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DOCUMENT RESUME Symposium. Proceedings (Durham, New DOCUMENT RESUME ED 244 958 SP 024 825 TITLE The 1980 National. Outdoor Recreation Trends Symposium. Proceedings (Durham, New Hampshire, April 20-23, 1980). Volume II. General Technical Report NE-57. INSTITUTION Forest Service (DOA), Upper Darby, Pa. Northeastern Forest Experiment Station. PUB DATE Apr 80 NOTE 218p.; For Volume Iof the Proceedings, see SP 024 798. PUB TYPE Collected Works Conference Proceedings (021) -- Reports - Research/Technical (143) -- Information Analyses (070) EDRS PRICE MF01/PC09 Plus Postage. DESCRIPTORS Data Analysis; Futures (of Society); Industry; *Outdoor Activities; Public Support; *Recreation; Recreationists; Recreation Legislation; *Research Methodology; *Research Utilization; Social Indicators; *Trend Analysis IDENTIFIERS *Outdoor Recreation ABSTRACT This publication, volume 2 of 2, contains proceedings from a national symposium on recreation trends. Topics of the 28 papers in this volume include: industry sourcesof trend data, applied trend research, the use of trend data for planning, and trend measurement. Papers are arranged in seven sections: (1) Keynote Session; (2) Trends in Policy and Influence; (3) Trend Measurement Methodologies; (41 Trend Data for Recreation Planning; (5) Applied Trend Research; (6) Industry Sources of Trend Data; and !7) Recreation Trends--A Future Look. (JMK) *********************************************************************** * Reproductions supplied by EDRS are the best that can be made * * from the original document. * *********************************************************************** PROCEEDINGS 1980 National Outdoor Retreation Trends Syniposiurn VolumeII U.S. Department of Agriculture; Forest Service Northeastern Forest Experiment Station 370 Reed Road, Broomall, PA 19008 Sponsored by: Northeast Agricultural Experiment Stations, NE=I00 USDA Forest Service US DEPARTMENT NA I tuNAINsrtrortOF EDUCATION USDI Heritage Conservation f DUCA NON t,tttfb 0141 tithtAIitnv and Recreation Service ti ,t f Recreation Working Group, Society of American Foresters -- University of New Hampshire; Recreation and Parks Program In cooperation with: Clemson University Journal of Leisure Research Purdue Univer sity USDA, Forest Service General Technical Report NE 57 FOREWMID ...olumo I I of these proceedings contains course of the symposium, a small group of J wide select ion of papors presented nt.the participants chose to speculate on just what .Ho out door llocreat ion Trends Sympos some of the risks might be if we were suddenly It includes,in addition In papers not avail- faced with n world where all of the necessary ble for Volume 1,those papers presented trend measurement systems were in_place._ The durin,. the keynote sion, concurrent ses- consensus was that a number of undesirable re- sions; evening :;essions, and the e'osing actions could he readily predicted; rejection ses;ion. Concurrent ,Iession papers are --or challenging the data because of incon- clustered around tour topics: Trend Nens- sistencies and a lack of reprosentiVity; ir,:wnt ,gis; Trend Data for _ procrastim.tion--a paralysis of programs Odle Recreat len Plannin.,;; Industry Sources of decision makers await the latest in a series u0 A; and Appl ied Trend Research. of data; prostitutionthe use of data to justify more public programs rather than use The closing-session papers provide con- it for better plann ing; sanct-iic-at ionthe .idrable toad for thought about future establishment and growth of specialized elite directin ;in outdoor recreation trend re- decision makers to monitor an increasing array search. !'hest Lwo papers provide a balance of potentially relevant phenomena; and between tne need for trend f,eastirement for routinization-,Che complete reliance on_data profes.:i.ulal purposes andin the limitations resulting in the disappearance of a t i r , r i c H t e t trend : 7 1 . i LP; a muans for monitor- taking attitude on the part. of those who are i a I Change. paid to make difficult decisions. Throughout these proceedings it has been The positive aspecLs, we firmly believe; our 1 iri r.. prOMOte, provoke, stimulate of better data, better planning, and better Jnd, we hope. encourage the estabUshment of decisions easily outweigh :Al of these risks. new;d better data systems to monitor act iv- But the risks are there, and as we move in- efectively i all sectors of outdoor evitably in the direction of greater govern- rcrent on P took this approach knowing merit accountability, we need to be constantly tl,re -ir certain inherent risks; not having alert:to their emergence. In Jlundance of reliable trend indicators is /Len politically expedient way of con- in the public's business in outdoor rec- WILBUR F.LaPAGE, Chairman rent:ion. During an evening session in the Program Committee THE 1980 NATIONAL OUTD0OR RECREATION TRENDS SYMPOSIUM Herd at theNewEngland Center for Continuing Education University of New Hampshire Durham, New Hampshire April 20-23, 1980 SPONSORED BY Northeast AgrictIltural Experiment Stations; Project NE-100 USDA Forest Service; Northeastern Forest Experiment Station USDI; Heritage Conservation and Recreation Service Society of "etican Foresters, Recreation Working Group University of NQw Hampshire, Recreation and Parks Program PROGRAM COMMITTEE ADVISORS -- Wilbur F; LaPage R; Duane Lloyd Malcolm I; Bevin Earl Patric Robert D; Greenleaf Basil J; F; Mott Floyd L. NewOY Roland Robinson Gerald L. Cole Meg Maguire A; Robert Koch Robert McLellan Herbert E. EcheIbrger Barry Tindall Douglas M. Rnudsoll Hugo John Fred Knight CONCURRENT SESSIONS LOCAL ARRANGEMENTS Floyd L. Newby Herbert E; Echelbr,er Robert D; Greenleaf Douglas M; Knudso Herbert E. Echelberger Kenneth J; Hock Gus Zaso Marvin W; Kotke Lawrence A. Rondeau Mahmood Seyala Patricia C; Merrill COOPERATORS Clemson UniversitY, DeDartment of Recreationaud Park Administration JourtiaI of Leisure Research; NRPA Purdue University, YN-,epartment of Forestry and Natural Resources 4 CONTENTS KEYNOTE SESSION The dynamics of recreation participation: ski touring in Minnesota New Hampshire--an outdoor recreation trend trend leader Timothy B. Knopp; GBallman; and L. C. Merriam 69 c-eotgb T. HatiltOn Trends in the temporal distribution of RocreatloA trends: Indicators of park use environmental quality Robert E. Manning and Paula L. Rey Feciehter Cormier 81 Cnnvprging social trends--emerging Network analysis: a new tool for resource outdoor recreation issues Managers Carl Reldel Ruth H. Allen 89 TRENDS IN POLICY AND INFLUENCE Tni:ND DATA FOR RECREATION PLANNING Trends in outdoor recreation legislation Outdoor recreation trend research: making the possible probable ' George H. Siehl 15 Geoffrey Godbey 99 Trends in organizational memberships and lobbying Trends in federal land acquisition, protection strategies, and planning William R. Burch (Vol. 1) Warren Brown 103 Land management policy and prograw trends Social-psychological impli,-..itions for Darrell E. Lewis 19 recteation resource planning The U.S. Army Corps of Engineers Hardeep S. Bhullar, Alan R. recreation resource management Everson, and Scout L. Gunn 109 challenges Automatic, time-interval traffic counts Gerald T. Purvis 21 for recreation area management planning TREND MEASUREMENT METHODOLOGIES D. L. Erickson, C. J. Liu, and H. K. Cordell 115 A methodology for the systematic collection, storage; and retrieval of trend data Cross-country skiing trend data: for the U.S. Army Engineers recreation planning for participant needs program Floyd L. Newby and William D. Dennis B. Propst and Robert V. Abbey.. 25 Lilley 125 Forecasting trends in outdoor recreation A possible railroad-oriented scenario activities on a multi-state basis in Potomac River Basin planning Vineeht A; Stardino; Josef Schwalbe; George H. Siehl 135 and Marianne Beauregard 35 A simulation model for forecasting downhill APPLIED TREND RESEARCH ski participation Changes in recreation-oriented travel Daniel J. Stynes and Daniel M. in the northeast between 1972 and Spotts 55 1977 Gerald L. Cole 139 Trends in Allagash wilderness waterway uses Woodall Publishing Company, an important in the 1970's industry source of camping information Thomas J. Cieslinski 147 Curtis Fuller, Paul Foght, and Linda Profaizer 181 Asessing changes in the importance of tourism in t1, northeast Industry sources of trend data--skiing Tommy L. Brown 151 William F. Malcolm, Jr. 193 A method for explaining trends in river Trends in participation sports during the receation 1emand decade of the 70's George L. Peterson; David W. Robert J. Halstenrud 195 LiMe, and Dorothy H. Anderson 161 Trends in recreational vehicle traffic RECREATION TRENDS--A FUTURE LOOK in northeastern Minnesota Recreation trends--a future look "SO Arthur Nbrton, Karen Noyce, and what?--implications for the Thomas J. Wood 171 recreation profession" Roger A. Lancaster 203 INDUSTRY SOURCES OF TREND DATA Outdoov recreation trends in the 1980's Snowmobillng in the 1980's: continued '"So what?--implications for society" progress for a mature recreational activity Carlton S. Van Doren 207 William T. Jobe, Jr. 177 REGISTRANTS 215 6 NEW HAMPSHIRE AN OUTDOOR RECREATION TREND LEADER1 George T. Hamilton2 It seems appropriate (at least to me) that He went on to say that, a national symposium focusing on trends in_ outdoor recreation be held in the Granite State; "Recreation, however, is not the outdoors, a state which has played historically a role in but our reaction to it". the_evolution of_a variety of recreation acti- vities far out of proportion to its size and Well, nc matter how
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