M&A Facts – Special Edition Windenergy Hamburg 2020
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M&A Facts – Special Edition WindEnergy Hamburg 2020 Wind Energy Industry M&A-Highlights and Market Insights Data source: S&P Capital IQ, desktop research. Analysis by Proventis Partners. ►This brief study was drafted by Proventis Partners with the aim to provide a high-quality analysis of the wind energy industry with respect to company valuations as well as M&A activities. It includes analyses of respective peer group trading multiples and selected transactions. Wind energy is not a homogeneous industry; business models and profitability levels differ, and consequently so do valuations. This is reflected by our approach to divide the industry in four segments, reflecting individual stages of the wind energy value chain: 1) Wind Turbine Generator (“WTG”) Manufacturers, 2) Wind Turbine Component Suppliers, 3) Wind Park Developers 4) Wind Park Operation, Maintenance and Service Providers. ►Valuations of publicly-listed companies in the WTG manufacturing- and the supplier segment weakened during the first half of 2020, as the uncertainties surrounding the COVID-19 pandemic affected stock market valuations across the globe. Trading multiples of WTG manufacturers were effected stronger than other segments. However, renewable energy generation is one of the few sectors that are widely considered to emerge stronger from the crisis. Historical high valuation levels of >30x TEV/EBITDA for our European peer group of wind park developers seem to confirm this thesis. 1. Global Wind Turbine Generator Manufacturers Peer Group Note: TEV = Total Enterprise Value. LTM = Last Twelve Months. HY = Half-Year. Data source: S&P Capital IQ. In €m. Global WTG Manufacturers segment includes the leading publicly listed manufacturing companies. The overall market has shown an upward trend in last 5 years due to increasing focus on renewable energy. Valuations in this segment are highly volatile in general, and COVID-19 clearly affected valuations negatively. The 5x TEV/EBITDA drop versus HY1/2019 should be handled with care, as Nordex’ valuation in HY2/2019 was an outlier. For the time being, Vestas lost the top rank to SGRE, trading at 16.3x. Company Name Country Market Cap TEV Total EBITDA TEV/EBITDA TEV/EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Last LTM Revenue LTM 1) HY1/2020 HY2/2019 Trend LTM Vestas Wind Systems A/S Denmark 17,728 16,502 14,072 1,146 12.9x 12.4x Siemens Gamesa Renewable Energy, S.A.Spain 10,723 10,868 9,559 341 16.3x 9.9x Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology Co.,China Ltd. 4,917 6,785 5,229 413 16.1x 20.9x Ming Yang Smart Energy Group China 2,161 1,444 1,843 206 9.5x 18.4x Nordex SE Germany 939 1,179 4,342 -19 10.6x 28.8x Suzlon Energy Limited India 458 1,638 307 -49 NM NM Median 12.9x 18.4x Average 13.1x 18.1x Global Wind Turbine Generator Manufacturers Peer Group Trading Multiples Data source: S&P Capital IQ. 30 x 27.4 25.8 24.7 25 x EBIT 18.7 19.1 18.4 20 x 17.2 15 x 12.9 10.5 EBITDA 9.4 9.5 9.3 10 x 8.6 6.6 5 x 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.7 1.6 1.2 Revenue HY1/2017 HY2/2017 HY1/2018 HY2/2018 HY1/2019 HY2/2019 HY1/2020 M&A Facts – Wind Energy © 2020 Proventis Partners Page 1 M&A Facts – Special Edition WindEnergy Hamburg 2020 Selected M&A Transactions with Wind Turbine Generator Manufacturers Note: Selected transactions announced in last 15 years. TV = Transaction Value in €m. Data source: S&P Capital IQ. NM = Not Meaningful Acquired Implied Announced Target Acquirer Total Tv Implied Target Acquirer Stake EV/ Date Country Country in €m EV/Rev. (in %) EBITDA 29/10/2020 Vestas Wind Systems A/S DK Mitsubishi Heavy Industries JP 2.5 709 2.0 23 2.7-GW Onshore Wind and Solar 31/07/2020 DE RWE Aktiengesellschaft DE 100 403 - - Pipeline of Nordex SE Senvion Service Europe and Ria Siemens Gamesa Renewable 09/01/2020 ES ES 100 200 - - Blades Facility Energy, S.A. 21/12/2017 Lagerwey Wind BV NL ENERCON GmbH DE 100 - - - 15/09/2016 ADWEN Offshore, S.L. ES Gamesa Energia, S.A. ES 50 60 2.3 NM 16/08/2016 Kenersys India Pvt. Ltd. IN Senvion GmbH DE 100 - - - Gamesa Corporación Tecnológica, 17/06/2016 ES Siemens Wind HoldCo, S.L. ES 59 - - - S.A. Corporación Acciona Windpower 04/10/2015 ES Nordex SE DE 100 768 - - S.L. Rapid Acquisition LuxCo S.à r.l. 22/01/2015 LU Centerbridge Partners, L.P. US 100 1,085 0.4 6 (nka:Senvion S.A.) Suzlon Energy Limited; Martifer 09/02/2007 Senvion S.A. (Repower - Before) LU IN 30 359 2.4 NM Construções Metalomecânicas SA The list above is not exclusive but rather marks the top deals with WTG OEM participation in recent years. Prominent transactions include two-times sale of Senvion (fka Repower) – first to Suzlon in 2007, later to financial investor Centerbridge, who took the company public – before Senvion finally went bankrupt. Consolidation trends in the industry manifest in Nordex’ merger with Acciona Windpower in 2015, followed by Siemens’ acquisition of Gamesa in a reverse merger transaction in 2016. Just announced was Vestas’ agreement with MHI to buy out the 50% offshore JV partner MHI in exchange for 2,5% in the Vestas A/S mother company. 2. Wind Turbine Components Suppliers Peer Group Note: TEV = Total Enterprise Value. LTM = Last Twelve Months. HY = Half-Year. Data source: S&P Capital IQ. In €m While the supplier landscape is much broader than the few companies listed in our selection, only very few of the publicly listed suppliers can be considered as “dependent” on wind energy as key sales market for their products or even “pure players”. An EV/EBITDA multiple median of 10x for the peer group is 0.7 lower than a year ago and far away from record levels in 2017. Company Name Country Market TEV Total EBITDA TEV/EBITDA TEV/EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Cap LTM Revenue LTM 1) HY1/2020 HY2/2019 Trend Last LTM Titan Wind Energy (Suzhou) Co., Ltd. China 1,325 1,834 839 190 11.1x 14.7x TPI Composites, Inc. United States 732 981 1,365 45 10.7x 10.2x Gurit Holding AG Switzerland 606 654 530 67 9.1x 10.7x CS Wind Corporation South Korea 482 629 597 73 10.0x 9.4x Exel Composites Oyj Finland 57 87 105 11 7.4x 12.9x Median 10.0x 10.7x Average 9.7x 11.6x Global Wind Turbine Components Suppliers Peer Group Trading Multiples Data source: S&P Capital IQ. 35 x 32.3 30 x 25 x 22.1 18.9 20 x 17.8 18.4 15.8 15.6 15 x 12.8 13.2 13.6 11.6 10.7 EBIT 9.1 10.0 10 x EBITDA 5 x 1.2 1.2 1.0 1.0 1.3 1.0 1.1 Revenue HY1/2017 HY2/2017 HY1/2018 HY2/2018 HY1/2019 HY2/2019 HY1/2020 M&A Facts – Wind Energy © 2020 Proventis Partners Page 2 M&A Facts – Special Edition WindEnergy Hamburg 2020 Selected European Wind Turbine Components Suppliers M&A Transactions Note: Selected transactions announced in last 10 years.. TV = Transaction Value in €m. Data source: S&P Capital IQ. NM = Not Meaningful Acquired Implied Announced Target Acquirer Total Tv Implied Target Acquirer Stake EV/ Date Country Country in €m EV/Rev. (in %) EBITDA 29/10/2020 Flender GmbH DE The Carlyle Group Inc US 100 2,025 0.9 - 10/07/2019 KK Group A/S DK A.P. Møller Holding A/s DK 100 - - - 01/10/2018 JSB Group A/S DK Gurit Holding AG CH 100 70 - - 22/11/2016 EUROS Entwicklungsgesellschaft DE Senvion S.A. LU 100 - - - 11/10/2016 LM Wind Power Holding A/S DK General Electric Company US 100 1,491 - - JSB Plast A/S and Jupiter Group 18/05/2016 DK Verdane; Verdane Capital VIII K/S NO 100 - - - A/S and Polytech A/S 07/10/2015 Blade Dynamics Ltd UK GE Power & Water US 100 - - - Bosch Rexroth AG, Industrial Gears 13/05/2015 DE ZF Friedrichshafen AG DE 100 - - - and Wind Turbine Gearbox Moventas Wind Oy and Moventas Clyde Blowers Capital IM LLP; 15/11/2011 FN US 100 100 - - Santasalo Oy Clyde Blowers Capital Fund III Hansen Transmissions International 25/07/2011 BE ZF International B.V. NL 100 664 1.4 13 NV Converteam SAS (nka:GE Energy 29/03/2011 FR GE Energy Management, Inc. US 90 2,546 2.7 17 Power Conversion France SAS) Many deals in this segment were recorded in the blade category; a.o., blade supplier Gurit acquired JSB Group for €70m in 2018, and, most prominent, GE “vertically integrated” by buying the leading blade supplier LM Wind Power for €1.5bn. ZF Group made their ambitions in the industry very clear by acquiring first Hansen transmission and then competitor Bosch Rexroth. With ongoing pressure on LCoE, concentration among suppliers can be expected. Though most deals so far are strategically driven, financial investors watch the sector for opportunities, e.g. Carlyle just acquired Flender from Siemens, A.P. Møller Holding, investment arm of the Maersk family, acquired KK Wind, and Verdane is pursuing a buy & build approach with merged Jupiter Bach and Polytech. 3. European Wind Park Developers Peer Group Note: TEV = Total Enterprise Value. LTM = Last Twelve Months. HY = Half-Year. Data source: S&P Capital IQ.