An Introduction to Game Theory
Total Page:16
File Type:pdf, Size:1020Kb
Load more
Recommended publications
-
The Determinants of Efficient Behavior in Coordination Games
The Determinants of Efficient Behavior in Coordination Games Pedro Dal B´o Guillaume R. Fr´echette Jeongbin Kim* Brown University & NBER New York University Caltech May 20, 2020 Abstract We study the determinants of efficient behavior in stag hunt games (2x2 symmetric coordination games with Pareto ranked equilibria) using both data from eight previous experiments on stag hunt games and data from a new experiment which allows for a more systematic variation of parameters. In line with the previous experimental literature, we find that subjects do not necessarily play the efficient action (stag). While the rate of stag is greater when stag is risk dominant, we find that the equilibrium selection criterion of risk dominance is neither a necessary nor sufficient condition for a majority of subjects to choose the efficient action. We do find that an increase in the size of the basin of attraction of stag results in an increase in efficient behavior. We show that the results are robust to controlling for risk preferences. JEL codes: C9, D7. Keywords: Coordination games, strategic uncertainty, equilibrium selection. *We thank all the authors who made available the data that we use from previous articles, Hui Wen Ng for her assistance running experiments and Anna Aizer for useful comments. 1 1 Introduction The study of coordination games has a long history as many situations of interest present a coordination component: for example, the choice of technologies that require a threshold number of users to be sustainable, currency attacks, bank runs, asset price bubbles, cooper- ation in repeated games, etc. In such examples, agents may face strategic uncertainty; that is, they may be uncertain about how the other agents will respond to the multiplicity of equilibria, even when they have complete information about the environment. -
Lecture 4 Rationalizability & Nash Equilibrium Road
Lecture 4 Rationalizability & Nash Equilibrium 14.12 Game Theory Muhamet Yildiz Road Map 1. Strategies – completed 2. Quiz 3. Dominance 4. Dominant-strategy equilibrium 5. Rationalizability 6. Nash Equilibrium 1 Strategy A strategy of a player is a complete contingent-plan, determining which action he will take at each information set he is to move (including the information sets that will not be reached according to this strategy). Matching pennies with perfect information 2’s Strategies: HH = Head if 1 plays Head, 1 Head if 1 plays Tail; HT = Head if 1 plays Head, Head Tail Tail if 1 plays Tail; 2 TH = Tail if 1 plays Head, 2 Head if 1 plays Tail; head tail head tail TT = Tail if 1 plays Head, Tail if 1 plays Tail. (-1,1) (1,-1) (1,-1) (-1,1) 2 Matching pennies with perfect information 2 1 HH HT TH TT Head Tail Matching pennies with Imperfect information 1 2 1 Head Tail Head Tail 2 Head (-1,1) (1,-1) head tail head tail Tail (1,-1) (-1,1) (-1,1) (1,-1) (1,-1) (-1,1) 3 A game with nature Left (5, 0) 1 Head 1/2 Right (2, 2) Nature (3, 3) 1/2 Left Tail 2 Right (0, -5) Mixed Strategy Definition: A mixed strategy of a player is a probability distribution over the set of his strategies. Pure strategies: Si = {si1,si2,…,sik} σ → A mixed strategy: i: S [0,1] s.t. σ σ σ i(si1) + i(si2) + … + i(sik) = 1. If the other players play s-i =(s1,…, si-1,si+1,…,sn), then σ the expected utility of playing i is σ σ σ i(si1)ui(si1,s-i) + i(si2)ui(si2,s-i) + … + i(sik)ui(sik,s-i). -
1 Sequential Games
1 Sequential Games We call games where players take turns moving “sequential games”. Sequential games consist of the same elements as normal form games –there are players, rules, outcomes, and payo¤s. However, sequential games have the added element that history of play is now important as players can make decisions conditional on what other players have done. Thus, if two people are playing a game of Chess the second mover is able to observe the …rst mover’s initial move prior to making his initial move. While it is possible to represent sequential games using the strategic (or matrix) form representation of the game it is more instructive at …rst to represent sequential games using a game tree. In addition to the players, actions, outcomes, and payo¤s, the game tree will provide a history of play or a path of play. A very basic example of a sequential game is the Entrant-Incumbent game. The game is described as follows: Consider a game where there is an entrant and an incumbent. The entrant moves …rst and the incumbent observes the entrant’sdecision. The entrant can choose to either enter the market or remain out of the market. If the entrant remains out of the market then the game ends and the entrant receives a payo¤ of 0 while the incumbent receives a payo¤ of 2. If the entrant chooses to enter the market then the incumbent gets to make a choice. The incumbent chooses between …ghting entry or accommodating entry. If the incumbent …ghts the entrant receives a payo¤ of 3 while the incumbent receives a payo¤ of 1. -
Notes on Sequential and Repeated Games
Notes on sequential and repeated games 1 Sequential Move Games Thus far we have examined games in which players make moves simultaneously (or without observing what the other player has done). Using the normal (strategic) form representation of a game we can identify sets of strategies that are best responses to each other (Nash Equilibria). We now focus on sequential games of complete information. We can still use the normal form representation to identify NE but sequential games are richer than that because some players observe other players’decisions before they take action. The fact that some actions are observable may cause some NE of the normal form representation to be inconsistent with what one might think a player would do. Here’sa simple game between an Entrant and an Incumbent. The Entrant moves …rst and the Incumbent observes the Entrant’s action and then gets to make a choice. The Entrant has to decide whether or not he will enter a market or not. Thus, the Entrant’s two strategies are “Enter” or “Stay Out”. If the Entrant chooses “Stay Out” then the game ends. The payo¤s for the Entrant and Incumbent will be 0 and 2 respectively. If the Entrant chooses “Enter” then the Incumbent gets to choose whether or not he will “Fight”or “Accommodate”entry. If the Incumbent chooses “Fight”then the Entrant receives 3 and the Incumbent receives 1. If the Incumbent chooses “Accommodate”then the Entrant receives 2 and the Incumbent receives 1. This game in normal form is Incumbent Fight if Enter Accommodate if Enter . -
Lecture Notes
GRADUATE GAME THEORY LECTURE NOTES BY OMER TAMUZ California Institute of Technology 2018 Acknowledgments These lecture notes are partially adapted from Osborne and Rubinstein [29], Maschler, Solan and Zamir [23], lecture notes by Federico Echenique, and slides by Daron Acemoglu and Asu Ozdaglar. I am indebted to Seo Young (Silvia) Kim and Zhuofang Li for their help in finding and correcting many errors. Any comments or suggestions are welcome. 2 Contents 1 Extensive form games with perfect information 7 1.1 Tic-Tac-Toe ........................................ 7 1.2 The Sweet Fifteen Game ................................ 7 1.3 Chess ............................................ 7 1.4 Definition of extensive form games with perfect information ........... 10 1.5 The ultimatum game .................................. 10 1.6 Equilibria ......................................... 11 1.7 The centipede game ................................... 11 1.8 Subgames and subgame perfect equilibria ...................... 13 1.9 The dollar auction .................................... 14 1.10 Backward induction, Kuhn’s Theorem and a proof of Zermelo’s Theorem ... 15 2 Strategic form games 17 2.1 Definition ......................................... 17 2.2 Nash equilibria ...................................... 17 2.3 Classical examples .................................... 17 2.4 Dominated strategies .................................. 22 2.5 Repeated elimination of dominated strategies ................... 22 2.6 Dominant strategies .................................. -
SEQUENTIAL GAMES with PERFECT INFORMATION Example
SEQUENTIAL GAMES WITH PERFECT INFORMATION Example 4.9 (page 105) Consider the sequential game given in Figure 4.9. We want to apply backward induction to the tree. 0 Vertex B is owned by player two, P2. The payoffs for P2 are 1 and 3, with 3 > 1, so the player picks R . Thus, the payoffs at B become (0, 3). 00 Next, vertex C is also owned by P2 with payoffs 1 and 0. Since 1 > 0, P2 picks L , and the payoffs are (4, 1). Player one, P1, owns A; the choice of L gives a payoff of 0 and R gives a payoff of 4; 4 > 0, so P1 chooses R. The final payoffs are (4, 1). 0 00 We claim that this strategy profile, { R } for P1 and { R ,L } is a Nash equilibrium. Notice that the 0 00 strategy profile gives a choice at each vertex. For the strategy { R ,L } fixed for P2, P1 has a maximal payoff by choosing { R }, ( 0 00 0 00 π1(R, { R ,L }) = 4 π1(R, { R ,L }) = 4 ≥ 0 00 π1(L, { R ,L }) = 0. 0 00 In the same way, for the strategy { R } fixed for P1, P2 has a maximal payoff by choosing { R ,L }, ( 00 0 00 π2(R, {∗,L }) = 1 π2(R, { R ,L }) = 1 ≥ 00 π2(R, {∗,R }) = 0, where ∗ means choose either L0 or R0. Since no change of choice by a player can increase that players own payoff, the strategy profile is called a Nash equilibrium. Notice that the above strategy profile is also a Nash equilibrium on each branch of the game tree, mainly starting at either B or starting at C. -
Chapter 2 Equilibrium
Chapter 2 Equilibrium The theory of equilibrium attempts to predict what happens in a game when players be- have strategically. This is a central concept to this text as, in mechanism design, we are optimizing over games to find the games with good equilibria. Here, we review the most fundamental notions of equilibrium. They will all be static notions in that players are as- sumed to understand the game and will play once in the game. While such foreknowledge is certainly questionable, some justification can be derived from imagining the game in a dynamic setting where players can learn from past play. Readers should look elsewhere for formal justifications. This chapter reviews equilibrium in both complete and incomplete information games. As games of incomplete information are the most central to mechanism design, special at- tention will be paid to them. In particular, we will characterize equilibrium when the private information of each agent is single-dimensional and corresponds, for instance, to a value for receiving a good or service. We will show that auctions with the same equilibrium outcome have the same expected revenue. Using this so-called revenue equivalence we will describe how to solve for the equilibrium strategies of standard auctions in symmetric environments. Emphasis is placed on demonstrating the central theories of equilibrium and not on providing the most comprehensive or general results. For that readers are recommended to consult a game theory textbook. 2.1 Complete Information Games In games of compete information all players are assumed to know precisely the payoff struc- ture of all other players for all possible outcomes of the game. -
Cooperative Strategies in Groups of Strangers: an Experiment
KRANNERT SCHOOL OF MANAGEMENT Purdue University West Lafayette, Indiana Cooperative Strategies in Groups of Strangers: An Experiment By Gabriele Camera Marco Casari Maria Bigoni Paper No. 1237 Date: June, 2010 Institute for Research in the Behavioral, Economic, and Management Sciences Cooperative strategies in groups of strangers: an experiment Gabriele Camera, Marco Casari, and Maria Bigoni* 15 June 2010 * Camera: Purdue University; Casari: University of Bologna, Piazza Scaravilli 2, 40126 Bologna, Italy, Phone: +39- 051-209-8662, Fax: +39-051-209-8493, [email protected]; Bigoni: University of Bologna, Piazza Scaravilli 2, 40126 Bologna, Italy, Phone: +39-051-2098890, Fax: +39-051-0544522, [email protected]. We thank Jim Engle-Warnick, Tim Cason, Guillaume Fréchette, Hans Theo Normann, and seminar participants at the ESA in Innsbruck, IMEBE in Bilbao, University of Frankfurt, University of Bologna, University of Siena, and NYU for comments on earlier versions of the paper. This paper was completed while G. Camera was visiting the University of Siena as a Fulbright scholar. Financial support for the experiments was partially provided by Purdue’s CIBER and by the Einaudi Institute for Economics and Finance. Abstract We study cooperation in four-person economies of indefinite duration. Subjects interact anonymously playing a prisoner’s dilemma. We identify and characterize the strategies employed at the aggregate and at the individual level. We find that (i) grim trigger well describes aggregate play, but not individual play; (ii) individual behavior is persistently heterogeneous; (iii) coordination on cooperative strategies does not improve with experience; (iv) systematic defection does not crowd-out systematic cooperation. -
Uniqueness and Stability in Symmetric Games: Theory and Applications
Uniqueness and stability in symmetric games: Theory and Applications Andreas M. Hefti∗ November 2013 Abstract This article develops a comparably simple approach towards uniqueness of pure- strategy equilibria in symmetric games with potentially many players by separating be- tween multiple symmetric equilibria and asymmetric equilibria. Our separation approach is useful in applications for investigating, for example, how different parameter constel- lations may affect the scope for multiple symmetric or asymmetric equilibria, or how the equilibrium set of higher-dimensional symmetric games depends on the nature of the strategies. Moreover, our approach is technically appealing as it reduces the complexity of the uniqueness-problem to a two-player game, boundary conditions are less critical compared to other standard procedures, and best-replies need not be everywhere differ- entiable. The article documents the usefulness of the separation approach with several examples, including applications to asymmetric games and to a two-dimensional price- advertising game, and discusses the relationship between stability and multiplicity of symmetric equilibria. Keywords: Symmetric Games, Uniqueness, Symmetric equilibrium, Stability, Indus- trial Organization JEL Classification: C62, C65, C72, D43, L13 ∗Author affiliation: University of Zurich, Department of Economics, Bluemlisalpstr. 10, CH-8006 Zurich. E-mail: [email protected], Phone: +41787354964. Part of the research was accomplished during a research stay at the Department of Economics, Harvard University, Littauer Center, 02138 Cambridge, USA. 1 1 Introduction Whether or not there is a unique (Nash) equilibrium is an interesting and important question in many game-theoretic settings. Many applications concentrate on games with identical players, as the equilibrium outcome of an ex-ante symmetric setting frequently is of self-interest, or comparably easy to handle analytically, especially in presence of more than two players. -
Games with Delays. a Frankenstein Approach
Games with Delays – A Frankenstein Approach Dietmar Berwanger and Marie van den Bogaard LSV, CNRS & ENS Cachan, France Abstract We investigate infinite games on finite graphs where the information flow is perturbed by non- deterministic signalling delays. It is known that such perturbations make synthesis problems virtually unsolvable, in the general case. On the classical model where signals are attached to states, tractable cases are rare and difficult to identify. Here, we propose a model where signals are detached from control states, and we identify a subclass on which equilibrium outcomes can be preserved, even if signals are delivered with a delay that is finitely bounded. To offset the perturbation, our solution procedure combines responses from a collection of virtual plays following an equilibrium strategy in the instant- signalling game to synthesise, in a Frankenstein manner, an equivalent equilibrium strategy for the delayed-signalling game. 1998 ACM Subject Classification F.1.2 Modes of Computation; D.4.7 Organization and Design Keywords and phrases infinite games on graphs, imperfect information, delayed monitoring, distributed synthesis 1 Introduction Appropriate behaviour of an interactive system component often depends on events gener- ated by other components. The ideal situation, in which perfect information is available across components, occurs rarely in practice – typically a component only receives signals more or less correlated with the actual events. Apart of imperfect signals generated by the system components, there are multiple other sources of uncertainty, due to actions of the system environment or to unreliable behaviour of the infrastructure connecting the compo- nents: For instance, communication channels may delay or lose signals, or deliver them in a different order than they were emitted. -
Equilibrium Computation in Normal Form Games
Tutorial Overview Game Theory Refresher Solution Concepts Computational Formulations Equilibrium Computation in Normal Form Games Costis Daskalakis & Kevin Leyton-Brown Part 1(a) Equilibrium Computation in Normal Form Games Costis Daskalakis & Kevin Leyton-Brown, Slide 1 Tutorial Overview Game Theory Refresher Solution Concepts Computational Formulations Overview 1 Plan of this Tutorial 2 Getting Our Bearings: A Quick Game Theory Refresher 3 Solution Concepts 4 Computational Formulations Equilibrium Computation in Normal Form Games Costis Daskalakis & Kevin Leyton-Brown, Slide 2 Tutorial Overview Game Theory Refresher Solution Concepts Computational Formulations Plan of this Tutorial This tutorial provides a broad introduction to the recent literature on the computation of equilibria of simultaneous-move games, weaving together both theoretical and applied viewpoints. It aims to explain recent results on: the complexity of equilibrium computation; representation and reasoning methods for compactly represented games. It also aims to be accessible to those having little experience with game theory. Our focus: the computational problem of identifying a Nash equilibrium in different game models. We will also more briefly consider -equilibria, correlated equilibria, pure-strategy Nash equilibria, and equilibria of two-player zero-sum games. Equilibrium Computation in Normal Form Games Costis Daskalakis & Kevin Leyton-Brown, Slide 3 Tutorial Overview Game Theory Refresher Solution Concepts Computational Formulations Part 1: Normal-Form Games -
Introduction to Game Theory Lecture 1: Strategic Game and Nash Equilibrium
Game Theory and Rational Choice Strategic-form Games Nash Equilibrium Examples (Non-)Strict Nash Equilibrium . Introduction to Game Theory Lecture 1: Strategic Game and Nash Equilibrium . Haifeng Huang University of California, Merced Shanghai, Summer 2011 . • Rational choice: the action chosen by a decision maker is better or at least as good as every other available action, according to her preferences and given her constraints (e.g., resources, information, etc.). • Preferences (偏好) are rational if they satisfy . Completeness (完备性): between any x and y in a set, x ≻ y (x is preferred to y), y ≻ x, or x ∼ y (indifferent) . Transitivity(传递性): x ≽ y and y ≽ z )x ≽ z (≽ means ≻ or ∼) ) Say apple ≻ banana, and banana ≻ orange, then apple ≻ orange Game Theory and Rational Choice Strategic-form Games Nash Equilibrium Examples (Non-)Strict Nash Equilibrium Rational Choice and Preference Relations • Game theory studies rational players’ behavior when they engage in strategic interactions. • Preferences (偏好) are rational if they satisfy . Completeness (完备性): between any x and y in a set, x ≻ y (x is preferred to y), y ≻ x, or x ∼ y (indifferent) . Transitivity(传递性): x ≽ y and y ≽ z )x ≽ z (≽ means ≻ or ∼) ) Say apple ≻ banana, and banana ≻ orange, then apple ≻ orange Game Theory and Rational Choice Strategic-form Games Nash Equilibrium Examples (Non-)Strict Nash Equilibrium Rational Choice and Preference Relations • Game theory studies rational players’ behavior when they engage in strategic interactions. • Rational choice: the action chosen by a decision maker is better or at least as good as every other available action, according to her preferences and given her constraints (e.g., resources, information, etc.).