A Zonal Safety Analysis Methodology for Preliminary Aircraft Systems and Structural Design
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Vol. 81 Thursday, No. 174 September 8, 2016 Pages 61973–62352
Vol. 81 Thursday, No. 174 September 8, 2016 Pages 61973–62352 OFFICE OF THE FEDERAL REGISTER VerDate Sep 11 2014 22:15 Sep 07, 2016 Jkt 238001 PO 00000 Frm 00001 Fmt 4710 Sfmt 4710 E:\FR\FM\08SEWS.LOC 08SEWS sradovich on DSK3GMQ082PROD with FRONT MATTER WS II Federal Register / Vol. 81, No. 174 / Thursday, September 8, 2016 The FEDERAL REGISTER (ISSN 0097–6326) is published daily, SUBSCRIPTIONS AND COPIES Monday through Friday, except official holidays, by the Office PUBLIC of the Federal Register, National Archives and Records Administration, Washington, DC 20408, under the Federal Register Subscriptions: Act (44 U.S.C. Ch. 15) and the regulations of the Administrative Paper or fiche 202–512–1800 Committee of the Federal Register (1 CFR Ch. I). The Assistance with public subscriptions 202–512–1806 Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Publishing Office, Washington, DC 20402 is the exclusive distributor of the official General online information 202–512–1530; 1–888–293–6498 edition. Periodicals postage is paid at Washington, DC. Single copies/back copies: The FEDERAL REGISTER provides a uniform system for making Paper or fiche 202–512–1800 available to the public regulations and legal notices issued by Assistance with public single copies 1–866–512–1800 Federal agencies. These include Presidential proclamations and (Toll-Free) Executive Orders, Federal agency documents having general FEDERAL AGENCIES applicability and legal effect, documents required to be published Subscriptions: by act of Congress, and other Federal agency documents of public interest. Assistance with Federal agency subscriptions: Documents are on file for public inspection in the Office of the Email [email protected] Federal Register the day before they are published, unless the Phone 202–741–6000 issuing agency requests earlier filing. -
Analysis of Factors
SYSTEM SAFETY ASSESSMENT COURSE June 2017 COMMON CAUSE FAILURES, PARTICULAR RISKS AND ZONAL SAFETY ANALYSIS R.G.W. Cherry & Associates Limited 2017. All rights reserved - 1 - SYSTEM SAFETY ASSESSMENT COURSE June 2017 1 Common Cause Failures Common Cause Failures are often the limiting factor on the integrity of complex systems, and yet they are often overlooked in the safety assessment process. In this module consideration is given to the various forms of Common Cause Failures that have the potential for compromising the reliability of aircraft systems and the possible methods for identifying them during the design process. 1.1 THEORY V PRACTICE It is normally expected that if the probability of failure of one channel in a given period is X and there are N channels, any of which may achieve the intended function, then the probability of all channels failing is: XN …………………. Equation 1 The impact of Common Cause Failures on an aircraft electrical power generation system was assessed from a study carried out by Hawker Siddeley Aviation in the 1970s. The study was carried out on an in-service aircraft that had three otherwise independent electrical power generation channels. For this aircraft, the average failure rate for each of the channels was found to be approximately: 9.5 x 10-4 per flight Now if the aircraft had only two electrical power generation channels then the probability of both failing due to independent causes might be expected to be :- (9.5 x 10-4)2 per flight = 9 x 10-7 per flight (approx.) And for the three-channel system: (9.5 x 10-4)3 per flight = 8.6 x 10-10 per flight (approx.) However, when the in-service record for the subject aircraft was investigated it was found that multi-channel failures occurred at a much greater frequency than predicted by this simple theoretical approach. -
Risk Assesment: Fault Tree Analysis
RISK ASSESMENT: FAULT TREE ANALYSIS Afzal Ahmed+, Saghir Mehdi Rizvi*Zeshan Anwer Rana* Faheem Abbas* +COMSAT Institute of Information and Technology, Sahiwal, Pakistan *Navy Engineering College National University of Sciences and Technology, Islamabad drafzal@ciitsahiwal>edu.pk, 03452325972 ABSTRACT The failure of engineering equipment causes loss of capital as well as human loss, injuries, and stoppage of production line. The hazards can be classified as safe, minor, major, critical and catastrophic Risk analysis or hazard analysis pin points the potential failures of engineering systems and or components when being used.. Failure mode and effects analysis is used to identify hazard and to make system safer. A system is broken down up to level of components and using reliability data the safety or probability of failure of assemblies and the system can be calculated. The failure mode and effects analysis is used with fault tree analysis to point the areas of a complex system where failure mode effect analysis is required. Fault tree analysis (FTA) is a technique which pinpoints any failure or severe accidents. It tells how things fail rather than emphasize on the design performance. It is a logic diagram connecting inputs an outputs using Boolean algebra. This paper shows how FTA can be applied to car carburetor failure and car brake failure. Key words : Risk Management, Reliability, Fault tree, Failure mode INTRODUCTION The world is full risk. We are at risk of accident minor. A failure of an aircraft may cause death when crossing a road or driving. We are at risk to passengers, while a machine may cause living in an apartment not properly designed. -
E U R Op E a N a V Ia T Ion S a F E T Y a G E Nc Y an N U Al
ANNUAL SAFETY RECOMMENDATIONS REVIEW 2016 SAFETYANNUAL RECOMMENDATIONS EUROPEAN AVIATION SAFETY AVIATION EUROPEAN AGENCY EUROPEAN AVIATION SAFETY AGENCY SAFETY ANALYSIS AND RESEARCH DEPARTMENT Designed in Luxembourg Strategy & Safety Management Directorate Safety Intelligence & Performance Department Annual Safety Recommendations Review 2016 Disclaimer: Neither the European Aviation Safety Agency, nor any person acting on behalf of the European Aviation Safety Agency is responsible for the use which might be made of the following information. The Annual Safety Recommendations Review is produced by the European Aviation Safety Agency (EASA). This edition provides an overview of the safety recommendations that have been addressed to EASA in 2016. It also presents the replies produced during the year. This annual review aims at providing a feedback on the follow-up given to safety recommendations in the con- text of openness, transparency and accountability that characterises the European Public Administration. Apart from its safety related information character, this review is also expected to provide relevant information related to raised safety concerns, both for EASA itself, as well as its stakeholders, including the European public. © European Aviation Safety Agency, 2016. All rights reserved. Proprietary document. Printed copies are not controlled. Confirm revision status through the EASA-Internet site: www.easa.europa.eu. 2016 Annual Safety Recommendations Review PAGE 3 Foreword by the Executive Director I am pleased to introduce the 10th edition of the Annual Safety Recommendations Review, which provides infor- mation on the activity of the Agency in 2016 in the field of safety investigation and follow-up. In addition, the review highlights a range of safety issues and the Agency’s safety improvement efforts that are of interest to the European Aviation Community and the public. -
NASA Fault Tree Handbook with Aerospace Applications
Fault Tree Handbook with Aerospace Applications Version 1.1 FFFaaauuulllttt TTTrrreeeeee HHHaaannndddbbbooooookkk wwwiiittthhh AAAeeerrrooossspppaaaccceee AAAppppppllliiicccaaatttiiiooonnnsss Prepared for NASA Office of Safety and Mission Assurance NASA Headquarters Washington, DC 20546 August, 2002 Fault Tree Handbook with Aerospace Applications Version 1.1 FFFaaauuulllttt TTTrrreeeeee HHHaaannndddbbbooooookkk wwwiiittthhh AAAeeerrrooossspppaaaccceee AAAppppppllliiicccaaatttiiiooonnnsss NASA Project Coordinators: Dr. Michael Stamatelatos, NASA Headquarters Office of Safety and Mission Assurance Mr. José Caraballo, NASA Langley Research Center Authors: NASA Dr. Michael Stamatelatos, NASA HQ, OSMA Lead Author: Dr. William Vesely, SAIC Contributing Authors (listed in alphabetic order): Dr. Joanne Dugan, University of Virginia Mr. Joseph Fragola, SAIC Mr. Joseph Minarick III, SAIC Mr. Jan Railsback, NASA JSC Fault Tree Handbook with Aerospace Applications Version 1.1 FFFaaauuulllttt TTTrrreeeeee HHHaaannndddbbbooooookkk wwwiiittthhh AAAeeerrrooossspppaaaccceee AAAppppppllliiicccaaatttiiiooonnnsss Acknowledgements The project coordinators and the authors express their gratitude to NASA Office of Safety and Mission Assurance (OSMA) management (Dr. Michael Greenfield, Deputy Associate Administrator and Dr. Peter Rutledge, Director of Enterprise Safety and Mission Assurance) and to Mr. Frederick Gregory, NASA Deputy Administrator, for their support and encouragement in developing this document. The authors also owe thanks to a number of reviewers -
Hazard Analysis of Complex Spacecraft Using Systems- Theoretic Process Analysis *
Hazard Analysis of Complex Spacecraft using Systems- Theoretic Process Analysis * Takuto Ishimatsu†, Nancy G. Leveson‡, John P. Thomas§, and Cody H. Fleming¶ Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, Massachusetts 02139 Masafumi Katahira#, Yuko Miyamoto**, and Ryo Ujiie†† Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency, Tsukuba, Ibaraki 305-8505, Japan Haruka Nakao‡‡ and Nobuyuki Hoshino§§ Japan Manned Space Systems Corporation, Tsuchiura, Ibaraki 300-0033, Japan Abstract A new hazard analysis technique, called System-Theoretic Process Analysis, is capable of identifying potential hazardous design flaws, including software and system design errors and unsafe interactions among multiple system components. Detailed procedures for performing the hazard analysis were developed and the feasibility and utility of using it on complex systems was demonstrated by applying it to the Japanese Aerospace Exploration Agency H-II Transfer Vehicle. In a comparison of the results of this new hazard analysis technique to those of the standard fault tree analysis used in the design and certification of the H-II Transfer Vehicle, System-Theoretic Hazard Analysis found all the hazardous scenarios identified in the fault tree analysis as well as additional causal factors that had not been) identified by fault tree analysis. I. Introduction Spacecraft losses are increasing stemming from subtle and complex interactions among system components. The loss of the Mars Polar Lander is an example [1]. The problems arise primarily because the growing use of software allows engineers to build systems with a level of complexity that precludes exhaustive testing and thus assurance of the removal of all design errors prior to operational use [2,3] Fault Tree Analysis (FTA) and Failure Modes and Effects Analysis (FMEA) were created long ago to analyze primarily electro-mechanical systems and identify potential losses due to component failure. -
TEMPLATE CRYSTAL DELIVERABLE Use Case Descriptions
PROPRIETARY RIGHTS STATEMENT THIS DOCUMENT CONTAINS INFORMATION, WHICH IS PROPRIETARY TO THE CRYSTAL CONSORTIUM. NEITHER THIS DOCUMENT NOR THE INFORMATION CONTAINED HEREIN SHALL BE USED, DUPLICATED OR COMMUNICATED BY ANY MEANS TO ANY THIRD PARTY, IN WHOLE OR IN PARTS, EXCEPT WITH THE PRIOR WRITTEN CONSENT OF THE CESAR CONSORTIUM THIS RESTRICTION LEGEND SHALL NOT BE ALTERED OR OBLITERATED ON OR FROM THIS DOCUMENT. THE RESEARCH LEADING TO THESE RESULTS HAS RECEIVED FUNDING FROM THE EUROPEAN UNION’S SEVENTH FRAMEWORK PROGRAM (FP7/2007-2013) FOR CRYSTAL – CRITICAL SYSTEM ENGINEERING ACCELERATION JOINT UNDERTAKING UNDER GRANT AGREEMENT N° 332830 AND FROM SPECIFIC NATIONAL PROGRAMS AND / OR FUNDING AUTHORITIES. CRitical SYSTem Engineering AcceLeration Use – Case Definition Simulation for PRA D210.010 D210.010 Simulation for PRA DOCUMENT INFORMATION Project CRYSTAL Grant Agreement No. ARTEMIS-2012-1-332830 Deliverable Title Simulation for PRA Deliverable No. D210.010 Dissemination Level CO Nature R Document Version V01.02 Date 2014-01-29 Contact Odile Laurent Organization A-F Phone + 33 5 61 18 12 76 E-Mail [email protected] Version Nature Date Page V01.02 R 2014-01-29 2 of 42 D210.010 Simulation for PRA AUTHORS TABLE Name Company E-Mail Odile Laurent A-F [email protected] Hélène Moutier A-F [email protected] REVIEW TABLE Version Date Reviewer V01.00 2013-12-20 Hélène Moutier V01.01 2014-01-13 Jean-Luc Johnson V01.01 2014-01-20 Ralf Bogusch CHANGE HISTORY Pages Version Date Reason for Change Affected V01.00 2013-12-16 Initial version V01.01 2013-12-20 Internal review 13,14,15,18,31,38 V01.02 2014-01-22 External reviews Version Nature Date Page V01.02 R 2014-01-29 3 of 42 D210.010 Simulation for PRA CONTENT 1 INTRODUCTION ..................................................................................................................................................... -
A Simulation Tool for Extended Dynamic Fault Trees
DFTSim: A Simulation Tool for Extended Dynamic Fault Trees H. Boudali, A.P. Nijmeijer, M.I.A. Stoelinga University of Twente, CS Department, Enschede, NL. hboudali, andre, marielle @cs.utwente.nl { } Keywords: Dependability analysis, dynamic fault trees, simulation computation-time required to solve the DFT. tool, reliability benchmark. A simulation-based approach of standard DFTs has been sug- gested (but not implemented) in [11] as a possible solution tech- Abstract nique. In this paper, we propose DFTSim, a tool for simulating We present DFTSim, a simulation tool for dynamic fault trees (DFT). extended DFTs, where the input DFT file is compatible with the The simulation is carried out by directly sampling the failure distri- Galileo and the Coral textual DFT format. Such compatibility is butions attached to the leaves (called basic events) of the tree and indeed desired because it allows interoperability and integration propagating the failure times upwards in the tree. among these DFT tools. Sampling the distributions of the DFT leaves is however not ob- One of the major problems in DFT simulation-based approaches vious. To sample from the correct distributions, the analytical ex- is to sample from the correct distributions. In order to carry out such pression of the failure distributions of all basic events (BE) must be sampling the analytical expression of the failure distributions of all known. These are indeed known for non-spare BEs; but for spare basic events must be known. Such failure distributions are indeed BEs, they become conditional on the failure of other BEs. Hence, known for non-spare basic events; unfortunately, for spare basic the derivation of the analytical expression of the spares’ failure dis- events the failure distribution becomes conditional on the primary’s tributions and their sampling is not a trivial task. -
Aircraft Fire Protection
Applied Science Ingenieurbüro Dieter Scholz Seevering 53 D - 21629 Neu Wulmstorf Aircraft Fire Protection Dieter Scholz April 2006 Report prepared for Minimax GmbH & Co KG Industriestraße 10/12 D - 23840 Bad Oldesloe Aircraft Fire Protection 2 Table of Contents page Abbreviations ............................................................................................................ 4 1 Setting the Scene ........................................................................................................ 5 2 Introduction to Aircraft Systems ............................................................................ 7 2.1 Aircraft Systems General ............................................................................................ 7 2.2 Definitions .................................................................................................................. 9 2.3 Breakdown ................................................................................................................ 10 2.4 Certification .............................................................................................................. 12 2.5 Safety and Reliability ............................................................................................... 13 2.6 Mass .......................................................................................................................... 18 2.7 Power ........................................................................................................................ 21 2.8 Costs and -
An Overview of Fault Tree Analysis (FTA) Method for Reliability Analysis & Life Cycle Cost (LCC) Management
IOSR Journal of Mechanical & Civil Engineering (IOSR-JMCE) ISSN: 2278-1684, PP: 14-18 www.iosrjournals.org An Overview of Fault Tree Analysis (FTA) Method for Reliability Analysis & Life Cycle Cost (LCC) Management Rajkumar B. Patil1, L. Y. Waghmode2, P. B. Chikali3, T. S. Mulla4. 1,3,4 ( Department of Mechanical Engineering ,Dr. J. J. Magdum College of Engineering, Jaysingpur, Shivaji University, Kolhapur, Maharashtra India). 2 ( Department of Mechanical Engineering, Annasaheb Dange College of Engineering and Technology, Ashta, Shivaji University, Kolhapur, Maharashtra(India). Abstract – Reliability analysis plays crucial role in the design process. In order to increase reliability of a system, analysis of failure data is essential. Fault Tree Analysis (FTA) is a method that directly focuses on the modes of failures. FTA is a graphical representation of the major faults or critical failures associated with a product and the causes for the faults and potential countermeasures. This paper presents the FTA of Lathe Machine. Qualitative and quantitative analysis helps to identify critical design parameters, maintenance suggestions. It also includes how reliability analysis fruitful for Life cycle cost management. Keywords – Fault Tree Analysis, FRACAS, Life Cycle Cost, MTBF, MTTF, Reliability Analysis. I.INTRODUCTION Reliability based design focuses on three terms as reliability, availability and maintainability. Reliability is defined to be the probability that the component or system will perform its intended functions for a specified period of time when used under stated operating conditions [1]. In simple words, reliability is nothing but the non-failure of the system over a given period of time. Reliability engineering is a sub-discipline within system engineering. -
Annual Safety Recommendations Review 2011 FINAL
European Aviation Safety Agency Safety Analysis and Research Department Executive Directorate 2011 Annual Safety Recommendations review Executive Directorate- Safety Analysis and Research Page 1/114 © European Aviation Safety Agency, 20 10 . All rights reserved. Proprietary document. Printed copies are not controlled. Confirm revision status through the EASA-Internet/Intranet. 2011 Annual Safety Recommendations review Document ref. Status Date Contact name and address for enquiries: European Aviation Safety Agency Safety Analysis and Research Postfach 10 12 53 50452 Köln - Germany Information on EASA is available at: www.easa.europa.eu Disclaimer : Neither the European Aviation Safety Agency, nor any person acting on behalf of the European Aviation Safety Agency is responsible for the use which might be made of the following information. Authorisation : Name Signature Date Prepared Dominique Verdoni 05/03/2012 Reviewed 1 Bernard Bourdon 27/03/2012 Reviewed 2 Authorised John Vincent 27/03/2012 Executive Directorate- Safety Analysis and Research Page 2/114 © European Aviation Safety Agency, 20 10 . All rights reserved. Proprietary document. Printed copies are not controlled. Confirm revision status through the EASA-Internet/Intranet. Table of Contents 1 Introduction ................................................................................................................ 5 2 Overview of Safety Recommendations in 2011 ................................................................ 6 2.1 Safety recommendations received in 2011 .............................................................. -
NASA Activities in Risk Assessment
NASANASA ActivitiesActivities inin RiskRisk AssessmentAssessment NASANASA ProjectProject ManagementManagement ConferenceConference MarchMarch 30-31,30-31, 20042004 Michael G. Stamatelatos, Ph.D.,Director Safety and Assurance Requirements Division Office of Safety and Mission Assurance NASA Headquarters 1 NASA is a Pioneer and a Leader in Space; Therefore Its Business Is Inherently Risky International Space Station Safe assembly and operation Space Transportation Space Shuttle Orbital Space Plane 2 Our Goal z Improve risk awareness in the Agency ¾ Conduct PRA training for line and project managers and for personnel z Develop a corps of in-house PRA experts z Transition PRA from a curiosity object to baseline method for integrated system safety, reliability and risk assessment z Adopt organization-wide risk informed culture ¾ PRA to become a way of life for safety and technical performance improvement and for cost reduction ¾ Implement risk-informed management process 3 Probabilistic Risk Assessment (PRA) Answers Three Basic Questions Risk is a set of triplets that answer the questions: 1) What can go wrong? (accident scenarios) 2) How likely is it? (probabilities) 3) What are the consequences? (adverse effects) Kaplan & Garrick, Risk Analysis, 1981 Event Event Sequence Sequence Frequency Modeling Evaluation 2. How frequently does it happen? (Scenario frequency quantification) Event Initiating Sequence Risk Event PRA Insights Logic Integration Selection Development 1. What can go wrong? Risk statement Decision Support (Definition of scenarios) 3. What are the consequences? (Scenario consequence quantification) Consequence Modeling PRA is generally used for low-probability and high- consequence events 4 Relationship Between Risk Management and Probabilistic Risk Assessment (PRA) Continuous Risk Management Method Technique Application QualitativeQualitative FMEA.