floor Discussion Mathematica Policy Research, Inc.; Allen Schirm, Mathematica Policy Research, Inc.; Alan M. Zaslavsky, Harvard Medical School; Laura 331 CC-618 Castner, Mathematica Policy Research, Inc.; Distribution and Robustness Theory— Scott Cody, Mathematica Policy Research, Inc. Contributed 2:50 p.m. Estimating School District Poverty with Free and IMS, Section on Nonparametric Statistics Reduced Priced Lunch Data—❖Craig Cruse, U.S. Chair(s): Debashis Mondal, University of Washington Census Bureau; David S. Powers, U.S. Census 2:05 p.m. A New Approach to Robust Parameter Bureau Estimation against Heavy Contamination— 3:05 p.m. An Analysis of Gender Differences in Vehicle ❖Hironori Fujisawa, Th e Institute of Statistical Miles Traveled Using Nonparametric Methods— Mathematics ❖Brian Sloboda, Bureau of Transportation

170 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

Statistics; Wenxiong V. Yao, University of of Wisconsin-Madison; Kristine Lee, University Arkansas at Little Rock of Wisconsin-Madison; Ronald Klein, University Tuesday 3:20 p.m. Improved Preliminary Estimation of Total of Wisconsin-Madison; Barbara E. K. Klein, Employment Change for the U.S. Current University of Wisconsin-Madison Employment Statistics Survey—❖Bogong 3:20 p.m. On the Equivalence of Medical Cost Estimators Li, Bureau of Labor Statistics; Partha Lahiri, with Censored Data—Heejung Bang, Cornell University of Maryland University; ❖Hongwei Zhao, University of 3:35 p.m. Analysis of Recall Effect on the Reporting of Rochester; Phillip E. Pfeifer, University of Expenditures for the Consumer Expenditure Virginia; Hongkun Wang, University of Virginia Interview Survey—❖Barry Steinberg, Bureau 3:35 p.m. Floor Discussion of Labor Statistics; Boriana Chopova, Bureau of Labor Statistics; Lucilla Tan, Bureau of Labor Statistics; Jared Ogden, Bureau of Labor 334 CC-620 ✪ Statistics; Pierre Bahizi, Bureau of Labor Degradation Models and Other Topics in Statistics; Geoff rey Paulin, Bureau of Labor Reliability—Contributed Statistics Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences Chair(s): Jave Pascual, Washington State University 2:05 p.m. A Statistical Method for Crack Detection in 333 CC-206 Thermal Acoustics Nondestructive Evaluation ● New Approaches to Modeling Costs and Other Data—❖Chunwang Gao, Iowa State University; Health Outcomes—Contributed William Q. Meeker, Jr., Iowa State University Section on Health Policy Statistics, Biometrics Section 2:20 p.m. Estimation of Flaw Size Distribution Parameters Chair(s): Mark Glickman, Boston University under Correlated Random Censoring—❖Peter 2:05 p.m. Performance of Statistical Models To Predict Hovey, University of Dayton; Alan Berens, Mental Health and Substance Abuse Cost— Retired ❖Maria Montez, Boston University; Cindy 2:35 p.m. Modeling Unit Degradation from Exceedance Christiansen, Boston University; Susan L. Ettner, Time Data—❖Hui Fan, Rensselaer Polytechnic University of California, Los Angeles; Susan Institute; Brock Osborn, GE Global Research; Loveland, Boston University; Amy K. Rosen, Th omas R. Willemain, Rensselaer Polytechnic Boston University Institute; Pasquale Sullo, Rensselaer Polytechnic 2:20 p.m. Use of Risk-Adjustment Models To Predict Institute Future High Medical Cost Cases: Is the Model 2:50 p.m. A Discrete Degradation Model for Ultra-Thin Performance Sensitive to the Time Intervals Gate Oxide Data—❖Shuen-Lin Jeng, Tunghai in Claims Data?—❖Ya-Chen Tina Shih, M. D. University; Min-Hsiung Hsien, Tunghai Anderson Cancer Center; Lirong Zhao, University M. D. Anderson Cancer Center; Ying Xu, M. D. Anderson Cancer Center 3:05 p.m. Bayesian Degradation Modeling with Covariate- Dependent Box-Cox Transformation of the 2:35 p.m. Two-Stage Samples and the Minimum Sum Response Variable—❖Fridtjof Th omas, VTI; Method for Medicare Fraud Investigations— Arzu Onar, St. Jude Children’s Research Hospital; ❖Iliana Ignatova, University of South Carolina Bouzid Choubane, Florida Department of 2:50 p.m. Experiences with a Virtual Regionalization Transportation; Tom Byron, Florida Department ❖ Model for Cardiac Surgery— Edward Wegman, of Transportation George Mason University; Yasmin H. Said, Th e 3:20 p.m. Recurrent Events: Modeling and Inference— Johns Hopkins University; Shabib A. Alhadheri, ❖Edsel A. Peña, University of South Carolina SUNY Upstate Medical University 3:35 p.m. Floor Discussion 3:05 p.m. The LASSO-Patternsearch Algorithm and Its Application to Data from the Beaver Dam Eye Study—❖Weiliang Shi, University of Wisconsin-Madison; Grace Wahba, University

Seattle 171 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

335 CC-601 2:50 p.m. Construction Methods for Balanced Incomplete ● Classifi cation Methods and Functional Data Block Designs—❖Jeff rey Shaff er, Tulane Analysis—Contributed University; Sudesh Srivastav, Tulane University Section on Nonparametric Statistics 3:05 p.m. Asymptotic Properties of Effective Chair(s): Martina Pavlicova, Columbia University Experimenting Strategies—❖Anatoly Naumov, 2:05 p.m. Scrambling Method for Cluster Analysis Using Novosibirsk State Technical University Supervised Learning—❖Oksana Shcherbak, 3:20 p.m. Misspecifi cation Tests for Binomial and Union Bank of California Beta-Binomial Models—❖Marinela Capanu, 2:20 p.m. Finding an Approximate Solution Path of Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center; Brett Support Vector Machines for Large Datasets— Presnell, University of Florida ❖Zhenhuan Cui, Th e Ohio State University; 3:35 p.m. Floor Discussion Yoonkyung Lee, Th e Ohio State University 2:35 p.m. Bandwidth Selection for RBF Kernel in Kernel- 337 CC-212 Based Classifi cation—❖Jeongyoun Ahn, Th e ● Teaching Statistics to Specifi c Audiences— University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Contributed 2:50 p.m. Multivariate Functional ANOVA for Kriging Section on Statistical Education, Section on Statistical Graphics ❖ Model in Computer Experiments— Zhe Zhang, Chair(s): Marvin Gruber, Rochester Institute of Technology Th e Pennsylvania State University 2:05 p.m. Teaching Effective Graph and Table Construction 3:05 p.m. Bootstrap Investigation of the Median Curve of Needs More Attention in Statistical Education— a Functional Dataset—❖David B. Hitchcock, ❖Th omas E. Bradstreet, Merck Research University of South Carolina Laboratories; Michael Nessly, Merck Research 3:20 p.m. Analysis of Panic-Relevant Experimental Tidal Laboratories; Th omas H. Short, Indiana Volume Curves: Wavelet-Based Functional University of Pennsylvania Hypothesis Testing—❖Sang Han Lee, Texas 2:20 p.m. What Do M&Ms, Dahlias, Soil Erosion, and A&M University; Marina Vannucci, Texas A&M Data Analysis across the Curriculum Have University; Eva Petkova, Columbia University; in Common?—❖Jerry Moreno, John Carroll Maurice Preter, Columbia University; Donald University Klein, Columbia University 2:35 p.m. Instructional Tools in Educational Measurement 3:35 p.m. Floor Discussion and Statistics (ITEMS) for School Personnel: Evaluation of Two Web-Based Training 336 CC-605 Modules—❖Rebecca Zwick, University of Categorical Data and Experimental Design— California, Santa Barbara; Jeff rey C. Sklar, California Polytechnic State University, San Contributed Luis Obispo; Graham Wakefi eld, University of Section on Statistical Computing, Section on Quality and Productivity California, Santa Barbara Chair(s): Zenaida F. Mateo, University of Manitoba 2:50 p.m. Interactive Animation for Learning IRT and 2:05 p.m. A Simple Method for Generating Multivariate Misfi t Identifi cation in Item Response Theory— Categorical Variates—❖ Hyunjip Choi, Kyonggi ❖Chong Ho Yu, Arizona State University; University Roger Freeman, Paradise Valley Unifi ed School 2:20 p.m. Testing Multinomial Categories with Sequential District; Angel Jannasch-Pennell, Arizona State Sampling: Is a Wheel of Fortune Fair?— University; Samuel DiGangi, Arizona State ❖Hokwon Cho, University of Nevada, Las Vegas; University; Chang Kim, Arizona State University; Hai Zhen, University of Nevada, Las Vegas Victoria Stay, Arizona State University; Wenjuo 2:35 p.m. A Comparison of Approximations for Logistic Lo, Arizona State University; Lori Long, Arizona Regression—❖Charity J. Morgan, Harvard State University University; Donald Rubin, Harvard University 3:05 p.m. An Education Model for Secondary Students— John Aleong, University of Vermont; ❖Chandra Aleong, Delaware State University

172 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

3:20 p.m. A Pilot Survey on Ways Practicing Engineers 2:20 p.m. A Novel Statistical Approach to Identifying and Learn Statistics—❖Jorge Romeu, Syracuse Limiting the Effect of Infl uential Observations— Tuesday University ❖Tamekia Jones, Th e University of Alabama at 3:35 p.m. Presenting Statistics Online to Nontraditional Birmingham; David Redden, Th e University of Business Students—❖William Livingston, Baker Alabama at Birmingham College Center for Graduate Studies 2:35 p.m. Robust Winsorized Regression Using Bootstrap Approach—Deo Kumar Srivastava, St. Jude Children’s Research Hospital; ❖Jianmin Pan, St. 338 CC-213 Jude Children’s Research Hospital; Ila Sarkar, ● Innovative Approaches to Introductory Louisiana Health Care Review, Inc. Statistics—Contributed 2:50 p.m. Bent-Cable Regression with Autoregressive Section on Statistical Education Noise—❖Grace Chiu, University of Waterloo; Chair(s): James Grady, Th e University of Texas Medical Branch Richard Lockhart, Simon Fraser University 2:05 p.m. Statistics: Telling the Whole Story—❖Nancy 3:05 p.m. Multiresolution Outlier Detection for Long- Pfenning, University of Pittsburgh Range Dependent Time Series—❖Lingsong 2:20 p.m. Teaching a Writing-Centered Course in Zhang, Th e University of North Carolina at Introductory Statistics—❖Deborah Lurie, Saint Chapel Hill; Zhengyuan Zhu, Th e University of Joseph’s University North Carolina at Chapel Hill 2:35 p.m. Assessing the Gains from Concept Mapping 3:20 p.m. Restricted Error Regression—❖James Cochran, in Introductory Statistics—❖David Doorn, Louisiana Tech University University of Minnesota, Duluth; Maureen 3:35 p.m. Local Linear Estimation for Single-Index O’Brien, University of Minnesota, Duluth Conditional Quantiles—❖Zhou Wu, University 2:50 p.m. Further Assessment of Materials for Engaging of Cincinnati; Yan Yu, University of Cincinnati; Students in Statistical Discovery—❖W. Robert Keming Yu, Brunel University Stephenson, Iowa State University; Amy Froelich, Iowa State University; William M. Duckworth, Iowa State University 340 CC-614 ● 3:05 p.m. Sequencing of Topics in an Introductory Course: Misclassifi cation and Measurement Error: Does Order Make a Difference?—❖Christopher Problems and Solutions—Contributed Malone, Winona State University; John Biometrics Section, ENAR Gabrosek, Grand Valley State University Chair(s): Tom Braun, University of Michigan 3:20 p.m. A Geometrical Approach to Introductory 2:05 p.m. Measurement Error Correction Methods Based Statistics—❖Daniel Kaplan, Macalester College on Cumulative Average Intake for Nutritional Data—❖Weiliang Qiu, Harvard Medical School; 3:35 p.m. Toward Statistical Literacy: Statistics in Everyday Bernard Rosner, Harvard Medical School Life—❖Hoke Hill, Jr., Clemson University; William Bridges, Jr., Clemson University; Rose 2:20 p.m. A Robust Likelihood-Based Approach to Martinez-Dawson, Clemson University Nonlinear Measurement Error Models with Application to Radiation Dose Effects on Leukemia-Specifi c Hazard Rate among A-Bomb 339 CC-603 Survivors—❖Antara Majumdar, University at Regression and Time Series—Contributed Buff alo; Randy L. Carter, University at Buff alo Section on Statistical Computing 2:35 p.m. Varying Coeffi cient Model with Measurement Chair(s): Brian Gray, Th e University of Alabama Error—❖Liang Li, Th e Cleveland Clinic; Tom 2:05 p.m. Automatic Detection of Outliers Based on Greene, Th e Cleveland Clinic the Forward Search—Matilde Bini, University 2:50 p.m. Conditional Score Methods for Regression of Florence; Bruno Bertaccini, University of Models with Poisson Surrogates—❖Alvin Van ❖ Florence; Franco Polverini, University of Orden, North Carolina State University; Leonard Florence A. Stefanski, North Carolina State University

Seattle 173 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

3:05 p.m. Effects of Misclassifi cation on Exposure-Disease 2:20 p.m. Gene Selection Using a Modifi ed Mahalanobis Association with Odds Ratio—❖Jun-mo Nam, Distance—❖Xiwen Ma, University of National Cancer Institute Wisconsin-Madison 3:20 p.m. Adjusting for Misclassifi cation in Binary 2:35 p.m. Analysis of Microarray Data: Two Examples— Response Variables—❖Jun Zhai, Duke ❖Meng Du, University of Toronto; Muni University; John Olson, Duke University; Mike Srivastava, University of Toronto West, Duke University 2:50 p.m. Multidimensional Local False Discovery Rate for 3:35 p.m. Floor Discussion Microarray Studies—❖Yudi Pawitan, Karolinska Institutet; Alex Ploner, Karolinska Institutet 341 CC-609 3:05 p.m. Optimal Cross-Validation for Estimating Small ● QT/QTc—Contributed Sample Classifi cation Error Rate—❖Wenjiang Biopharmaceutical Section Fu, Michigan State University; Suojin Wang, Chair(s): Yun-Ling Xu, U.S. Food and Drug Administration Texas A&M University 2:05 p.m. Noninferiority Testing in Thorough QT/QTc 3:20 p.m. Gene Expression (Microarray) Analysis by ❖ Studies—❖Balakrishna Hosmane, Northern Illinois Neural Networks— David Booth, Kent State University; Charles Locke, Abbott Laboratories University; David Zhu, Kent State University; Richard Geoke, Kent State University; David 2:20 p.m. Bias in Estimates of QTc Prolongation by Timepoint- Baker, Kent State University; James Hamburg, Wise Treatment Comparison—❖Yibin Wang, Kent State University Novartis Pharmaceuticals Corporation; Guohua Pan, Johnson & Johnson Pharmaceutical R&D 3:35 p.m. Floor Discussion 2:35 p.m. Tolerance Regions for Multivariate Random Effects Model with Application to Beat-to-Beat QT-TQ 343 CC-616 Interval Data—❖Kimberly Crimin, Pfi zer Inc.; ● Analysis of Correlated Data and Mixed Joseph McKean, Western Michigan University Models—Contributed 2:50 p.m. A New Method for Sample Size Calculation of Biometrics Section the Thorough QT/QTc Study—❖Shu Zhang, Chair(s): Jon Schildcrout, Vanderbilt University Medical Center Sepracor, Inc. 2:05 p.m. Regression Analysis of Panel Count Data with 3:05 p.m. Bayesian Measurement Error Approach to QT Dependent Observation Times—❖Xin He, Interval Correction/Prolongation—❖Jie Chen, University of Missouri-Columbia; Jianguo Sun, Merck Research Laboratories; Xin Zhao, Merck University of Missouri-Columbia; Xingwei Tong, & Co., Inc. University of Missouri-Columbia 3:20 p.m. Designing and Analyzing Covariate-Adjusted 2:20 p.m. Modeling Variability in Longitudinal Data Response Adaptive Randomized Clinical Using Random Changepoint Models—❖Annica Trials—❖Ayanbola Ayanlowo, Th e University Dominicus, Karolinska Institutet; Samuli Ripatti, of Alabama at Birmingham; David Redden, Th e Karolinska Institutet; Juni Palmgren, Karolinska University of Alabama at Birmingham Institutet 3:35 p.m. Floor Discussion 2:35 p.m. Semiparametric Modeling with Correlated Data—❖Chun Han, Th e University of Kansas 342 CC-615 2:50 p.m. Marginal Mixture Analysis of Correlated ● Methods for Design and Analysis of Bounded-Response Data with an Application ❖ Microarrays—Contributed to Ultrasound Risk Assessment— Yan Yang, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign; Biometrics Section, ENAR Douglas Simpson, University of Illinois at Chair(s): Wei Zhao, University of California, Los Angeles Urbana-Champaign 2:05 p.m. Detecting Differential Expressions in GeneChip 3:05 p.m. On the Analysis of Mouse Preference Data— Microarray Studies: a Quantile Approach— ❖Yang Yang, University of Western Ontario; ❖Huixia Wang, University of Illinois at Urbana- Willard J. Braun, University of Western Ontario Champaign

174 JSM 2006 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

3:20 p.m. Equality of REML and ANOVA Estimators of Regular Contributed Posters Variance Components in Unbalanced Models— Tuesday ❖Shaun Wulff , University of Wyoming 2:00 p.m.–3:50 p.m. 3:35 p.m. Measuring the Mean Squared Error of the EBLUP in Linear Mixed Models—❖Jamie 345 CC-Level 6 East Lobby McClave Baldwin, Info Tech, Inc.; Ramon Littell, Contributed Posters—Contributed University of Florida Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences, Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, Section on Statistics and the Environment, Biopharmaceutical Section, Business and Economics Statistics Section, Section on Statistical 344 CC-619 Computing, IMS, Section on Survey Research Methods ● ✪ Quality Applications and Approaches— Organizer(s): Maura E. Stokes, SAS Institute, Inc. Contributed Chair(s): Maura E. Stokes, SAS Institute, Inc. Section on Quality and Productivity, Section on Physical and Engineering Engineering and physical sciences, chemometrics Sciences 01 A Monte Carlo Method To Simulate the Stochastic Chair(s): Jennifer Van Mullekom, DuPont Quality Management and Behavior of a Field of Forces—❖Elizabeth Martinez Technology Gomez, National Autonomous University of Mexico; 2:05 p.m. Economic Decisionmaking Challenges in Quality Hector A. Perez de Tejada Jaime, National Autonomous ❖ Applications— John Barrett, University of University of Mexico; Hector J. Durand Manterola, North Alabama National Autonomous University of Mexico ❖ 2:20 p.m. Methods of Data Quality— Th omas Herzog, 02 Examples of Estimating Confi dence Intervals for the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Arithmetic Means of Lognormally Distributed Data Development; William E. Winkler, U.S. Census from Mixed or Random Effects Linear Models— Bureau; Fritz J. Scheuren, National Opinion ❖Stanley Shulman, National Institute for Occupational Research Center Safety and Health 2:35 p.m. Quality Techniques in the Mill Benefi t Young 03 Statistical Design of Computer Experiments for a ❖ Trees in the Field— Bonnie P. Dumas, 3D Chemical Microanalysis Imaging System—❖Juan MeadWestvaco Corporation Soto, National Institute of Standards and Technology; 2:50 p.m. Interlaboratory Study of DEA Profi ciency Test James J. Filliben, National Institute of Standards Using RExcel—❖Hung-kung Liu, National and Technology; John H. Scott, National Institute of Institute of Standards and Technology; Adriana Standards and Technology Hornikova, National Institute of Standards and Environmetrics, ecology, agriculture, wildlife Technology management 3:05 p.m. Statistical Data Processing of GC-MS 04 A Study of the Type I and Type II Error Rates of Tests ❖ Data— Shiying Wu, RTI International; Jun for Species Diversity Based on Shannon and Simpson’s Liu, Research Triangle Institute; Robert J. Indexes of Diversity—❖Lewis VanBrackle, Kennesaw Morris, RTI International; James Raymer, RTI State University; Kristina Corts, Kennesaw State International; Ye Hu, RTI International; Larry University Michael, RTI International 05 Projecting the Risk of Future Climate Shifts—❖Luis ❖ 3:20 p.m. Dynamic Calibration for Instruments— Charles Cid, Universidad de Concepción; David B. Enfi eld, Hagwood, National Institute of Standards and National Oceanic & Atmospheric Administration Technology Experimental design 3:35 p.m. Floor Discussion 06 Equivalence of Fractional Factorial Designs—❖Tena Katsaounis, Th e Ohio State University; Angela Dean, Th e Ohio State University 07 The Oklahoma Oral Health Needs Assessment: Comparison of Sampling Methods Using Monte Carlo Simulations—❖Emily Leary, Th e University of Oklahoma Health Sciences Center

Seattle 175 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE ✪ Themed Session ● Applied Session ❖ Presenter CC-Washington State Convention & Trade Center H-Grand Hyatt Seattle S-Sheraton Seattle Hotel & Towers

08 Design of Experiments for Parameter Estimation 18 Analysis of Mixed Frequency Data: a Bayesian Model in Compartmental Models—❖Michael DeVasher, Averaging Approach—❖Gavino Puggioni, Duke Th e University of Alabama; J. Michael Hardin, Th e University; Abel Rodriguez, Duke University University of Alabama 19 Data Augmentation within a Conditionally Specifi ed QC, operation research, risk assessment Gaussian Spatial Model—❖Brooke Fridley, Mayo 09 Validation of the K-Statistic for Accelerometer Data Clinic College of Medicine; Philip Dixon, Iowa State Quality—❖James Slaven, National Institute for University Occupational Safety and Health; Michael Andre, 20 Spatio-Temporal Precipitation Modeling Based on a National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health; Hidden Random Field—❖Oleg Makhnin, New Mexico John Violanti, SUNY University at Buff alo; Cecil Tech Burchfi el, National Institute for Occupational Safety 21 Real-Time Multivariate Analysis Onboard a Wi- and Health; Bryan Vila, Washington State University Fi–Controlled Vehicle—❖Jason Minter, Sam Houston 10 The Relationship between the T-Square Statistics of State University; Cecil Hallum, Sam Houston State a Phase I and Phase II Operation—❖John Young, University McNeese State University; Robert L. Mason, Southwest Research Institute; Youn-Min Chou, Th e University of Texas at San Antonio Invited Sessions 4:00 p.m.–5:50 p.m. 11 Number of Replications Required in Control Chart Monte Carlo Simulation Studies—❖Jay Schaff er, University of Northern Colorado; Myoung-Jin Kim, 346 CC-Ballroom 6ABC University of Northern Colorado Deming Lecture—Invited 12 Is Average Run Length a Good Measure of Deming Lectureship Committee, The ASA, ENAR, WNAR, IMS, SSC, Section on Statistical Consulting Performance?—Jay Schaff er, University of Northern Colorado; ❖Chad Eshelman, University of Northern Organizer(s): Lorraine Denby, Avaya Labs Research Colorado Chair(s): Lorraine Denby, Avaya Labs Research 4:05 p.m. Making Another World: a Holistic Approach to Spatial statistics, time series, spatio-temporal Performance Improvement—❖Ronald D. Snee, modeling Tunnell Consulting 13 A MATLAB Software Implementation for Time-Series 5:35 p.m. Floor Discussion Analysis by State-Space Methods—❖Jyh-Ying Peng, Academia Sinica; John Aston, Academia Sinica 14 An Interpolated Periodogram-Based Metric for Comparison of Time Series with Unequal Lengths— Invited Sessions 8:00 p.m.–9:30 p.m. ❖Jorge Caiado, CEMAPRE/ISEG and IPS; Nuno Crato, CEMAPRE/Technical University of Lisbon; Daniel 347 CC-Ballroom 6ABC Peña, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid ASA Presidential Address and Awards—Invited 15 Recent Developments in Seasonal Adjustment The ASA Software at the U.S. Census Bureau—❖Brian C. Organizer(s): Sallie Keller-McNulty, Rice University Monsell, U.S. Census Bureau Chair(s): Fritz J. Scheuren, National Opinion Research Center 16 Elevators as an Excitation Source for Structural Health 8:00 p.m. Presentation of Awards—❖Fritz J. Scheuren, Monitoring in Buildings—❖Jong-ho Baek, University of National Opinion Research Center California, Los Angeles 8:30 p.m. From Data to Policy: Scientifi c Excellence Is Our 17 Predicting Integrals of Transformed Gaussian Random Future—❖Sallie Keller-McNulty, Rice University ❖ Fields— Zhengyuan Zhu, Th e University of North 9:00 p.m. Presentation of Founders Awards and New ASA Carolina at Chapel Hill; Alf Harbitz, Institute of Marine Fellows—❖Fritz J. Scheuren, National Opinion Research, Observation Methodology Research Center

176 JSM 2006