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Globeform's Breeders' Cup Special Keeneland Friday, October 30

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Globeform's Breeders' Cup Special Keeneland Friday, October 30 www.globeform.info GLOBEFORM'S BREEDERS' CUP SPECIAL KEENELAND FRIDAY, OCTOBER 30 GLOBEFORM RATINGS R6 BREEDERS' CUP JUVENILE TURF (G1) Keeneland, Oct 30, 2015 - 1 mile turf Runners presented with best Globeform, sire, trainer, rider Globeform ratings are expressed in pounds. 1 length = 2lb over this distance 111p CYMRIC (Kitten's Joy) J Gosden W Buick 108 SHOGUN (Fastnet Rock) A P O'Brien S Heffernan 107p HIT IT A BOMB (War Front) A P O'Brien R Moore 107 BIRCHWOOD (Dark Angel) R Fahey J Doyle 106p AIROFORCE (Colonel John) M Casse J Leparoux 102 HOLLYWOOD DON (Tapit) P Miller J Rosario 100p CAMELOT KITTEN (Kitten's Joy) C Brown I Ortiz Jr 98 AZAR (Scat Daddy) T Pletcher J Velazquez 97p RAY'S THE BAR (Exceed And Excel) C Brown J Castellano 96p CONQUEST DADDYO (Scat Daddy) M Casse J Bravo 95p HIGHLAND SKY (Sky Mesa) B Tagg C Velasquez 94p DRESS ED IN HERMES (Hat Trick) J Armstrong G Stevens 92p SKY MARSHAL (Sky Mesa) B Minshall L Saez 90 MANHATTAN DAN (Big Brown) G Contessa R Albarado Also eligible: 83p SHEIKH OF SHEIKHS (Discreetly Mine) W Ward L Dettori Globeform Rating code: p = progressive / improving, likely to do better GLOBEFORM ANALYSIS CYMRIC, a Kentucky bred colt with five runs under his belt, has been a steady improver in his first season. He was a bit of a surprise when beaten only a neck by the unbeaten French colt Ultra in the Prix Jean-Luc Lagardere (G1) over 1600 metres (one mile) on 'Arc' day at Longchamp – just under four weeks prior to the Breeders' Cup. He stayed on well from off the pace and was a game runner-up, a length in front of another English challenger, Galileo Gold (a colt who beat Birchwood by 2 lengths when winning a G2 in July). Cymric deserves to be favorite for the Juvenile Turf. He was 25-1 with the bookmakers in Paris, and the *1.90 odds in his PPs are minsleading, since he was coupled with two other Godolphin horses in the race (including the winner). His form was given a boost when Johannes Vermeer (fourth in the Lagardere) ran second in the Racing Post Trophy (G1) at Doncaster on Oct. 24. Even from a wide post, John Gosden's contender looks the one to beat here. >>> R6 – B Cup Juvenile Turf continued SHOGUN has been handed a better draw in four and must also be considered. Having raced in blinkers in his three last starts, he also ran a sound race in the Prix Jean Luc Lagardere (G1), to check in sixth, beaten 1 ¾ lengths by the winner, Andre Fabre's unbeaten colt Ultra. He was not far behind that day Cymric but it's hard to see him reversing the form – as Cymric had a wide trip and quickened up by far the best of the two. Shogun looks more of a grinder. He had previously won a maiden at The Curragh and been a well beaten third to Herald The Dawn (seventh in the Lagardere) in the Futurity Stakes (G2) over the same course. HIT IT A BOMB was visually impressiove (but also long odds-on) when winning the Star Appeal Stakes (LR) over 7 furlongs at Dundalk on October, a race he took by 4 ¼ lengths from Siamsaicht, with Glass House third. Those two were previous winners but nowhere near G1 standard. Still, Hit It A Bomb did look pretty smart, on what was his second career start. He scraped home by a neck from 50-1 shot Agent of Chaos (not run since) when making his debut at The Curragh in September. Hit It A Bomb is very talented but also inexperienced, and he must overcome breaking from the widest stall. Having Ryan Moore in the saddle is a big plus. BIRCHWOOD is a handy colt who has performed respectably against some of the best juvenile colts in Europe. He was bought by Godolphin after winning a competitive conditions stakes at Newbury in May, and has since won the Superlative Stakes (G2) at Newmarket, been fifth in a G2 at Goodwood and third of five behind champion juvenile Air Force Blue in the National Stakes (G1) at The Curragh (all three races were over 7 furlongs). A son of the equally precocious Dark Angel, Birchwood is more exposed than Cymric and Hit It a Bomb, but he has good form in the book and his experience will stand him in good stead. AIROFORCE looks the best of the home team, having gained a clear cut win in the Bourbon Stakes (G3) over this course four weeks ago. He raced prominently throughout and stayed on well to beat Camelot Kitten by 2 ½ lengths. A son of Colonel John, Mark Casse's contender looked strong on stamina that day, and he cuts back half a furlong in distance in the Juvenile Turf. The Bourbon was his second career start, coming a month after his debut win over 6 furlongs at Kentucky Downs. CAMELOT KITTEN was staying on strongly without ever posing a threat in the Bourbon, and he would probably be better suited by a step up in distance. HOLLYWOOD DON is an interesting runner, as he is coming out of the FrontRunner Stakes (G1) at Santa Anita, a race dominated by BC Juvenile contenders Nyquist and Swipe. The son of Tapit was third, beaten 6 ½ lengths (in what was his dirt debut). It was a sound effort and not far off the level of form he showed when taking the one-mile Del Mar Juvenile Turf in September (finished well from off the pace to beat Hot Ore by 1 ½ lengths). GLOBEFORM SELECTIONS A: 13 CYMRIC B: 14 HIT IT A BOMB C: 4 SHOGUN, 6 BIRCHWOOD RECOMMENDED BETS WIN & SHOW or EACH-WAY 13 CYMRIC (6-1 UK bookmakers) 6 EXACTAS A: 13 and 14 boxed / reversed B: 4 and 13 boxed / reversed B: 6 and 13 boxed / reversed PICK 3 PICK 4 R6: 13-14 R6: 4-6-13-14 R7: 3 Liam's Map R7: 3 Liam's Map R8: 4 Catch a Glimpse R8: 4 Catch a Glimpse R9: 7-9 www.globeform.info GLOBEFORM RATINGS R7 BREEDERS' CUP DIRT MILE (G1) Keeneland, Oct 30, 2015 - 1 mile dirt Runners presented with best Globeform, sire, trainer, likely rider Globeform ratings are expressed in pounds. 1 length = 2lb over this distance 124 LIAM'S MAP (Unbridled's Song) T Pletcher J Castellano 119 LEA (First Samurai) W Mott J Lezcano 118 TAPITURE (Tapit) S Asmussen R Santana Jr 115 VALID (Medaglia d'Oro) M J Vitali N Juarez 115 BRADESTER (Lion Heart) E Kenneally C Lanerie 114 WICKED STRONG (Hard Spun) J Jerkens J Velazquez 113 RED VINE (Candy Ride) C Clement J Rosario 110 WAR ENVOY (War Front) A P O'Brien R Moore 109 MR. Z (Malibu Moon) D W Lukas J Bravo 104 WAR STORY (Northern Afleet) J Rasodevich D Parker ? STREET STRATEGY (Street Sense) R Morse R Albarado GLOBEFORM ANALYSIS LIAM'S MAP, drawn perfectly in stall three, looks the banker on Breeders' Cup Friday. Taking Globeform 124 into the battle, he is impossible to oppose. He produced his career best rating last time out, when powering home by almost five lengths in the 9-furlong Woodward Stakes (G1) at Saratoga, where he led every step of the way and proved way too good for Coach Inge and WICKED STRONG, who reopposes here. Liam's Map will be four pounds worse off at the weights but it is impossible to see Wicked Strong giving him a fight, particularly since this drop in trip is to the favorite's advantage. He has had a break since September 9, and cam back from a layoff also when splitting BC Classic contenders Honor Code and Tonalist in the Whitney Stakes (G1) in early August. A very enthusiastic runner, Liam's Map is 3-for-3 over a mile. LEA, who was a good second in the Donn Handicap (G1) – a race he won in 2014 – and third in the Dubai World Cup (G1) early in the season, is coming off a runner-up effort in the Woodbine Mile (G1) on turf in Canada. Like Liam's Map, he has won all of his three races over a mile on the dirt, and he is an obvious Trifecta contender. He ran a solid race also when failing by just a neck in his attempt at giving Noble Bird four pounds in the 9-furlong Stephen Foster (G1) at Churchill Downs in June (with G1 winner Hoppertunity well beaten in third). TAPITURE finished second in this event twelve months ago, when he produced his career best form to round out the exacta behind top class miler Goldencents at Santa Anita. He ran to Globeform 118 that day and returned GF 113 when regaining winning form last time out, indicating that he is on his way back to form at just the right time. Tapiture beat Viva Majorca by half a length to take the one-mile Ack Ack Handicap (G3) at Churchill Downs just over a month ago. He was coming off a three-month break and thus comes here a fresh horse. GLOBEFORM SELECTIONS A: 3 LIAM'S MAP B: 5 LEA, 9 TAPITURE RECOMMENDED BETS 2 EXACTAS: 3 with 5, 9 2 TRIFECTAS: 3 with 5, 9 with 5, 9 www.globeform.info GLOBEFORM RATINGS R8 BREEDERS' CUP JUVENILE FILLIES TURF (G1) Keeneland, Oct 30, 2015 - 1 mile turf Runners presented with best Globeform, sire, trainer, rider Globeform ratings are expressed in pounds.
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