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Setting the agenda in research Comment SHARPSHOOTERS/VW PICS/UIG/GETTY Humans, marine mammals, and other coexist on the Peninsula alongside ships and buildings. Protect the — before it’s too late

Carolyn J. Hogg, Mary-Anne Lea, Marga Gual Soler, Valeri N. Vasquez, Ana Payo-Payo, Marissa L. Parrott, M. Mercedes Santos, Justine Shaw & Cassandra M. Brooks

Banning fishing in warming mong the windswept and This delicate and iconic is in peril. icebergs of the western Antarctic The western Antarctic Peninsula (the north- coastal waters and limiting Peninsula is an oasis of life. Threat- ernmost part of the ) is one of the tourism and construction ened humpback and minke fastest-warming places on Earth. In February, on land will help to protect patrol the waters. , and temperatures there reached a record 20.75 °C, Aseals swim alongside noisy colonies of with an average daily temperature that was marine mammals and chinstrap, Adélie and gentoo penguins 2 °C higher than the means for the preceding seabirds. on the shore. It’s a complex web of life. All 70 years1. Most of the ’s glaciers are these feed on small, shrimp-like receding. And is dwindling — spring called Antarctic . And many 2016 saw it retreat to the smallest extent since are themselves prey for leopard seals, killer satellite records began in the 1970s. If whales and predatory seabirds such as skuas emissions keep climbing, in 50 ’ time, the and giant petrels. area covered by sea ice will have halved and

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the volume of ice shelves will have shrunk by mammals. That makes it hard to manage one-quarter2. fisheries in ways that protect the whole Heavy fishing is depleting parts of the ecosystem, especially in a warming climate. region of the main food source, krill. The Precaution is therefore paramount. And much Voyage to the waters around the peninsula are home to more needs to be learnt. 70% of the world’s , the larvae of peninsula which shelter in the sea ice3. Their loss means Tourism. The peninsula is the most-visited hunger for many species. It even alters bio- region in (see ‘Voyage to the A trip of a lifetime conveys the need for geochemical systems in the , including peninsula’). It’s close to and leadership. the carbon cycle3. Krill feed on phytoplank- has dramatic scenery and an abundance of ton — microscopic marine that extract wildlife. Tourist numbers have doubled in the Women are noticeably absent in carbon from the atmosphere. The krill excrete past decade — more than 74,000 people visited Antarctica’s history, which is steeped in pellets containing carbon and other , last . Some popular sites receive around tales of male heroism. Female scientists including fluoride, calcium and phosphorus, 20,000 visitors per season. These include the are still a minority in the region’s research which are sources for a myriad of picturesque , where glaciers and stations. This needs to change if we are to microorganisms3. whales abound, and , which has a mitigate the many threats our planet faces. With human activity and construction also gentoo colony and a post office. The signatories to this article rising, the region’s precious biodiversity is at Unlike the rest of Antarctica, where one-third participated in a global initiative called risk of being destroyed4. Preventive measures of the land remains unvisited, the peninsula Homeward Bound, which aims to must be taken immediately, on sea and on land. has no large areas left that are untouched elevate the voices of women in science, The first step is to protect the rich seas by humans6. Ships pollute the ocean with technology, engineering, mathematics around the Antarctic Peninsula. A proposal to microplastics, oils and engine noise. Between and medicine as leaders to influence how make them a marine protected area (MPA) is 1981 and 2011, at least 19 vessels ran aground policies and decisions are made for the being discussed over the next two weeks by the and released oil. Ships can also introduce inva- future of our planet. So far, 437 women Commission for the Conservation of Antarctic sive species, such as mussels, predatory sea from 41 countries have joined the year-long Marine Living Resources (CCAMLR), a group stars and smothering algae, which can compete programme. It culminates in a three-week of governments that collectively manage the with or prey on native species. voyage to the Antarctic Peninsula, to ’s resources. We urge them to witness the impacts of on act now. “Nations need to limit the the continent at first hand. For some of us, it was the first time we had had three weeks Mounting risks size and footprints of their to ourselves since becoming a scientist, Four main factors threaten the Antarctic research sites in Antarctica.” mother or leader. Peninsula’s . Antarctica is an inspiring backdrop. It is impossible not to be moved by its beauty Fishing. Krill fisheries in the Southern Ocean Guidelines for cruise ships and tourists as the ship drifts past icebergs covered in have been growing for decades, to meet rising visiting the region are provided by the penguins and the odd sleeping leopard demand for omega-3 dietary supplements and International Association of Antarctica seal, humpback whales feeding on swarms fishmeal. Almost 400,000 tonnes of Antarctic Tour Operators (IAATO), a self-regulating of krill, or groaning glaciers. But as our krill were caught in 2019 — the third-largest association that advocates for safe and envi- trip made clear, this wilderness is fragile krill catch in history, a volume not seen since ronmentally responsible travel. IAATO restricts and requires protection — and that is the the 1980s. More than 90% was caught around the number of daily visitors to each landing responsibility of us all. the Antarctic Peninsula. The catch there has location: a maximum of 100 people from a tripled since 2000, from 88,800 to 289,500 vessel can be ashore at any one time. No waste Research infrastructure. Visiting scientists tonnes in 2018. should be left, souvenirs taken or dis- can also damage Antarctica’s environment. As sea ice retreats from warming northern turbed. However, only IAATO members must The peninsula has the highest concentration of waters, the krill move south, attracting more comply. Increasing numbers of unregulated research stations on the continent — 18 nations vessels to penguin and marine-mammal vessels are arriving carrying large numbers of have science facilities there, covering fields foraging grounds. Even small catches can tourists. from space physics to geoscience, wildlife be harmful at a sensitive time and place5. For Mechanisms to reduce these impacts are monitoring and climate research. The example, fishing near colonies of breeding needed. IAATO is supporting a project to researchers are attracted for the same reasons penguins hampers their foraging and repro- gather evidence to better manage tourism, that the region is so biodiverse — accessible ductive success. Humpback whales migrate science and biodiversity on the peninsula, floes of sea ice shift through the seasons, and to krill-rich waters to feed before moving expected to be completed next year. This much of the land is ice-free. north to breed — finding little to eat there also initiative is in partnership with the Scientific Buildings and infrastructure displace wild- reduces their ability to reproduce. Committee on Antarctic Research (SCAR), life and vegetation. Aircraft noise disturbs Impacts of fishing are difficult to track in an organization that coordinates interna- penguins, other seabirds and seals that such a remote place. Little is known about tional research in Antarctica. More remains congregate on the peninsula to breed and the status of many Southern Ocean spe- to be done, however, including reducing the moult. Associated with these human activities, cies, including many seabirds and marine impacts of ships. land and coastlines next to research stations are

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Comment polluted by hydrocarbons, metals, fire retard- General protection ants and microbial pollution from wastewater. zones. Fishing bans protect species zone. Nations need to limit the size and footprints reliant on sea ice. Limited catch of their research sites in Antarctica. There have permitted. been several new infrastructure projects in the area6. Brazil reconstructed its Comandante Ferraz research station that had been destroyed by fire, doubling its size in the process. And South the United Kingdom is expanding the wharf Shetland and stabilizing the coast near its Rothera sta- Islands tion. Elsewhere, is planning to build a 2.7-kilometre-long concrete runway in East Comandante Antarctica. And China is building a research sta- Ferraz station tion on in . Esperanza station

Climate change. Global warming threatens to Drake Weddell Passage unravel the ecosystem of the entire Southern Sea Ocean. Its impacts are especially insidious off the Antarctic Peninsula, where species such as penguins, seals, whales and krill are struggling to cope with the loss of sea ice. Warmer weather makes penguins more prone to diseases. And Heavy krill fishing reduces heavy rains or unseasonal snowfall can chill food for wildlife. N , kill chicks and bury nests and . Graham Other species are moving in. Small sea-squirts Land or tunicates called (Salpidae)2, which are less nutritious than krill, have become twice 20,000 people visit Neko Harbour to as common as they were in the 1920s. Invasive view whales and mussels (Mytilus spp.) and invertebrates called glaciers each year. bryozoans (Membranipora membranacea) are reaching the peninsula on visiting ships. Should AA they become established on the shoreline, they Port are likely to outcompete other species such as A Lockroy sponges. On land, non-native grasses have been A found on ground exposed by retreating glaciers.

Fishing bans in warming coastal waters will (HTTP://GO.NATURE.COM/3DTMIKL); COMNAP STATIONS: RESEARCH (2018); , 157–166 Greater protection Larsen C

protect marine mammals and seabirds. Tourism 208 Ice Shelf An MPA around the Antarctic Peninsula is and construction on land also need limiting. 7,8 essential to preserve this wilderness at sea . Tourist landing sites Krill fishing 2008–14 Antarctic Proposed by Chile and in 2018 Research stations Penguin colonies Peninsula

(M. M. S. is one of the Argentinian researchers RES . ET AL. FISH. leading the proposal), it would be the third South Orkney Antarctic MPA. One was implemented in the Islands to the north in 2009, and another in the — a deep bay between Enlarged West and — in 2016. Two more area MPA proposals are on the table — another off East Antarctica and one in the . Although protecting the peninsula is most ANTARCTICA Rothera Proposed station pressing owing to rising human threats, the protected CCAMLR should adopt all three proposals. zones This would fulfil the commitment it made in 2002 to set up a network of MPAs spanning a representative set of ecosystems. Ross Sea The proposed Antarctic Peninsula MPA is split into two zones, across a total area of 670,000 square kilometres (see ‘Antarctic Peninsula: proposed marine protection’). This Krill catch 290 Number 77,787 Average surface –4 takes into account future climate changes, the (thousand of tourists temperature greatest impacts of which will be felt first in tonnes) (cruises and at Esperanza the north and then spread south. Some krill landings) station (°C) fishing will be allowed in the northern zone, 49 with catch limits set by the CCAMLR. Fishing 7,957 –6 will be banned in the south to protect those

waters as sea ice retreats. Models estimate that 1980 2018 1993 2019 1960 2019 CRUZ SANTA KRILL FISHING: F. SITES/NUMBERS: IAATO; TOURIST SANTOS; PROPOSAL/M. D1MPA ZONES: SOURCES: POLAR INSTITUTE BASEMAP: QUANTARCTICA/NORWEGIAN BAS (HTTP://GO.NATURE.COM/3J4UMEU); TEMPERATURE: CCAMLR; KRILL CATCH: HTTP://GO.NATURE.COM/3K2PY8U; COLONIES: PENGUIN

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limit tourist activity and ensure that all compa- nies and operators abide by IAATO regulations. Nations and institutions with Antarctic interests must collaborate to generate the science base needed to inform conservation planning and policies. The SCAR community is currently considering such a programme, called Integrated Science to Inform Antarctic and Southern Ocean Conservation. Antarctica has been a beacon of international diplomacy, scientific and peaceful cooperation for 60 years. History will judge us harshly if we fail to protect the world’s last large and unique wilderness.

The authors

Carolyn J. Hogg is a senior research manager at the Australasian Wildlife Genomics Group, School of Life and Environmental Science, University of Sydney, Australia. Mary-Anne Lea is an associate professor at the Institute for Marine and Antarctic Studies, University of Tasmania, Australia; and co-founder of Homeward Bound. Marga Gual Soler is founder of SciDipGLOBAL and an adviser to the EU Science Diplomacy Cluster. Váleri N. Vasquez is a PhD candidate in the Energy and Resources Group, Rausser College of Natural Resources, University of

JORDI CHIAS/NPL California, Berkeley, USA. Ana Payo-Payo is an Black rockcod () inhabit the Southern Ocean. academic fellow in the School of Biological Sciences, University of Aberdeen, UK. the MPA should increase the number of whales Antarctica (0.005% of the total continental Marissa L. Parrott is a reproductive biologist by about 5% and of penguins by 10% (ref. 9). area) being formally protected for biodiversity at Wildlife Conservation and Science, Zoos The proposed MPA would be in place for conservation10. And many of those sites are Victoria, Victoria, Australia. M. Mercedes 70 years. A review every decade is designed to close to research stations and tourist landings. Santos is national director of Marine Protected allow the zones to be adjusted to preserve the Less than half of the Antarctic Peninsula’s Areas, National Parks Administration, Buenos ecosystems. Research and monitoring is built species are within these protected areas. By Aires; and Argentine Antarctic Institute, in, to follow the impacts of fishing and climate contrast, the United Nations Convention on Buenos Aires, Argentina. Justine Shaw is a change. Data from the CCAMLR Ecosystem Biological Diversity recommends protecting senior research fellow in the School of Earth Monitoring Program (CEMP), which includes around 17% of global lands10. and Environmental Sciences, University of long-term studies of the abundance and Queensland, Australia; and co-founder of distribution of krill and its predators, would “Antarctica needs a Homeward Bound. Cassandra M. Brooks is be incorporated, for example9. an assistant professor in the Environmental Negotiations over the MPA have been positive systematic approach to Studies Program, University of Colorado at so far. But ratification requires consensus from designating protected areas.” Boulder, Colorado, USA. CCAMLR’s member states. And that is challeng- e-mail: [email protected] ing — it took five years to negotiate the Ross 1. Robinson, S. A. et al. Glob. Change Biol. 26, 3178–3180 Sea MPA. The issues are similar today. Some Antarctica needs a systematic approach to (2020). krill-fishing nations worry that the MPA will designating protected areas. Areas of high 2. Rintoul, S. R. et al. Nature 558, 233–241 (2018). impede their operations. Some members disre- conservation value need to be identified 3. Cavan, E. L. et al. Nature Commun. 10, 4742 (2019). 4. Brooks, S. T., Jabour, J., van den Hoff, J. & Bergstrom, D. M. gard the science, denying the threats to wildlife collaboratively. Antarctica needs a compre- Nature Sustain. 2, 185–190 (2019). and from climate change — a wholly political hensive prioritization of management strate- 5. Watters, G. M., Hinke, J. T. & Reiss, C. S. Sci. Rep. 10, 2314 move. Nations must acknowledge the severity gies. To this end, IAATO, the CCAMLR and the (2020). 6. Leihy, R. I. et al. Nature 583, 567–571 (2020). of the risks and work together to avoid delays Committee for Environmental Protection of 7. Hindell, M. A. et al. Nature 580, 87–92 (2020). that would be damaging. the must work along- 8. Brooks, C. M. et al. PLoS ONE 15, e0231361 (2020). On land, the impacts of fishing, tourism, side other stakeholders, such as the Council 9 Klein, E. S. & Watters, G. M. PLoS ONE 15, e0237425 (2020). research and climate change also need to be of Managers of National Antarctic Programs 10. Shaw, J. D., Terauds, A., Riddle, M. J., Possingham, H. P. & better managed. So far, this has been piecemeal, (COMNAP; a group of organizations that Chown, S. L. PLoS Biol. 12, e1001888 (2014). with single nations or small groups of countries deliver and support research in Antarctica). A list of 289 co-signatories accompanies this Comment proposing sites for protection through the COMNAP should also work to limit the expan- online (see go.nature.com/3txjfof). Authors M.-A.L., M.M.S. Antarctic Treaty System or the CCAMLR. This sion of research infrastructure. And IAATO and and C.M.B. are delegates to CCAMLR, but the views has resulted in only 1.5% of ice-free land across parties to the Antarctic Treaty System should expressed are their own.

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