Case Study IIMK/CS/119/ECO/2020/01 November 2020 The Maharashtra Political Crisis: The Coalition that Mattered Anirban Ghatak1 1Assistant Professor, Economics, Indian Institute of Management, Kozhikode, IIMK Campus, Kunnamangalam, Kozhikode, Kerala 673 570, India; Email:
[email protected], Phone number: +91 495 2809655 Before that moment on October 24, 2019, the fate of the Maharashtra State Legislative Assembly election in India was somewhat predetermined. There was neither much speculative energy nor antagonistic heat in the air, except for the occasional, almost ritual, squabbles between activists of the various political parties that contested in the election, in sporadic local pockets. Uddhav Thackarey, the erstwhile prince who recently became the king of his late father’s party, Shiv Sena, was also content with the exit poll predictions and the ground reports that came from his own trustworthy generals. On the other hand, the rest of the world was keeping a cautious eye on the predictions. After all, the result was going to affect the financial capital of the largest democracy in the world. There were numerous parties that were fighting in that election, but pre-poll alliances along with the stark inequality in the size of the parties had boiled down the serious contenders into only few notable clusters. There was National Democratic Alliance (NDA) which, for this context, comprised of the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) that was the ruling party in the center, and Shiv Sena, the flag-bearer of the ‘local’ in Maharashtra. On the other side, there was United Progressive Alliance (UPA), which had Indian National Congress (INC) and Nationalist Congress Party (NCP) as its most notable participants in this election.