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C:\Documents and Settings\Nmyles\Local Settings Ministries in Action Report of the COMMISSION ON PARISH DEMOGRAPHICS Presented to: The Right Reverend Donald F. Harvey Bishop Anglican Diocese of Eastern Newfoundland and Labrador October, 2003 LETTER OF TRANSMITTAL FROM THE COMMISSION ON PARISH DEMOGRAPHICS October 15, 2003 Right Reverend Donald F. Harvey Anglican Diocese of Eastern Newfoundland and Labrador 19 King's Bridge Road St. John's, NL A1C 3K4 Dear Bishop Harvey: It gives me great pleasure, on behalf of the Commission on Parish Demographics, to present to you the report: Ministries in Action. We thank you for the opportunity we have had to explore the life of the church in the diocese. It is our hope that the contents of this report will encourage the diocese, under your leadership, to introduce bold new steps that will help ensure a healthy and vibrant Anglican church in our diocese for many years to come. Sincerely, Dr. Harold Press (chair) Mr. John Jarvis Rev. Marilyn Moore Ms. Heather Skanes Rev. William Strong -i- ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS The Commission on Parish Demographics would like to take this opportunity to express our sincere appreciation to all those who gave so freely of their time and talents in support of this effort. Specifically, we thank the Bishop for giving us the opportunity to work on this exciting challenge. We thank as well Archdeacon Neil Kellett who was instrumental in getting this study up and running and on track. Special thanks are due also to Ms. Elizabeth Crisby for providing administrative support, to Diocesan Financial Officer Mr. Fred Evans for his financial insights, and to executive assistants to the Bishop Archdeacon Tom Moulton and Archdeacon Cy Pittman for their spiritual and administrative guidance. Additionally, we are thankful for the insights provided by the Diocesan Monitoring Committee, led by chair, The Reverend John Dinn. Without the generosity of the regional deans and their deaneries (Avalon West, Conception Bay, Trinity Bay and Avalon East) we would not have accomplished our task as effectively or efficiently. In this respect, we acknowledge The Reverend Robin Barrett, The Reverend Edward John Keeping, The Reverend Josiah Noel and The Reverend John Dinn. Likewise, we would be remiss in not recognizing the special contribution of all who attended deanery council meetings during the spring of 2003 and provided us with their perceptions of their lives in the Anglican church. Finally, we thank The Reverend Father Christopher Snow (Parish of St. Michael & All Angels), The Reverend John Nicol (Parish of New Harbor), and The Archdeacon Illiffe Shepherd (Parish of the Holy Spirit) for sharing information and insights about their parishes. Commission on Parish Demographics -ii- TABLE OF CONTENTS Letter of Transmittal .............................................. i Acknowledgements .............................................. ii Table of Contents................................................ iii List of Tables, Figures & Exhibits ...................................v 1. BACKGROUND ....................................................... 1 Why is it Important for the Church to Understand Demographics? .............. 1 The Challenge for the Anglican Church ................................... 2 Overview of the Report ................................................ 4 2. THE DEMOGRAPHIC CONTEXT ....................................... 7 The Changing Environment ............................................ 7 An Aging Population ................................................. 8 Changes within the Diocese ............................................ 9 Differences among Parishes ........................................... 14 3. WHAT WAS HEARD ................................................. 15 The Process ........................................................ 15 The Findings ....................................................... 16 1. Reflections on Demographics..................................... 16 2. Reflections on Parish Viability ................................... 17 3. Reflections on Alternative Ministries .............................. 17 4. THREE PARISH PROFILES ........................................... 19 1. Parish of Shearstown (St. Marks) ................................. 19 2. Parish of New Harbour ......................................... 20 3. Parish of St. Michael’s (St. John’s) ................................ 21 5. ALTERNATIVE MINISTRY MODELS .................................. 23 1. Traditional Single-Point Parish ................................... 23 2. Traditional Multi-Point Parish .................................... 24 3. Joint Project .................................................. 24 4. Mission Church ............................................... 25 5. Cooperative Ministry ........................................... 25 6. Cluster Parish ................................................. 25 7. Circuit Parish ................................................. 26 8. Shared Facilities ............................................... 27 9. Shared Ministry ............................................... 27 10. Alternating Ministry ........................................... 28 -iii- 6. ACHIEVING FINANCIAL STABILITY .................................. 29 Financial Challenges ................................................. 32 7. BOLD NEW STEPS ARE REQUIRED ................................... 33 Recommendations ................................................... 33 1. Organization and Structure ....................................... 33 2. Information ................................................... 35 3. Leadership Development ........................................ 36 4. Communications and Marketing ................................... 37 5. Finance ...................................................... 38 CONCLUDING COMMENTS: Are we alone in the challenges we face? ................................. 40 What has been Learned ............................................... 40 How to get Started................................................... 41 What this will Achieve for the Diocese .................................. 42 A Final Word ...................................................... 42 BIBLIOGRAPHY ..................................................... 55 -iv- LIST OF TABLES, FIGURES & EXHIBITS TABLES 1 Population and Attendance ......................................11 2 Real Growth - Baptisms vs Funerals ..............................12 3 Sunday School Attendance ......................................13 4 Declining Lay Participation .....................................14 FIGURES 1 Population Pyramid Eastern Diocese, 1971 .........................10 2 Population Pyramid Eastern Diocese, 2001 .........................10 EXHIBITS 1 Summary of Capital Assets by Parish ..............................44 2 Average Weekly Attendance as a Percent of Parish Population, 2002 ....49 3 Identifiable Givers as a Percent of Parish Population, 2002 .............50 4 Summary of the Isthmus Ministry Project ..........................51 -v- 1. Background Green’s Harbour Global population changes brought on by changing demographic conditions, economic trends and migration patterns, coupled with increased religious diversification, decreased church attendance, and less reliance on the church for personal guidance and support, have converged to stimulate a discussion about local parish viability and sustainability. This issue is not unique to Newfoundland and Labrador, nor is it confined to the Anglican community. It is being debated in most other faith communities throughout North America and around the world. The most meaningful solutions will be found only when dioceses and local parishes are capable of understanding, accepting, and addressing these broader environmental issues that will ensure the long-term viability of local ministries. Hence, local parishes will need to be knowledgeable about these issues and trends. Why is it Important for the Church to Understand Demographics? In today’s world, few social, cultural or economic institutions are unaffected by changing demographic conditions. Demography is the study of the physical characteristics of populations and how they change over time (Foote, 1996). Some of the physical characteristics of populations include age, gender, marital status, family size, education, income, occupation and location. Some of the processes which influence the composition of populations include fertility, mobility (migration) and mortality. In a growing or even stable population, maintaining and sustaining parishes may not necessarily be a challenging task. However, early in the 21st century we find ourselves living in a complex and volatile global community where the pace of change is so rapid that it is difficult to predict future conditions or their consequences. Indeed, if one could predict the future, one would still have to deal with a vastly different world. Commission on Parish Demographics 1 Today there are many forces, both internal and external to the church environment, that are converging to make the task of sustaining viable local parishes a challenging one. For example, a decrease in population, caused by exceptionally low birth rates and unusually high rates of out migration, has placed downward pressure on the numbers who are attending church on a regular basis. Also, the trend towards globalization has made many citizens—particularly those under the age of 35 and well educated—more mobile than ever before. Improved transportation systems, emerging technologies and
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