Legitimizing Bitcoin As a Currency and Store of Value: Using Discrete Monetary Units to Consolidate Value and Drive Market Growth
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Beauty Is Not in the Eye of the Beholder
Insight Consumer and Wealth Management Digital Assets: Beauty Is Not in the Eye of the Beholder Parsing the Beauty from the Beast. Investment Strategy Group | June 2021 Sharmin Mossavar-Rahmani Chief Investment Officer Investment Strategy Group Goldman Sachs The co-authors give special thanks to: Farshid Asl Managing Director Matheus Dibo Shahz Khatri Vice President Vice President Brett Nelson Managing Director Michael Murdoch Vice President Jakub Duda Shep Moore-Berg Harm Zebregs Vice President Vice President Vice President Shivani Gupta Analyst Oussama Fatri Yousra Zerouali Vice President Analyst ISG material represents the views of ISG in Consumer and Wealth Management (“CWM”) of GS. It is not financial research or a product of GS Global Investment Research (“GIR”) and may vary significantly from those expressed by individual portfolio management teams within CWM, or other groups at Goldman Sachs. 2021 INSIGHT Dear Clients, There has been enormous change in the world of cryptocurrencies and blockchain technology since we first wrote about it in 2017. The number of cryptocurrencies has increased from about 2,000, with a market capitalization of over $200 billion in late 2017, to over 8,000, with a market capitalization of about $1.6 trillion. For context, the market capitalization of global equities is about $110 trillion, that of the S&P 500 stocks is $35 trillion and that of US Treasuries is $22 trillion. Reported trading volume in cryptocurrencies, as represented by the two largest cryptocurrencies by market capitalization, has increased sixfold, from an estimated $6.8 billion per day in late 2017 to $48.6 billion per day in May 2021.1 This data is based on what is called “clean data” from Coin Metrics; the total reported trading volume is significantly higher, but much of it is artificially inflated.2,3 For context, trading volume on US equity exchanges doubled over the same period. -
Virtual Currency Schemes of 2012
VIRTUAL CURRENCY SCHEMES OCTOBER 2012 VIRTUAL CURRENCY SCHEMES OctoBer 2012 In 2012 all ECB publications feature a motif taken from the €50 banknote. © European Central Bank, 2012 Address Kaiserstrasse 29 60311 Frankfurt am Main Germany Postal address Postfach 16 03 19 60066 Frankfurt am Main Germany Telephone +49 69 1344 0 Website http://www.ecb.europa.eu Fax +49 69 1344 6000 All rights reserved. Reproduction for educational and non-commercial purposes is permitted provided that the source is acknowledged. ISBN: 978-92-899-0862-7 (online) CONTENTS EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 5 1 INTRODUCTION 9 1.1 Preliminary remarks and motivation 9 1.2 A short historical review of money 9 1.3 Money in the virtual world 10 2 VIRTUAL CURRENCY SCHEMES 13 2.1 Definition and categorisation 13 2.2 Virtual currency schemes and electronic money 16 2.3 Payment arrangements in virtual currency schemes 17 2.4 Reasons for implementing virtual currency schemes 18 3 CASE STUDIES 21 3.1 The Bitcoin scheme 21 3.1.1 Basic features 21 3.1.2 Technical description of a Bitcoin transaction 23 3.1.3 Monetary aspects 24 3.1.4 Security incidents and negative press 25 3.2 The Second Life scheme 28 3.2.1 Basic features 28 3.2.2 Second Life economy 28 3.2.3 Monetary aspects 29 3.2.4 Issues with Second Life 30 4 THE RELEVANCE OF VIRTUAL CURRENCY SCHEMES FOR CENTRAL BANKS 33 4.1 Risks to price stability 33 4.2 Risks to financial stability 37 4.3 Risks to payment system stability 40 4.4 Lack of regulation 42 4.5 Reputational risk 45 5 CONCLUSION 47 ANNEX: REFERENCES AND FURTHER INFORMATION ON VIRTUAL CURRENCY SCHEMES 49 ECB Virtual currency schemes October 2012 3 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Virtual communities have proliferated in recent years – a phenomenon triggered by technological developments and by the increased use of the internet. -
Is Bitcoin Really Untethered?
THE JOURNAL OF FINANCE • VOL. LXXV, NO. 4 • AUGUST 2020 Is Bitcoin Really Untethered? JOHN M. GRIFFIN and AMIN SHAMS∗ ABSTRACT This paper investigates whether Tether, a digital currency pegged to the U.S. dollar, influenced Bitcoin and other cryptocurrency prices during the 2017 boom. Using al- gorithms to analyze blockchain data, we find that purchases with Tether are timed following market downturns and result in sizable increases in Bitcoin prices. The flow is attributable to one entity, clusters below round prices, induces asymmetric auto- correlations in Bitcoin, and suggests insufficient Tether reserves before month-ends. Rather than demand from cash investors, these patterns are most consistent with the supply-based hypothesis of unbacked digital money inflating cryptocurrency prices. INNOVATION, EXCESSIVE SPECULATION, AND DUBIOUS behavior are often closely linked. Periods of extreme price increases followed by implosion, commonly known as “bubbles,” are often associated with legitimate inventions, technolo- gies, or opportunities. However, they can be carried to excess. In particu- lar, financial bubbles often coincide with the belief that a rapid gain can be ∗John M. Griffin is at the McCombs School of Business, University of Texas at Austin. Amin Shams is at the Fisher College of Business, Ohio State University. Helpful comments were received from Stefan Nagel (the editor); an associate editor; two anonymous referees; Cesare Fracassi; Sam Kruger; Shaun MaGruder; Gregor Matvos; Nikolai Roussanov; Clemens Sialm; and seminar and conference -
Cryptocurrency: the Economics of Money and Selected Policy Issues
Cryptocurrency: The Economics of Money and Selected Policy Issues Updated April 9, 2020 Congressional Research Service https://crsreports.congress.gov R45427 SUMMARY R45427 Cryptocurrency: The Economics of Money and April 9, 2020 Selected Policy Issues David W. Perkins Cryptocurrencies are digital money in electronic payment systems that generally do not require Specialist in government backing or the involvement of an intermediary, such as a bank. Instead, users of the Macroeconomic Policy system validate payments using certain protocols. Since the 2008 invention of the first cryptocurrency, Bitcoin, cryptocurrencies have proliferated. In recent years, they experienced a rapid increase and subsequent decrease in value. One estimate found that, as of March 2020, there were more than 5,100 different cryptocurrencies worth about $231 billion. Given this rapid growth and volatility, cryptocurrencies have drawn the attention of the public and policymakers. A particularly notable feature of cryptocurrencies is their potential to act as an alternative form of money. Historically, money has either had intrinsic value or derived value from government decree. Using money electronically generally has involved using the private ledgers and systems of at least one trusted intermediary. Cryptocurrencies, by contrast, generally employ user agreement, a network of users, and cryptographic protocols to achieve valid transfers of value. Cryptocurrency users typically use a pseudonymous address to identify each other and a passcode or private key to make changes to a public ledger in order to transfer value between accounts. Other computers in the network validate these transfers. Through this use of blockchain technology, cryptocurrency systems protect their public ledgers of accounts against manipulation, so that users can only send cryptocurrency to which they have access, thus allowing users to make valid transfers without a centralized, trusted intermediary. -
Cryptocurrencies As an Alternative to Fiat Monetary Systems David A
View metadata, citation and similar papers at core.ac.uk brought to you by CORE provided by Digital Commons at Buffalo State State University of New York College at Buffalo - Buffalo State College Digital Commons at Buffalo State Applied Economics Theses Economics and Finance 5-2018 Cryptocurrencies as an Alternative to Fiat Monetary Systems David A. Georgeson State University of New York College at Buffalo - Buffalo State College, [email protected] Advisor Tae-Hee Jo, Ph.D., Associate Professor of Economics & Finance First Reader Tae-Hee Jo, Ph.D., Associate Professor of Economics & Finance Second Reader Victor Kasper Jr., Ph.D., Associate Professor of Economics & Finance Third Reader Ted P. Schmidt, Ph.D., Professor of Economics & Finance Department Chair Frederick G. Floss, Ph.D., Chair and Professor of Economics & Finance To learn more about the Economics and Finance Department and its educational programs, research, and resources, go to http://economics.buffalostate.edu. Recommended Citation Georgeson, David A., "Cryptocurrencies as an Alternative to Fiat Monetary Systems" (2018). Applied Economics Theses. 35. http://digitalcommons.buffalostate.edu/economics_theses/35 Follow this and additional works at: http://digitalcommons.buffalostate.edu/economics_theses Part of the Economic Theory Commons, Finance Commons, and the Other Economics Commons Cryptocurrencies as an Alternative to Fiat Monetary Systems By David A. Georgeson An Abstract of a Thesis In Applied Economics Submitted in Partial Fulfillment Of the Requirements For the Degree of Master of Arts May 2018 State University of New York Buffalo State Department of Economics and Finance ABSTRACT OF THESIS Cryptocurrencies as an Alternative to Fiat Monetary Systems The recent popularity of cryptocurrencies is largely associated with a particular application referred to as Bitcoin. -
Short Selling Attack: a Self-Destructive but Profitable 51% Attack on Pos Blockchains
Short Selling Attack: A Self-Destructive But Profitable 51% Attack On PoS Blockchains Suhyeon Lee and Seungjoo Kim CIST (Center for Information Security Technologies), Korea University, Korea Abstract—There have been several 51% attacks on Proof-of- With a PoS, the attacker needs to obtain 51% of the Work (PoW) blockchains recently, including Verge and Game- cryptocurrency to carry out a 51% attack. But unlike PoW, Credits, but the most noteworthy has been the attack that saw attacker in a PoS system is highly discouraged from launching hackers make off with up to $18 million after a successful double spend was executed on the Bitcoin Gold network. For this reason, 51% attack because he would have to risk of depreciation the Proof-of-Stake (PoS) algorithm, which already has advantages of his entire stake amount to do so. In comparison, bad of energy efficiency and throughput, is attracting attention as an actor in a PoW system will not lose their expensive alternative to the PoW algorithm. With a PoS, the attacker needs mining equipment if he launch a 51% attack. Moreover, to obtain 51% of the cryptocurrency to carry out a 51% attack. even if a 51% attack succeeds, the value of PoS-based But unlike PoW, attacker in a PoS system is highly discouraged from launching 51% attack because he would have to risk losing cryptocurrency will fall, and the attacker with the most stake his entire stake amount to do so. Moreover, even if a 51% attack will eventually lose the most. For these reasons, those who succeeds, the value of PoS-based cryptocurrency will fall, and attempt to attack 51% of the PoS blockchain will not be the attacker with the most stake will eventually lose the most. -
The Nature of Decentralized Virtual Currencies: Benefits, Risks and Regulations
MILE 14 Thesis | Fall 2014 The Nature of Decentralized Virtual Currencies: Benefits, Risks and Regulations. Paul du Plessis Supervisor: Prof. Dr. Kern Alexander 1 DECLARATION This master thesis has been written in partial fulfilment of the Master of International Law and Economics Programme at the World Trade Institute. The ideas and opinions expressed in this paper are made independently, represent my own views and are based on my own research. I confirm that this work is my own and has not been submitted for academic credit in any other subject or course. I have acknowledged all material and sources used in this paper. I understand that my thesis may be made available in the World Trade Institute library. 2 ABSTRACT Virtual currency schemes have proliferated in recent years and have become a focal point of media and regulators. The objective of this paper is to provide a description of the technical nature of Bitcoin and the reason for its existence. With an understanding of the basic workings of this new payment system, we can draw comparisons to fiat currency, analyze the associated risks and benefits, and effectively discusses the current regulatory framework. 3 TABLE OF CONTENTS Page 1. Introduction .............................................................................................. 4 2. The Evolution of Money .......................................................................... 6 2.1. Defining Money ................................................................................. 6 2.2. The Origin of Money ........................................................................ -
Bitflyer Raises Approximately JPY 130 Million in Funds
bitFlyer, Inc Yuzo Kano, CEO bitFlyer Raises JPY 130 million in Funds We are delighted to announce that bitFlyer (Company Headquarters: Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo, Yuzo Kano, CEO), in order to expand its comprehensive Bitcoin platform and marketplace, has closed a fundraising round of approximately JPY 130 million. We are pleased to have received an investment from several third party investment organizations, including the below (titles omitted, in no particular order): RSP Fund No. 5 (Headquarters: Chuo-ku, Tokyo, Akihiko Okamoto, President) GMO Venture Partners (Headquarters: Shibuya-ku, Tokyo, Masatoshi Kumagai, CEO) Bitcoin Opportunity Corp (Headquarters: New York, USA, Barry Silbert, CEO) The purpose of this funding will be to further strengthen our Bitcoin related businesses in the domestic as well as international markets, set up overseas offices, recruit new talent, accelerate service development, and carry out marketing and advertising campaigns to promote business growth. In addition, the synergies gained through close collaboration with our investment partners, customer base expansion, and the strengthening of our revenue base will help to facilitate our global business expansion. We will continue to pursue our primary goals of improving security while providing the best possible services to our customers. Thank you for using bitFlyer. Reference 1. Information Regarding our Investment Partners RSP Fund No. 5 RSP Fund No. 5 is a wholly owned subsidiary of Recruit Holdings, Co., Ltd. Headquartered in Tokyo and with offices in Silicon Valley, RSP invests in and provides management support to IT companies that provide innovative products and services around the world. GMO Venture Partners GMO Venture Partners is the venture capital arm of GMO Internet Group, investing more than JPY 5 billion to 51 companies in total, including 8 listed companies. -
Central Bank Cryptocurrencies1
Morten Bech Rodney Garratt [email protected] [email protected] Central bank cryptocurrencies1 New cryptocurrencies are emerging almost daily, and many interested parties are wondering whether central banks should issue their own versions. But what might central bank cryptocurrencies (CBCCs) look like and would they be useful? This feature provides a taxonomy of money that identifies two types of CBCC – retail and wholesale – and differentiates them from other forms of central bank money such as cash and reserves. It discusses the different characteristics of CBCCs and compares them with existing payment options. JEL classification: E41, E42, E51, E58. In less than a decade, bitcoin has gone from being an obscure curiosity to a household name. Its value has risen – with ups and downs – from a few cents per coin to over $4,000. In the meantime, hundreds of other cryptocurrencies – equalling bitcoin in market value – have emerged (Graph 1, left-hand panel). While it seems unlikely that bitcoin or its sisters will displace sovereign currencies, they have demonstrated the viability of the underlying blockchain or distributed ledger technology (DLT). Venture capitalists and financial institutions are investing heavily in DLT projects that seek to provide new financial services as well as deliver old ones more efficiently. Bloggers, central bankers and academics are predicting transformative or disruptive implications for payments, banks and the financial system at large.2 Lately, central banks have entered the fray, with several announcing that they are exploring or experimenting with DLT, and the prospect of central bank crypto- or digital currencies is attracting considerable attention. But making sense of all this is difficult. -
Blockchain in Japan
Blockchain in Japan " 1" Blockchain in Japan " "The impact of Blockchain is huge. Its importance is similar to the emergence of Internet” Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry of Japan1 1 Japanese Trade Ministry Exploring Blockchain Tech in Study Group, Coindesk 2" Blockchain in Japan " About this report This report has been made by Marta González for the EU-Japan Centre for Industrial Cooperation, a joint venture between the European Commission and the Japanese Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry (METI). The Centre aims to promote all forms of industrial, trade and investment cooperation between Europe and Japan. For that purpose, it publishes a series of thematic reports designed to support research and policy analysis of EU-Japan economic and industrial issues. To elaborate this report, the author has relied on a wide variety of sources. She reviewed the existing literature, including research papers and press articles, and interviewed a number of Blockchain thought leaders and practitioners to get their views. She also relied on the many insights from the Japanese Blockchain community, including startups, corporation, regulators, associations and developers. Additionally, she accepted an invitation to give a talk1 about the state of Blockchain in Europe, where she also received input and interest from Japanese companies to learn from and cooperate with the EU. She has also received numerous manifestations of interest during the research and writing of the report, from businesses to regulatory bodies, revealing a strong potential for cooperation between Europe and Japan in Blockchain-related matters. THE AUTHOR Marta González is an Economist and Software Developer specialized in FinTech and Blockchain technology. -
Trading and Arbitrage in Cryptocurrency Markets
Trading and Arbitrage in Cryptocurrency Markets Igor Makarov1 and Antoinette Schoar∗2 1London School of Economics 2MIT Sloan, NBER, CEPR December 15, 2018 ABSTRACT We study the efficiency, price formation and segmentation of cryptocurrency markets. We document large, recurrent arbitrage opportunities in cryptocurrency prices relative to fiat currencies across exchanges, which often persist for weeks. Price deviations are much larger across than within countries, and smaller between cryptocurrencies. Price deviations across countries co-move and open up in times of large appreciations of the Bitcoin. Countries that on average have a higher premium over the US Bitcoin price also see a bigger widening of arbitrage deviations in times of large appreciations of the Bitcoin. Finally, we decompose signed volume on each exchange into a common and an idiosyncratic component. We show that the common component explains up to 85% of Bitcoin returns and that the idiosyncratic components play an important role in explaining the size of the arbitrage spreads between exchanges. ∗Igor Makarov: Houghton Street, London WC2A 2AE, UK. Email: [email protected]. An- toinette Schoar: 62-638, 100 Main Street, Cambridge MA 02138, USA. Email: [email protected]. We thank Yupeng Wang and Yuting Wang for outstanding research assistance. We thank seminar participants at the Brevan Howard Center at Imperial College, EPFL Lausanne, European Sum- mer Symposium in Financial Markets 2018 Gerzensee, HSE Moscow, LSE, and Nova Lisbon, as well as Anastassia Fedyk, Adam Guren, Simon Gervais, Dong Lou, Peter Kondor, Gita Rao, Norman Sch¨urhoff,and Adrien Verdelhan for helpful comments. Andreas Caravella, Robert Edstr¨omand Am- bre Soubiran provided us with very useful information about the data. -
Blockchain Center of Excellence White Paper Series
Blockchain Center of Excellence White Paper Series Towards Blockchain 3.0 Interoperability: Business and Technical Considerations (BC CoE 2019-01O) 1 Proof of existence using poex.io service; hash on BC CoE website Towards Blockchain 3.0 Interoperability: Business and Technical Considerations Blockchain Center of Excellence Research White Paper (BC CoE 2019-01) By Mary Lacity Walton Professor and Director of the Blockchain Center of Excellence Zach SteelMan Assistant Professor of Information Systems Paul Cronan Professor and M. D. Matthews Chair in Information Systems 2 Proof of existence using poex.io service; hash on BC CoE website About the Blockchain Center of Excellence (BC CoE): The BC CoE is housed in the Information Systems Department of the Sam M. Walton College of Business at the University of Arkansas. The BC CoE was the officially launched by US State Governor of Arkansas, the Honorable Asa Hutchinson, on August 1, 2018. The center’s vision is to make the Sam M. Walton College of Business a premier academic leader of blockchain application research and education. The BC CoE’s white paper series is one activity towards achieving that vision. As the BC CoE aims to be platform agnostic, open, and inclusive, our white papers are available to the public following a 60 day seQuester period with our Executive Advisor Board member firms. In keeping with the spirit of blockchains as an immutable ledger, the hashes of each white paper are stored on the Bitcoin blockchain using a service by poex.io. White paper audience: The BC CoE’s white papers are written for multiple audiences, including senior executives looking for the “So what?”, IT and innovation directors in charge of blockchain initiatives needing deeper insights, and students at both the graduate and undergraduate levels.