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BMJ Confidential: For Review Only Sodium-Glucose Transport Protein 2 (SGLT-2) inhibitors and Glucagon-Like Peptide-1 (GLP-1) receptor agonists for type 2 diabetes: A systematic review and network meta-analysis of randomised controlled trials Journal: BMJ Manuscript ID BMJ-2020-058523 Article Type: Research BMJ Journal: BMJ Date Submitted by the 17-May-2020 Author: Complete List of Authors: Palmer, Suetonia; University of Otago Christchurch, Medicine Tendal, Britta; Monash University, School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine Mustafa, Reem; University of Kansas School of Medicine, Internal Medicine, Division of Nephrology and Hypertension; McMaster University, Department of Health Research Methods, Evidence and Impact Vandvik, Per; Innlandet Hospital Trust-divisjon Gjøvik, Department of Medicine Li, Sheyu; Sichuan University, Department of Endocrinology and Metabolism, West China Hospital Hao, Qiukui; Sichuan University West China Hospital; McMaster University Department of Medicine, Department of Health Research Methods, Evidence and Impact Tunnicliffe, David; The University of Sydney, School of Public Health Ruospo, Marinella; University of Bari, Department of Emergency and Transplantation Natale, Patrizia; The University of Sydney, School of Public Health Saglimbene, Valeria; University of Bari, Department of Emergency and Organ Transplantation Nicolucci, Antonio; Center for Outcomes Research and clinical Epidemiology (CORESEARCH) Johnson, David; Translational Research Institute Tonelli, Marcello; University of Calgary, Cumming School of Medicine Rossi, Maria; Center for Outcomes Research and clinical Epidemiology Badve, Sunil; The George Institute for Global Health, UNSW Sydney; Department of Renal Medicine, St George Hospital Nadeau-Fredette, Annie-Claire; Universite de Montreal Faculte de medecine Burke, Michael; University of Queensland; Princess Alexandra Hospital, Faruque, Labib; University of Alberta Lloyd, Anita; University of Alberta Ahmad, Nasreen; University of Alberta Liu, Yuanchen; University of Alberta, Department of Medicine Tiv, Sophanny; University of Alberta Millard, Tanya; Monash University, School of Public Health and https://mc.manuscriptcentral.com/bmj Page 1 of 244 BMJ 1 2 3 Preventive Medicine 4 Gagliardi, Lucia; The Queen Elizabeth Hospital, Endocrine and Diabetes 5 Unit 6 Kolanu, Nithin; Garvan Institute of Medical Research 7 Barmanray, Rahul; The University of Melbourne, Department of Medicine 8 McMorrow, Rita; The University of Melbourne, Department of General 9 Practice Raygoza Cortez, Ana Karina; Universidad Autonoma de Nuevo Leon 10 Confidential:White, Heath; For Monash University Review Only 11 Chen, Xiangyang; Sichuan University 12 Zhou, Xu; Chinese evidence-based medicine center, West China hospital, 13 Sichuan University 14 Liu, Jiali; West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chinese Evidence- 15 based Medicine Center 16 Flores Rodriguez, Andrea; Universidad Autonoma de Nuevo Leon Díaz Gonzalez-Colmenero , Alejandro; Universidad Autonoma de Nuevo 17 Leon 18 Wang, Yang; Sichuan University 19 Li, Ling; West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chinese Evidence- 20 based Medicine Center 21 Suntanto, Surya; The University of Sydney, Charles Perkins Centre 22 Research and Education Hub Cesar Solis, Ricardo; Universidad Autonoma de Nuevo Leon 23 Díaz-González , Fernando; Universidad Autonoma de Nuevo Leon 24 Walsh, Michael; St. Joseph's Hospital, Division of Nephrology 25 Guyatt, Gordon; McMaster University 26 Strippoli, Giovanni; Universita degli Studi di Bari Dipartimento 27 Emergenza e Trapianti di Organi 28 diabetes, network meta-analysis, patient outcomes, mortality, SGLT-2 Keywords: 29 inhibitors, GLP-1 receptor agonists 30 31 32 33 Note: The following files were submitted by the author for peer review, but cannot be converted to PDF. 34 You must view these files (e.g. movies) online. 35 Appendix 2 SGLT2-I and GLP1RA NMA_2020.05.11.xlsx 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 https://mc.manuscriptcentral.com/bmj BMJ Page 2 of 244 1 2 3 4 Sodium-Glucose Transport Protein 2 (SGLT-2) inhibitors and Glucagon-Like Peptide- 5 6 1 (GLP-1) receptor agonists for type 2 diabetes: A systematic review and network meta- 7 8 analysis of randomised controlled trials 9 10 11 Authors 12 Confidential: For Review Only 13 Suetonia C. Palmer, nephrologist and professor1, Britta Tendal, living guidelines program 14 15 manager2 Reem A. Mustafa, nephrologist and methodologist3,4, Per Olav Vandvik, 16 17 18 physician and methodologist5, Sheyu Li, diabetologist and research fellow6,7, Qiukui Hao, 19 20 physician and visiting scholar8, David Tunnicliffe, research fellow9, Marinella Ruospo, 21 22 research fellow10, Patrizia Natale, PhD candidate9, Valeria Saglimbene, research fellow10, 23 24 25 Antonio Nicolucci, diabetologist and professor11, David W. Johnson, nephrologist12, 26 27 Marcello Tonelli, nephrologist13, Maria Chiara Rossi, epidemiologist11, Sunil V. Badve, 28 29 nephrologist14 Yeoungjee Cho, nephrologist12, Annie-Claire Nadeau-Fredette, 30 31 32 nephrologist15, Michael Burke, nephrologist16, Labib I Faruque, clinical assistant17, Anita 33 34 Lloyd, researcher17, Nasreen Ahmad, study coordinator17, Yuanchen Liu, researcher17, 35 36 Sophanny Tiv, health informatics programmer17, Tanya Millard, research fellow2, Lucia 37 38 Gagliardi, endocrinology specialist18, Nithin Kolanu, endocrinology trainee19, Rahul D 39 40 41 Barmanray, endocrinologist and PhD candidate20, Rita McMorrow, general practitioner and 42 43 PhD candidate21, Ana Karina Raygoza Cortez, research trainee22, Heath White, senior 44 45 research officer2, Xiangyang Chen, research fellow6, Xu Zhou, lecturer23, Jiali Liu, 46 47 48 researcher24, Andrea Flores Rodríguez, research trainee22, Alejandro Díaz González- 49 50 Colmenero, research trainee22 Yang Wang, researcher25, Ling Li, assistant professor24, 51 52 Surya Sutanto, research scientist26, Ricardo Solis, researcher22 Fernando Díaz González, 53 54 55 research trainee22 Michael T Walsh, nephrologist27 Gordon Guyatt,professor4, Giovanni 56 57 F.M. Strippoli, professor10 58 59 60 1 https://mc.manuscriptcentral.com/bmj Page 3 of 244 BMJ 1 2 3 Affiliations 4 5 6 1 Department of Medicine, University of Otago, Christchurch, New Zealand 7 2 School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, Australia 8 3 Department of Internal Medicine, Division of Nephrology and Hypertension, University of 9 Kansas, Kansas City, USA 10 4 Department of Health Research Methods, Evidence and Impact, McMaster University, 11 Hamilton, Canada 12 5 InstituteConfidential: of Health and Society, University For ofReview Oslo, Norway Only 13 14 6 Department of Endocrinology and Metabolism, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, 15 China 16 7 Ninewells Hospital, University of Dundee 17 8 The Center for Gerontology and Geriatrics, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, China 18 9 Sydney School of Public Health, The University of Sydney, Sydney, Australia 19 10 Department of Emergency and Transplantation, University of Bari, Bari, Italy 20 11 Center for Outcomes Research and Clinical Epidemiology (CORESEARCH), Pescara, Italy 21 22 12 Department of Nephrology, Division of Medicine, University of Queensland at Princess 23 Alexandra Hospital, Woolloongabba, Australia 24 13 Cumming School of Medicine, University of Calgary, Calgary, Canada 25 14 The George Institute for Global Health, Sydney Australia 26 15 Department of Nephrology, Hôpital Maisonneuve-Rosemont, Montréal, Canada 27 16 Mater Private Clinic, Brisbane, Australia 28 29 17 Department of Nephrology, Faculty of Medicine and Dentistry, University of Alberta, 30 Edmonton, Alberta, Canada 31 18 Endocrine and Diabetes Unit, The Queen Elizabeth Hospital, Woodville, Australia 32 19 Garvan Institute of Medical Research, Sydney, Australia 33 20 Department of Medicine, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia 34 21 Department of General Practice and Primary Health Care, University of Melbourne 35 22 Plataforma INVEST Medicina UANL-KER Unit Mayo Clinic (KER Unit Mexico), 36 37 Universidad Autonoma de Nuevo Leon, Monterrey 64460, Mexico 38 23 Evidence-based Medicine Research Center, Jiangxi University of Traditional Chinese 39 Medicine, Nanchang, China 40 24 Chinese Evidence-based Medicine Center and Cochrane China Center, West China Hospital, 41 Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan, China 42 25 West China School of Medicine, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China 43 26 Faculty of Medicine and Health, Charles Perkins Centre, The University of Sydney, Sydney, 44 45 Australia 46 27 Department of Nephrology, Division of Medicine, McMaster University, Hamilton, Canada 47 48 49 50 Corresponding author: 51 52 Professor Giovanni FM Strippoli, MD PhD 53 Department of Emergency and Organ Transplantation 54 University of Bari 55 Piazza Giulio CESARE, 70124 56 57 Bari 58 Italy 59 [email protected] 60 2 https://mc.manuscriptcentral.com/bmj BMJ Page 4 of 244 1 2 3 Word count for text: 3684 4 5 Word count for abstract: 466 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Confidential: For Review Only 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 3 https://mc.manuscriptcentral.com/bmj Page 5 of 244 BMJ 1 2 3 What is already known on this topic 4 5 6 Although trial results conflict, sodium glucose transporter 2 (SGLT-2) inhibitors and 7 8 glucagon-like peptide-1 (GLP-1) receptor agonists likely reduce cardiovascular and 9 10 kidney disease when added