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Secondary Cities Assessment: Phase 1 Synopsis Report JIJIGA MAIN STREET, PHOTO CREDIT: IBNUISAK SECONDARY CITIES ASSESSMENT PHASE 1 SYNOPSIS REPORT Revised October 19, 2020 Ethiopia Performance Monitoring and Evaluation Service This publication was produced at the request of the United States Agency for International Development. It was prepared independently by the Ethiopia Performance Monitoring and Evaluation Service (EPMES) activity of Social Impact, Inc., which is contracted by USAID/Ethiopia. ETHIOPIA PERFORMANCE MONITORING AND EVALUATION SERVICE (EPMES) ACTIVITY Secondary Cities Assessment Phase 1 - Synopsis Report Contracted under AID-663-C-16-00010 Prepared for: Awoke Tilahun (COR) United States Agency for International Development/Ethiopia American Embassy Entoto Street P.O. Box 1014 Addis Ababa, Ethiopia Prepared by: Social Impact, Inc. Bole Sub City, Woreda 13 House # 478, 4th Floor i | secondary cities Assessment, PHASE ONE synopsis Report USAID/Ethiopia Ethiopia Performance Monitoring and Evaluation Service TABLE OF CONTENTS Table of Contents .................................................................................................................. ii Table of Tables and Figures ................................................................................................ iv Tables ................................................................................................................................................................ iv Figures ............................................................................................................................................................... iv Acronyms ............................................................................................................................... v Executive Summary .............................................................................................................. 1 Methodology ..................................................................................................................................................... 1 Findings .............................................................................................................................................................. 3 Conclusion ........................................................................................................................................................ 4 Next Steps ........................................................................................................................................................ 5 Background ............................................................................................................................ 6 Methodology .......................................................................................................................... 7 Round One: Core Indicators ........................................................................................................................ 8 Round Two: Key Indicators in High Performing Cities ......................................................................... 9 Data Collection and Limitations ................................................................................................................ 11 Findings ................................................................................................................................ 13 Round One: 27 Secondary Cities Scored Against Core Indicators .................................................. 13 Round Two: Top-scoring Cities ............................................................................................................... 14 Round Two: Thematic Area Findings ....................................................................................................... 16 The Effect of Adding Urban Geographic Clusters................................................................................. 18 Other Findings ............................................................................................................................................... 20 Conclusions .......................................................................................................................... 23 Second Phase of the Assessment ....................................................................................... 27 Annex I: Round One - Initial City Selection (27 Cities) ................................................... 28 Annex II: Secondary Cities Assessment Indicator List .................................................... 29 Annex III: Indicator Revisions ............................................................................................ 34 Annex IV: Final Secondary Cities Scores .......................................................................... 35 Annex V: Findings Presentation Notes ............................................................................. 36 ii | secondary cities Assessment, PHASE ONE synopsis Report USAID/Ethiopia Ethiopia Performance Monitoring and Evaluation Service Annex VI: Secondary Cities Mayor Contacts ................................................................... 44 Annex VII: Assessment Database Overview .................................................................... 45 iii | secondary cities Assessment, PHASE ONE synopsis Report USAID/Ethiopia Ethiopia Performance Monitoring and Evaluation Service TABLE OF TABLES AND FIGURES TABLES Table 1: Core Indicators .................................................................................................................................................. 8 Table 2: Data Collection Challenges ........................................................................................................................... 11 Table 3: Final Indicator List ........................................................................................................................................... 29 Table 4: Individual and Cluster City Scores .............................................................................................................. 35 Table 5: Database Overview ......................................................................................................................................... 45 FIGURES Figure 1: Secondary Cities Round One Scoring ......................................................................................................... 1 Figure 2: Secondary Cities Assessment Scorecard .................................................................................................... 2 Figure 3: Map of Top Scoring Secondary Cities and Geographic City Clusters ................................................. 3 Figure 4: Assessment Phases ........................................................................................................................................... 6 Figure 5: Initial secondary City Selection for phase one analysis ........................................................................... 7 Figure 6: Key Indicators and Thematic Areas ............................................................................................................. 9 Figure 7: Thematic Areas and Weights ...................................................................................................................... 10 Figure 8: Secondary Cities Round One Scoring ....................................................................................................... 13 Figure 9: Secondary Cities Assessment Scorecard .................................................................................................. 14 Figure 10: Round Two Individual secondary City Scores by Thematic Area .................................................... 15 Figure 11: Number of Current USAID Activites in Round Two Secondary Cities ......................................... 21 Figure 12: Number and Percentage of USAID Activities in Targeted Urban Geographical Areas .............. 22 Figure 13: Map of Top Scoring Secondary Cities and Geographic City Clusters ............................................ 23 iv | secondary cities Assessment, PHASE ONE synopsis Report USAID/Ethiopia Ethiopia Performance Monitoring and Evaluation Service ACRONYMS AT Assessment Team CBE Commercial Bank of Ethiopia CDCS Country Development Cooperation Strategy COR Contracting Officer’s Representative Covid-19 Coronavirus Disease 2019 CSA Central Statistical Agency EG Economic Growth EPMES Ethiopia Performance Monitoring and Evaluation Service FDI Foreign Direct Investment IDP Internally Displaced Persons KII Key Informant Interview LED Local Economic Development MOTI Ministry of the Interior MUDHCo Ministry of Urban Development, Housing, and Construction NYU New York University SAGE Strategic Advisory Group for Emergencies (USAID/Ethiopia) SNNPR Southern Nations, Nationalities, and People’s Region SOW Scope of Work ULGDP Urban Local Government Development Project USAID United States Agency for International Development v | secondary cities Assessment, PHASE ONE synopsis Report USAID/Ethiopia Ethiopia Performance Monitoring and Evaluation Service EXECUTIVE SUMMARY USAID/Ethiopia commissioned the Ethiopia Performance, Monitoring and Evaluation Service (EPMES) activity to conduct an Assessment of Secondary Cities in Ethiopia to identify dynamic and investment-ready secondary cities that could best serve as “urban anchors” for surrounding rural areas. By evaluating the current state and future potential of secondary cities, this data-driven Assessment provides USAID with a strategic
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