Retail Performance Florida
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RETAIL PERFORMANCE FLORIDA Retailer Performance Overview Burger Grill (35.0%), Zoe’s Kitchen (33.3%), Del Frisco’s Grille (31.9%), and Diversified Restaurant Holdings (30.2%) In terms of overall revenue growth by segment, restaurants whose brands include Buffalo Wild Wings. were dominant with four of the top five performers coming from this industry. Entertainment and Dining Restaurants According to a forecast by the National Restaurant saw the largest uptick in growth, experiencing a 12.2% Association, Florida is projected to experience the largest increase over the past twelve months. Furniture and Home increase in sales growth in 2016 (7.4%), outpacing Nevada Furnishing Stores (12.1%), Quick Service Restaurants (7.3%), Washington (7.0%), and California (6.6%). The NRA (12.0%), Fast Casual Restaurants (11.8%), and Fine Dining anticipates that growth amongst the Quick Service segment Restaurants (10.0%) rounded out the top five. should continue to outpace table service sales. On the opposite end of the spectrum, Convenience, Over the past several years there has been a push to Electronic, and Department Stores were the only segments downsize across retail segments and experimentation with to experience a contraction over the last year. smaller format stores is underway. Retailers from Target, to Dollar General, Best Buy, and the like have embraced this In terms of specific retailers experiencing the largest gains push and many locations have sprouted up in more densely in revenue, restaurants unsurprisingly made up a majority populated urban areas. Notwithstanding the move by big of the top 10. Establishments in the top 10 with a Florida box retailers to smaller footprints, the usual suspects top presence include Shake Shack (63.3%), The Habit the list of most efficient retailers in terms of sales per sq. ft. Figure 1: Avg. Revenue Growth by Segment Entertainment & Dining Restaurants 12.2% Furniture & Home Furnishing Stores 12.1% Quick Service Restaurants 12.0% Fast Casual Restaurants 11.8% Fine Dining Restaurants 10.0% Shoe Stores 8.5% Off-Price Stores 6.3% Family Dining Restaurants 6.0% Luxury, Jewelry & Accessories Stores 6.0% Grocery Stores For 5.9% Sporting Goods Stores details 5.8% Casual Dining Restaurants click 5.7% Discount & Variety Stores segment 5.7% Auto & Marine Parts Stores on left 5.5% Leisure & Entertainment Venues 5.2% Home Improvement Stores 4.7% Beverage & Snack Shops 4.0% Brand Manufacturers 3.1% Drug, Health & Beauty Stores 2.7% Miscellaneous Stores 1.5% Apparel Stores 0.6% Department Stores -0.1% Electronic Stores -1.9% Convenience Stores -12.7% (13.0)% (8.0)% (3.0)% 2.0% 7.0% 12.0% Source: eMarketer & CBRE Research, Q1 2016. Q1 2016 CBRE Research ©2016 CBRE, Inc. | 1 RETAIL PERFORMANCE FLORIDA Luxury, Jewelry, and Accessories retailers accounted for 20% Figure 2: Revenue Growth (Year-over-Year) , Top 10 National Companies of the 50 most efficient firms. The high price of jewelry coupled with the smaller footprints (2,540 sq. ft. average) TOTAL contributed to the strong ranking. REVENUE COMPANY SEGMENT GROWTH Good Times Restaurants Quick Service Restaurants 68.2% Following the Luxury, Jewelry, and Accessories segment, Mattress Firm Home Furnishing Stores 65.7% Brand Manufacturers (10%) and Casual Dining Restaurants Shake Shack Quick Service Restaurants 63.3% (10%) rounded out the top three in terms of space Walgreens Drug, Health & Beauty Stores 45.5% efficiency. The Habit Burger Grill Fast Casual Restaurants 35.0% Boot Barn Shoe Stores 34.8% Drilling down to the specific companies, a leading Zoes Kitchen Fast Casual Restaurants 33.3% electronics company recorded the highest sales per sq. ft. Skechers Brand Manufacturers 32.6% figure over the last twelve months , averaging over $5,800. Del Frisco's Grille Fine Dining Restaurants 31.9% Convenience Store operator, Murphy USA, also had a strong Diversified Restaurant Holdings Casual Dining Restaurants 30.2% efficiency showing, coming in at over $3,700 in sales per sq. ft. With an average store size of 500 sq. ft., Murphy USA has Source: eMarketer & CBRE Research, Q1 2016. the smallest footprint of all the eMarketer tracked retailers. Figure 3: Retailer Segment as % of Top 50 National Firms by Sales per Sq. Ft. Also faring well with regard to sales per sq. ft., Tiffany & Co. Luxury, Jewelry & Accessories Stores 2%2% registered at over $2,900. The Luxury, Jewelry and Accessory 4% Brand Manufacturers 4% 20% Casual Dining Restaurants retailer, which averages a 4,100 sq. ft. footprint, has made a 6% Apparel Stores recent push to better cater to its more affluent customers by Fast Casual Restaurants 6% Quick Service Restaurants introducing additional “ultra-high-end” pieces. Drug, Health & Beauty Stores 10% 6% Electronic Stores Fine Dining Restaurants Those stores experiencing the lowest sales per sq. ft. over 6% Grocery Stores 10% the last year predominantly fell within the Leisure and Discount & Variety Stores 8% Furniture & Home Furnishing Stores Entertainment segment. Carmike Cinemas was at the 8% Beverage & Snack Shops 8% Convenience Stores bottom of the list, bringing in an average of $68 per sq. ft. This figure is nearly 35% below sales per sq. ft. by AMC, Source: eMarketer & CBRE Research, Q1 2016. which recently acquired the company creating the largest movie theater chain in the United States. Figure 4: Sales per Sq. Ft., Top 10 National Companies $7,000 Hancock Fabrics, who filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection this year, was also on the low end of the $6,000 spectrum coming in at $77 in sales per sq. ft. Hancock $5,000 Fabrics is expected to close 70 stores as part of its $4,000 restructuring plan. $3,000 $2,000 Moving forward, the National Retail Federation is predicting $1,000 2016 growth in retail sales to surpass the 10-year average of $0 2.7%. Current estimates forecast growth of 3.1% which will be aided by continued job creation, rising wages, and an associated increase in discretionary income. Source: eMarketer & CBRE Research, Q1 2016. Q1 2016 CBRE Research ©2016 CBRE, Inc. | 2 RETAIL PERFORMANCE FLORIDA Addendum: Retailer Performance Data* HOME Apparel Stores TOTAL REVENUES TOTAL REVENUE AVG. STORE AVG. SALES AVG. SALES COMPANY (MM) GROWTH STORES SQ FT PER STORE (M) PER SQ FT Abercrombie & Fitch (Abercrombie & Fitch Co.) $1,449.9 -6.3% 279 9,600 $3,888 $401 Abercrombie & Fitch Co. $3,525.2 -10.2% 965 7,700 $2,798 $361 abercrombie kids (Abercrombie & Fitch Co.) $321.4 -7.3% 122 5,500 $1,793 $339 Aeropostale $1,602.6 -16.3% 824 3,900 $1,601 $418 American Apparel $538.2 0.0% 227 3,100 $1,285 $418 American Eagle Outfitters $3,487.9 7.2% 1068 6,300 $2,658 $424 Ann Inc. $2,540.6 1.2% 1034 5,700 $2,049 $361 Ann Taylor (Ann Inc.) $944.2 -1.7% 360 5,400 $1,999 $369 Anthropologie (Urban Outfitters, Inc.) $1,441.3 5.1% 214 9,000 $4,764 $527 Ascena Retail Group $5,280.7 10.3% 4818 5,500 $1,117 $204 Banana Republic (Gap Inc.) $2,768.0 -4.7% 679 8,100 $3,483 $431 bebe stores $415.7 -1.9% 203 3,900 $1,508 $383 Ben Sherman (Oxford Industries) $77.5 15.3% 21 2,200 $1,815 $795 Body Central $225.8 -24.3% 272 4,300 $733 $172 Cache $203.4 -8.2% 236 2,000 $753 $372 Carter's (Carter's, Inc.) $2,266.4 8.2% 577 4,400 $1,665 $378 Catherines (Ascena Retail Group) $345.1 2.9% 377 4,000 $763 $187 Chico’s FAS, Inc. $2,671.8 1.6% 1546 2,900 $1,523 $530 Chico's/Soma Intimates (Chico’s FAS, Inc.) $1,693.3 1.7% 1018 3,000 $1,516 $512 Christopher & Banks $387.2 -9.0% 538 3,900 $632 $167 Citi Trends $688.9 6.5% 520 13,400 $1,338 $100 Claire’s Stores $1,412.7 -6.9% 2926 1,000 $463 $454 Danier Leather $115.3 -12.6% 87 3,200 $1,281 $407 dELiA's $120.0 -28.8% 95 3,800 $848 $220 Destination Maternity $548.9 -4.8% 554 2,200 $584 $270 Destination XL Group $437.7 8.7% 354 5,800 $1,028 $181 dressbarn (Ascena Retail Group) $1,011.4 -1.3% 828 8,000 $1,167 $147 Express $2,310.4 7.2% 654 8,700 $2,950 $337 francesca's $412.4 13.9% 619 1,400 $686 $506 Frederick's of Hollywood $83.0 -14.6% 105 2,000 $473 $242 Free People (Urban Outfitters, Inc.) $583.7 16.5% 112 2,200 $1,452 $705 Gap (Gap Inc.) $5,824.0 -7.2% 1422 10,100 $3,379 $335 Gap Inc. $16,120.0 -1.1% 3346 11,500 $3,998 $345 Hollister (Abercrombie & Fitch Co.) $1,867.7 -8.4% 570 7,300 $2,637 $361 J.Crew $2,500.2 -2.4% 536 5,600 $3,173 $565 Jos. A. Bank $1,053.5 0.9% 578 4,600 $1,535 $332 Justice (Ascena Retail Group) $1,225.2 -10.5% 828 4,000 $978 $233 L Brands $11,827.4 5.6% 3003 4,900 $3,259 $672 Lands' End $1,489.4 -6.4% 243 7,900 $870 $111 Lane Bryant (Ascena Retail Group) $1,106.4 2.6% 772 5,600 $1,161 $209 Lids (Genesco) $969.8 12.8% 1347 1,200 $542 $461 Lilly Pulitzer (Oxford Industries) $202.5 24.2% 34 2,800 $2,431 $869 Loft (Ann Inc.) $1,596.4 3.1% 674 5,800 $2,077 $356 lululemon athletica $1,958.7 14.2% 354 2,900 $4,589 $1,560 maurices (Ascena Retail Group) $1,091.4 11.2% 964 5,200 $1,046 $204 Q1 2016 CBRE Research ©2016 CBRE, Inc.