Cabra/Phibsborough/Dublin 7 School Planning Area - School Provision Report MH11049SRF02July2016

PREPARED BY

West Pier Business Campus, Dun Laoghaire, Co. Dublin T. +353 1 488 2900 E. [email protected]

rpsgroup.com/ireland Cabra/Phibsborough/Dublin 7 School Planning Area - School Provision Report Document Control Sheet

Client: Grangegorman Development Agency

Project Title: Cabra/Phibsborough/Dublin 7 School Planning Area - School Provision Report

Document Title: Cabra/Phibsborough/Dublin 7 School Planning Area - School Provision Report

Document No: MH11049SRD01

Text Pages: 26 Appendices: 5

Rev. Status Date Author(s) Reviewed By Approved By th F01 Final 13 July 2016 RK PS/LK PS/LK LK

This report takes into account the particular instructions and requirements of the Client. It is provided for sole use of the Client and its professional advisors. Information disclosed should be treated as being strictly private and confidential. Any use which a third party makes of this document, or any reliance on or decisions to be made based on it, is the responsibility of such third parties. No responsibility is accepted by RPS for the use of this Document, in whole or in part, for any other purpose.

rpsgroup.com/ireland Cabra/Phibsborough/Dublin 7 School Planning Area - School Provision Report

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1 INTRODUCTION ...... 3

1.1 BACKGROUND ...... 3 2 PRIMARY SCHOOL PROVISION WITHIN THE GRANGEGORMAN PLANNING SCHEME ...... 5

2.1 BACKGROUND ...... 5 3 POPULATION PROFILE ...... 7

3.1 INTRODUCTION ...... 7

3.2 CENSUS 2011 ...... 9 3.2.1 Religious Profile ...... 11 4 SCHOOL PROVISION AND ENROLMENT ...... 13

4.1 GENERAL PRIMARY SCHOOL ENROLMENT ...... 13

4.2 EXISTING SCHOOL PROVISION IN DOE CABRA/PHIBSBOROUGH/DUBLIN 7 SCHOOL PLANNING AREA ...... 14

4.3 SCHOOL ENROLMENT IN D7ET ...... 18

4.4 DEPARTMENT OF EDUCATION AND SKILLS PROJECTIONS OF PRIMARY SCHOOL PLACES ...... 22 4.4.1 General Methodology ...... 22 4.4.2 Demographic projections ...... 22 5 CONCLUSIONS ...... 25

LIST OF FIGURES

Figure 1.1 – Site Context ...... 4 Figure 2.1 – Location of Primary School within Grangegorman Planning Scheme 2012 ...... 5 Figure 2.2 – Site Context ...... 6 Figure 3.1 – D7 School Catchment and Census Electoral Districts ...... 8 Figure 3.2 – Population Changes 2002-2011 ...... 11 Figure 3.3 – Religious Profile 2011 ...... 12 Figure 4.1 – Origin of D7ET Pupils ...... 15 Figure 4.2 – Distribution of Junior Infants in the Cabra/Phibsborough/Dublin 7 ...... 16 Figure 4.3 – Proportion of School Patronage within D7 Catchment 5 and 10 Year Trend ...... 18

MH11049SRF02 i Cabra/Phibsborough/Dublin 7 School Planning Area - School Provision Report

LIST OF TABLES

Table 3.1 – Population Change Electoral Divisions and Study Area ...... 9 Table 3.2 – Population Change Electoral Divisions and Study Area ...... 10 Table 3.3 – Religious Profile ...... 12 Table 4.1 - Enrolments of Full-Time Students (Number) by Level & Number of Schools ...... 13 Table 4.2 – Primary School Sizes 2010-2015 ...... 13 Table 4.3 – Single Sex Schools 2005-2015 ...... 14 Table 4.4 – Breakdown of School Patronage within D7 Catchment 5 and 10 Year Trend ...... 17 Table 4.5 – Proportion of School Patronage within D7 Catchment 5 and 10 Year Trend ...... 17 Table 4.6 – School Enrolment ...... 18 Table 4.7 - Projected junior infant intake based on 113% intake pattern ...... 22

APPENDICES

Appendix A Department of Education and Skills Capacity Report

Appendix B Educate Together Background/Ethos

Appendix C Table Data from Department of Education and Skills

Appendix D Increase in Enrolments

Appendix E Department of Education and Skills Mapping

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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

It is clear that the population trends in the overall Cabra/Phibsborough/Dublin 7 school planning area has consistently shown an increase over the period 2002-2011. Within the catchment the key drivers of population growth are the Pelletstown area near Ashtown station and the Electoral districts in proximity to the Grangegorman Campus. Elsewhere in older established neighbourhoods, the population has declined, but the overall trend is positive and higher (nearly double) than that for the overall Dublin City area.

The religious denomination of an area is a key driver of school preference. There is greater diversity in the religious (and non-religious) in Dublin City and the environs of the D7ETNS, compared to the State. For the State the percentage of Catholics was 84% compared to 75% for Dublin City, 69.2% for the D7 catchment, and 79.4% in the wider catchment. For the core catchment the percentage of Catholics was 59.1%. The proportion of other stated religions at 18.8% for the core catchment was over twice the national average at 8.4%, while the percentage of no religion was recorded at 17.7% for the core catchment area nearly three times the total compared to the State at 5.9%.

For the State the overall trend in primary school enrolment numbers between 2005 and 2015 was an increase of 21.2%. Notwithstanding this increase, the actual number of schools remained relatively stable, with a slight fall of -0.6% over the same period with 3,157 primary schools in 2005 compared to 3,137 in 2015.

The overall trend nationally is for larger schools, with a significant decrease in the schools of 50-99 pupils which recorded a fall of 16% or 134 no. schools in that size range between 2010 and 2015. This compares to an increase of 68 no. schools in the 300-499 size range (a 21.9% increase) and an increase of 25 no. schools (or 26.9% of primary schools in the 500+ size range.

Single sex schools are generally in decline reducing by 71 in number (or 17%) between 2005 and 2015, while co-educational schools increased over the same period by 119 in number or 4.6%.

For the 2015/16 school year, 658 junior infants enrolled in primary schools in the D7 school planning area. For the 2016/17 school year, the projections indicate that up to 785 junior infants will be seeking places. This is an additional 127 junior infants over and above those enrolled for the 2015/16 school year. This represents an increase of 19.3%.

The overall enrolment numbers increased by 7.2% over 10 years for all schools. For all Catholic schools the numbers decreased by -1.7%, while the single sex Catholic schools recorded a decrease of -6.0%. In contrast the Co-Educational Catholic schools increased enrolment by 6.6%, while the number of other schools (Church of Ireland, Muslim and Multi-denominational), increased by 66.7% over the same period, albeit from a low base.

Given the religious profile of the D7 school planning area, it is anticipated that the existing trend away from single sex Catholic schools will continue. The religious profile of the area is more diverse than the national and City wide average. In light of this, it is considered that the traditional religious model, while still having an important place and choice for parents, that the patronage of schools reflects the belief system(s) of all sectors of society who do not have a religious affiliation or who wish not to send their children to a Catholic school.

MH11049SRF02 1 Cabra/Phibsborough/Dublin 7 School Planning Area - School Provision Report

In respect of demographic need, the Department of Education and Skills (DES) in its Capacity Report for the Cabra/Phibsborough/Dublin 7 school planning area specifically advises:

. Additional capacity is required at primary level to ensure there are sufficient primary school places for the children living in the area.

. The most recent projections based on the current school enrolment figures (2015/16) show that circa 42 additional classes will be required across the Cabra/Phibsborough/Dublin 7 school planning area from 2016 to 2019.

. Existing capacity in the Cabra/Phibsborough/Dublin 7 school planning area does not provide sufficient school places to meet the projected demand in the area (from 2016 to 2019). This capacity is made up of circa five classes in existing schools (arising from reduced enrolment), increased capacity of eight classes from the new primary school to open this year (2016), and up to three classes from the expansion of Glasnevin ETNS.

. Developments in adjacent school planning areas (Drumcondra/Marino/Dublin 1 area and the Sribblestown/Finglas West area) will not relieve pressure in the Cabra/Phibsborough/Dublin 7 school planning area.

Based on demographic reasons as set out above, the DES concludes ‘there is no question but that the additional eight classes in the Cabra/Phibsborough/Dublin 7 area will be required to meet the demand in that area.’

In addition to the demographic need, the Department's analysis of enrolments also highlights the clear trend away from single-sex and split junior/senior denominational schools to co-educational multi-denominational schools. It specifically advises of the 20 schools in the Cabra/Phibsborough/Dublin 7 school planning area, 18 are under religious patronage (16 are Catholic, one is Church of Ireland, one is Muslim) and two are multi•denominational under the patronage of Educate Together.

The DES concludes ”Given that the D7 ETNS is a multi­denominational school, the additional eight classes in addition to providing for the demographic need will provide for an additional choice for parents of co-educational, multi-denominational schooling.”

The DES’ overall conclusion advises that “The Department's priority is to ensure that there is sufficient school accommodation to meet projected pupil enrolment increases into the future. It is considered that this can be best achieved in the Cabra/Phibsborough/Dublin 7 area by the development of the Dublin 7 Educate Together National School to 24 classrooms.”

In conclusion, following a review of population demographics and trends and the Department of Education and Skills recent capacity projections for the Cabra/Phibsborough/Dublin 7 area (which provides for a detailed and robust methodology for the allocation of scarce resources), it is clearly evident that the requirement for an additional 8 classes in the D7 Educate Together National School is justified and appropriate

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1 INTRODUCTION

1 RPS Planning and Environment was appointed by the Grangegorman Development Agency to prepare a desk-top report to examine the demographic profile and school provision within the Dublin 7 area having regard to the population characteristics/profile.

2 RPS would like to thank the assistance of the Forward Planning Section of the Department of Education and Skills in providing additional mapping and data.

3 Section 2 of this report sets out the context of primary school provision within the Grangegorman Planning Scheme.

4 Section 3 provides a baseline of the population profile of the D7 school planning area including detail on Electoral District trends, including detail on religious breakdown of the population (a key driver of education choice).

5 Section 4 includes detail on general primary school provision and trends at national level such as primary school sizes (and type) as well as a review of the existing school provision in the D7 school planning area.

6 Section 5 presents conclusions on the school provision in the D7 catchment.

1.1 BACKGROUND

7 The area of Grangegorman was designated a Strategic Development Zone (SDZ) by Government order on the 21st of December 2010. This order was made in accordance with Part IX of the Planning and Development Acts 2000-2011 and the Grangegorman Development Agency subsequently prepared a planning scheme for the lands. According to SI 678 of 2010 the site was designated a SDZ:

‘For the provision of schools and other educational facilities, community facilities, including hospitals and other healthcare facilities and services, facilities for the elderly and people with disabilities, childcare services, residential (including student and private) commercial activities (including leisure and retail facilities) and sports and recreational facilities.’ (Article 4 refers) (emphasis added)

8 The site at Grangegorman is to include a consolidated campus for the Dublin Institute of Technology (DIT) as well as modern new and replacement facilities for the Health Service Executive (HSE). These elements will be supplemented by facilities for the surrounding community such as a public library, primary school, playgrounds, pitches, community garden, sports centre and commercial uses.

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Cabra/Phibsborough/Dublin 7 School Planning Area - School Provision Report

Figure 1.1 – Site Context

Proposed Location of Permanent D7ET Primary School Site within the Grangegorman SDZ

Location of Temporary D7ET Primary School Site within the Grangegorman SDZ

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Cabra/Phibsborough/Dublin 7 School Planning Area - School Provision Report

2 PRIMARY SCHOOL PROVISION WITHIN THE GRANGEGORMAN PLANNING SCHEME

2.1 BACKGROUND

1 Provision is made in the Grangegorman Planning Scheme for a primary school. It is anticipated that the school will be operated under the patronage of Educate Together. The site identified by the Planning Scheme is located on the southern side of Grangegorman Upper – to the east of the permitted Primary Care Centre (see fig 2.1).

2 Prior to the commissioning of the Primary School at its permanent location on Grangegorman Upper, on 24th July 2009 Dublin City Council granted temporary permission (under 4291/08) for the provision of a prefabricated 16 no. classroom school and associated facilities of some 2,284 sq. m.

3 The existing Educate Together primary school has been operating from a temporary site to the south of the permanent location, situated on the eastern side of Grangegorman Lower and to the south of the Lower House (a protected structure). This temporary permission was extended to September 2017 under DCC planning reg. ref. GSDZ3263/14.

Figure 2.1 – Location of Primary School within Grangegorman Planning Scheme 2012

Location of Proposed Primary School Site as per Planning Scheme

Location of Existing School Temporary Site

Source: Figure 4.6 Grangegorman Planning Scheme 2012

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Cabra/Phibsborough/Dublin 7 School Planning Area - School Provision Report

Figure 2.2 – Site Context

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Cabra/Phibsborough/Dublin 7 School Planning Area - School Provision Report

3 POPULATION PROFILE

3.1 INTRODUCTION

1 The Grangegorman SDZ is located on the southern edge of Dublin D7 on the site of the former St. Brendan’s Hospital between the communities of Stoneybatter and Broadstone (Glasmanogue) and adjacent to Smithfield, Cabra and Phibsborough. The site is traversed by Grangegorman Upper and Grangegorman Lower. The Grangegorman SDZ is located within the Electoral District of Arran Quay B which is bounded by the North Circular Road to the north, King Street North to the south, Constitution Hill/Broadstone Garage to the east and Manor Street/Prussia Street to the west.

2 Locally, many people are likely to associate themselves with the traditional communities of Manor Street, O’Devaney Gardens, Cabra, Phibsborough and Smithfield. Grangegorman itself is not as firmly defined as a community as are some of these neighbouring areas.

3 While the area is comprised of well-established communities, it also includes a quite varied population. The core established population includes various levels of social class but also includes some islands of severe social and economic disadvantage typically concentrated in public authority flat complexes and areas with supported housing. In addition to the core established population is the sizeable new population. This population subset tends to be characterised by three broad types. Firstly, there is a subset of young working people who have bought property in the area and typically belong to a higher social demographic. Secondly, there is a large population of students and young adults who are renting often from established families who have moved out of the area. Thirdly, there is also a sizeable community of migrants from overseas. (Exodea 2013).

4 Having regard to the above the study area chosen for the purposes of the profile of the area related to the location of the Grangegorman SDZ, situated within Arran Quay B and the Electoral Districts (EDs) directly adjoining that ED as being the EDs most likely to influence school demand. The Cabra/Phibsborough/Dublin 7 school planning area was also examined.

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Cabra/Phibsborough/Dublin 7 School Planning Area - School Provision Report

Figure 3.1 – D7 School Catchment and Census Electoral Districts

MH11049SR 8 Dublin 7(D7) Cabra/Phibsborough Catchment

3.2 CENSUS 2011

5 The most recent Census of Population was undertaken in April 2016. However the preliminary results are not currently available (May 2016). They are anticipated sometime in June/July 2016. The preliminary results of the 2011 Census were published on the 30th of June 2011. The results are based on summary counts for each enumeration area which have been compiled by 4,854 enumerators. The smallest geographical units distinguished by the Central Statistics Office (CSO) are Electoral Divisions EDs (previously called District Electoral Divisions or Wards). Demographic trends are analysed at state, county, and local levels for the purposes of this report.

6 For the purposes of reviewing the population trends, the population at State, Dublin City and the EDs adjacent to the D7ETNS were examined. The Department of Education and Skills provided a Catchment within which the D7ETNS is located. The Census of Population EDs have been examined to align to the D7 catchment and comprise 17 no. EDs in total. It is noted the two catchments are not 100% aligned as the boundary of Botanic A ED is not fully within the catchment. However for the purposes of the analysis, this small difference is not considered to be material. Within the ‘D7’ catchment, the figures have been divided into two areas. The first area (‘Core Area’) relates to the EDs adjacent to the D7ETNS (7 no. EDs) and the other EDs relate to the remainder of EDs within the D7 catchment (10 no. EDs referred to as ‘Wider Area’). These areas are shown on Figure 3.1.

7 Within the ‘overall D7’ catchment table 4.1 illustrates the increases in population over the two inter-censal periods, increasing by 12% between 2002 and 2011. Within the core area, the population increased by 19.2% between 2002 and 2011. This compares to an increase of 17% for the State for the same period. The population of the wider area recorded an increase of population of 7.7% between 2002 and 2011, which was similar to that of Dublin City over the same period. It is also noted the increase in population of the core area was 10.6% between 2002 and 2006, which was significantly higher than that of the Wider area, which recorded an increase of population of just 1.9% over the same period.

Table 3.1 – Population Change Electoral Divisions and Study Area

percent percent Percent ED 2002 2006 2011 change 2002- change 2006- change 2006 2011 2002-2011 Overall D7 50,248 53,073 56,263 5.3% 5.7% 12.0% Wider Area 31,542 32,139 33,961 1.9% 5.7% 7.7% Core Area 18,706 20,934 22,302 10.6% 6.1% 19.2% Dublin City 495,781 506,211 525,383 2.10% 3.80% 6.0 State 3,917,203 4,239,848 4,581,269 8.20% 8.10% 17.0% Source: Census of Population 2006 & 2011

8 Within the catchments, while there was an increase in population in the wider catchment, this is entirely due to the ED of Ashtown A which recorded a population increase of 50% between 2002 and 2011. This is due to the Ashtown area incorporating significant development as a result of the build out of the initial phases of the Pelletstown

MH11049SR 9 Dublin 7(D7) Cabra/Phibsborough Catchment

Development, which comprises an area of some 40 hectares and 4,000 dwellings as the overall site is built out. The remainder of the EDs recorded declines in population between 2002 and 2011 (between -1.8% and -13.1%) with the exception of Botanic A, which recorded an increase of 5.8% in population between 2002 and 2011.

9 The broad based nature of the population decrease in the wider catchment and the associated changes in preference away from single sex schools has implications for school provision in the D7 catchment.

10 In contrast, the core area, experienced increases in population across all of the EDs examined with the exception of Cabra East C, which had a slight decrease of -1.7% between 2002 and 2011.

Table 3.2 – Population Change Electoral Divisions and Study Area

percent percent Percent ED 2002 change 2002- 2006 change 2006- 2011 change 2006 2011 2002-2011 Ashtown A 6,817 13.2% 7,715 32.6% 10,227 50.0% Ashtown B 2,607 -2.7% 2,537 0.9% 2,560 -1.8% Cabra West A 1,700 -8.0% 1,564 -5.5% 1,478 -13.1% Cabra West B 2,645 0.0% 2,644 -5.0% 2,513 -5.0% Cabra West C 2,937 -2.5% 2,865 -5.8% 2,699 -8.1% Cabra West D 2,865 -1.7% 2,815 -3.2% 2,725 -4.9% Cabra East A 5,396 -0.6% 5,366 -3.8% 5,163 -4.3% Cabra East B 3,661 -3.3% 3,542 -0.8% 3,512 -4.1% Phoenix Park 1,468 6.8% 1,568 -1.9% 1,538 4.8% Botanic A 2,914 6.1% 3,091 -0.2% 3,084 5.8% Wider Area 33,010 2.1% 33,707 5.3% 35,499 7.5% Arran Quay A 1,390 7.5% 1,502 3.1% 1,550 11.5% Arran Quay B 3,089 16.3% 3,692 4.4% 3,862 25.0% Arran Quay C 2,375 36.1% 3,714 11.7% 4,207 77.1% Arran Quay E 2,902 -0.4% 2,889 4.7% 3,030 4.4% Cabra East C 3,638 -8.5% 3,352 6.3% 3,576 -1.7% Inns Quay C 2,359 11.7% 2,672 1.4% 2,709 14.8% Inns Quay B 2,953 5.1% 3,113 7.6% 3,368 14.1% Core Area 18,706 10.6% 20,934 6.1% 22,302 19.2% Overall D7 51,716 5.3% 54,641 5.7% 57,801 12.0% Source: Census of Population 2006 & 2011

MH11049SR 10 Dublin 7(D7) Cabra/Phibsborough Catchment

Figure 3.2 – Population Changes 2002-2011

12.0% 2002-2011 19.2% 7.7%

5.7% Overall D7 2006-2011 6.1% Core Area 5.7% Wider Area

5.3% 2002-2006 10.6% 1.9%

0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0%

Source: Census of Population 2006 and 2011

3.2.1 Religious Profile

11 According to the Census of Population 20111, there was a higher percentage of Catholics in rural areas (89.2%) than urban areas (81.9%). Indeed the percentage of Catholics falls as settlement size rises with small towns of 1,000 or fewer persons having 89.4 per cent Catholics while large towns of 10,000 or more having 82.8 per cent. Those with no religion were concentrated in urban areas with four out of five in this group located in towns or settlements of 1,000 or more persons. Four out of ten Church of Ireland members were located in the greater Dublin area, with a further 22.5 per cent in large towns of 10,000 or more and only 7.9 per cent in rural areas.

12 Table 3.2 provides a breakdown of religious groups comprising catholic, other religions, no religion, and not stated for the State, Dublin City, the D7 school planning area and the area adjacent to the D7ETNS.

13 It is evident that the national trend is not reflected for Dublin City and the areas adjoining the D7ETNS. For the State the percentage of Catholics was 84% compared to 75% for Dublin City, 69.2% for the D7 catchment, and 79.4% in the wider catchment. For the core catchment the percentage of Catholics was 59.1%. The proportion of other stated religions at 18.8% for the core catchment was over twice the national average at 8.4%, while the percentage of no religion was recorded at 17.7% for the core catchment area nearly three times the total compared to the State at 5.9%. The percentage of persons of no religion for Dublin City at 11%was nearly twice the national average.

1 http://www.cso.ie/en/media/csoie/census/documents/census2011profile7/Profile7EducationEthnicityandIrishTravellerEnt iredoc.pdf

MH11049SR 11 Dublin 7(D7) Cabra/Phibsborough Catchment

Table 3.3 – Religious Profile

State Dublin D7 Wider Core % % % % % Number City Catchment Catchment Catchment

Catholic 3,861,335 84.20% 396,515 75.20% 32,850 69.20% 28,196 79.43% 13,193 59.1% Other stated 384,192 8.40% 55,348 10.50% 6,528 13.70% 3,143 8.85% 4,202 18.8% religion No 269,811 5.90% 58,218 11.00% 6,743 14.20% 3,509 9.88% 3,954 17.7% religion Not 72,914 1.60% 17,531 3.30% 1,357 2.90% 651 1.83% 982 4.4% stated Total 4,588,252 527,612 47,478 18,963 22,331 Source: Census of Population 2011

14 The results from Table 3.3 are illustrated in Figure 3.3 below. It is clear that there is greater diversity in the religious (and non-religious) in Dublin City and the environs of the D7ETNS, compared to the State. This is to be expected in large populations which tend to be more diverse.

Figure 3.3 – Religious Profile 2011

4.4% Core Catchment % 17.7% 18.8% 59.1%

3.89% Wider Catchment 17.86% 18.24% 60.01% Total

2.90% Not stated D7 % 14.20% 13.70% No religion 69.20% Other stated religion 3.30% Catholic Dublin City % 11.00% 10.50% 75.20%

1.60% State % 5.90% 8.40% 84.20%

0.00% 20.00% 40.00% 60.00% 80.00% 100.00%

Source: Table 3.2 & Census of Population 2011

15 This diversity suggests that the ‘traditional’ primary school typology of single sex catholic schools are less likely to be chosen by parents who have a different religion or no religion at all. This in turn is a key demand factor in the choice of local schools which offer a muti- denominational ethos (including no religion).

MH11049SR 12 Dublin 7(D7) Cabra/Phibsborough Catchment

4 SCHOOL PROVISION AND ENROLMENT

4.1 GENERAL PRIMARY SCHOOL ENROLMENT

1 According to the Department of Education and Skills 2 there were 536,317 full-time primary school students in 2013/2014, rising to 544,696 in 2014/2015. Within Dublin City there were 45,950 pupils in 2,143 classes (for all schools - including pupils in special schools).

2 Table 4.1 outlines the enrolment numbers for primary schools over the period 2005-2015 where there was an increase of 95,398 students or 21.2%. Between 2005 and 2010 the increase was 56,700 (12.6%) while between 2010 and 2015 the increase was 38,698 (7.1%).

Table 4.1 - Enrolments of Full-Time Students (Number) by Level & Number of Schools

Year3 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 First level (‘000s) 449.2 457.8 471.5 486.4 498.9 505.9 509.6 516.4 526.4 536.3 544.7 No. of Schools 3,157 3,160 3,160 3,158 3,175 3,165 3,165 3,159 3,152 3,145 3,137 Source:http://www.cso.ie/px/pxeirestat/pssn/des/DATABASE/DES/Primary%20Level%20Education%20Statistics/Primary% 20Level%20Education%20Statistics_statbank.asp

3 While the number of pupils in primary schools increased by 21.2% between 2005 and 2015 the number of schools over the corresponding period remained relatively stable, with a slight increase of 0.3% between 2005 and 2010 and a decrease of -0.9% between 2010 and 2015. There was a slight fall of -0.6% between 2005 and 2015. These figures suggest that the size of schools is increasing to cater for the additional demand.

Table 4.2 – Primary School Sizes 2010-2015

School Size 2010/2011 2014/2015 Number % Change less than 50 618 603 -15 -2.4% 50 - 99 836 702 -134 -16.0% 100 - 199 816 823 7 0.9% 200 - 299 492 513 21 4.3% 300 - 499 310 378 68 21.9% 500+ 93 118 25 26.9% Total 3,165 3,137 -28 -0.9% Source: Key Statistics 2010/2011 & Key Statistics 2014/2015 – Department of Education and Skills . Note 2005 figure not available in same statistic release.

2 Department of Education and Skills - Key Statistics 2014-2015 – Released June 2015. http://www.education.ie/en/Publications/Statistics/Key-Statistics/Key-Statistics-2014-2015.pdf 3 This refers to the academic year i.e., 2010 refers to the academic year 2009/10, 2011 refers to the academic year 2010/11 etc

MH11049SR 13 Dublin 7(D7) Cabra/Phibsborough Catchment

4 It is evident from the table above that the overall trend nationally is for larger schools, with a significant decrease in the school size of 50-99 pupils which recorded a fall of 16% or 134 no. schools in that size range between 2010 and 2015. This compares to an increase of 68 no. schools in the 300-499 size range (a 21.9% increase) and an increase of 25 no. schools (or 26.9% of primary schools in the 500+ size range.

Table 4.3 – Single Sex Schools 2005-20154

2005 2010 2015 2005 2010 2015

Single sex schools 417 383 346 -8.2% -9.7% -17.0% Co-educational schools 2,586 2,675 2,705 3.4% 1.1% 4.6% Source: Department of Education and Skills

5 Table 4.3 above illustrates the trend that single sex schools are generally in decline reducing by 71 in number (or 17%) between 2005 and 2015, while co-educational schools increased over the same period by 119 in number or 4.6%.

4.2 EXISTING SCHOOL PROVISION IN DOE CABRA/PHIBSBOROUGH/DUBLIN 7 SCHOOL PLANNING AREA

6 There are currently 20 primary schools in the D7 School Catchment Area, with a further new school coming on-stream in 2016 (Educate Together National School, Bannow Road). The breakdown is:-

 15 Catholic English-medium schools.  1 Catholic Irish-medium school.  1 Church of Ireland English-medium school.  2 Multi-denominational Educate Together English-medium schools.  1 Muslim English-medium school.

7 According to the Department of Education and Skills , for the 2015/16 school year, 658 junior infants enrolled in primary schools in the Cabra/Phibsborough/Dublin 7 school planning area. For the 2016/17 school year, the projections indicate that up to 785 junior infants will be seeking places.

8 This is an additional 127 junior infants over and above those enrolled for the 2015/16 school year. This represents an increase of 19.3%. Figure 4.1 shows the distribution of the junior infants for the next three school years (2016, 2017 2018).

4http://www.cso.ie/px/pxeirestat/Statire/SelectVarVal/Define.asp?maintable=EDA51&ProductID=DB_ED&PLanguage=0

MH11049SR 14 Cabra/Phibsborough/Dublin 7 School Planning Area - School Provision Report

Figure 4.1 – Origin of D7ET Pupils

Source: Department of Education and Skills – Forward Planning

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Cabra/Phibsborough/Dublin 7 School Planning Area - School Provision Report

Figure 4.2 – Distribution of Junior Infants in the Cabra/Phibsborough/Dublin 7

Source: Department of Education and Skills

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Dublin 7(D7) Cabra/Phibsborough Catchment

Table 4.4 – Breakdown of School Patronage within D7 Catchment 5 and 10 Year Trend

10 year 10 year 2006/07 2011/12 2015/16 5 year trend 5 year trend trend trend All Schools 4,568 4,536 4,804 268 326 5.9% 7.2% All Catholic Schools 3,980 3,735 3,824 89 -66 2.4% -1.7% All Single Sex Catholic Schools 2,585 2,485 2,490 5 -154 0.2% -6.0% Co-Ed Catholic Schools 1,336 1,250 1,334 84 88 6.7% 6.6%

Non-Catholic Schools 588 801 980 179 392 22.3% 66.7% Source: Appendix C (from Patronage Assessment Report to the New Schools Establishment Group Appendix C April 2016 Department of Education and Skills)

9 Table 4.4 shows the breakdown of School Patronage enrolment numbers within the D7 catchment (5 and 10 year trend). The overall enrolment numbers increased by 7.2% over 10 years for all schools. For all Catholic schools the numbers decreased by -1.7%, while the single sex Catholic schools recorded a decrease of -6.0%. In contrast the co-educational Catholic schools increased enrolment by 6.6%, while the number of other schools (Church of Ireland, Muslim and Multi-denominational), increased by 66.7% over the same period, albeit from a low base.

10 The proportion of pupils in schools within general patronage classifications are set out below. It can be seen that the proportion of single sex Catholic schools decreased from 57.3% in 2006/2007 to 51.8%. The numbers in co-educational Catholic schools remained relatively stable (minus 2) but the overall proportion fell from 29.6% to 27.8%. The proportion of non-Catholic pupils in schools increased from 13% to 20% over the same period.

Table 4.5 – Proportion of School Patronage within D7 Catchment 5 and 10 Year Trend

2006/07 2011/12 2015/16 2006/07 2011/12 2015/16 All Single Sex 2,585 2,485 2,490 57.3% 54.8% 51.8% Catholic Schools Co-Ed Catholic 1,336 1,248 1,334 29.6% 27.5% 27.8% Schools Non- Catholic 588 801 980 13.0% 17.7% 20.4% Schools Source: Table 4.4

MH11049SR 17

Dublin 7(D7) Cabra/Phibsborough Catchment

11 The data above is illustrated in Figure 4.3.

Figure 4.3 – Proportion of School Patronage within D7 Catchment 5 and 10 Year Trend

70.0%

60.0% 57.3% 54.8% 50.0% 51.8% All Single Sex Catholic 40.0% Schools Co-Ed Catholic Schools

Axis Axis Title 30.0% 29.6% 27.5% 27.8% Non-Catholic Schools 20.0% 20.4% 17.7% 13.0% 10.0%

0.0% 2006/07 2011/12 2015/16

4.3 SCHOOL ENROLMENT IN D7ET

12 The school enrolment figures for D7ETNS as provided by the school are presented below in Table 4.6.

Table 4.6 – School Enrolment

Year Number of children Number of these who enrolled in Junior Infants had/have an older sibling in the school September 2011 56 7

September 2012 56 22

September 2013 58 16

September 2014 60 25

September 2015 60 18

September 2016 60 20

Source: D7ET

13 It can be seen that understandably there is a strong association between siblings attending the same school. This is to be expected in all schools and makes sense from a parental point of view in respect of efficient drop-off and pick up. It is also more sustainable from a

MH11049SR 18

Dublin 7(D7) Cabra/Phibsborough Catchment

transport/environmental perspective as a single trip can be made to a school rather than a series of trips – creating unnecessary trips on the local network.

14 However our understanding from the Principal of D7ET is that in September 2015 there were children on the waiting list for Junior Infants, who had siblings in the school, for whom no place was available and that in September 2016 there are children on the waiting list for Junior Infants, who have siblings in the school, for whom no place is available.

15 Our understanding from the school is that a review by D7ETNS in respect of the sibling policy is currently being undertaken.

16 Figure 4.4 shows the origins of the Educate Together pupils which was sourced from the school as part of a traffic study undertaken by Aecom. Overall there were 433 respondents to the survey. 331 or 76.4% of pupils were from the D7 catchment, with a further 4.8% from the adjacent Electoral Districts to the east.

MH11049SR 19

D7 Catchment School Provision Report

Figure 4.4 – D7ETNS Pupil Origins (2015)

MH11049SR 20 D7 Catchment School Provision Report

Figure 4.5 – School Planning Areas

Source: Department of Education and Skills – Forward Planning

MH11049SR 21 Dublin 7(D7) Cabra/Phibsborough Catchment

4.4 DEPARTMENT OF EDUCATION AND SKILLS PROJECTIONS OF PRIMARY SCHOOL PLACES

4.4.1 General Methodology

17 The Department of Education and Skills undertakes population analysis/projections to ensure that capacity is provided where it is needed (see appendix A). The Department uses a Geographical Information System (GIS) to identify where the pressure for school places across the country will arise. The GIS uses data from the Central Statistics Office, Ordnance Survey Ireland and the Department of Social Protection together with information from the Department's school databases. With this information, the Department carries out nationwide demographic exercises at primary and post-primary level to determine where additional school accommodation is needed.

18 The outcome of the 2015 demographic exercises was that in November 2015, the establishment of 13 new schools to open nationwide in 2017 and 2018 was announced. All school planning areas are kept under ongoing review by the Department to take account of updated child benefit data and updated enrolment data and also the impact of ongoing and planned capacity increases to schools in these areas.

19 There are 314 school planning areas, of which some 40 are in Dublin. In most areas (other than Dublin) these are based on traditional “catchment codes” whereby all primary schools were assigned to a post-primary feeder area (typically a population centre or town), containing one or more post-primary schools. With the introduction of Small areas in Census 2011, these feeder areas were aligned to incorporate small areas. This basically allows for the census data for each of the small areas to be captured for the boundary feeder areas. The Cabra/Phibsborough/Dublin 7 school planning area and adjacent school planning areas are illustrated in Figure 4.3.

4.4.2 Demographic projections

20 4,804 children attended the 20 primary schools in the Cabra/Phibsborough/Dublin 7 school planning area in September 2015 (2015/2016 provisional enrolment numbers). Based on the average intake pattern over each of the school years from 2010 to 2015, it is projected that total enrolment numbers in the 20 schools will increase to 5,054 children in September 2016.

21 The average intake is based on the average of the five years intake from 2010 to 2015 in each of the school planning areas, which for the Cabra/Phibsborough/Dublin 7 school planning area is 113%.

Table 4.7 - Projected junior infant intake based on 113% intake pattern 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

658* 785 877 803 822

Source: Appendix A. DoES. *based on provisional 2015/16 enrolment data

MH11049SR 22 Dublin 7(D7) Cabra/Phibsborough Catchment

22 It is projected by the DoES that an additional 127 children will attend junior infants in 2016 (785 children) compared with the 2015 figure (658 children) in the school planning area.

23 The Department projects that overall 250 t additional primary school children will attend the primary schools in the Cabra/Phibsborough/Dublin 7 school planning area in 2016 over and above the number of children who attended these schools in 2015. This equates to just over nine additional classes based on the current Pupil Teacher Ratio of 27:1.

24 In addition as set out in the DoES commentary over the four year period to 2019, the projected increase in total enrolment numbers of 1,127, or circa 42 additional classroom based on a PTR of 27:1, would be the equivalent of every primary school in the area taking in an additional 56 children, or two full classes, over and above the number of children each school catered for in 2015 enrolment. Given school-specific factors such as insufficient accommodation, restrictive sites etc., it is not practical to consider that these 1,127 additional children can be catered for in all the existing schools. (emphasis added).

25 In addition to this analysis, the Department, at the request of the GDA, estimated the number of children living within a 2km and a 5 km radius of D7ETNS who would be due to start primary school in the years 2016 to 2018. Based on child benefit data, it is estimated that 1,114 children living within a 2km radius of Dublin 7 ETNS will start primary school in 2016. (see appendix A). The 1,114 children are the equivalent of 41.25 junior infant classes based on the current PTR (pupil teacher ratio) of 27:1.Dublin 7 ETNS background and existing provision in the school planning area

26 The Department has undertaken a number of demographic exercises at primary level using the GIS analysing the changing demographics in the areas. The latest Department projections as contained in Appendix D based on the 2015/16 school enrolments show that, overall, circa 42 additional classes(or 32 additional classrooms) will be required across the school planning area from 2016 to 2019.

27 The DoES report notes that:-

‘Taking into account the demographic need in this school planning area, the capacity in existing schools and planned provision in this area, in conjunction with the demographic needs in the adjacent areas, and in particular the large projected deficit in the adjoining Drumcondra/Marino/Dublin 1 area (adjusted to take into account the new primary school to open in 2016) and the projected deficit in the Castleknock/Dublin 15 school planning area, along with the location of the Dublin 7 ETNS, there is a clear requirement for eight additional classrooms to be provided at Dublin 7 ETNS’

28 The following addition new capacity also has been taken into account in the compilation of the figures which adds robustness to the overall analysis:-

 The new Cabra/Phibsborough/Dublin 7 primary school opening with two junior infant classes in 2016 will provide for eight classes from 2016 to 2019.

MH11049SR 23 Dublin 7(D7) Cabra/Phibsborough Catchment

 Glasnevin Educate Together National School in the Cabra/Phibsborough/Dublin 7 school planning area will provide three additional classes over the period to 2019. Given its location at the edge of the school planning area and very close to the Drumcondra/Marino/Dublin 1 school planning area, this is likely to relieve only a small amount of the pressure in the area.

 Additional capacity adjacent to the school planning area boundary such as the planned new school in the general Pelletstown area is not expected to significantly relieve the pressure on school places in the Cabra/Phibsborough/Dublin 7 area.

29 The Department notes that in addition to the demographic need, the analysis of the schools which are experiencing declining enrolments with those experiencing increased enrolment pressure, shows a clear trend away from single-sex and split junior/senior denominational schools to co-educational multi-denominational schools.

30 The Department of Education and Skills highlights that of the 20 existing schools in the area, 18 are under religious patronage (16 are Catholic, one is Church of Ireland, one is Muslim) and two are multi-denominational under the patronage of Educate Together.

31 The Department’s report concludes that:-

‘Given that the D7 ETNS is a multi-denominational school, the additional eight classes in addition to providing for the demographic need will provide for an additional choice for parents of co-educational, multi-denominational schooling.

The Department’s priority is to ensure that there is sufficient school accommodation to meet projected pupil enrolment increases into the future. It is considered that this can be best achieved in the Cabra/Phibsborough/Dublin 7 area by the development of the Dublin 7 Educate Together National School to 24 classrooms.’

MH11049SR 24 Dublin 7(D7) Cabra/Phibsborough Catchment

5 CONCLUSIONS

1 It is clear that the population trends in the overall Cabra/Phibsborough/Dublin 7 catchment area has consistently shown an increase over the period 2002-2011. Within the catchment the key drivers of population growth are the Pelletstown area near Ashtown station and the Electoral districts in proximity to the Grangegorman Campus. Elsewhere in older established neighbourhoods, the population has declined, but the overall trend is positive and higher (nearly double) than that for the overall Dublin City area.

2 The religious denomination of an area is a key driver of school preference. There is greater diversity in the religious (and non-religious) in Dublin City and the environs of the D7ETNS, compared to the State. For the State the percentage of Catholics was 84% compared to 75% for Dublin City, 69.2% for the D7 catchment, and 79.4% in the wider catchment. For the core catchment the percentage of Catholics was 59.1%. The proportion of other stated religions at 18.8% for the core catchment was over twice the national average at 8.4%, while the percentage of no religion was recorded at 17.7% for the core catchment area nearly three times the total compared to the State at 5.9%.

3 For the State the overall trend in primary school enrolment numbers between 2005 and 2015 was an increase of 21.2%. Notwithstanding this increase, the actual number of schools remained relatively stable, with a slight fall of -0.6% over the same period with 3,157 primary schools in 2005 compared to 3,137 in 2015.

4 The overall trend nationally is for larger schools, with a significant decrease in the schools of 50-99 pupils which recorded a fall of 16% or 134 no. schools in that size range between 2010 and 2015. This compares to an increase of 68 no. schools in the 300-499 size range (a 21.9% increase) and an increase of 25 no. schools (or 26.9% of primary schools in the 500+ size range.

5 Single sex schools are generally in decline reducing by 71 in number (or 17%) between 2005 and 2015, while co-educational schools increased over the same period by 119 in number or 4.6%.

6 For the 2015/16 school year, 658 junior infants enrolled in primary schools in the Cabra/Phibsborough Dublin 7 area. For the 2016/17 school year, the projections indicate that up to 785 junior infants will be seeking places. This is an additional 127 junior infants over and above those enrolled for the 2015/16 school year. This represents a projected increase of 19.3%.

7 The overall enrolment numbers increased by 7.2% over 10 years for all schools. For all Catholic schools the numbers decreased by -1.7%, while the single sex Catholic schools recorded a decrease of -6.0%. In contrast the Co-Educational Catholic schools increased enrolment by 6.6%, while the number of other schools (Church of Ireland, Muslim and Multi- denominational), increased by 66.7% over the same period, albeit from a low base.

8 Given the religious profile of the Cabra/Phibsborough/Dublin 7 school planning area, it is anticipated that the existing trend away from single sex Catholic schools will continue. The

MH11049SR 25 Dublin 7(D7) Cabra/Phibsborough Catchment

religious profile of the area is more diverse than the national and City wide average. In light of this, it is considered that the traditional religious model, while still having an important place and choice for parents, that the patronage of schools reflects the belief system(s) of all sectors of society who do not have a religious affiliation or who wish not to send their children to a Catholic school.

9 In respect of demographic need, the Department of Education and Skills in its Capacity Report for the Cabra/Phibsborough/Dublin 7 school planning area specifically advises:

. Additional capacity is required at primary level to ensure there are sufficient primary school places for the children living in the area.

. The most recent projections based on the current school enrolment figures (2015/16) show that circa 42 additional classes will be required across the Cabra/Phibsborough/Dublin 7 school planning area from 2016 to 2019.

. Existing capacity in the Cabra/Phibsborough/Dublin 7 school planning area does not provide sufficient school places to meet the projected demand in the area (from 2016 to 2019). This capacity is made up of circa five classes in existing schools (arising from reduced enrolment), increased capacity of eight classes from the new primary school to open this year (2016), and up to three classes from the expansion of Glasnevin ETNS.

. Developments in adjacent school planning areas (Drumcondra/Marino/Dublin 1 area and the Sribblestown/Finglas West area) will not relieve pressure in the Cabra/Phibsborough/Dublin 7 school planning area.

10 Based on demographic reasons as set out above, the DES concludes ‘there is no question but that the additional eight classes in the Cabra/Phibsborough/Dublin 7 area will be required to meet the demand in that area.’

11 In addition to the demographic need, the Department's analysis of enrolments also highlights the clear trend away from single-sex and split junior/senior denominational schools to co-educational multi-denominational schools. It specifically advises of the 20 schools in the Cabra/Phibsborough/Dublin 7 school planning area, 18 are under religious patronage (16 are Catholic, one is Church of Ireland, one is Muslim) and two are multi•denominational under the patronage of Educate Together.

12 The DES concludes ”Given that the D7 ETNS is a multi­denominational school, the additional eight classes in addition to providing for the demographic need will provide for an additional choice for parents of co-educational, multi-denominational schooling.”

13 The DES’ overall conclusion advises that “The Department's priority is to ensure that there is sufficient school accommodation to meet projected pupil enrolment increases into the future. It is considered that this can be best achieved in the Cabra/Phibsborough/Dublin 7 area by the development of the Dublin 7 Educate Together National School to 24 classrooms.”

MH11049SR 26 Dublin 7(D7) Cabra/Phibsborough Catchment

14 In conclusion, following a review of population demographics and trends and the Department of Education and Skills recent capacity projections for the Cabra/Phibsborough/Dublin 7 area (which provides for a detailed and robust methodology for the allocation of scarce resources), it is clearly evident that the requirement for an additional 8 classes in the D7 Educate Together National School is justified and appropriate.

MH11049SR 27

APPENDIX A Department of Education and Skills Capacity Report

APPENDIX B Educate Together Background/Ethos

BACKGROUND TO EDUCATE TOGETHER ETHOS5

Educate Together National Schools are a specific type of state-funded primary school in Ireland. They are part of the National School system that was established in 1831 and which, together with the Special Schools, comprise all State-funded primary education in Ireland.

Where schools differ from each other is in their ‘ethos’. The ethos of a school describes its spirit and character. This is built upon its aims and objectives, its policies and procedures and should be reflected in all interactions within the school community. Thus, the ethos of a school impacts strongly on the kind of education delivered to its pupils.

The organisation became a company limited by guarantee in 1998. It is a registered school patron and has charitable status. Educate Together is the registered patron of 64 primary schools and a further 12 primary schools are in the Educate Together network. Educate Together is also a registered patron of three second-level schools and is a Trustee partner in respect of another second level school.6

The structure of an Educate together school differs in only one respect from the structure of other national schools. The role of the patron (which is carried out by the bishop in the traditional model) is occupied by a company limited by guarantee whose members comprise the supporters of the school in the local area. This membership generally consists of the parents, ex-parents and prospective parents of children in the school itself but would also include supporters from the general community. This company has charitable status and is governed by the Companies Acts which ensure that it is run in a fully accountable and democratic manner.

The aim is to provide schools which are:-

 Multi-denominational i.e. all children having equal rights of access to the school, and children of all social, cultural and religious backgrounds being equally respected;  Co-educational and committed to encouraging all children to explore their full range of abilities and opportunities;  Child centred in their approach to education;  Democratically run with active participation by parents in the daily life of the school, whilst positively affirming the professional role of the teachers.

The Educate Together concept outlines that ‘the fundamental driving concept of the above definitions is that of inclusion - that is - that children should be educated together in an atmosphere in which difference is specifically recognised, endorsed and welcomed.’

In addition this difference covers ethical background and preference, religious views, social and cultural roots, gender and physical and mental advantage.

5 ‘What is an Educate Together School?’ – Educate Together (2005) 6 Patronage Assessment Report to the New Schools Establishment Group Appendix C April 2016 Department of Education and Skills

The Educate Together patronage is very much as part of a complementary type of schooling, providing choice where there has been no choice.

Once a school opens itself up to the participation of parents, guardians, grandparents and the community, the ethos recognises that it has access to a wide and rich range of resources that would be impossible to provide by funding alone. This provides support to the teachers in the school and is considered to be of immense educational benefit to the children.

The Educate Together ethos promotes the democratic involvement of children in the school and operates effective Students’ Councils in primary schools.

About D7 Educate Together

Dublin 7 Educate Together National School opened in 1999 in temporary premises. In September 2009 the school moved to purpose-built accommodation on the Grangegorman site.

7. In September 2009 the school moved again, this time to a purpose-built temporary premises on the Grangegorman site.

The school's patron body is Educate Together and the school subscribes to the principles and ethos of the Educate Together model. The school is: multi-denominational, i.e., all children have equal right of access, and the social, racial, cultural and religious background of each child is respected. The school is also co-educational, child-centred and democratic in character.

One of the key principals of the Educate Together Charter is its chid centred approach to education, democratically run with active participation by parents in the daily running of the school whilst positively affirming the professional role of the teachers, multi denominational i.e, all children have equal rights of access to the school and children of all social cultural and religious backgrounds are equally respected, co-educational, and committed to encouraging all children to explore their full range of abilities and opportunities. APPENDIX C Table Data from Department of Education and Skills Table 1 All Schools 5 and 10 Year Trends

10 10 2006/ Provisional 5 year 5 year Roll Number School Name 2011/12 year year Ethos Gender 07 2015/16 trend trend trend trend

STANHOPE ST - Senior 09932B 378 345 333 -45 -3.5% -11.9% CATHOLIC girls/Inf CONVENT 12 mixed

SCOIL NA MBRATHAR - Senior 16695E (Senior Boys)North 180 195 154 -26 CATHOLIC 41 -21.0% -14.4% boys Brunswick St

ST GABRIELS N S, - 20035H 246 156 128 -28 CATHOLIC Co-ed Cowper St 28 -17.9% -11.4%

1 CHURCH OF 14980Q GLASNEVIN N S 63 62 75 12 Co-ed 3 21.0% 19.0% IRELAND 10 10 2006/ Provisional 5 year 5 year Roll Number School Name 2011/12 year year Ethos Gender 07 2015/16 trend trend trend trend

ST BRIGIDS CONVENT, - 16577V 465 465 464 -1 CATHOLIC All girls Glasnevin -1 -0.2% -0.2%

St Vincent’s Primary 17214N 339 300 306 6 -33 2.0% -9.7% CATHOLIC All boys School, Glasnevin

Glasnevin Educate MULTI 20168D 152 228 230 2 78 0.9% 51.3% Co-ed Together NS DENOMINATIONAL

GAELSCOIL BHARRA, - 20047O 218 215 213 -5 -0.9% -2.3% CATHOLIC Co-ed Cabra -2 10 10 2006/ Provisional 5 year 5 year Roll Number School Name 2011/12 year year Ethos Gender 07 2015/16 trend trend trend trend

CHRIST THE KING - 16988T 113 86 86 -27 CATHOLIC All boys Boys N S, Cabra 0 0.0% -23.9%

CHRIST THE KING - Senior 16989V 96 96 88 -8 CATHOLIC Senior Girls N S, Cabra -8 -8.3% -8.3% girls

CHRIST THE KING 1 Junior 17459U 63 62 63 0 1.6% 0.0% CATHOLIC Infant Girls, Cabra 1 girls

10 10 2006/ Provisional 5 year 5 year Roll Number School Name 2011/12 year year Ethos Gender 07 2015/16 trend trend trend trend

ST CATHERINE’S - Senior 17465P 173 154 -33 CATHOLIC SENIOR GIRLS, Cabra 187 19 -11.0% -25.8% girls

ST CATHERINES 8 17466R INFANT SCHOOL, 128 128 215 87 CATHOLIC Co-ed 7 68.0% 68.0% Cabra

NORTH DUBLIN 20152L MUSLIM NS 160 203 238 35 78 17.2% 48.8% MUSLIM Co-ed PROJECT,Cabra

SCOIL MHUIRE Girls 1 17367P 438 410 428 -10 CATHOLIC All girls NS, Navan Rd 8 4.4% -2.3%

S N EOIN BOSCO Boys - 17912O 426 399 367 -59 CATHOLIC All boys NS, Navan Rd 32 -8.0% -13.8%

10 10 2006/ Provisional 5 year 5 year Roll Number School Name 2011/12 year year Ethos Gender 07 2015/16 trend trend trend trend

S N EOIN BOSCO 5 Junior 18632N 222 190 247 25 CATHOLIC Junior Boys , Navan Rd 7 30.0% 11.3% boys

17464N FIONNBARRA NAOFA 2 115 109 133 18 22.0% 15.7% CATHOLIC All boys Boys N.S., Cabra 4

ST PETERS NS, 3 20091R 366 406 445 79 CATHOLIC Co-ed Phibsborough 9 9.6% 21.6%

DUBLIN 7 EDUCATE 1 MULTI 20131D 213 308 437 224 Co-ed TOGETHER NS, 29 41.9% 105.2% DENOMINATIONAL

Total 4,568 4,536 4804 268 326 5.9% 7.2%

Source: Department of Education and Skills

Table 2 Catholic Schools 5 and 10 Year Trends

5 10 Roll 2006/0 Provision 5 year 10 year School Name 2011/12 year year Ethos Gender Number 7 al 2015/16 trend trend trend trend

STANHOPE ST - Senior 09932B 378 345 333 -45 -3.5% -11.9% CATHOLIC girls/Inf CONVENT 12 mixed

SCOIL NA MBRATHAR - Senior 16695E (Senior Boys)North 180 195 154 -26 CATHOLIC 41 -21.0% -14.4% boys Brunswick St

ST GABRIELS N S, - 20035H 246 156 128 -28 CATHOLIC Co-ed Cowper St 28 -17.9% -11.4%

ST BRIGIDS - 16577V 465 465 464 -1 CATHOLIC All girls CONVENT, Glasnevin 1 -0.2% -0.2%

5 10 Roll 2006/0 Provision 5 year 10 year School Name 2011/12 year year Ethos Gender Number 7 al 2015/16 trend trend trend trend

ST. VINCENT'S 17214N PRIMARY 339 300 306 6 -33 2.0% -9.7% CATHOLIC All boys SCHOOLGlasnevin,

GAELSCOIL BHARRA, - 20047O 218 215 213 -5 CATHOLIC Co-ed Cabra 2 -0.9% -2.3%

CHRIST THE KING 16988T 113 86 86 0 -27 CATHOLIC All boys Boys N S, Cabra 0.0% -23.9%

CHRIST THE KING - Senior 16989V 96 96 88 -8 CATHOLIC Senior Girls N S, Cabra 8 -8.3% -8.3% girls

5 10 Roll 2006/0 Provision 5 year 10 year School Name 2011/12 year year Ethos Gender Number 7 al 2015/16 trend trend trend trend

CHRIST THE KING Junior 17459U 63 62 63 1 0 CATHOLIC Infant Girls, Cabra 1.6% 0.0% girls

ST CATHERINE’S - Senior 17465P 173 154 -33 CATHOLIC SENIOR GIRLS, Cabra 187 19 -11.0% -25.8% girls

ST CATHERINES 8 17466R INFANT SCHOOL, 128 128 215 87 CATHOLIC Co-ed 7 68.0% 68.0% Cabra

SCOIL MHUIRE Girls 1 17367P 438 410 428 -10 CATHOLIC All girls NS, Navan Rd 8 4.4% -2.3%

S N EOIN BOSCO - 17912O 426 399 367 -59 CATHOLIC All boys Boys NS, Navan Rd 32 -8.0% -13.8%

5 10 Roll 2006/0 Provision 5 year 10 year School Name 2011/12 year year Ethos Gender Number 7 al 2015/16 trend trend trend trend

S N EOIN BOSCO 5 Junior 18632N 222 190 247 25 CATHOLIC Junior Boys , Navan Rd 7 30.0% 11.3% boys

FIONNBARRA NAOFA 2 17464N 115 109 133 18 CATHOLIC All boys Boys N.S., Cabra West 4 22.0% 15.7%

ST PETERS NS, 3 20091R 366 406 445 79 CATHOLIC Co-ed Phibsborough 9 9.6% 21.6%

Total 3,980 3,735 3,824 89 -66 2.4% -1.7% Table 3 Single Sex Catholic Schools 5 and 10 Year Trends

10 5 Roll Provisional 5 year 10 year School Name 2006/07 2011/12 year year Ethos Gender Number 2015/16 trend trend trend trend

SCOIL NA MBRATHAR Senior 16695E (Senior Boys) North 180 195 154 -41 -26 CATHOLIC -21.0% -14.4% boys Brunswick St

ST BRIGIDS 16577V 465 465 464 -1 -1 -0.2% -0.2% CATHOLIC All girls CONVENT, Glasnevin

ST. VINCENT'S 17214N PRIMARY 339 300 306 6 -33 2.0% -9.7% CATHOLIC All boys SCHOOL,Glasnevin

CHRIST THE KING 16988T 113 86 86 0 -27 CATHOLIC All boys Boys N S, Cabra 0.0% -23.9%

10 5 Roll Provisional 5 year 10 year School Name 2006/07 2011/12 year year Ethos Gender Number 2015/16 trend trend trend trend

CHRIST THE KING Senior 16989V 96 96 88 -8 -8 -8.3% -8.3% CATHOLIC Senior Girls N S, Cabra girls

CHRIST THE KING 17459U 63 62 63 1 0 CATHOLIC Junior girls Infant Girls, Cabra 1.6% 0.0%

ST CATHERINE’S Senior 17465P 128 173 154 -19 -33 CATHOLIC SENIOR GIRLS, Cabra -11.0% -25.8% girls

SCOIL MHUIRE Girls 17367P 438 410 428 18 -10 CATHOLIC All girls NS, Navan Rd 4.4% -2.3%

S N EOIN BOSCO Boys 17912O 426 399 367 -32 -59 CATHOLIC All boys NS, Navan Rd -8.0% -13.8%

10 5 Roll Provisional 5 year 10 year School Name 2006/07 2011/12 year year Ethos Gender Number 2015/16 trend trend trend trend

S N EOIN BOSCO Junior 18632N 222 190 247 57 25 CATHOLIC Junior Boys , Navan Rd 30.0% 11.3% boys

FIONNBARRA NAOFA 17464N 115 109 133 24 18 CATHOLIC All boys Boys N.S., Cabra West 22.0% 15.7%

Total 2,585 2,485 2,490 5 -154 0.2% -6.0%

Source: Department of Education and Skills

Table 4 Co-Educational Catholic Schools 5 and 10 Year Trends

5 Roll Provision 10 year 5 year 10 year School Name 2006/07 2011/12 year Ethos Gender Number al 2015/16 trend trend trend trend

STANHOPE ST - Senior 09932B 378 345 333 -45 -3.5% -11.9% CATHOLIC girls/Inf CONVENT 12 mixed

ST GABRIELS N - 20035H 246 156 128 -28 CATHOLIC Co-ed S, Cowper St 28 -17.9% -11.4%

GAELSCOIL - 20047O 218 215 213 -5 CATHOLIC Co-ed BHARRA, Cabra 2 -0.9% -2.3%

ST CATHERINES 17466R INFANT 128 128 215 87 87 68.0% 68.0% CATHOLIC Co-ed SCHOOL, Cabra

5 Roll Provision 10 year 5 year 10 year School Name 2006/07 2011/12 year Ethos Gender Number al 2015/16 trend trend trend trend

ST PETERS NS, 20091R 366 406 445 39 79 CATHOLIC Co-ed Phibsborough 9.6% 21.6%

Total 1336 1,250 1334 84 88 6.7% 6.6%

Source: Department of Education and Skills

Table 5 Non Catholic Schools 5 and 10 Year Trends

5 10 Roll Provisio 5 year 10 year School Name 2006/07 2011/12 year year Ethos Gender Number nal 2015/16 trend trend trend trend

CHURCH OF 14980Q GLASNEVIN N S 63 62 75 13 12 Co-ed 21.0% 19.0% IRELAND

GLASNEVIN 2 MULTI 20168D EDUCATE 152 228 230 78 Co-ed 2 0.9% 51.3% DENOMINATIONAL TOGETHER NS

NORTH DUBLIN 20152L MUSLIM NS 160 203 238 35 78 17.2% 48.8% MUSLIM Co-ed PROJECT

DUBLIN 7 MULTI 20131D EDUCATE 213 308 437 129 224 Co-ed 41.9% 105.2% DENOMINATIONAL TOGETHER NS, Total 588 801 980 179 392 22.3% 66.7%

Source: Department of Education and Skills

APPENDIX D Increase in Enrolments

Increase in Enrolment 2013 to 2019

Total Enrolment for Each Year Actual for Actual for No. Actual for Sep-15 Projections Projections Projections Projections Sep-13 Sep-14 Catchment Area Schools for Sep-16 for Sep-17 for Sep-18 for Sep-19 Ballyfermot_D10 12 2,938 2,965 2,961 3,013 3,130 3,245 3,323 Cabra_Phibsboro_D7 20 4,765 4,775 4,804 5,054 5,386 5,696 5,931 Castleknock_D15 4 1,839 1,826 1,836 1,942 2,034 2,095 2,219 Drumcondra_Marino_Dublin1 24 4,387 4,463 4,576 4,967 5,413 5,845 6,253 Dublin_8 15 2,927 3,094 3,156 3,329 3,561 3,775 3,948 FinglasEast_BallymunD11 9 2,479 2,573 2,598 2,688 2,764 2,820 2,835 Scribblestown_FinglasWest 10 1,656 1,692 1,811 1,865 1,916 1,962 1,978 Whitehall_SantryD9 10 2,333 2,360 2,422 2,574 2,752 2,885 3,000

Difference Total Enrolment Sept13 to Sept14 to Total Inc 13 Catchment Area No. Schools14 15 Sept15 to 16 Sept16 to 17 Sept17 to 18 Sept18 to 19 to 19 Ballyfermot_D10 12 27 -4 52 118 115 78 385 Cabra_Phibsboro_D7 20 10 29 250 332 310 234 1,166 Castleknock_D15 4 -13 10 106 91 61 124 380 Drumcondra_Marino_Dublin1 24 76 113 391 446 432 408 1,866 Dublin_8 15 167 62 173 232 213 174 1,021 FinglasEast_BallymunD11 9 94 25 90 75 57 15 356 Scribblestown_FinglasWest 10 36 119 54 51 46 15 322 Whitehall_SantryD9 10 27 62 152 178 133 115 667

Junior Infant Enrolments by year Difference Junior Infants J Inf S No. Actual Actual e Sept17 Sept18 Total Inc Catchment Area Schools 2013 2014 Actual 2015 Sept13 to 14 Sept14 to 15 Sept15 to 16 p to 18 to 19 13 to 19 Ballyfermot_D10 12 432 403 405 -29 2 -14 # -20 10 1 Cabra_Phibsboro_D7 20 717 661 658 -56 -3 127 # -74 19 105 Castleknock_D15 4 233 229 237 -4 8 93 # -32 62 117 Drumcondra_Marino_Dublin1 24 722 710 712 -12 2 189 # -22 -28 173 Dublin_8 15 426 484 476 58 -8 85 # 8 -31 106 FinglasEast_BallymunD11 9 340 350 338 10 -12 42 # -16 -24 -3 Scribblestown_FinglasWest 10 237 244 312 7 68 -71 # -7 0 -6 Whitehall_SantryD9 10 350 329 354 -21 25 94 # -43 20 70 APPENDIX E Department of Education and Skills Mapping

SCOIL NAOMH LUCAIS Malahide Dunboyne Legend Gaelscoil an Chuilinn Portmarnock Powerstown Educate Together National School Swords Belmayne Educate Together National SchoolSt. Francis of Assisi National School PP_Feeders_Master_Mar2014 Whitehall_SantryD9 Mulhuddart_Tyrrelstown_D15 Portmarnock Dublin 7 Educate TogetherLADYSWELL National N School S FinglasEast_BallymunD11 ST FRANCIS SENIOR N S DARNDALE NS JUNIOR Dublin_7_ET_5kmBufferSACRED HEART N S ST JOSEPHS SENIOR N SST JOSEPHS JNR Darndale_D17 BlanchardstownVge_D15 ST JOSEPHS NS SCOIL BHRIDE Donaghmede_Howth_D13 Dublin 7 ETNS 2kmBuffer CORDUFF N S GAELSCOIL CHOLMCILLEST PAULS SEN NS ST KEVINS JUNIOR N S SCOIL MHUIRE SIN ST JOSEPHS G N S HOLY SPIRIT B N S Primary_Schools_PROV_Breakdown_by_Standard_6May2016 ST KEVINS B N S SCOIL NAIS IDE CAILINI BURROWS N S ST CIARANS N S SN AN SPIORAID NAIOMH CCROMCASTLE GREEN B N S Junior Infants 2016 Scribblestown_FinglasWest ST JOHN OF GOD N SST MONICAS N S MHUIRE IOSEF JUNIOR ST CANICES G N S ST PHILIP THE APOSTLE JUNIOR N S S N AN PHAROISTE ST FIACHRAS SEN N S SCOIL EOIN ST CANICES B N S SN OILIBHEIR ST BRIGIDS INFANT N S ST DAVIDS N S GAELSCOIL MIDE S N NAOMH FEARGAL SCOIL BHREANDAIN SCOIL BRIDE C SCOIL NEASAIN ST FINTANS NS SCOIL BRIDE B ST MALACHYS NS S N CAITRIONA C NORTH BAY EDUCATE TOGETHER NS S N NAOMH MOCHTA SN NAOMH FINNINST OLIVER PLUNKETT N S ST BRIGIDS CONVENT N SSCOIL AINE CNAISCOIL IDE ST FRANCIS XAVIER J N S SCOIL THOMAIS Pelletstown Educate Together NS ST BRIGIDS CONVENT SCOIL ASSAIM B SCOIL CHIARAIN ST BRIGIDS MXD N S SCOIL MOBHI SCOIL NAISUNTA CHNUACHA GLASNEVIN N S ST BRIGIDS BOYS N S SCOIL MHUIRE GNS Scoil Choilm Community NS DRUMCONDRA N S Carpenterstown_D15 ST PATRICKS NS S N EOIN BOSCO BUACH ST PATRICKS N SCHOOL S N NA LANAI GLASA ST MARYS N S Castleknock_D15 CHRIST THE KING I GGAELSCOIL BHARRA ST PETERS NS HOWTH RD MXD N S Killester_Raheny_Clontarf SCOIL MHUIRE CHRIST THE KING G N SSCOIL UI CHONAILL GARDINER STREET CONVENT RUTLAND STREET N S Palmerstown_Ronanstown_D20_22 ST GABRIELS N S Cabra_Phibsboro_D7 SCOIL CHAOIMHIN SCOIL LORCAIN BSCOIL BRIDE C SCOIL NA MBRATHAR Drumcondra_Marino_Dublin1 GAELSCOIL NAOMH PADRAIG Text ST PATRICKS NS CENTRAL INFS SCHOOLCITY QUAY BOYS N S GAELSCOIL EISCIR RIADA BAINRION NA N-AINGAL 2CHAPELIZOD N S Dublin_8 GAELSCOIL INSE CHORST AUDOENS NS NAOMH PADRAIG BOYS ST MICHAELS NSST RAPHAELS NS ST PATRICKS GIRLS NS Lucan ST MARYS SEN N S INCHICORE NS ST MARYS JUNIOR N S ST GABRIELS NS ST PATRICKS SCOIL NA MBRATHAR Star of the Sea Lucan East ETNS ST ULTANS NS NEILLSTOWN N S S N MUIRE GAN SMAL B SCOIL TREASA NAOFA SCOIL MUIRE ST PETER APOSTLE SEN NS GOLDENBRIDGE CONVENT JOHN SCOTTUS NS OUR LADY OF WAYSIDE N S SCOIL IOSAGAIN Ballyfermot_D10 SCOIL MHUIRE OGH 1 Dublin2_Dublin4 SCOIL MHUIRE MUIRE NA DEA COIRLE G MUIRE OG 2 LORETO CON Shellybanks Educate Together National School TALBOT SENIOR NS S N NAOMH CILLIN RANELAGH MULTI DENOM NS ST RONANS N S S N BRIGHDE S N NAOMH EOIN SCOIL COLM GAELSCOIL NA CAMOIGE ST AGNES N S SANDFORD N S GAELSCOIL MOLOGA ST MARYS CENTRAL N S SCOIL NAOMH IDESCOIL MHUIRE HAROLDS CROSS N S RATHGAR N S SACRED HEART N S ST DAMIENS NS Dublin6_Clonskeagh Booterstown_Blackrock Clondalkin_D22 PRESENTATION PRIMARY SCHOOL Dolphin's Barn_D12 ST JOSEPHS BOYS N S BOOTERSTOWN BOYS HOLY SPIRIT SENIOR PRIMARY SCHOOL SCOIL NAISIUNTA STRATFORD ST KILLIANS JUNIOR SCHOOLST KILIANS SENIOR N S HOLY SPIRIT JUNIOR PRIMARY SCHOOL ISLAMIC NATIONAL SCHOOL ST PIUS X G N S OUR LADYS N S BOOTERSTOWN N S ST KEVINS GIRLSST KEVINS BOYS Dublin_6w ST PIUS X N S BOYS Our lady's Grove Primary School CARYSFORT NS Dunlaoghaire BELGARD HEIGHTS N SBISHOP SHANAHAN NS BISHOP GALVIN NS Rathfarnham Tallaght S N SAN TREASA SCOIL LORCAIN SCOIL IOSA SCOIL MHUIRE BOYS SCOIL NA AINGEAL CLOCHAR SAN DOMINIC RATHFARNHAM PARISH N S

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