Mucarsel-Powell Continues to Surge, Earns 50% of Fl-26
MUCARSEL-POWELL CONTINUES TO SURGE, EARNS 50% OF FL-26 In a late-September DCCC IE survey of likely 2018 general election voters conducted by GBA, Democrat Debbie Mucarsel-Powell leads Republican Carlos Curbelo by 2 points, winning 50% of the district. This result is consistent with recent polling numbers in the district, Mucarsel-Powell earning 49% to Curbelo’s 48%, in a recent GQR poll. This 9-point shift since July’s survey, also conducted by GBA, reflects aggressive, early communication, driven by Debbie’s campaign and mirrored by the DCCC IE. To date, that paid communication has focused primarily on the contrast between Congressman Curbelo’s record on healthcare in Washington and Debbie’s record of making affordable healthcare more accessible in South Florida. Additionally, the realignment in the race echoes what the July poll’s informed vote projects. Mucarsel-Powell leads Congressman Curbelo among key slices of the electorate, beating Curbelo by 17 points among registered Independent/No Party Affiliation voters, (57% to 40%). Mucarsel-Powell also leads Curbelo by 16 points among voters under 40 years old (58% to 42%). Mucarsel-Powell also holds a 5-point advantage among women, earning 51% of women to Congressman Curbelo’s 46%. Just 44% of voters have an opinion of Mucarsel-Powell in a district that only fully engages when vote by mail ballots arrive at voters’ doorsteps. Voters hold a net- positive opinion of Mucarsel-Powell, 26% of voters have a favorable view while 18% have an unfavorable view. Despite this lower profile, Mucarsel-Powell still wins 50% of the vote, and in fact, 32% of voters who vote for Mucarsel-Powell are not able to identify her.
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