An Odyssey in Exoplanet Detection and Characterisation
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thesis for the degree of licentiate of astronomy From Photons to Worlds Iskra Georgieva Division of Astronomy and Plasmaphysics Department of Space, Earth and Environment Chalmers University of Technology Gothenburg, Sweden, 2021 From Photons to Worlds Iskra Georgieva Copyright © 2021 Iskra Georgieva All rights reserved. Technical Report No. 2021-0064 ISSN 3.1415-9265 This thesis has been prepared using LATEX. Division of Astronomy and Plasma physics Department of Space, Earth and Environment Chalmers University of Technology SE-412 96 Gothenburg, Sweden Phone: +46 (0)31 772 1000 www.chalmers.se Printed by Chalmers Reproservice Gothenburg, Sweden, June 2021 Abstract Since the first unambiguous detection of a planet around a Sun-like, the in- terest in the new and exciting field of exoplanets has grown immensely. New and exciting developments are seen at a pace unparalleled for most subfields of astronomy and astrophysics. In this thesis, I describe the two most successful techniques for exoplanet detection and characterisation – transits and radial velocities – and the chal- lenges commonly encountered in extracting the planets from the data. Transit photometry allows us to measure the planet radius, while radial velocity measurements give us the planet’s minimum mass. These methods’ true strength, however, manifests in their combination as it allows us to esti- mate the true mass, which together with the radius gives us an estimate of a planet’s bulk density. This is a powerful quantity, which allows us to speculate about the structure and composition of a planet’s interior and atmosphere. I describe the process of detecting a planet in a stellar light curve, and how transits and radial velocities are modelled together in order to determine the planet parameters. I demonstrate how the ideal theoretical approach can be used to study a system in practice. However, the current challenges in exoplanet characterisation surpass the ideal case, leading us to explore more complex models. Finally, I show how by extending the ideal planet approach with non-parametric models, we can detect planets in complicated datasets, as demonstrated by the case of the TOI-1260 multi-planet system. Keywords: Exoplanet, planetary systems, transits, radial velocities. List of Publications This thesis is based on the following publications: [A] I. Y. Georgieva, C. M. Persson, O. Barragán, G. Nowak, M. Frid- lund, D. Locci, E. Palle, R. Luque, I. Carleo, D. Gandolfi, S. R. Kane, J. Korth, K. G. Stassun, J. Livingston, E. C. Matthews, K. A. Collins, S. B. Howell, L. M. Serrano, S. Albrecht, A. Bieryla, C. E. Brasseur, D. Ciardi, W. D. Cochran, K. D. Colon, I. J. M. Crossfield, Sz. Csizmadia, H. J. Deeg, M. Esposito, E. Furlan, T. Gan, E. Goffo, E. Gonzales, S. Grziwa, E. .W. Guen- ther, P. Guerra, T. Hirano, J. M. Jenkins, E. L. N. Jensen, P. Kabáth, E. Knudstrup, K. W. F. Lam, D. W. Latham, A. M. Levine, R. A. Mat- son, S. McDermott, H. L. M. Osborne, M. Paegert, S. N .Quinn, S. Red- field, G. R. Ricker, J. E. Schlieder, N. J. Scott, S. Seager, A. M. S. Smith, P. Tenenbaum, J. D. Twicken, R. Vanderspek, V. Van Eylen, J. N. Winn, “Hot planets around cool stars – two short-period mini-Neptunes transiting the late K-dwarf TOI-1260”. Accepted for publication in Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society. Other publications by the author, not included in this thesis, are: [B] R. Luque, ..., I. Georgieva, et al, “A planetary system with two transiting mini-Neptunes near the radius valley transition around the bright M dwarf TOI-776”. A&A, 2021, 645, 41. [C] M. Fridlund, ..., I. Georgieva, et al, “The TOI-763 system: sub-Neptunes orbiting a Sun-like star”. MNRAS, 2020, 498, 4503. [D] I. Carleo, ..., I. Georgieva, et al, “The Multiplanet System TOI-421 – a warm Neptune and a super puffy mini-Neptune transiting a G8 V star in a visual binary”. AJ, 2020, 160, 114 . [E] G. Nowak, ..., I. Georgieva, et al, “K2-280 b - a low density warm sub- Saturn around a mildly evolved star”. MNRAS, 2020, 497, 4423. [F] P. Bluhm, ..., I. Georgieva, et al, “Precise mass and radius of a transiting super-Earth planet orbiting the M dwarf TOI-1235: a planet in the radius gap?”. A&A, 2020, 639, 132. ii [G] J. Šubjak, ..., I. Georgieva, et al, “TOI-503: The First Known Brown- dwarf Am-star Binary from the TESS Mission”. AJ, 2020, 159, 151. [H] D. Hidalgo, ..., I. Georgieva, et al, “Three planets transiting the evolved star EPIC 249893012: a hot 8.8-M⊕ super-Earth and two warm 14.7 and 10.2-M⊕ sub-Neptunes”. A&A, 2020, 636, 89. [I] M.R. Díaz, ..., I. Georgieva, et al, “TOI-132 b: A short-period planet in the Neptune desert transiting a V = 11.3 G-type star”. MNRAS, 2020, 493, 973. [J] L.D. Nielsen, ..., I. Georgieva, et al, “Mass determinations of the three mini-Neptunes transiting TOI-125”. MNRAS, 2020, 492, 5399. [K] C.X. Huang, ..., I. Georgieva, et al, “TESS Spots a Hot Jupiter with an Inner Transiting Neptune”. ApJL, 2020, 892, 7. [L] K.W.F. Lam, ..., I. Georgieva, et al, “It Takes Two Planets in Resonance to Tango around K2-146”. ApJ, 2020, 159, 120. [M] C.M. Persson, ..., I. Georgieva, et al, “Greening of the brown-dwarf desert. EPIC 212036875b: a 51 MJ object in a 5-day orbit around an F7 V star”. A&A, 2019, 628, 64. iii Acknowledgments I would firstly like to thank my main supervisor Carina Persson and my co- supervisor Malcolm Fridlund for perhaps taking a leap of faith in hiring me instead of someone with a continuous background in the astrophysical sciences. I hope I am living up to your expectations. I am also grateful for your support in the sub-smooth experience that writing my first paper has been. I have undoubtedly learned a lot. I am especially thankful to OB for being as good a collaborator as he is a friend. I look forward to more adventures, both professional and casual. Finally, a massive thank you! to all my peeps here at AoP for helping to keep me sane during these difficult times – I hope to have contributed to any remaining sanity you have as well. iv Acronyms ARIEL: Atmospheric remote-sensing infrared exoplanet large sur- vey AU: Astronomical unit CHEOPS: Characterising exoplanet satellite CoRoT: Convection, rotation and planetary transits CCF: Cross-correlation function EB: Eclipsing binary ESPRESSO: Echelle spectrograph for rocky exoplanets and stable spec- troscopic observations EXPRES: Extreme precision spectrograph FOV: Field of view GP: Gaussian process HabEx: Habitable exoplanet observatory HARPS: High accuracy radial velocity planet searcher JWST: James Webb space telescope KST: Kepler space telescope LUVOIR: Large UV/Optical/Infrared surveyor MCMC: Markov chain Monte Carlo PLATO: Planetary transits and oscillations RV: Radial velocity TESS: Transiting exoplanet survey satellite v Definitions This section contains a non-exhaustive list of notation and constants in SI units commonly used throughout this work. The values are as per Prša et al. (2016). • M? – stellar mass • R? – stellar radius • Mp – planet mass • Rp – planet radius 30 • M – Solar mass, 1.988 × 10 kg 8 • R – Solar radius, 6.957 × 10 m 24 • M⊕ – Earth mass – 5.971 × 10 kg 6 • R⊕ – Earth radius – 6.3781 × 10 m 27 • MJ – Jupiter mass – 1.898 × 10 kg 7 • RJ – Jupiter radius – 7.1492 × 10 m • AU – Astronomical unit – 1.496 × 1011 m • pc – parsec – 3.086 × 1016 km vi Table 0.1: Basic stellar spectral classification. The values and ranges are as per Pecaut & Mamajek (2013) and are approximate. vii Contents Abstracti List of Papers ii Acknowledgements iv Acronymsv Definitions vi 1 Introduction1 1.1 What is an exoplanet? . .2 1.2 Exoplanet detection . .5 The transit method . .5 The radial velocity method . 11 1.3 Exoplanet demographics . 14 2 A closer look at the theory behind transits and radial velocities 17 2.1 Orbital elements . 17 2.2 Transit method . 18 Transit observables . 18 Other physical quantities . 21 ix Challenges and caveats . 23 2.3 Radial velocity method . 25 Combining the two methods . 26 Challenges . 27 3 From photons to worlds 31 3.1 Finding transits in light curve data . 31 3.2 Joint modelling of transits and RVs . 34 The harsh reality . 37 4 Paper summary 39 4.1 Paper A . 39 5 Outlook 43 5.1 Concluding remarks . 43 5.2 Reflection and Future work . 44 Bibliography 47 A TOI-1260 A1 x CHAPTER 1 Introduction For thousands of years the solar system planets were the only planets whose existence humanity was aware of. Iconic images of the planets and their moons obtained by famous Solar system missions, like the Pioneer, Mariner, Viking, Voyager and Cassini probes, have inspired generations of young minds. But our knowledge of planetary physics was completely based on the bodies gravitationally bound to our Sun. This began to change only a few decades ago when the family of known planets extended beyond the Solar system, when the first planets around a pulsar1 were unambiguously confirmed in 1992 (Wolszczan & Frail 1992), followed by the discovery of the first planet around a Sun-like star in 1995 (Mayor & Queloz 1995). The latter was awarded the Nobel prize in physics in 2019. Since these first discoveries, the field of exoplanetology has exploded. But why did it take so long? While a complete answer to this question is multi-faceted, possibly the sim- plest one is that exoplanets are billions of times fainter than their host stars. 1A compact stellar remnant, which emits electromagnetic pulses of radiation, mostly in radio. 1 Chapter 1 Introduction Adding the fact that they are small and far away, to this day, they are ex- tremely difficult to find by direct imaging, which is the first technique for astronomical observations that became available2.