Alabama Law Scholarly Commons Working Papers Faculty Scholarship 3-2-2017 Probability, Explanation, and Inference: A Reply Michael S. Pardo University of Alabama - School of Law,
[email protected] Ronald J. Allen Northwestern University - Pritzker School of Law,
[email protected] Follow this and additional works at: https://scholarship.law.ua.edu/fac_working_papers Recommended Citation Michael S. Pardo & Ronald J. Allen, Probability, Explanation, and Inference: A Reply, (2017). Available at: https://scholarship.law.ua.edu/fac_working_papers/4 This Working Paper is brought to you for free and open access by the Faculty Scholarship at Alabama Law Scholarly Commons. It has been accepted for inclusion in Working Papers by an authorized administrator of Alabama Law Scholarly Commons. Probability, Explanation, and Inference: A Reply Ronald J. Allen Michael S. Pardo 11 INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF EVIDENCE AND PROOF 307 (2007) This paper can be downloaded without charge from the Social Science Research Network Electronic Paper Collection: http://ssrn.com/abstract=2925866 Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2925866 PROBABILITY, EXPLANATION AND INFERENCE: A REPLY Probability, explanation and inference: a reply By Ronald J. Allen* and Wigmore Professor of Law, Northwestern University; Fellow, Procedural Law Research Center, China Political Science and Law University Michael S. Pardo† Assistant Professor, University of Alabama School of Law he inferences drawn from legal evidence may be understood in both probabilistic and explanatory terms. Consider evidence that a criminal T defendant confessed while in police custody. To evaluate the strength of this evidence in supporting the conclusion that the defendant is guilty, one could try to assess the probability that guilty and innocent persons confess while in police custody.