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3G, 4G ¿Donde Está La Región Americana?

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3G, 4G ¿Donde Está La Región Americana? 3G, 4G ¿Donde está la región americana? FORO REGIONAL PARA LAS AMÉRICAS: SISTEMAS IMT—TECNOLOGÍA, EVOLUCIÓN E IMPLEMENTACIÓN CIUDAD DE PANAMÁ, 18 a19 de AGOSTO, 2014 4G Americas Board of Governors www.4gamericas.org Latin America & Caribbean Mobile Technology Market Shares 725 Million Total Mobile Connections CDMA 1% 9.8 Million HSPA 32% 232 Million GSM 65% iDEN 472 Million 1% 7.5 Million LTE 0.5% 4.2 Million Source: Informa Telecoms & Media, WCIS+, Aug 2014 Estimates Change in Technology Market Shares in Latin America & Caribbean (2Q2013 v. 2Q2014) % Market Share 600 75% 65% 2Q 2013 2Q 2014 500 400 (Voice) (Data) 300 33% 200Subscriptions (Millions) 12% 100 520 M 11 M 7 M 470 M 236 M 12 M 10 M 149 M 0 GSM HSPA/LTE CDMA iDEN Source: Informa Telecoms & Media, WCIS, June 2014 Estimates www.4GAmericas.org Changes in 3GPP Market Shares in Latin America & Caribbean (2Q2013 v. 2Q2014) GSM HSPA LTE 540 250 5 520 200 4 500 150 3 480 100 2 460 50 1 440 0 0 2Q 2013 2014 2Q Connections(Millions) 2Q 2013 2014 2013 2014 Source: Informa Telecoms & Media, 2Q 2014 Estimates 44 Networks LTE in Latin America & the Caribbean 18 Countries Movistar 1700/2100 AWS (as of 22 July 2014) México Telcel 1700/2100 AWS Antigua & Digicel* 700 MHz UNE 2500/2690 MHz Barbuda Claro 2500/2690 MHz Aruba SETAR 1800 MHz Colombia Movistar 1700/2100 AWS Bahamas BTC 700 MHz Tigo 1700/2100 AWS C&W Lime 700 MHz Cayman Islands Bolivia Entel, Tigo 700 MHz Digicel* 700 MHz Claro 2500/2690 MHz ICE/Kolbi 2600 MHz Nextel 1800 MHz Costa Rica Claro 1800 MHz Oi 2500/2690 MHz Movistar 1800 MHZ ON* 2500/2690 MHz Brazil Claro 1700/2100 AWS Sky Telecom* 2500/2690 MHz Dominican Orange 1800 MHz Republic Dominicana TIM 2500/2690 MHz Tricom 1900 MHz VIVO 2500/2690 MHz AT&T 1700/2100 AWS Claro 2500/2690 MHz Claro 700 MHz Chile Entel 2500/2690 MHz Puerto Rico Open Mobile 700 MHz Movistar 2500/2690 MHz Sprint 850/1900 MHz Ecuador CNT Mobile 1700/2100 AWS Personal 1900 MHz T-Mobile 1700/2100 AWS Paraguay VOX 1700/2100 AWS AT&T 1700/2100 AWS Movistar Virgin Islands 1700/2100 AWS Sprint 1900 MHz Peru Claro Band (MHz) Networks Band(MHz) Networks Antel 1700/2100 AWS *Indicates TDD Uruguay networks 700 8 1800 6 1700/2100 AWS (remainder FDD) Claro 850 / 1900 1 1700/2100 14 Venezuela Digitel 1800 MHz 1900 3 2500-2690 12 (Sources: Public announcements, regulatory entities) 1,889 Total (Includes FDD and TDD) Devices in LTE User Devices the Market 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 PC Femto-cells Modules Dongles Routers/ Smartphones Cameras Tablets Cards (13) Notebooks (133) (187) Personal (835) (1) (175) (1) (31) Hotspots (513) Source: Global mobile Suppliers Association, July 2014 www.4gamericas.org LTE Devices per Band LTE FDD Frequency Band Devices 1800 MHz Band 3 769 2600 MHz Band 7 740 LTE TDD 2100 MHz Band 1 544 Frequency Band Devices 800 MHz Band 20 467 2300 MHz Band 40 361 800/1800/2600 Tri-band 413 2600 MHz Band 38 360 AWS Band 4 405 1900 MHz Band 39 203 700 MHz Bands 12, 17 379 2600 MHz Band 41 183 850 MHz Band 5 345 3500 MHz Band 42,43 24 900 MHz Band 8 335 700 MHz Band 13 308 1900 MHz Band 2 220 1900 MHz Band 25 107 APT700 Band 28 33 Source: Global mobile Suppliers Association, July 2014 www.4gamericas.org Latin America & Caribbean Mobile Technology Forecast 2014-2019 845 900 Million 800 731 14% Million Millions 700 600 GSM 62% HSPA 500 75% LTE 400 CDMA 300 Others Others = iDEN, 200 TDMA & Analog 100 36% 11% - Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec 14 15 16 17 18 19 Source: Informa Telecoms & Media, WCIS+, Aug 2014 Estimates 9X Increase in Mobile Data Usage in Latin America 2013-2019 Mobile Data Growth by Device Type Smartphone Mobile PC/Router/Tablet 1400 1200 1000 800 From 53 petabytes to 600 463 petabytes 400 monthly, permonth Petabytes the majority from smartphones 200 0 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Source: Ericsson Mobility Report, Nov. 2013 www.4gamericas.org FROM 2020 MOBILE NETWORKS NEED TO BE READY TO COPE WITH THE 1000X DATA CHALLENGE Realistic traffic increase modeling (M2M/IoT traffic not considered) 10,000 Assumptions +50% per year Traffic 1,000 1000x volume per subscriber +25% per year 100 Total subscriber +10% per year base 10 Mobile reaching broadband 100% by 2020 penetration 1 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 Source: NSN, October 2013 www.4gamericas.org INCREASING SUPPORT & CAPACITY UP TO 1000x www.4gamericas.org Technology Evolution To LTE- EVOLVED Advanced EDGE DL: 1.89 Mbps EDGE UL: 947 kbps REL 9 HSPA+ REL 10 HSPA+ REL 11 HSPA+ REL 12 HSPA+ DL: 84 Mbps DL: 168 Mbps DL: 336 Mbps DL: 336 Mbps HSPA UL: 23 Mbps UL: 23 Mbps UL: 69 Mbps UL: 69 Mbps 10/10 MHz 20/10 MHz 40/10 MHz 40/10 MHz REL 9 LTE REL 10 LTE REL 11 LTE REL 12 LTE DL: 300 Mbps DL: 1.2 Gbps DL: 1.2 Gbps DL: > 1.2 Gbps LTE UL: 45 Mbps UL: 568 Mbps 20/20 MHz 40/40 MHz 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Throughputs rates are peak theoretical network rates for that technology release. Dates refer to expected initial commercial network deployment except 2011, which shows technologies that year. There are no public announcements of deployment of WiMAX Rel 1.5 nor IEEE 802.16m. X/Y MHz indicates X MHz used on the downlink and Y MHz used on the uplink. Source: Rysavy Research/4G Americas, 2013 www.4gamericas.org LATIN AMERICA SPECTRUM STATUS Percent of ITU recommendation • Reference point - requirement achieved, selected countries for 1300 MHz by 2015 indicated by the ITU (ITU-R M.2078) Brazil 39% 503 MHZ • Summary of Regional Situation: Chile 36% 465 MHz 3 markets are between 30%-40% of this goal, 6 are between 20%- Colombia 32% 395 MHz 30%, and the remainder are 23% 304 MHz between 10%-20%. Peru • Source: 4G Americas, Analysis of Mexico 23% 303 MHz ITU Spectrum Recommendations in the Latin American Region Argentina 15% 190 MHz (2013). Ecuador 14% 180 MHz 0% 50% 100% www.4gamericas.org 4G AMERICAS WHITE PAPERS Thank you! Bob Calaff Director, Latin America & Caribbean .
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