6Th IAA Planetary Defense Conference 29Th April – 3Rd May, 2019 Washington DC Area, USA PROGRAM
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Arxiv:2001.00125V1 [Astro-Ph.EP] 1 Jan 2020
Draft version January 3, 2020 Typeset using LATEX default style in AASTeX61 SIZE AND SHAPE CONSTRAINTS OF (486958) ARROKOTH FROM STELLAR OCCULTATIONS Marc W. Buie,1 Simon B. Porter,1 et al. 1Southwest Research Institute 1050 Walnut St., Suite 300, Boulder, CO 80302 USA To be submitted to Astronomical Journal, Version 1.1, 2019/12/30 ABSTRACT We present the results from four stellar occultations by (486958) Arrokoth, the flyby target of the New Horizons extended mission. Three of the four efforts led to positive detections of the body, and all constrained the presence of rings and other debris, finding none. Twenty-five mobile stations were deployed for 2017 June 3 and augmented by fixed telescopes. There were no positive detections from this effort. The event on 2017 July 10 was observed by SOFIA with one very short chord. Twenty-four deployed stations on 2017 July 17 resulted in five chords that clearly showed a complicated shape consistent with a contact binary with rough dimensions of 20 by 30 km for the overall outline. A visible albedo of 10% was derived from these data. Twenty-two systems were deployed for the fourth event on 2018 Aug 4 and resulted in two chords. The combination of the occultation data and the flyby results provides a significant refinement of the rotation period, now estimated to be 15.9380 ± 0.0005 hours. The occultation data also provided high-precision astrometric constraints on the position of the object that were crucial for supporting the navigation for the New Horizons flyby. This work demonstrates an effective method for obtaining detailed size and shape information and probing for rings and dust on distant Kuiper Belt objects as well as being an important source of positional data that can aid in spacecraft navigation that is particularly useful for small and distant bodies. -
Thermophysical Modeling of 99942 Apophis: Estimations of Surface Temperature During the April 2029 Close Approach
Apophis T–9 Years 2020 (LPI Contrib. No. 2242) 2069.pdf THERMOPHYSICAL MODELING OF 99942 APOPHIS: ESTIMATIONS OF SURFACE TEMPERATURE DURING THE APRIL 2029 CLOSE APPROACH. K. C. Sorli1 and P. O. Hayne1, 1Laboratory for Atmospheric and Space Physics – University of Colorado Boulder, CO 80303 ([email protected]) Introduction: The April 13, 2029 close approach purposes of calculating temperatures and thermal IR of the ~350-meter asteroid 99942 Apophis offers an fluxes. Our predictions for surface temperatures and unprecedented opportunity to observe a large near-Earth dynamical effects will be directly testable during the asteroid in detail with ground-based observatories. As Janus mission, with an anticipated launch date of 2022. one of the best-studied hazardous objects, with Though the model was constructed with the intent of additional near-miss flybys in coming decades, it is categorizing binary thermal and dynamical behaviors, crucial to planetary defense to understand its properties including binary YORP [5][6], it is easily adaptable to and potential perturbations to its orbit. solitary asteroids. Apophis has been the subject of extensive study, and This model begins by coupling a 1-d thermophysical will continue to be so for years to come. This existing model [7] to a 3-d shape model and computing facet-by- knowledge and the promise of new data makes it an facet temperatures of the surface and near subsurface excellent candidate for modeling subject to during the time period of Apophis’s 2029 close observational constraints. The 2029 close approach will approach. To calculate temperatures, the model is given have a sizable amplifying effect on Apophis’ orbital information about the incoming solar flux on each facet uncertainty, so small dynamical perturbations will be as a function of solar distance and is set to equilibrate required to understand both the conditions of the 2029 for 1 year to allow for subsurface temperature settling. -
An Estimate of the Flux of Apophis-Particle Meteors at Earth
Apophis T–9 Years 2020 (LPI Contrib. No. 2242) 2075.pdf An Estimate of the Flux of Apophis-Particle Meteors at Earth 1 1 2 Robert Melikyan , Beth Ellen Clark , Carl Hergenrother 1 D epartment of Physics and Astronomy, Ithaca College, Ithaca, NY, USA. 2 L unar and Planetary Laboratory, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ, USA. Near-Earth asteroid (99942) Apophis is meteoroid stream is propagated between 1900 - predicted to make a close encounter with Earth 2029 using an Apophis ephemeris that places the on April 13, 2029. This close encounter will asteroid at its most likely position for the 2029 bring Apophis within 6 Earth radii from our encounter. Unlike most meteoroid stream geocenter providing an excellent opportunity to evolution studies, our simulations release study and observe the asteroid and any particles from Apophis at a regular (~weekly) subsequent effects of the interaction. Here, we rate around its entire orbit, consistent with the bring to your attention the possibility that the Bennu observations. passage of Apophis will not be the only event worth observing. We predict a rain of Apophis Assuming similar particle production meteors that may be detectable to Earth’s meteor mechanisms at Apophis as observed at Bennu, monitoring systems. Apophis could be producing on order of 104 grams of material continuously throughout its NASA’s OSIRIS-REx mission has orbit. Of that material, we assume 30% will recently shown that near-Earth asteroid (101955) escape on hyperbolic trajectories [6]. This Bennu has been continuously producing results in roughly 3500 grams of new material 4 cm-sized ejecta at rates of ~10 grams per orbit entering the Apophis meteoroid stream annually. -
Abstracts of the 50Th DDA Meeting (Boulder, CO)
Abstracts of the 50th DDA Meeting (Boulder, CO) American Astronomical Society June, 2019 100 — Dynamics on Asteroids break-up event around a Lagrange point. 100.01 — Simulations of a Synthetic Eurybates 100.02 — High-Fidelity Testing of Binary Asteroid Collisional Family Formation with Applications to 1999 KW4 Timothy Holt1; David Nesvorny2; Jonathan Horner1; Alex B. Davis1; Daniel Scheeres1 Rachel King1; Brad Carter1; Leigh Brookshaw1 1 Aerospace Engineering Sciences, University of Colorado Boulder 1 Centre for Astrophysics, University of Southern Queensland (Boulder, Colorado, United States) (Longmont, Colorado, United States) 2 Southwest Research Institute (Boulder, Connecticut, United The commonly accepted formation process for asym- States) metric binary asteroids is the spin up and eventual fission of rubble pile asteroids as proposed by Walsh, Of the six recognized collisional families in the Jo- Richardson and Michel (Walsh et al., Nature 2008) vian Trojan swarms, the Eurybates family is the and Scheeres (Scheeres, Icarus 2007). In this theory largest, with over 200 recognized members. Located a rubble pile asteroid is spun up by YORP until it around the Jovian L4 Lagrange point, librations of reaches a critical spin rate and experiences a mass the members make this family an interesting study shedding event forming a close, low-eccentricity in orbital dynamics. The Jovian Trojans are thought satellite. Further work by Jacobson and Scheeres to have been captured during an early period of in- used a planar, two-ellipsoid model to analyze the stability in the Solar system. The parent body of the evolutionary pathways of such a formation event family, 3548 Eurybates is one of the targets for the from the moment the bodies initially fission (Jacob- LUCY spacecraft, and our work will provide a dy- son and Scheeres, Icarus 2011). -
Small Satellite Rendezvous and Characterization of Asteroid 99942 Apophis
SSC09-IV-3 Small Satellite Rendezvous and Characterization of Asteroid 99942 Apophis James Chartres Carnegie Mellon Innovations Laboratory, Carnegie Mellon University Silicon Valley Small Spacecraft Office, NASA Ames Research Center Building 202, Moffett Field, CA 94035; (650) 604-6347 [email protected] David Dunham, Bobby Williams Space Navigation and Flight Dynamics, KinetX, Inc. 2050 E. ASU Circle, Suite 107, Tempe, AZ 85284; (480) 829-6600 [email protected], [email protected] Anthony Genova, Anthony Colaprete, Ronald Johnson, Belgacem Jaroux Small Spacecraft Office, NASA Ames Research Center Building 202, Moffett Field, CA 94035; (650) 604-6347, (650) 604-2918, (650) 604-6699, (650) 604-6312 [email protected], [email protected], [email protected], [email protected] ABSTRACT The Measurement and Analysis of Apophis Trajectory (MAAT) concept study investigated a low-cost characterization mission to the asteroid 99942 Apophis that leverage small spacecraft architectures and technologies. The mission goals were to perform physical characterization and improve the orbital model. The MAAT mission uses a small spacecraft free flyer and a bi-propellant transfer stage that can be incorporated as a secondary payload on Evolved Expendable Launch Vehicles (EELVs), Atlas V or Delta IV launches. Using the innovative secondary architecture allows the system to be launched on numerous GTO or LTO opportunities such as NASA science missions or commercial communication satellites. The trajectory takes advantage of the reduced Delta-V requirement during the 2012- 2015 time frame, with a large flexible launch opportunity, from January to November 2012 and heliocentric injection occurs in April 2013. -
User Provided Data Product Upload of Herschel/PACS Near-Earth Asteroid Observations (Release Note)
Small Bodies: Near and Far NEA HSA UPDP upload User Provided Data Product upload of Herschel/PACS near-Earth asteroid observations (release note) Small Bodies: Near and Far; 687378 – SBNAF – RIA Cs. Kiss1, T.G. M¨uller2, and the SBNAF team 1Konkoly Observatory, Research Centre for Astronomy and Earth Sciences, Hungarian Academy of Sciences, Konkoly Thege 15-17, H-1121 Budapest, Hungary 2Max-Planck-Institut f¨ur extraterrestrische Physik, Giessenbachstrasse 1, D-85748 Garching, Germany Version 1.0 (as of December 29, 2016) Contents 1 Introduction 2 2 Herschel Space Observatory 2 3 Near-Earth asteroid observations 2 4 Data reduction and calibration 3 5Results 3 5.1 (101955) Bennu . 5 5.2 175706 (1996 FG 3) . 5 5.3 308635 (2005 YU 55) . 5 5.4 (162173) Ryugu . 6 5.5 (99942) Apophis . 6 References 7 Appendix 8 Summary of uploaded data products . 8 Summary of additional FITS keywords . 11 Page 1 Small Bodies: Near and Far NEA HSA UPDP upload 1 Introduction SMALL BODIES: NEAR AND FAR is a Horizon 2020 project (project number: 687378) that addresses critical points in reconstructing physical and thermal properties of near- Earth, main-belt, and trans-Neptunian objects (see the project webpage for details: http://www.mpe.mpg.de/ tmueller/sbnaf/). One of the goals of the SBNAF project is to produce a set of high-quality data products for Herschel observations of Solar System objects for an upload to the Herschel Science Archive (HSA). These new products will then be available for the entire scientific community, in parallel to the standard pipeline-processed Herschel archive data. -
Detecting the Yarkovsky Effect Among Near-Earth Asteroids From
Detecting the Yarkovsky effect among near-Earth asteroids from astrometric data Alessio Del Vignaa,b, Laura Faggiolid, Andrea Milania, Federica Spotoc, Davide Farnocchiae, Benoit Carryf aDipartimento di Matematica, Universit`adi Pisa, Largo Bruno Pontecorvo 5, Pisa, Italy bSpace Dynamics Services s.r.l., via Mario Giuntini, Navacchio di Cascina, Pisa, Italy cIMCCE, Observatoire de Paris, PSL Research University, CNRS, Sorbonne Universits, UPMC Univ. Paris 06, Univ. Lille, 77 av. Denfert-Rochereau F-75014 Paris, France dESA SSA-NEO Coordination Centre, Largo Galileo Galilei, 1, 00044 Frascati (RM), Italy eJet Propulsion Laboratory/California Institute of Technology, 4800 Oak Grove Drive, Pasadena, 91109 CA, USA fUniversit´eCˆote d’Azur, Observatoire de la Cˆote d’Azur, CNRS, Laboratoire Lagrange, Boulevard de l’Observatoire, Nice, France Abstract We present an updated set of near-Earth asteroids with a Yarkovsky-related semi- major axis drift detected from the orbital fit to the astrometry. We find 87 reliable detections after filtering for the signal-to-noise ratio of the Yarkovsky drift esti- mate and making sure the estimate is compatible with the physical properties of the analyzed object. Furthermore, we find a list of 24 marginally significant detec- tions, for which future astrometry could result in a Yarkovsky detection. A further outcome of the filtering procedure is a list of detections that we consider spurious because unrealistic or not explicable with the Yarkovsky effect. Among the smallest asteroids of our sample, we determined four detections of solar radiation pressure, in addition to the Yarkovsky effect. As the data volume increases in the near fu- ture, our goal is to develop methods to generate very long lists of asteroids with reliably detected Yarkovsky effect, with limited amounts of case by case specific adjustments. -
Photometric Survey of 67 Near-Earth Objects S
A&A 615, A127 (2018) Astronomy https://doi.org/10.1051/0004-6361/201732154 & c ESO 2018 Astrophysics Photometric survey of 67 near-Earth objects S. Ieva1, E. Dotto1, E. Mazzotta Epifani1, D. Perna1,2, A. Rossi3, M. A. Barucci2, A. Di Paola1, R. Speziali1, M. Micheli1,4, E. Perozzi5, M. Lazzarin6, and I. Bertini6 1 INAF – Osservatorio Astronomico di Roma, Via Frascati 33, 00078 Monte Porzio Catone, Rome, Italy e-mail: [email protected] 2 LESIA – Observatoire de Paris, PSL Research University, CNRS, Sorbonne Universités, UPMC Univ. Paris 06, Univ. Paris Diderot, Sorbonne Paris Cité, 5 place Jules Janssen, 92195 Meudon, France 3 IFAC – CNR, Via Madonna del Piano 10, 50019 Sesto Fiorentino, Firenze, Italy 4 ESA SSA-NEO Coordination Centre„ Largo Galileo Galilei 1, 00044 Frascati (RM), Italy 5 Agenzia Spaziale Italiana, Via del Politecnico 1, 00100 Rome, Italy 6 Department of Physics and Astronomy “Galileo Galilei”, University of Padova, Vicolo dell’Osservatorio 3, 35122 Padova, Italy Received 23 October 2017 / Accepted 29 March 2018 ABSTRACT Context. The near-Earth object (NEO) population is a window into the original conditions of the protosolar nebula, and has the potential to provide a key pathway for the delivery of water and organics to the early Earth. In addition to delivering the crucial ingredients for life, NEOs can pose a serious hazard to humanity since they can impact the Earth. To properly quantify the impact risk, physical properties of the NEO population need to be studied. Unfortunately, NEOs have a great variation in terms of mitigation- relevant quantities (size, albedo, composition, etc.) and less than 15% of them have been characterized to date. -
The Sky This Month – Oct 11 to Nov 15, 2017 (Times in EDT & EST) by Chris Vaughan
RASC Toronto Centre – www.rascto.ca The Sky This Month – Oct 11 to Nov 15, 2017 (times in EDT & EST) by Chris Vaughan NEWS Space Exploration – Public and Private Ref. http://spaceflightnow.com/launch-schedule/ Launches Oct 11 at Approx. 6:53-8:53 pm EDT - A SpaceX Falcon 9 (re-used) rocket from Kennedy Space Center, payload SES-11/EchoStar 105 hybrid comsat. TBD - United Launch Alliance Atlas 5 rocket from Cape Canaveral Air Force Station, classified payload for U.S. National Reconnaissance Office. Oct 12 at 5:32 am EDT - Soyuz rocket from Baikonur Cosmodrome, Kazakhstan, payload 68th Progress cargo delivery to the ISS. Oct 13 at 5:27 am EDT - Eurockot Rockot from Plesetsk Cosmodrome, Russia, payload Sentinel 5 Precursor Earth obs sat for ESA (measures atmospheric air quality, ozone, pollution and aerosols). Oct 17 at 5:37 pm EDT - Minotaur-C rocket from Vandenberg Air Force Base, CA, payload six SkySat Earth obs sats and CubeSats. Oct 30 at 3:34-5:58 pm EDT - Falcon 9 rocket from Cape Canaveral, payload Koreasat 5A comsat. Nov 7 at 8:42:30 pm EST - Arianespace Vega rocket from ZLV, Kourou, French Guiana, payload MN35-13 Earth obs sat for Morocco. Nov 10 at 4:47:03-4:48:05 am EST - United Launch Alliance Delta 2 rocket from Vandenberg Air Force Base, CA, payload 1st spacecraft in NOAA’s next-gen Joint Polar Satellite Weather Sat System. Nov 10 at 8:02 am EST - Orbital ATK Antares rocket from Wallops Island, Virginia, payload 9th Cygnus cargo freighter delivery flight to the ISS. -
Neodys (And Astdys and Priority List) Data Provision
NEODyS (and AstDyS and Priority List) Data Provision Fabrizio Bernardi CEO of SpaceDyS What is NEODyS • NEODyS is a web based service and stands for Near Earth Objects Dynamic Site: h@p://newton.dm.unipi.it/neodys • NEODyS provides informaon on the IMPACT PROBABILITY of Near Earth Objects (NEOs), typically for an horizon of 100 years • The most important output is the Risk Page: h@p://newton.dm.unipi.it/neodys2/index.php?pc=4.0 where a list of NEOs (459 on Nov 17th) with some chances of hing the Earth within the next century is posted for the public • Only JPL@NASA provides a similar service with SENTRY • NEODyS team has a technological leadership in Europe (and world) NEODyS background • NEODyS was born in 1999 at the Dep. of Mathemacs of the University of Pisa (Italy), within the CelesDal Mechanics Group (CMG) lead by Prof. Andrea Milani • The main moDvaon was the absence of a rigorous and systemac method for compuDng on a daily basis the probability that an asteroid is hing the Earth • The 1997XF11 case was a PR disaster, just for the lack of a well established system to perform such computaons NEODyS daily acDviDes • Since 1999 NEODyS is processing astrometric data of Near Earth Objects (NEOs) provided by the Minor Planet Center, the official enDty supported by the Internaonal Astronomical Union (IAU) that manages all the asteroids observaons and the official catalog of asteroids • The data are sent to NEODyS either by email or via web, through the Minor Planet Electronic Circulars (MPECs) • MPECs: – DOU à Daily Orbit Update: new observaons -
Near-Earth Objects
Near-Earth Objects 12/06/96 shows an elongated object about seen here in a NEAR spacecraft image 4.5 kilometers in extent. Veverka et al. (2000), Science, 289, Ostro et al. (1999), Icarus, 137: pp. 122-139. pp. 2088-2097. THE NEAR EARTH OBJECT POPULATION Near-Earth objects are an important area of study because they are relatively primitive bodies left over from the early solar system formation process, they can be utilized as raw materials for building future structures and habitats within the inner solar system, and their rare, but potentially catastrophic, collisions with Earth make them potential hazards. A comprehensive search for near-Earth objects (NEOs) not only ensures that there will be no surprises from Earth threatening objects but there will be new discoveries. During future close Earth approaches, these objects can be studied via ground-based programs including radar "imaging" characterizations and Earth orbital satellite observations (e.g., Hubble Space Telescope). In addition, these NE0 discoveries will provide future mission targets that are among the most accessible in terms of spacecraft energy requirements. Indeed, many near-Earth asteroids present easier rendezvous and landing opportunities than Earth's own Moon. While the vast majority of the rocky asteroids reside between the orbits of Mars and Jupiter and almost all the icy comets are resident in the so-called Kuiper belt and Oort cloud in the outer solar system, a significant number of these bodies reside in the Earth's neighborhood. Near-Earth asteroids and near-Earth comets make up the population of so-called near-Earth objects (NEOs). -
4 IAA Plane Etary Defen Nse C Onfer Rencee
4th IAA Planetary Defense Conference Assessing Impact Risk & Managing Response 13‐17 April 2015 Frascati, Italy PROGRAM 2015 IAA Planetary Defense Conference: PROGRAM Assessing Impact Risk & Managing Response PDC 2015 DAY April 13, 2015 1 0800 REGISTRATION 0900 WELCOMING REMARKS 0915 IAA‐PDC‐15‐00‐01 KEYNOTE: 15.02.2013 Chelyabinsk. Are we ready for O. Atkov a recurrence? 0945 BREAK SESSION 1: INTERNATIONAL PROGRAMS & ACTIVITIES Session Chairs: Detlef Koschny, Lindley Johnson 1000 IAA‐PDC‐15‐01‐01 The Near‐Earth Object Segment Of ESA’s SSA G. Drolshagen Programme 1020 IAA‐PDC‐15‐01‐02 Astronomical Aspects Of Building A System For B. Shustov Detecting And Monitoring Hazardous Space Objects 1040 IAA‐PDC‐15‐01‐03 The Achievements Of The NEOShield Project And The A. Harris (DLR) Promise Of NEOShield‐2 1100 IAA‐PDC‐15‐01‐04 Recent Enhancements To The NEO Observations L. Johnson Program: Implications For Planetary Defense 1120 IAA‐PDC‐15‐01‐05 Asia‐Pacific Asteroid Observation Network M. Yoshikawa 1140 INJECT 1: HYPOTHETICAL THREAT 1200 LUNCH SESSION 2: DISCOVERY, TRACKING, CHARACTERIZATION Session Chairs: Alan Harris (US), Alan Harris (DLR), Line Drube 1315 IAA‐PDC‐15‐02‐01 PAN‐STARRS Search For Near Earth Objects R. Wainscoat 1330 IAA‐PDC‐15‐02‐02 Design Characteristics Of An Optimized Ground S. Larson Based NEO Survey Telescope 1345 IAA‐PDC‐15‐02‐03 ATLAS – Warning For Impending Impact J. Tonry 1400 IAA‐PDC‐15‐02‐04 Sentinel Mission For Planetary Defense H. Reitsema 1415 IAA‐PDC‐15‐02‐05 Building On The NEOWISE Legacy With NEOCAM, The A.