Uncertainty Aversion in Game Theory: Experimental Evidence Evan M. Calford∗ Purdue University Economics Department Working Paper No. 1291 April 2017 Abstract This paper experimentally investigates the role of uncertainty aversion in normal form games. Theoretically, risk aversion will affect the utility value assigned to realized outcomes while am- biguity aversion affects the evaluation of strategies. In practice, however, utilities over outcomes are unobservable and the effects of risk and ambiguity are confounded. This paper introduces a novel methodology for identifying the effects of risk and ambiguity preferences on behavior in games in a laboratory environment. Furthermore, we also separate the effects of a subject's be- liefs over her opponent's preferences from the effects of her own preferences. The results support the conjecture that both preferences over uncertainty and beliefs over opponent's preferences affect behavior in normal form games. Keywords: Ambiguity Aversion, Game Theory, Experimental Economics, Preferences JEL codes: C92, C72, D81, D83 ∗Department of Economics, Krannert School of Management, Purdue University
[email protected]; I am partic- ularly indebted to Yoram Halevy, who introduced me to the concept of ambiguity aversion and guided me throughout this project. Ryan Oprea provided terrific support and advice throughout. Special thanks to Mike Peters and Wei Li are also warranted for their advice and guidance. I also thank Li Hao, Terri Kneeland, Chad Kendall, Tom Wilkening, Guillaume Frechette and Simon Grant for helpful comments and discussion. Funding from the University of British Columbia Faculty of Arts is gratefully acknowledged. 1 1 Introduction In a strategic interaction a rational agent must form subjective beliefs regarding their opponent's behavior.