THE SCI-HUB EFFECT:SCI-HUB DOWNLOADS LEAD TO MORE ARTICLE CITATIONS Juan C. Correa⇤ Henry Laverde-Rojas Faculty of Business Administration Faculty of Economics University of Economics, Prague, Czechia Universidad Santo Tomás, Bogotá, Colombia
[email protected] [email protected] Fernando Marmolejo-Ramos Julian Tejada Centre for Change and Complexity in Learning Departamento de Psicologia University of South Australia Universidade Federal de Sergipe
[email protected] [email protected] Štepánˇ Bahník Faculty of Business Administration University of Economics, Prague, Czechia
[email protected] ABSTRACT Citations are often used as a metric of the impact of scientific publications. Here, we examine how the number of downloads from Sci-hub as well as various characteristics of publications and their authors predicts future citations. Using data from 12 leading journals in economics, consumer research, neuroscience, and multidisciplinary research, we found that articles downloaded from Sci-hub were cited 1.72 times more than papers not downloaded from Sci-hub and that the number of downloads from Sci-hub was a robust predictor of future citations. Among other characteristics of publications, the number of figures in a manuscript consistently predicts its future citations. The results suggest that limited access to publications may limit some scientific research from achieving its full impact. Keywords Sci-hub Citations Scientific Impact Scholar Consumption Knowledge dissemination · · · · Introduction Science and its outputs are essential in daily life, as they help to understand our world and provide a basis for better decisions. Although scientific findings are often cited in social media and shared outside the scientific community [1], their primary use is what we could call “scholar consumption.” This phenomenon includes using websites that provide subscription-based access to massive databases of scientific research [2].