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Review of the Meteorological Extremes in 2014 and 2015 in Croatia Tanja Renko DHMZ - Meteorological and Hydrological Service, Croatia

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Review of the Meteorological Extremes in 2014 and 2015 in Croatia Tanja Renko DHMZ - Meteorological and Hydrological Service, Croatia Review of the meteorological extremes in 2014 and 2015 in Croatia Tanja Renko DHMZ - Meteorological and Hydrological Service, Croatia Photo by Daniel Pavlinović Source : WMO ATLAS OF MORTALITY AND ECONOMIC LOSSES FROM WEATHER, CLIMATE AND WATER EXTREMES (1970–2012) Number of reported disasters Number of reported deaths by Reported economic losses by by decade by hazard type decade by hazard type (1971- decade by hazard type (1971- (1971- 2010) 2010) 2010) (in US$ bilion, adjusted to 2012) ECSS 2015, Wiener Neustadt, Austria, 14-18 September 2015 Europe • 1 352 reported disasters caused 149 959 deaths and US$ 375.7 billion in economic damages during the 1970–2012 period • floods (38 per cent) and storms (30 per cent) were the most reported causes of disasters • extreme temperatures led to the highest proportion of deaths (94 per cent), with 72 210 lives lost during the 2003 European heatwave and 55 736 during the 2010 heatwave in the Russian Federation • in contrast, floods and storms accounted for most of the economic losses during the period Source : WMO ATLAS OF MORTALITY AND ECONOMIC LOSSES FROM WEATHER, CLIMATE AND WATER EXTREMES (1970–2012) ECSS 2015, Wiener Neustadt, Austria, 14-18 September 2015 Croatia within Meteoalarm 8 regions • Wind • Rain • Snow/Ice • Thunderstorms • Extreme low temperature • Extreme high temperature • Low visibility/Fog ECSS 2015, Wiener Neustadt, Austria, 14-18 September 2015 Red warnings 2009 - 2015 Red warnings (July 2009 - March 2015) Red warnings (July 2009 - March 2015) snow-ice low thunderstorm Dubrovnik 7% temperature 8% 11% 6% Zagreb 11% rain Split 16% Osijek 12% 12% Karlovac high 10% temperature wind Rijeka 45% 18% 19% Gospic 8% Knin 17% 50 40 40 30 15 17 20 13 7 6 10 4 0 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 thunderstorm rain wind high-temperature low-temperature snow-ice Winter 2014 – freezing rain event DWD surface analysis Spring 2014 – catastrophic floods in SE Europe AT 500 (green) and MSLP (black) from ECMWF model overlaid on METEOSAT 10 10.8 µm image on 15 May 2014, 0600 UTC (source ePort) Map of flooded areas during May 2014 flood (source: Wikipedia) Warnings included only warnings about rain amount, Hydrological warnings were still not active... Only rain warnings ECSS 2015, Wiener Neustadt, Austria, 14-18 September 2015 Total rainfall amount (12.-18.05.2014.) 200 150 100 50 0 The difference in absolute height of water/flood wave at Jasenovac hydrological station (source Vujnović et al.) ECSS 2015, Wiener Neustadt, Austria, 14-18 September 2015 More than 60 people died, over 100.000 homes and structures were destroyed and thousands of livestock animals were killed. The water caused 3000 landslides in the area, but also exposed or moved many landmines left from 1990s war. ECSS 2015, Wiener Neustadt, Austria, 14-18 September 2015 Summer 2014 – 29/30 July source ePort DWD surface analysis source ePort ECSS 2015, Wiener Neustadt, Austria, 14-18 September 2015 400 intervention of 112 in Zadar region during the day rain: 29.7. 06 UTC - 30.7. 06 UTC (mm) Ist 294 72 mm/2h Silba 218 Zadar 101 Mali lošinj 94 Rab 92 Bakar 78 foto: Luka Grlanc / CROPIX MCC on 20th September MSG enhanced IR 10.8 μm lightning strikes (Linet) More about thisECSS case 2015, Wiener– poster Neustadt, 4: Austria, Šoljan, 14-18 September Mikuš 2015 Jurković, Renko Winter storm 30 January DWD surface analysis Forecasted wind and waves by ECMWF atmospheric pressure and wind speed photos by 112 Komiža photo by Daniel Pavlinović More aboutECSS 2015, this Wiener case Neustadt, – Austria,Strelec 14-18 SeptemberMahović 2015orals 92 See you in Pula, Croatia at ECSS2017 Thank you! Questions? Photo by Daniel Pavlinović WMO calendar 2016 ECSS 2015, Wiener Neustadt, Austria, 14-18 September 2015 • 2014-05-13 rain Knin • 2014-05-15 wind Osijek, Zagreb • 2014-07-30 rain Rijeka, Dubrovnik • 2014-07-30 thunderstorm Rijeka (bio je i Gospic, ali je na kraju smanjeno upozorenje na orange) • 2014-08-23 rain Split • 2014-09-01 thunderstorm Knin, Rijeka, Split, Dubrovnik • 2014-09-11 rain Gospic, Split, Knin, Dubrovnik • 2014-09-20 rain Rijeka, Split • 2014-10-15 rain Rijeka • 2014-10-22 wind Rijeka • 2014-12-28 wind Rijeka • 2014-12-28 snow-ice Knin (kasnije smanjeno na orange) • 2014-12-29 wind Split ECSS 2015, Wiener Neustadt, Austria, 14-18 September 2015 Osijek region 30 25 20 25 15 10 5 0 1 2 1 0 0 Karlovac region Gospić region 20 10 8 15 18 6 8 10 4 6 5 0 3 1 0 2 2 2 0 0 4 0 0 ECSS 2015, Wiener Neustadt, Austria, 14-18 September 2015 Rijeka region Split region 15 15 14 14 10 13 10 9 5 5 6 4 0 6 3 2 4 0 0 0 Knin region 40 30 34 20 10 3 2 0 0 2 0 ECSS 2015, Wiener Neustadt, Austria, 14-18 September 2015.
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