Final Report Site C Lands: Economic Opportunities Assessment BC Hydro
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. Final Report Site C Lands: Economic Opportunities Assessment Impact Assessment . BC Hydro Prepared by: Lions Gate Consulting Inc. Vancouver In association with: and: Sunderman and Associates JK Solutions Ltd. Kamloops, BC Fort St. John, BC Canadian Agricultural Strategies Inc. Dawson Creek, BC January 2002000 Table of Contents 1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ............................................................................................................ 1 1.1 INTRODUCTION .......................................................................................................................... 1 1.2 HISTORICAL LAND USE SETTING ............................................................................................... 1 1.3 HISTORICAL AND CURRENT ECONOMIC AND COMMUNITY SETTING.......................................... 2 1.4 IMPACT ANALYSIS ..................................................................................................................... 3 1.5 RECOMMENDATIONS.................................................................................................................. 3 2 INTRODUCTION .......................................................................................................................... 6 2.1 PROJECT BACKGROUND............................................................................................................. 6 2.2 METHODOLOGY ......................................................................................................................... 6 3 HISTORICAL LAND USE SETTING......................................................................................... 8 3.1 SITE C LANDS AND BC HYDRO ACQUISITION............................................................................ 8 3.2 SETTLEMENT PATTERNS ............................................................................................................ 8 3.3 AFFECTED LANDS...................................................................................................................... 9 3.4 HISTORICAL LAND USE ............................................................................................................. 9 3.4.1 Overview........................................................................................................................... 9 3.4.2 Agriculture...................................................................................................................... 11 3.4.3 Forestry........................................................................................................................... 12 3.4.4 Recreation and Tourism ................................................................................................. 13 3.4.5 Miscellaneous Resources................................................................................................ 13 3.4.6 Residential ...................................................................................................................... 14 4 HISTORICAL AND CURRENT ECONOMIC AND COMMUNITY SETTING................. 15 4.1 ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT ACCOUNT ..................................................................................... 15 4.1.1 Population....................................................................................................................... 15 4.1.2 Age Distribution.............................................................................................................. 17 4.1.3 Labour Force.................................................................................................................. 19 4.1.4 Location Quotient Analysis............................................................................................. 21 4.1.5 Shift-Share Analysis........................................................................................................ 24 4.1.6 Unemployment ................................................................................................................ 26 4.1.7 Business Activity ............................................................................................................. 27 4.1.8 Average Family and Personal Income ........................................................................... 29 4.1.9 Source of Personal Income and Farm Receipts ............................................................ 31 4.2 COMMUNITY ACCOUNT ........................................................................................................... 33 4.2.1 Total Municipal Assessed Values ................................................................................... 33 4.2.2 Municipal Assessed Values By Property Class .............................................................. 33 4.2.3 Average Residential Values ............................................................................................ 34 4.2.4 Farm Values.................................................................................................................... 35 4.2.5 Municipal and Rural Housing Stock............................................................................... 37 4.2.6 Recreation....................................................................................................................... 37 4.3 MUNICIPAL REVENUE ACCOUNT ............................................................................................. 42 4.3.1 Municipal Revenues........................................................................................................ 42 4.3.2 Municipal Tax Structure................................................................................................. 43 4.3.3 Major Tax Contributors.................................................................................................. 44 5 IMPACT ANALYSIS................................................................................................................... 45 5.1 DESCRIPTION OF SCENARIOS ................................................................................................... 45 5.2 SUMMARY OF ACCOUNTS ........................................................................................................ 46 5.3 DISCUSSION OF IMPACTS ......................................................................................................... 53 5.3.1 Economic Development Account .................................................................................... 53 5.3.2 Community Account........................................................................................................ 56 5.3.3 Municipal Revenue Account ........................................................................................... 57 5.3.4 Related Issues and Impacts............................................................................................. 58 6 CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS ..................................................................... 62 6.1 CONCLUSIONS.......................................................................................................................... 62 6.1.1 Limitations to the Analysis.............................................................................................. 62 6.1.2 General Impacts.............................................................................................................. 62 6.1.3 Population Impacts......................................................................................................... 62 6.1.4 Economic Impacts........................................................................................................... 63 6.1.5 Community Impacts ........................................................................................................ 63 6.1.6 Other Impacts ................................................................................................................. 64 6.2 RECOMMENDATIONS................................................................................................................ 64 7 APPENDIX 1 – STUDY AREA GEOGRAPHY........................................................................ 66 7.1 1996 CENSUS ENUMERATION AREAS....................................................................................... 66 7.2 1991 CENSUS ENUMERATION AREAS....................................................................................... 67 7.3 1986 CENSUS ENUMERATION AREAS....................................................................................... 67 7.4 1981 CENSUS ENUMERATION AREAS....................................................................................... 67 7.5 1971 CENSUS ENUMERATION AREAS....................................................................................... 68 8 APPENDIX 2 – LIST OF INTERVIEWS.................................................................................. 69 9 APPENDIX 3 – SUMMARY OF INTERVIEW COMMENTS............................................... 70 SITE C LANDS: ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITIES STUDY IMPACT ASSESSMENT 1 Executive Summary 1.1 Introduction • Site C would be the third part of the Peace River hydroelectric development. In order to prepare for Site C, BC Hydro (BCH) began a passive land acquisition program in the 1970s. As of 2001, BCH has acquired approximately 7,000 acres of property on the north side of the Peace River between Hudson’s Hope and Fort St. John for the Site C hydroelectric project. • The reserve of lands held by BCH has concerned local residents. Notwithstanding recent changes to lease arrangements, local residents have suggested that ownership, land