PepsiCo 19 July 2017
Copyright © PSG Contents
1. Recommendation 2. Nature of business 3. Financial review 4. Divisions 5. Company guidance 6. Portfolio Guidance
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Copyright © PSG 01 Recommendation
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Copyright © PSG Recommended exposure – 0%
• Relative valuation: Offers value – trading at P/E multiple below peers • Absolute valuation: Fully valued – well ahead of historic averages • EBITDA margins is on high base • Sales growth and net margin - lag peers in the medium term • Continued shift in consumer preferences – hamper volumes • Success of Omni-channel is vital • PepsiCo has consistently been at the front end of innovation
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Copyright © PSG 02 Nature of business
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Copyright © PSG Nature of business
Global Food and Beverage company PepsiCo offers products to over 200 countries and territories 22 iconic, billion-dollar brands
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Copyright © PSG 03 Financial review
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Copyright © PSG Financial review
Results were impacted by • Restructuring charges in conjunction with multi year productivity plan; • Commodity mark-to-market impacts • Impairment charge relating to TAB Holdings Net revenue increased 1.8% (+3% organic growth) • Food/Snacks volumes up 2% • Beverage volumes down 1% Core gross margin contracted 25 bps Core constant currency operating profit rose 4%, accordingly the core operating margin expanded 15 bps Core EPS rose 9% (+10% constant currency) to 244cps The Britvic gain had 6cents favourable impact on core EPS
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Copyright © PSG 04 Divisions
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Copyright © PSG Frito-Lay North America (FLNA)
Includes the group’s branded food and snack businesses in the US and Canada
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Copyright © PSG Frito-Lay North America (FLNA)
% Impact of:
Reported Growth Foreign exchange Acquisitions, divestitures Organic Growth translation and structural changes Revenue 3% ------3% Operating profit 5% ------* 6%
*Items affecting comparability
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Copyright © PSG North America Beverages (NAB)
Includes the group’s beverage businesses in the US and Canada
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Copyright © PSG North America Beverages (NAB)
% Impact of:
Reported Growth Foreign exchange Acquisitions, divestitures Organic Growth translation and structural changes Revenue 2% ---- -1% 1% Operating profit 2% ---- -1%* 2%
*Items affecting comparability
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Copyright © PSG Quaker Foods North America (QFNA)
Includes the group’s cereal, rice, pasta and other branded food businesses in the US and Canada
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Copyright © PSG Quaker Foods North America (QFNA)
% Impact of: Reported Growth Foreign exchange Acquisitions, divestitures Organic Growth translation and structural changes Revenue -2% ------2% Operating profit -1% ------* -1%
*Items affecting comparability
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Copyright © PSG Latin America (LA)
All of the group’s beverage, food and snack businesses in Latin America % Impact of:
Reported Growth Foreign exchange Acquisitions, divestitures Organic Growth translation and structural changes Revenue 5% 1% 1% 7% Operating profit -14% 7% 6% -1%
*Items affecting comparability
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Copyright © PSG Europe Sub-Saharan Africa (ESSA)
All the group’s beverage, food and snack businesses in Europe and Sub-Saharan Africa Snacks: Lay’s, Walkers, Doritos, Cheetos and Ruffles, and many Quaker-branded cereals and snacks Beverages: Pepsi, Pepsi Max, 7UP, Diet Pepsi and Tropicana
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Copyright © PSG Europe Sub-Saharan Africa (ESSA)
% Impact of:
Reported Growth Foreign exchange Acquisitions, divestitures Organic Growth translation and structural changes Revenue 6% -1% ---- 5% Operating profit 49% 5% -8%* 46%
*Items affecting comparability
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Copyright © PSG Asia, Middle East and North Africa (AMENA)
All of the group’s beverage, food and snack businesses in Asia, Middle East and North Africa Snacks: Lay’s, Kurkure, Chipsy, Doritos, Cheetos and Smith’s, many Quaker-branded cereals and snacks Beverages: Pepsi, Mirinda, 7UP, Mountain Dew, Aquafina and Tropicana.
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Copyright © PSG Asia, Middle East and North Africa (AMENA)
% Impact of:
Reported Growth Foreign exchange Acquisitions, divestitures Organic Growth translation and structural changes Revenue -9% 11% ---- 2% Operating profit 104% 4% -127% -19%
*Items affecting comparability
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Copyright © PSG 05 Company guidance
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Copyright © PSG Company guidance
On track to deliver full year financial targets • >3% organic revenue growth • 8% core constant currency EPS growth • Strong cash generation - $10bn CFO and $7bn FCF • Net Capex - $3bn • Dividend payments - $4.5bn • Share repurchases - $2bn
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Copyright © PSG 06 Portfolio guidance
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Copyright © PSG Portfolio Guidance
• Good quality company • Attractive dividend yield • Strong brands • Fully valued • Not recommend exposure to share at current levels
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Copyright © PSG FAIS Affiliates of the PSG Konsult Group are authorised financial services providers. Copyright © PSG