Mid Year Population Estimates

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Statistical Bulletin July 2021

2020 Mid-Year Population Estimates: Total population of Kent authorities Related This bulletin presents the 2020 Mid-Year documents Population Estimates (2011 Census based) The Population and as published by the Office for National Census web page Statistics on 25 June 2021. contains more information which you may find useful. Summary of findings

Population forecasts • Kent’s population grew by 7,500 people (0.47%) presents the latest between 2019 and 2020 which was equal to the thinking about future national rate of growth and higher than South East population levels. average. 2011 Census provides • This annual rate of population growth is lower than the information of the previous year when Kent’s population grew by 12,900 characteristics of the people (0.82.9%) between 2018 and 2019. population. • Kent remains England’s largest non-metropolitan NOTE: within this bulletin ’Kent’ refers to the Kent county with a resident population of 1,589,100 people County Council (KCC) area in mid-2020. which excludes Medway • There are 4.5 people per hectare in Kent, making Kent Further Information less densely populated than the regional average (4.8) Kent Analytics but slightly higher than the national average (4.3). Kent County Council • Maidstone has the largest population of all Kent local Invicta House Maidstone authority districts with a population of 173,100 in mid- Kent 2020 whilst Gravesham has the smallest population ME14 1XX with 106,900 people.

• Dartford is Kent’s most densely populated local Email: authority district with 15.7 people per hectare and [email protected] Ashford is the least densely populated district (2.3 persons per hectare). Tel: 03000 417444

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Summary of findings continued

• Dartford saw the largest population increase both in absolute and percentage terms, increasing by an additional 1,400 people (1.28%) between 2019 and 2020. • All the Government Regions experienced an increase in population between 2019 and 2020. London experienced the largest growth in absolute terms (40,500 people equivalent to +0.61%). • The East Midlands and the South West saw the highest growth in percentage terms both with 0.61% increase, equivalent to a growth of 29,655 people and 34,400 people respectively. • Of the counties in the South East region, Kent experienced the highest increase in population in absolute terms between 2019 and 2020 (7,500 people, equivalent to 0.47%). This bulletin presents the national population estimate with the population of each of the former Government office regions in England. It then focuses specifically on the South East region and compares Kent’s population alongside other counties within the South East region. It ends by looking at the total population of each of the Kent local authority districts. Only total population estimates are presented here but further details from the 2020 estimates are available on the Kent County Council website in the bulletins and excel toolkits listed below:

• ‘2020 Mid-Year Population Estimates: Age and gender profile’ presents the age and gender profile of each local authority district in Kent in the form of tables and population pyramids.

• ‘Time series of Mid-year population estimates 2000-2020’ presents total population between 2000 and 2020.

• ‘What’s causing Kent’s population growth?’ examines the reasons behind the changes in population.

• ‘Interactive population estimates Excel toolkit’ allows access to population estimates for any chosen age group for all 12 Kent local authority districts and Kent County as a whole, between 1992 and 2020.

It is ONS policy to present all estimates rounded to the nearest hundred. Within this bulletin all numbers have been individually rounded and therefore may not sum. Percentages have been calculated using unrounded numbers.

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Geographical reference map

Total population of England and each of the former Government Office Regions

The 2020 mid-year population estimate for England is 56,550,100. This is an increase of 263,200 people, or 0.47% more than the 2019 mid-year population estimate.

The South East has the largest population of all the regions with 9,217,300 people. The region with the smallest population is the North East with 2,680,800 people.

The London region saw the largest absolute increase in population between 2019 and 2020 growing by 40,500 people (0.45%). This increase brought the population of London to over 9.2 million. The East Midlands and the South West saw the highest growth in percentage terms both with 0.61% increase, equivalent to a growth of 29,700 people and 34,400 people respectively.

The South East has seen the second largest population growth in absolute terms, increasing by an additional 37,100 people (0.40%) between 2019 and 2020.

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London is the most densely populated region with 57.3 people per hectare and the South West the least densely populated with 2.4 people per hectare. Within the South East there are 4.8 people per hectare. The population change between 2019 and 2020 for England and each of the former Government Office regions is presented in Table 1 and Chart 1.

Table 1: 2019 to 2020 Mid-year population change: Former Government Office Regions & England

2019 to 2020 Mid-year population change: Former Government Office Regions & England 2019-2020 change 2020 MYPE Area density 2019MYPE 2020 MYPE Number % (Hectare) (people per Ha)

England 56,287,000 56,550,100 263,200 0.47% 13,031,001 4.3 North East 2,669,900 2,680,800 10,800 0.41% 857,444 3.1 North West 7,341,200 7,367,500 26,300 0.36% 1,410,721 5.2 Yorkshire and the Humber 5,503,000 5,526,400 23,400 0.42% 1,540,535 3.6 East Midlands 4,835,900 4,865,600 29,700 0.61% 1,562,347 3.1 West Midlands 5,934,000 5,961,900 27,900 0.47% 1,299,827 4.6 East 6,236,100 6,269,200 33,100 0.53% 1,911,873 3.3 London 8,962,000 9,002,500 40,500 0.45% 157,214 57.3 South East 9,180,100 9,217,300 37,100 0.40% 1,907,305 4.8 South West 5,624,700 5,659,100 34,400 0.61% 2,383,734 2.4

Source: 2019 and 2020 MYPE published 25/06/2021 Office for National Statistics © Crow n Copyright Presented by Kent Analytics, Kent County Council All figures are separately rounded to the nearest hundred and therefore may not sum. Percentages and densities are calculated using unrounded numbers

Chart 1: 2019 to 2020 Mid-year population change (percentage): Former Government Office Regions & England

2019 to 2020 Mid-year population change (percentage): England & Former Government Office Regions

East Midlands 0.61%

South West 0.61%

East 0.53%

West Midlands 0.47%

England 0.47%

London 0.45%

Yorkshire and the Humber 0.42%

North East 0.41%

South East 0.40%

North West 0.36%

0.0% 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.8% % Change

Source: Office for National Statistics (Crown Copyright) Chart produced by Kent Analytics, Kent County Council

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Total population of counties (excluding Unitary Authorities) in the South East

The 2020 mid-year population estimates show that Kent is the most populous county council area in the South East with a population of 1,589,100 people. This also means that Kent remains the largest non-metropolitan local authority area in England.

Hampshire is the second largest county in the South East with a population of 1,389,200. East Sussex is the smallest county in the South East with a population of 558,900.

Of the counties in the South East, Kent experienced the largest increase in population in absolute terms between 2019 and 2020 growing by 7,500 people (0.47%). Oxfordshire experienced the largest increase in population in percentage terms between 2019 and 2020 growing by 0.75% (5,200 people).

Surrey is the most densely populated county in the South East with 7.2 people per hectare, which is higher than the average density for the South East (4.8 people per hectare). Kent is the second most densely populated county with 4.5 people per hectare. Oxfordshire is the least densely populated county in the South East with 2.7 people per hectare.

The population change between 2019 and 2020 for each of the counties in the South East is presented in Table 2 and Chart 2.

Table 2: 2019 to 2020 Mid-year population change: South East Counties 2019 to 2020 Mid-year population change: South East Counties 2019-2020 change 2020 MYPE Area density 2019MYPE 2020 MYPE Number % (Hectare) (people per Ha)

South East 9,180,100 9,217,300 37,100 0.40% 1,907,305 4.8 East Sussex 557,200 558,900 1,600 0.29% 170,856 3.3 Hampshire 1,382,500 1,389,200 6,700 0.48% 367,890 3.8

Kent 1,581,600 1,589,100 7,500 0.47% 354,494 4.5 Oxfordshire 691,700 696,900 5,200 0.75% 260,493 2.7 Surrey 1,196,200 1,199,900 3,600 0.30% 166,252 7.2 West Sussex 864,000 867,600 3,700 0.42% 199,087 4.4

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Chart 2: 2019 to 2020 Mid-year population change (percentage): South East counties

2019 to 2020 Mid-year population change (percentage): South East Counties (excluding Unitary Authorities)

Oxfordshire 0.75%

Hampshire 0.48%

Kent 0.47%

West Sussex 0.42%

South East 0.40%

Surrey 0.30%

East Sussex 0.29%

0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 0.6% 0.7% 0.8% % Change

Source: Office for National Statistics (Crown Copyright) Chart produced by Kent Analytics, Kent County Council

Total population of unitary authorities in the South East

Buckinghamshire became a Unitary Authority as of 1 April 2020 and is the largest unitary authority in the South East with a population of 547,100 people according to the 2020 mid-year population estimates. Brighton & Hove is the second largest unitary authority with a population of 291,700, followed by Medway with 279,100 people. Bracknell Forest has the smallest population with 124,200 people.

Portsmouth is the most densely populated unitary authority in the South East with 53.2 people per hectare, which is considerably higher than the average density for the South East (4.8 people per hectare). West Berkshire is the least densely populated unitary authority with 2.3 people per hectare. Within Medway there are 14.4 people per hectare.

Buckinghamshire has experienced the largest absolute increase in population between 2019 and 2020 growing by +3,100 people. This figure equates to a 0.57% increase. Wokingham experience the highest percentage increase with a rise of 1.65% (2,800 People). West Berkshire and Slough experienced the smallest percentage increases over the past year growing by 0.01% and 0.03% respectively. The population of Medway increased by 600 people (0.21%).

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Portsmouth, Reading, Southampton, and Windsor & Maidenhead all experienced a reduction in population between 2019 and 2020. The population change between 2019 and 2020 for each of the unitary authorities in the South East is presented in Table 3 and Chart 3.

Table 3: 2019 to 2020 Mid-year population change: South East Unitary Authorities 2019 to 2020 Mid-year population change: South East Unitary Authorities 2019-2020 change 2020 MYPE 2020 Area density 2019MYPE MYPE Number % (Hectare) (people per Ha)

South East region 9,180,100 9,217,300 37,100 0.40% 1,907,305 4.8

Medway 278,600 279,100 600 0.21% 19,400 14.4 Bracknell Forest 122,500 124,200 1,600 1.32% 156,500 11.4 West Berkshire 158,500 158,500 0 0.01% 70,400 2.3 Reading 161,800 160,300 -1,400 -0.89% 367,900 39.7 Slough 149,500 149,600 0 0.03% 3,300 46.0

Windsor and Maidenhead 151,400 151,300 -100 -0.10% 260,500 7.7 Wokingham 171,100 173,900 2,800 1.65% 17,900 9.7 Milton Keynes 269,500 270,200 700 0.28% 199,100 8.8 Brighton and Hove 290,900 291,700 900 0.29% 8,300 35.2 Portsmouth 214,900 214,700 -200 -0.10% 10,900 53.2 Southampton 252,500 252,900 400 0.14% 5,000 50.7 Isle of Wight 141,800 142,300 500 0.37% 38,000 3.7 Buckinghamshire 544,000 547,100 3,100 0.57% 4,000 3.7

Chart 3: 2019 to 2020 Mid-year population change (percentage): South East Unitary Authorities

Wokingham 1.65%

Bracknell Forest 1.32%

Buckinghamshire 0.57%

Isle of Wight 0.37%

Brighton and Hove 0.29%

Milton Keynes 0.28%

Medway 0.21%

Southampton 0.14%

Slough 0.03%

West Berkshire 0.01%

Windsor and Maidenhead -0.10%

Portsmouth -0.10%

Reading -0.89%

-1.5% -1.0% -0.5% 0.0% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 2.0% % Change

Source: Office for National Statistics (Crown Copyright) Chart produced by Kent Analytics, Kent County Council

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Total population of the Kent County Council Area and local authority districts within Kent

The total population of Kent is 1,589,100 people according to the 2020 mid- year population estimates.

Maidstone has the largest population with 173,100 people, which is equivalent to 10.9% of Kent’s total population.

Gravesham has the smallest population in Kent with 106,900 people, which is equivalent to 6.7% of Kent’s total population.

Chart 4 presents the total population of each of the Kent local authority districts, according to the 2020 mid-year population estimates, and the proportion each local authority contributes to the overall population of Kent.

Chart 4: 2019 Mid-year population estimate and percentage contribution to the total population of Kent 2020 Mid-year total population of Kent local authority districts and percentage contribution to the county total

Maidstone 173,100 (10.9%)

Canterbury 166,800 (10.5%)

Swale 151,000 (9.5%)

Thanet 141,500 (8.9%)

Tonbridge & Malling 132,600 (8.3%)

Ashford 131,000 (8.2%)

Sevenoaks 121,400 (7.6%)

Tunbridge Wells 118,900 (7.5%)

Dover 118,500 (7.5%)

Dartford 114,100 (7.2%)

Folkestone & Hythe 113,300 (7.1%)

Gravesham 106,900(6.7%)

90,000 100,000 110,000 120,000 130,000 140,000 150,000 160,000 170,000 180,000 Total population Source: Office for National Statistics (Crown Copyright) Chart produced by Kent Analytics, Kent County Council

Dartford is Kent’s most densely population local authority district with 15.7 people per hectare. Ashford is the least densely populated with 2.3 people per hectare.

Chart 5 presents the population density of Kent local authority districts.

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Chart 5: Population density of Kent and local authorities (persons per hectare) Based on 2020 Mid-year population estimates.

Population density of Kent and Kent local authorities (persons per hectare) Based on 2020 Mid-year population estimates

Dartford 15.7

Thanet 13.7

Folkestone & Hythe 10.8

Tonbridge & Malling 5.5

Canterbury 5.4

Kent 4.5

Gravesham 4.4

Swale 4.0

Dover 3.8

Tunbridge Wells 3.6

Maidstone 3.3

Sevenoaks 3.2

Ashford 2.3

0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 14.0 16.0 18.0

Source: Office for National Statistics (Crown Copyright) % Change Chart produced by Kent Analytics, Kent County Council

The population of Kent grew by 0.47% between 2019 and 2020 which was equal to the national rate of growth and higher than South East average. Of the local authority districts in Kent, Dartford has seen the largest increase in population in both absolute and percentage terms. Between 2019 and 2020 Dartford’s population increased by 1,400 people, which is equivalent to a 1.28% increase.

Tunbridge Wells experienced the smallest absolute and percentage population growth, with an increase of 200 people. This equates to a percentage increase of 0.18%.

Gravesham and Thanet both saw a small decline in population between 2019 and 2020 with a percentage loss of -0.05% and -0.33% respectively.

The population change between the 2019 and 2020 mid-year population estimate for Kent as a whole, and each of the local authority areas within Kent is presented in Table 4 and Chart 6.

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Table 4: 2019 to 2020 Mid-year population change: Kent and local authority districts 2019 to 2020 Mid-year population change: KCC Area and districts 2019-2020 change 2020 MYPE Area density 2019MYPE 2020 MYPE Number % (Hectare) (people per Ha)

Kent (KCC area) 1,581,600 1,589,100 7,500 0.47% 354,494 4.5 Ashford 130,000 131,000 1,000 0.76% 58,062 2.3 Canterbury 165,400 166,800 1,400 0.83% 30,888 5.4 Dartford 112,600 114,100 1,400 1.28% 7,276 15.7 Dover 118,100 118,500 400 0.32% 31,507 3.8 Folkestone & Hythe 113,000 113,300 300 0.29% 9,902 10.8 Gravesham 106,900 106,900 0 -0.05% 39,333 4.4 Maidstone 171,800 173,100 1,300 0.76% 36,923 3.3 Sevenoaks 120,800 121,400 600 0.53% 35,676 3.2 Swale 150,100 151,000 900 0.62% 37,447 4.0 Thanet 141,900 141,500 -500 -0.33% 10,334 13.7 Tonbridge & Malling 132,200 132,600 400 0.32% 24,013 5.5 Tunbridge Wells 118,700 118,900 200 0.18% 33,133 3.6

Chart 6: 2019 to 2020 Mid-year population change (percentage): Kent and local authority districts

2019 to 2020 Mid-year population change: Kent and local authority districts

Dartford 1.28%

Canterbury 0.83%

Maidstone 0.76%

Ashford 0.76%

Swale 0.62%

Sevenoaks 0.53%

Kent 0.47%

Dover 0.32%

Tonbridge & Malling 0.32%

Folkestone & Hythe 0.29%

Tunbridge Wells 0.18%

Gravesham -0.05%

Thanet -0.33%

-0.60% -0.40% -0.20% 0.00% 0.20% 0.40% 0.60% 0.80% 1.00% 1.20% 1.40%

Source: Office for National Statistics (Crown Copyright) % Change Chart produced by Kent Analytics, Kent County Council

The data in this bulletin will be updated in summer 2022 when the 2021 mid- year population estimates will be released.

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