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2017 Socio-Economic Profile: Theewaterskloof Municipality

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2017 Socio-Economic Profile: Theewaterskloof Municipality Theewaterskloof Municipality 2017 THEEWATERSKLOOF: AT A GLANCE 1. DEMOGRAPHICS 1 2. EDUCATION 3 3. HEALTH 7 4. POVERTY 12 5. BASIC SERVICE DELIVERY 15 6. SAFETY AND SECURITY 19 7. THE ECONOMY 24 8. INFRASTRUCTURE DEVELOPMENT 28 SOURCES 33 Theewaterskloof: At a Glance Population Estimates, 2018; Actual households, 2016 119 052 33 097 2016 Matric Pass Rate 92.4% Gini Coefficient 0.58 Learner-Teacher Ratio 44.7 Human Development Index 0.67 Gr 12 Drop-out Rate 31.7% 2016 16 65.1% 0.1 8.4% Percentage change between 2016 and 2017 in number of reported cases per 100 000 -2.0% 19.1% -5.7% 35.3% 30.3% Percentage of households with access to basic services, 2016 98.4% 78.7% 90.1% 92.8% 77.5% 2016 2016 Drought 37 Unemployment Rate Financial Sustainability (Grant dependency) 49 11.9% Stagnating Economic Growth Contribution to GDP, 2015 Wholesale and retail trade, Finance, insurance, real Agriculture, forestry and fishing catering and accommodation estate and business services 17.8% 16.6% 14.1% 1 DEMOGRAPHICS This first chapter of the SEP focusses on the people living in the Theewaterskloof area. A demographic perspective on a municipality allows one to observe not only simple changes in population growth, but also to look at other various developments that influence the social life of every citizen. Demographics allow to emphasise aspects of society like, e.g. gender, race, migration or life expectancy. Decisions made by politicians as well as by the administration affect at least one aspect of Demographics. Therefore, a good understanding of this area is crucial for the government’s work. The overview of key demographic factors given in this chapter comprises of the estimates of population size, the distribution of population within age cohorts and furthermore the dependency ratio, which is of high importance to understand economic activity in the area as well as for planning welfare systems. With this short, but informative overview, the SEP tries to help the municipalities in their budgeting process by delivering precise data as a solid foundation for future decisions. Data source: Department of Social Development, 2017 1 2017 Socio-economic Profile: Theewaterskloof Municipality POPULATION 140 000 120 000 100 000 80 000 60 000 40 000 20 000 0 Cape Agulhas Overstrand Swellendam Theewaterskloof 2018 35 331 91 190 38 700 119 052 2019 35 637 92 624 39 078 120 413 2020 35 934 94 028 39 449 121 739 2021 36 223 95 401 39 813 123 029 2022 36 503 96 746 40 168 124 284 2023 36 773 98 065 40 518 125 505 In 2018, this municipal area will have an estimated population of 119 052 and after five years this population is estimated to be 125 505. This equates to an estimated growth rate in this time span of 5.4 per cent. The estimated population growth rate of Theewaterskloof is therefore 0.3 percentage points lower than the estimated population growth of the Cape Winelands which is 5.7 per cent. AGE COHORTS Children: Working Age: Aged: Dependency Year 0 - 14 Years 15 - 65 Years 65 + Ratio 2011 27 724 75 465 5 601 44.2 2018 29 873 81 483 7 696 46.1 2023 30 302 85 921 9 282 46.1 The above table depicts the population composition regarding age cohorts. The total population is broken down into three different groups: Age 0 - 14: children; Age 15 - 65: working age population; Age 65+: seniors. A comparison of the base year (2011) and the estimated numbers for 2023 expects a growth in the population across all age cohorts for Theewaterskloof but more specifically, a sharp rise in the working age cohort (15 - 65 years). This is an important factor in the calculation of the dependency ratio. In Theewaterskloof, this ratio was 44.2 in 2011 and will increase to an estimated 46.1 in 2023. This ratio expresses the dependency of people who are part of the workforce (age 15 - 65) and those, who are depending on them (children and seniors). A higher dependency ratio means a higher pressure on social systems and the delivery of basic services. 2 2017 Socio-economic Profile: Theewaterskloof Municipality 2 EDUCATION Education and training improves access to employment opportunities and helps to sustain and accelerate overall development. It expands the range of options available from which a person can choose to create opportunities for a fulfilling life. Through indirect positive effects on health and life expectancy, the level of education of a population also influences its welfare. Data source: Western Cape Education Department, 2017 3 2017 Socio-economic Profile: Theewaterskloof Municipality LEARNER ENROLMENT 20 000 18 000 16 000 14 000 12 000 10 000 8 000 6 000 4 000 2 000 0 Overstrand Swellendam Theewaterskloof Cape Agulhas 2014 11 118 5 652 18 245 4 527 2015 11 436 5 685 18 815 4 565 2016 11 696 5 724 18 815 4 606 Learner enrolment in Theewaterskloof decreased from 18 245 in 2014 to 18 815 in 2015 while remaining steady in 2016 which is an indication that access to education has improved in the Theewaterskloof area. LEARNER-TEACHER RATIO The learner-teacher ratio in Theewaterskloof increased from 30.3 in 2014 to 45.7 in 2015 and up to 44.7 in 2016, which could in future affect learner performance within the Theewaterskloof municipal area. Factors influencing the learner-teacher ratio are the ability of schools to employ more educators when needed and the ability to collect fees. GRADE 12 DROP-OUT RATES The drop-out rates of learners within Theewaterskloof that enrolled between 2015 and 2016 remained unchanged at 31.7 per cent. These high levels of drop-outs are influenced by a wide array of economic factors including unemployment, poverty, indigent households, high levels of households with no income or rely on less than R515 a month and teenage pregnancies. 4 2017 Socio-economic Profile: Theewaterskloof Municipality EDUCATIONAL FACILITIES The availability of adequate education facilities such as schools, FET colleges and schools equipped with libraries and media centres could affect academic outcomes positively. 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Number of Schools with Libraries Total Number of Schools 2014 26 38 2015 29 38 2016 29 38 In 2016, Theewaterskloof had a total of 29 schools. Given the tough economic climate, schools have been reporting an increase in parents being unable to pay their school fees. The proportion of no-fee schools remained the same from 2014 to 2016. The number of schools equipped with libraries increased from 26 in 2014 to 29 in 2015 which reflects an improvement in educational facilities for the Theewaterskloof area. 100,0% 90,0% 80,0% 70,0% 60,0% 50,0% 40,0% 30,0% 20,0% 10,0% 0,0% Proportion of no-fee schools 2014 81,6% 2015 81,6% 2016 81,6% 5 2017 Socio-economic Profile: Theewaterskloof Municipality EDUCATION OUTCOMES Education remains one of the key avenues through which the state is involved in the economy. In preparing individuals for future engagements in the broader market, policy decisions and choices in the sphere of education play a critical role in determining the extent to which future economy and poverty reduction plans can be realised. This section measures the matric pass rate within Theewaterskloof. 100,00% 98,00% 96,00% 94,00% 92,00% 90,00% 88,00% 86,00% 84,00% 82,00% 80,00% Overstrand Swellendam Theewaterskloof Cape Agulhas 2014 86,40% 88,20% 88,80% 87,80% 2015 88,20% 94,90% 88,00% 94,00% 2016 90,90% 92,70% 92,40% 97,30% Theewaterskloof’s matric pass rate improved from 88.8 per cent to 94.9 per cent between 2014 and 2015. However, the matric pass decreased to 92.4 per cent in 2016, which is a concern for the area as access to employment rates are improved with a matric pass. 6 2017 Socio-economic Profile: Theewaterskloof Municipality 3 HEALTH Health is another major factor contributing to the general quality of life in Theewaterskloof. It is therefore important to monitor the public health facilities as well as a variety of factors as diseases like HIV or TB and general topics that affect the community, like maternal health. This Socio-economic Profile provides the basic statistics concerning those issues. Since this profile focusses on the public health facilities, private facilities do not appear in it. Data source: Department of Health, 2017 7 2017 Socio-economic Profile: Theewaterskloof Municipality HEALTHCARE FACILITIES All citizens’ right to access to healthcare services are directly affected by the number and spread of facilities within their geographical reach. South Africa’s healthcare system is geared in such a way that people have to move from primary, with a referral system, to secondary and tertiary levels. 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 Number of PHC Clinics - Number of PHC Number of Community Community Number of non-fixed Clinics - regional Day Centres Health Centres district hospitals (mobiles/ Fixed hospitals satelite) 2014 1 0 1 11 5 0 2015 1 0 1 8 5 0 2016 1 0 1 11 5 0 In terms of healthcare facilities Theewaterskloof had 16 public healthcare (PHC) clinics in 2016, which comprises of 5 fixed PHC clinics and 11 mobile clinics as well as 1 community day care centre to serve the community. EMERGENCY MEDICAL SERVICES Access to emergency medical services is critical for rural citizens due to rural distances between towns and health facilities being much greater than in the urban areas.
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